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INDICATIVE · SAMPLE DATA
GO$7.4059

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp

Food Retail & DistributionVerified

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp has a market capitalization of $732 million and a price-to-book ratio of 0.74, indicating that the company is trading at a discount relative to its book value. The company's liquidity position is characterized by a current ratio of 1.37, suggesting it has sufficient short-term assets to cover its short-term liabilities. However, the company's free cash flow is negative at -$291.5 million, and its operating cash flow is $222.1 million, indicating that capital expenditures are outpacing operating cash generation. The company's profitability metrics are weak, with a return on equity of -22.86% and a return on assets of -7.28%, both significantly below the industry median for Food Retail & Distribution. The operating margin is negative at -4.73%, and the net profit margin is also negative at -0.48%, reflecting operational challenges and cost pressures. The company's gross margin is 30.29%, which is in line with the industry but does not offset the operating and net losses. Grocery Outlet's revenue is concentrated in the United States, with no disclosed international operations. The company operates through a single reportable segment, and its revenue is primarily derived from the sale of food and household products in its discount grocery stores. The company's geographic exposure is limited to the U.S., and it does not disclose any material revenue from specific regions or countries. The company's revenue for the latest period is $4.69 billion, and the outlook for the current fiscal year is for a decline in revenue, with a negative delta of -5.0%. The next fiscal year is also expected to show a decline, with a projected revenue delta of -3.0%. These projections suggest that the company is facing headwinds in its core market and may be struggling to maintain its revenue growth. The company's risk assessment indicates a medium liquidity risk, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.5 and a negative net cash position after subtracting total debt. The dilution risk is assessed as low, with no significant dilution potential in the near term. The company's capital structure includes $495.75 million in long-term debt and $69.6 million in cash and equivalents, which may limit its financial flexibility. Recent events and filings indicate that the company has not issued any new shares in the past 12 months, and there are no material risks disclosed in the 10-K that suggest imminent dilution. The company's recent earnings call transcripts highlight ongoing cost management efforts and store optimization initiatives to improve profitability.

30-day price · GO+0.30 (+4.2%)
Low$6.67High$9.44Close$7.40As of17 May, 00:00 UTC
Profile
CompanyGrocery Outlet Holding Corp
TickerGO.O
SectorConsumer Non-Cyclicals
BusinessFood & Drug Retailing
Industry groupFood & Drug Retailing
IndustryFood Retail & Distribution
AI analysis

Business. Grocery Outlet Holding Corp operates as a discount grocery retailer, offering a wide range of food and household products at reduced prices through its store locations.

Classification. Grocery Outlet is classified under the Food Retail & Distribution industry within the Food & Drug Retailing business sector, with a classification confidence of 0.92.

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp has a market capitalization of $732 million and a price-to-book ratio of 0.74, indicating that the company is trading at a discount relative to its book value. The company's liquidity position is characterized by a current ratio of 1.37, suggesting it has sufficient short-term assets to cover its short-term liabilities. However, the company's free cash flow is negative at -$291.5 million, and its operating cash flow is $222.1 million, indicating that capital expenditures are outpacing operating cash generation. The company's profitability metrics are weak, with a return on equity of -22.86% and a return on assets of -7.28%, both significantly below the industry median for Food Retail & Distribution. The operating margin is negative at -4.73%, and the net profit margin is also negative at -0.48%, reflecting operational challenges and cost pressures. The company's gross margin is 30.29%, which is in line with the industry but does not offset the operating and net losses. Grocery Outlet's revenue is concentrated in the United States, with no disclosed international operations. The company operates through a single reportable segment, and its revenue is primarily derived from the sale of food and household products in its discount grocery stores. The company's geographic exposure is limited to the U.S., and it does not disclose any material revenue from specific regions or countries. The company's revenue for the latest period is $4.69 billion, and the outlook for the current fiscal year is for a decline in revenue, with a negative delta of -5.0%. The next fiscal year is also expected to show a decline, with a projected revenue delta of -3.0%. These projections suggest that the company is facing headwinds in its core market and may be struggling to maintain its revenue growth. The company's risk assessment indicates a medium liquidity risk, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.5 and a negative net cash position after subtracting total debt. The dilution risk is assessed as low, with no significant dilution potential in the near term. The company's capital structure includes $495.75 million in long-term debt and $69.6 million in cash and equivalents, which may limit its financial flexibility. Recent events and filings indicate that the company has not issued any new shares in the past 12 months, and there are no material risks disclosed in the 10-K that suggest imminent dilution. The company's recent earnings call transcripts highlight ongoing cost management efforts and store optimization initiatives to improve profitability.
Key takeaways
  • Grocery Outlet is trading at a discount to book value with a price-to-book ratio of 0.74.
  • The company is experiencing negative returns on equity and assets, indicating poor profitability.
  • Revenue is expected to decline in both the current and next fiscal years.
  • The company has a medium liquidity risk and a negative net cash position.
  • No significant dilution is expected in the near term, and the company has not issued new shares recently.
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  • ## RATIONALES
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Financial snapshot
PeriodHA-latest
CurrencyUSD
Revenue$4.69B
Gross profit$1.42B
Operating income-$221.7M
Net income-$224.9M
R&D
SG&A
D&A
SBC
Operating cash flow$222.1M
CapEx-$198.3M
Free cash flow-$291.5M
Total assets$3.09B
Total liabilities$2.11B
Total equity$983.7M
Cash & equivalents$69.6M
Long-term debt$495.8M
Valuation
Market price$7.40
Market cap$732.0M
Enterprise value$1.16B
P/E
Reported non-GAAP P/E
EV/Revenue0.2
EV/Op income
EV/OCF5.2
P/B0.7
P/Tangible book0.7
Tangible book$983.7M
Net cash-$426.1M
Current ratio1.4
Debt/Equity0.5
ROA-7.3%
ROE-22.9%
Cash conversion-99.0%
CapEx/Revenue-4.2%
SBC/Revenue
Asset intensity
Dilution ratio0.0%
Risk assessment
Dilution riskLow
Liquidity riskMedium
  • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Industry benchmarks
Activity: Food Retail & Distribution · cohort 61 companies
MetricGOActivity
Op margin-4.7%3.0% medp25 -0.6% · p75 6.0%bottom quartile
Net margin-4.8%1.8% medp25 -1.8% · p75 3.5%bottom quartile
Gross margin30.3%23.5% medp25 12.3% · p75 35.6%above median
CapEx / revenue-4.2%-1.9% medp25 -3.6% · p75 -0.9%bottom quartile
Debt / equity50.0%53.0% medp25 13.7% · p75 94.5%below median
Observations
IR observations
Mean price target7.62 USD
Median price target7.00 USD
High price target10.50 USD
Low price target6.00 USD
Mean recommendation3.07 (1=strong buy, 5=strong sell)
Strong-buy count0.00
Buy count0.00
Hold count13.00
Sell count1.00
Strong-sell count0.00
Mean EPS estimate0.50 USD
Last actual EPS0.76 USD
Source data
Underlying data the analysis-pipeline pulls and audits. Fetch timestamps + content hashes show when each source was last refreshed.
Company fundamentalsperiod financials
no public URL
2026-05-16 01:45 UTC#6df1365b
Source: analysis-pipeline (hybrid)Generated: 2026-05-28 01:21 UTCJob: 2a5b9185