KDDI Corp
KDDI Corp operates as an integrated telecommunications services provider, generating revenue through wireless and fixed-line communication services in the Japanese market.
Business. KDDI Corp (9433.T) is a wireless telecommunications services provider operating within the broader telecommunications services industry. The company generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model, focusing on key performance indicators such as wireless and broadband net adds, average revenue per user, and churn rates. As segment and geographic breakdowns are not specified, the firm is described at the industry level as a participant in the mature, defensive wireless telecommunications sector. KDDI Corp is listed under the ticker 9433.T.
Analyst recommendations
14 analysts · consensus BuyAt a glance
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- Macro
- Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-08 · AU
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- Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-16 · EU
- Rate decisionBank of Japan rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-16 · JP
- Rate decisionFederal Reserve rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-29 · US
- Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
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- ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
Pre-earnings brief
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Composite-score breakdown
Synthesis
KDDI Corp (9433.T) is a wireless telecommunications services provider operating within the broader telecommunications services industry. The company generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model, focusing on key performance indicators such as wireless and broadband net adds, average revenue per user, and churn rates. As segment and geographic breakdowns are not specified, the firm is described at the industry level as a participant in the mature, defensive wireless telecommunications sector. KDDI Corp is listed under the ticker 9433.T.
KDDI Corp maintains a capital structure characterized by significant leverage, with long-term debt of JPY 5.81 trillion against total equity of JPY 5.08 trillion, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.14. The company holds JPY 1.08 trillion in cash and equivalents, which is insufficient to cover total liabilities of JPY 14.0 trillion, leading to a negative net cash position. Liquidity is assessed as medium risk, supported by a current ratio of 0.56, indicating that current assets do not fully cover current liabilities. Operating cash flow stands at JPY 1.79 trillion, providing substantial coverage for capital expenditures of JPY 679 billion, resulting in free cash flow of JPY 488 billion.
Profitability metrics demonstrate solid returns on capital, with a return on equity of 13.93% and a return on assets of 3.71%. The company generates JPY 707 billion in net income from JPY 6.07 trillion in revenue, yielding a net margin of approximately 11.6%. Valuation multiples reflect a mature business profile, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.32 and an EV/EBITDA of 13.24. The price-to-book ratio of 1.99 suggests the market values the company's tangible assets at a moderate premium.
Revenue concentration is implied by the integrated nature of the business, though specific segment breakdowns are not provided in the current data snapshot. The company operates primarily within the Japanese telecommunications market, serving both consumer and enterprise segments through its wireless and fixed-line infrastructure. Geographic exposure is concentrated in Japan, aligning with the domestic focus of major integrated telecom operators in the region.
Growth trajectory analysis is limited by the absence of historical period data in the current input. The latest normalized period shows stable revenue generation of JPY 6.07 trillion, but year-over-year trends cannot be quantified without prior period comparisons. Capital expenditure of JPY 679 billion indicates ongoing investment in network infrastructure, typical for telecom operators maintaining 5G and fiber capabilities.
Risk assessment highlights medium liquidity risk due to the low current ratio and high debt levels, though dilution risk is assessed as low. The key flag of negative net cash after subtracting total debt underscores the importance of consistent operating cash flow generation to service debt obligations. The absence of significant share count changes between basic and diluted shares (3.70 billion each) supports the low dilution risk assessment.
Recent market observations indicate a mean analyst price target of JPY 2,768.55, slightly above the current market price of JPY 2,737.50. The mean recommendation of 2.50 suggests a neutral-to-positive sentiment among analysts, with six buy ratings and six hold ratings. The high price target of JPY 3,170.00 and low of JPY 1,865.00 reflect a wide dispersion in analyst expectations.
- KDDI generates JPY 488 billion in free cash flow, providing strong coverage for its JPY 5.81 trillion long-term debt obligations.
- The company trades at a P/E of 14.32 and EV/EBITDA of 13.24, reflecting mature telecom sector valuation norms.
- Liquidity risk is medium due to a current ratio of 0.56, requiring reliance on operating cash flow for short-term obligations.
- Dilution risk is low, with no difference between basic and diluted share counts of 3.70 billion shares.
- Analyst sentiment is neutral-to-positive, with a mean price target of JPY 2,768.55 implying modest upside from current levels.
Bull / Bear case
Generated · model-assistedFree cash flow surged 63% year-over-year to JPY 483 billion, demonstrating exceptional cash generation capabilities.
Operating income grew 15.1% to JPY 1.12 trillion, significantly outpacing the 2.8% revenue growth rate.
Cash conversion of 18.49% ranks best-in-class among 68 wireless telecommunications services peers.
Net income increased 7.5% to JPY 685.7 billion, reflecting improved profitability despite modest revenue growth.
Long-term debt nearly doubled to JPY 4.69 trillion, raising significant credit risk concerns for investors.
Return on equity of 1.76% falls well below the 4.78% median for the wireless telecommunications cohort.
Revenue growth remains sluggish at a 2.7% four-year CAGR, indicating limited top-line expansion potential.
The company faces high credit risk and medium liquidity risk according to current risk flag assessments.
Capex intensity is in the bottom quartile, suggesting heavy capital requirements relative to revenue generation.
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Predictor forecast
| Metric | Our forecast | Guidance | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | —no estimate | —no estimate | 198,93 |
| Revenue | —no estimate | —no estimate | 6,39T JPY |
| Operating income | —no estimate | —no estimate | —no estimate |
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consensus EPS · 26-week trendSell-side observations
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Risk factors
- Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
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Physical assets
1 tracked| Asset | Type | Commodity | Country | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kagoshima Nanatsujima Mega Solar Power Plant | Power | Power | Japan | Registered owner |
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- KDDI Corp Market data — financials · 2026-07-06
- KDDI Corp Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-07-06
- KDDI Corp — company reference export (2026-07-05) · 2026-07-06