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INDICATIVE · SAMPLE DATA
UNPNYSE68

UNION PACIFIC CORP

Ground Freight & LogisticsVerified

Union Pacific's capital structure is characterized by a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.53, indicating a significant reliance on debt financing. The company's liquidity position is marked by a current ratio of 0.92, suggesting that its current liabilities exceed its current assets. Despite this, the company maintains a free cash flow of $1.503 billion, which supports its capital expenditures of $937 million. The return on equity of 8.76% and return on assets of 2.44% indicate that the company is generating returns, though they are below the industry median for both metrics. In terms of profitability, Union Pacific's operating income of $2.458 billion and net income of $1.701 billion reflect a strong performance in the first quarter of 2026. However, the company's return on equity and return on assets are below the industry median, suggesting that it is not outperforming its peers in terms of capital efficiency. The company's diversified business mix, which includes bulk, industrial, and premium freight, helps to mitigate some of the risks associated with market volatility. Union Pacific's revenue is spread across multiple segments, with the bulk, industrial, and premium freight categories being the primary contributors. The company's geographic exposure is extensive, covering the western two-thirds of the United States and connecting to the Atlantic Coast, the Pacific Coast, the Southeast, the Southwest, Canada, and Mexico. This broad geographic footprint helps to diversify the company's revenue and reduce the impact of regional economic downturns. The company's growth trajectory is influenced by several factors, including the demand for coal, industrial chemicals, and plastics, which have driven volume increases. However, weaker demand for automotive and energy and specialized markets shipments has partially offset this growth. Analysts have provided a mean price target of $286.15 and a median price target of $290.00, with a mean recommendation of 2.08, indicating a generally positive outlook. Union Pacific faces several risk factors, including liquidity concerns due to the current ratio of 0.92 and the fact that net cash is negative after subtracting total debt. The company also has a medium risk of dilution, as indicated by the risk assessment. The company has mentioned the potential impact of new accounting guidance, such as ASU 2025-10, on its disclosures and financial statements. These factors could affect the company's financial performance and investor confidence. Recent events, including the filing of updated property_and_equipment data and the evaluation of new accounting guidance, highlight the company's ongoing efforts to adapt to regulatory changes. The company has also modified its resources in response to changing customer demand and international intermodal volume declines, demonstrating its agility in the market. These actions position Union Pacific to respond quickly to demand fluctuations and maintain a competitive edge.

30-day price · UNP+33.28 (+14.0%)
Low$233.04High$274.79Close$270.16As of15 May, 00:00 UTC
Profile
CompanyUNION PACIFIC CORP
ExchangeNYSE
TickerUNP
CIK0000100885
SICRailroads, Line-Haul Operating
SectorIndustrials
BusinessTransportation
Industry groupTransportation
IndustryGround Freight & Logistics
AI analysis

Business. Union Pacific Corporation operates as a major railroad company in the United States, connecting over 23 states in the western two-thirds of the country by rail, providing a critical link in the global supply chain. The company generates revenue through the transportation of bulk, industrial, and premium freight, including grain, fertilizer, coal, industrial chemicals, plastics, and intermodal containers.

Classification. Union Pacific is classified under the Industrials sector, specifically in the Transportation business sector and the Ground Freight & Logistics industry, with a classification confidence of 0.92.

