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INDICATIVE · SAMPLE DATA
5021$3736.0058

Cosmo Energy Holdings Co Ltd

Oil & Gas Refining and MarketingVerified

The company's capital structure is moderately leveraged, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.19 and a current ratio of 1.14, indicating a balanced but not overly conservative liquidity position. Its liquidity position is assessed as medium risk, with free cash flow of ¥5.71 billion and operating cash flow of ¥137.12 billion, but net cash is negative after subtracting total debt. Profitability metrics show a return on equity of 9.86% and a return on assets of 2.67%, which are below the industry median for refining and marketing firms. The company's gross profit margin is 10.96%, and its operating margin is 3.79%, both of which are in line with the sector average. Geographically, the company is heavily concentrated in Japan, with no disclosed international revenue segments. Its business is divided into refining, marketing, and retail operations, with no material diversification across product lines. The company's revenue concentration in a single geographic market increases exposure to regional economic and regulatory shifts. The company's growth trajectory is modest, with no disclosed revenue growth in the most recent fiscal year. Analysts project a mean price target of ¥4,908.57, suggesting a potential upside of 31.1% from the current market price of ¥3,736. The company's outlook for the next fiscal year is neutral, with no significant changes in revenue or operating performance expected. Risk factors include moderate liquidity risk and low dilution risk. The company has a low probability of near-term dilution, with no recent share issuance or shelf registration activity. The risk assessment indicates no immediate pressure for equity dilution, and the company's capital structure remains stable. Recent events include no material changes in the company's operations or financial position. The company has not issued any new debt or equity in the past 12 months, and there are no disclosed regulatory or legal proceedings that would materially impact its operations.

30-day price · 5021-808.00 (-17.9%)
Low$3675.00High$4580.00Close$3701.00As of22 May, 00:00 UTC
Profile
CompanyCosmo Energy Holdings Co Ltd
Ticker5021.T
SectorEnergy
BusinessEnergy - Fossil Fuels
Industry groupEnergy - Fossil Fuels
IndustryOil & Gas Refining and Marketing
AI analysis

Business. Cosmo Energy Holdings Co Ltd is an integrated oil and gas company engaged in refining, marketing, and retail operations in Japan.

Classification. The company is classified under the Energy - Fossil Fuels business sector with a confidence level of 0.92.

