7201.T
Toyota Motor Corporation designs, manufactures, and sells motor vehicles and related parts and accessories worldwide.
Business. Toyota Motor Corporation designs, manufactures, and sells motor vehicles and related parts and accessories worldwide.
Analyst recommendations
17 analysts · consensus HoldAt a glance
What drives this business
The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.
News & coverage
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Analysis
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Upcoming catalysts
Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.
- Macro
- Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
- Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
- Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
- Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
- Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
- Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
- Macro & political
- ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
- ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
- ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
Pre-earnings brief
Signals & dispatch
Composite-score breakdown
Synthesis
Toyota Motor Corporation designs, manufactures, and sells motor vehicles and related parts and accessories worldwide.
Toyota's capital structure is highly leveraged, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.63, indicating significant reliance on long-term debt to fund operations. Despite holding JPY 1.96 trillion in cash and equivalents, the company's free cash flow is negative at JPY -1.97 trillion, driven by capital expenditures of JPY -1.91 trillion. This suggests aggressive reinvestment in the business, but also highlights a liquidity risk as net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Profitability metrics are sharply negative, with a return on equity of -13.53% and return on assets of -3.53%. These figures fall well below the industry median for return on equity and return on assets, which are typically in the 5-10% range for healthy automakers. The company reported a net loss of JPY 670.9 billion and an operating loss of JPY 563.0 billion, signaling a significant deterioration in operating performance.
Geographically, Toyota's revenue is concentrated in its core markets, with no disclosed segment breakdown in the latest financials. However, the company's exposure to North America and Asia is historically high, and any disruption in these regions could significantly impact revenue. The lack of segment-specific data limits visibility into geographic diversification.
Growth trajectory is mixed. While Toyota has historically maintained strong revenue growth, the current fiscal year shows a contraction in operating income and net income. Analysts have issued a mean price target of JPY 402.81, with a median of JPY 390.00, but the recommendation mean of 3.24 suggests a cautious outlook, with no strong buy ratings and 11 holds.
Risk factors include liquidity constraints and the potential for further operating losses. The company's liquidity risk is rated as medium, and while dilution risk is currently low, the negative free cash flow and high capital expenditures could pressure the balance sheet in the near term. No dilution sources are explicitly identified in the latest filings, but the capital structure suggests a need for continued debt financing.
Recent events include a significant operating loss and net loss, which may be attributed to global supply chain disruptions and rising production costs. No recent filings or transcripts have been disclosed in the provided data, but the financial snapshot indicates a challenging operating environment.
- Toyota is experiencing a significant operating and net loss, with ROE and ROA at -13.53% and -3.53%, respectively.
- The company's capital structure is highly leveraged, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.63.
- Free cash flow is negative at JPY -1.97 trillion, driven by capital expenditures of JPY -1.91 trillion.
- Analysts have a cautious outlook, with a mean recommendation of 3.24 and no strong buy ratings.
- Liquidity risk is rated as medium, and the company's net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Bull / Bear case
analysis pipelineIn focus — financials by report
Valuation
Revenue by segment
Business relationships
Supply chain
Peer comparison
Market position
Stress test
Predictor forecast
| Metric | Our forecast | Guidance | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | —no estimate | —no estimate | -145,26 |
| Revenue | —no estimate | —no estimate | 12,03T JPY |
| Operating income | —no estimate | —no estimate | —no estimate |
Options
Short squeeze
Earnings-call key lines
Consensus distribution
sell-side coverageEstimate revisions
consensus EPS · 26-week trendSell-side observations
Themes
ESG
Risk factors
- Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Benchmarks vs cohort
Corporate actions / M&A
FX exposure
Comparable transactions
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- Dilution Ratio(shares_outstanding_diluted - shares_outstanding_basic) / shares_outstanding_basic
- Net Cashcash_and_equivalents + short_term_investments - short_term_debt - long_term_debt
- Capex To Revenuecapital_expenditure / revenue
- Return On Equitynet_income / total_equity
- Debt To Equity(short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
- Cash Conversion Ratiooperating_cash_flow / net_income
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Ownership & reference
Leadership
- Asako HoshinoExecutive Vice President