Union Pacific's capital structure is characterized by a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.53, indicating a significant reliance on debt financing. The company's liquidity position is marked by a current ratio of 0.92, suggesting that its current liabilities exceed its current assets. Despite this, the company maintains a free cash flow of $1.503 billion, which supports its capital expenditures of $937 million. The return on equity of 8.76% and return on assets of 2.44% indicate that the company is generating returns, though they are below the industry median for both metrics. In terms of profitability, Union Pacific's operating income of $2.458 billion and net income of $1.701 billion reflect a strong performance in the first quarter of 2026. However, the company's return on equity and return on assets are below the industry median, suggesting that it is not outperforming its peers in terms of capital efficiency. The company's diversified business mix, which includes bulk, industrial, and premium freight, helps to mitigate some of the risks associated with market volatility. Union Pacific's revenue is spread across multiple segments, with the bulk, industrial, and premium freight categories being the primary contributors. The company's geographic exposure is extensive, covering the western two-thirds of the United States and connecting to the Atlantic Coast, the Pacific Coast, the Southeast, the Southwest, Canada, and Mexico. This broad geographic footprint helps to diversify the company's revenue and reduce the impact of regional economic downturns. The company's growth trajectory is influenced by several factors, including the demand for coal, industrial chemicals, and plastics, which have driven volume increases. However, weaker demand for automotive and energy and specialized markets shipments has partially offset this growth. Analysts have provided a mean price target of $286.15 and a median price target of $290.00, with a mean recommendation of 2.08, indicating a generally positive outlook. Union Pacific faces several risk factors, including liquidity concerns due to the current ratio of 0.92 and the fact that net cash is negative after subtracting total debt. The company also has a medium risk of dilution, as indicated by the risk assessment. The company has mentioned the potential impact of new accounting guidance, such as ASU 2025-10, on its disclosures and financial statements. These factors could affect the company's financial performance and investor confidence. Recent events, including the filing of updated property_and_equipment data and the evaluation of new accounting guidance, highlight the company's ongoing efforts to adapt to regulatory changes. The company has also modified its resources in response to changing customer demand and international intermodal volume declines, demonstrating its agility in the market. These actions position Union Pacific to respond quickly to demand fluctuations and maintain a competitive edge.
Key takeaways
  • Union Pacific's capital structure is heavily leveraged, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.53, indicating a significant reliance on debt financing.
  • The company's return on equity and return on assets are below the industry median, suggesting that it is not outperforming its peers in terms of capital efficiency.
  • Union Pacific's revenue is diversified across bulk, industrial, and premium freight, with a broad geographic footprint that helps to mitigate regional economic risks.
  • Analysts have provided a generally positive outlook, with a mean price target of $286.15 and a median price target of $290.00.
  • The company faces liquidity concerns and a medium risk of dilution, which could affect its financial performance and investor confidence.
  • Union Pacific has demonstrated agility in adapting to changing market conditions, including modifying resources in response to international intermodal volume declines.
  • --
  • # RATIONALES
Financial snapshot
PeriodQ1 2026
CurrencyUSD
Revenue$6.22B
Gross profit
Operating income$2.46B
Net income$1.70B
R&D
SG&A
D&A
SBC$29.0M
Operating cash flow$2.44B
CapEx$937.0M
Free cash flow$1.50B
Total assets$69.64B
Total liabilities$50.23B
Total equity$19.42B
Cash & equivalents$735.0M
Long-term debt$29.78B
Annual history (last 5)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
FY2025$24.51B$9.85B$7.14B$5.50B
FY2024$24.25B$9.71B$6.75B$5.89B
FY2025$24.25B$9.71B$6.75B$5.89B
FY2023$24.12B$9.08B$6.38B$4.77B
FY2024$24.12B$9.08B$6.38B$4.77B
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
FY2025
FY2024
FY2025
FY2023
FY2024
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
FY2025$69.70B$18.47B$1.27B
FY2024$67.72B$16.89B$1.02B
FY2025$67.72B$16.89B$1.02B
FY2023$67.13B$14.79B$1.05B
FY2024$67.13B$14.79B$1.05B
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
FY2025$9.29B$3.79B$5.50B$142.0M
FY2024$9.35B$3.45B$5.89B$118.0M
FY2025$9.35B$3.45B$5.89B$118.0M
FY2023$8.38B$3.61B$4.77B$107.0M
FY2024$8.38B$3.61B$4.77B$107.0M
Quarterly history (last 4)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
Q1 2026$6.22B$2.46B$1.70B$1.50B
Q1 2026
Q3 2025$18.43B$7.45B$5.29B$4.27B
Q2 2025$12.18B$4.90B$3.50B$2.70B
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
Q1 2026
Q1 2026
Q3 2025
Q2 2025
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
Q1 2026$69.64B$19.42B$735.0M
Q1 2026$69.70B$18.47B$1.27B
Q3 2025$68.65B$17.30B$808.0M
Q2 2025$68.58B$16.26B$1.06B
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
Q1 2026$2.44B$937.0M$1.50B$29.0M
Q1 2026
Q3 2025$7.07B$2.79B$4.27B$110.0M
Q2 2025$4.54B$1.84B$2.70B$71.0M
Valuation
Market price
Market cap
Enterprise value
P/E
Reported non-GAAP P/E
EV/Revenue
EV/Op income
EV/OCF
P/B
P/Tangible book
Tangible book$19.42B
Net cash-$29.05B
Current ratio0.9
Debt/Equity1.5
ROA2.4%
ROE8.8%
Cash conversion1.4%
CapEx/Revenue15.1%
SBC/Revenue0.5%
Asset intensity0.8
Dilution ratio-0.0%
Risk assessment
Dilution riskMedium
Liquidity riskHigh
  • Current liabilities exceed current assets.
  • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
  • Source documents mention dilution or offering risk.
Industry benchmarks
Activity: Transportation · cohort 3 companies
MetricUNPActivity
Op margin39.5%2.0% medp25 1.1% · p75 3.8%top quartile
Net margin27.4%0.5% medp25 -0.3% · p75 2.1%top quartile
Gross margin24.2% medp25 13.8% · p75 46.1%
CapEx / revenue15.1%2.5% medp25 1.7% · p75 3.3%top quartile
Debt / equity153.0%101.8% medp25 72.1% · p75 123.1%top quartile
Observations
IR observations
Mean price target286.15 USD
Median price target290.00 USD
High price target325.00 USD
Low price target216.44 USD
Mean recommendation2.08 (1=strong buy, 5=strong sell)
Strong-buy count7.00
Buy count10.00
Hold count9.00
Sell count0.00
Strong-sell count0.00
Mean EPS estimate12.58 USD
Last actual EPS11.66 USD
Source: analysis-pipeline (hybrid)Generated: 2026-05-01 03:02 UTCJob: 45d3367d