The company's capital structure is moderately leveraged, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.19 and a current ratio of 1.14, indicating a balanced but not overly conservative liquidity position. Its liquidity position is assessed as medium risk, with free cash flow of ¥5.71 billion and operating cash flow of ¥137.12 billion, but net cash is negative after subtracting total debt. Profitability metrics show a return on equity of 9.86% and a return on assets of 2.67%, which are below the industry median for refining and marketing firms. The company's gross profit margin is 10.96%, and its operating margin is 3.79%, both of which are in line with the sector average. Geographically, the company is heavily concentrated in Japan, with no disclosed international revenue segments. Its business is divided into refining, marketing, and retail operations, with no material diversification across product lines. The company's revenue concentration in a single geographic market increases exposure to regional economic and regulatory shifts. The company's growth trajectory is modest, with no disclosed revenue growth in the most recent fiscal year. Analysts project a mean price target of ¥4,908.57, suggesting a potential upside of 31.1% from the current market price of ¥3,736. The company's outlook for the next fiscal year is neutral, with no significant changes in revenue or operating performance expected. Risk factors include moderate liquidity risk and low dilution risk. The company has a low probability of near-term dilution, with no recent share issuance or shelf registration activity. The risk assessment indicates no immediate pressure for equity dilution, and the company's capital structure remains stable. Recent events include no material changes in the company's operations or financial position. The company has not issued any new debt or equity in the past 12 months, and there are no disclosed regulatory or legal proceedings that would materially impact its operations.
Key takeaways
  • The company has a moderate debt load and a current ratio of 1.14, indicating a balanced but not overly conservative liquidity position.
  • Profitability metrics are below the industry median, with a return on equity of 9.86% and a return on assets of 2.67%.
  • The company is geographically concentrated in Japan, with no material international operations.
  • Analysts project a potential upside of 31.1% from the current market price, with a mean price target of ¥4,908.57.
  • The company has a low probability of near-term dilution and no recent share issuance activity.
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Financial snapshot
PeriodHA-latest
CurrencyJPY
Revenue$2.80T
Gross profit$306.82B
Operating income$106.19B
Net income$57.67B
R&D
SG&A
D&A
SBC
Operating cash flow$137.12B
CapEx-$84.21B
Free cash flow$5.71B
Total assets$2.16T
Total liabilities$1.57T
Total equity$584.78B
Cash & equivalents$126.93B
Long-term debt$697.81B
Annual history (last 5)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
FY0$2.68T$144.37B$74.02B$30.01B
FY-1$2.80T$106.19B$57.67B$5.71B
FY-2$2.73T$153.37B$82.06B$54.66B
FY-3$2.79T$155.19B$67.94B$71.40B
FY-4$2.44T$224.13B$138.89B$146.87B
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
FY0
FY-1
FY-2
FY-3
FY-4
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
FY0$2.20T$606.22B$165.90B
FY-1$2.16T$584.78B$126.93B
FY-2$2.21T$601.16B$117.30B
FY-3$2.12T$527.89B$104.34B
FY-4$1.94T$456.20B$80.33B
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
FY0$213.74B-$83.25B$30.01B
FY-1$137.12B-$84.21B$5.71B
FY-2$177.94B-$71.11B$54.66B
FY-3$8.12B-$49.59B$71.40B
FY-4$108.57B-$45.38B$146.87B
Quarterly history (last 4)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
FQ0$669.48B$56.01B$39.12B
FQ-1$674.32B$27.64B$11.27B
FQ-2$685.24B$52.81B$25.66B
FQ-3$648.54B$7.91B-$2.03B
FQ-4$761.51B$22.16B$14.42B
FQ-5$717.30B$48.47B$22.61B
FQ-6$665.99B-$3.81B-$4.06B
FQ-7$655.14B$39.36B$24.70B
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
FQ0
FQ-1
FQ-2
FQ-3
FQ-4
FQ-5
FQ-6
FQ-7
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
FQ0$2.20T$606.22B$165.90B
FQ-1$2.19T$590.32B$141.85B
FQ-2$2.11T$590.41B$126.67B
FQ-3$2.11T$562.95B$147.45B
FQ-4$2.16T$584.78B$126.93B
FQ-5$2.29T$586.86B$144.05B
FQ-6$2.22T$593.73B$132.98B
FQ-7$2.25T$611.32B$131.54B
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
FQ0$213.74B-$83.25B
FQ-1
FQ-2$120.41B-$32.92B
FQ-3
FQ-4$137.12B-$84.21B
FQ-5
FQ-6$21.18B-$42.42B
FQ-7
Valuation
Market price$3736.00
Market cap$593.24B
Enterprise value$1.16T
P/E10.3
Reported non-GAAP P/E
EV/Revenue0.4
EV/Op income11.0
EV/OCF8.5
P/B1.0
P/Tangible book1.0
Tangible book$584.78B
Net cash-$570.89B
Current ratio1.1
Debt/Equity1.2
ROA2.7%
ROE9.9%
Cash conversion2.4%
CapEx/Revenue-3.0%
SBC/Revenue
Asset intensity
Dilution ratio0.0%
Risk assessment
Dilution riskLow
Liquidity riskMedium
  • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Industry benchmarks
Activity: Oil & Gas Refining and Marketing · cohort 2 companies
Metric5021Activity
Op margin3.8%5.0% medp25 4.3% · p75 5.6%bottom quartile
Net margin2.1%3.0% medp25 2.6% · p75 5.9%bottom quartile
Gross margin11.0%17.5% medp25 6.8% · p75 27.1%below median
R&D / revenue0.4% medp25 0.4% · p75 0.4%
CapEx / revenue-3.0%5.6% medp25 4.1% · p75 7.1%bottom quartile
Debt / equity119.0%94.7% medp25 53.9% · p75 135.4%above median
Observations
IR observations
Mean price target4,908.57 JPY
Median price target4,910.00 JPY
High price target5,800.00 JPY
Low price target3,400.00 JPY
Mean recommendation2.50 (1=strong buy, 5=strong sell)
Strong-buy count0.00
Buy count4.00
Hold count4.00
Sell count0.00
Strong-sell count0.00
Mean EPS estimate634.10 JPY
Last actual EPS453.06 JPY
Source: analysis-pipeline (hybrid)Generated: 2026-05-25 00:36 UTCJob: 1bb6c415