Aap.Ax
Australian Agricultural Company Limited (AAP.AX) operates in the food production sector, primarily generating revenue through the cultivation and sale of agricultural products, including wool, meat, and grains.
Business. Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP.O) is a retailer in the Broadline & Specialty Retail industry, operating within the Cyclical Consumer Goods & Services sector. The company generates revenue through product sales and is headquartered in the United States. It is primarily listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange. Specific details regarding operating segments and geographic breakdowns are not provided.
Analyst recommendations
28 analysts · consensus HoldAt a glance
What drives this business
The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.
News & coverage
0Sector rotation
Developing storylines
Analysis
AI analysisOpportunity
Upcoming catalysts
Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.
- Company
- EarningsQ3 2026 earnings (expected)2026-10-28 · estimated
- Macro
- Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
- Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
- Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
- Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
- Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
- Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
- Macro & political
- ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
- ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
- ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
- Congressional trades
- CongressMichael C. Burgess — Advance Auto Parts Inc.2023-02-24 · TX · Purchase · $15,001 - $50,000
- CongressMichael C. Burgess — Advance Auto Parts Inc.2023-02-24 · TX · Sale · $1,001 - $15,000
Pre-earnings brief
Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP.O) has seen its dilution risk assessment updated to "low," a new classification that provides clarity on the stability of existing shareholder equity. This determination, classified as low severity per specification thresholds, indicates that the company currently faces minimal pressure from share issuance that could erode per-share value. For investors, this low dilution risk is a foundational element of capital structure health, suggesting that management is not aggressively leveraging equity markets to fund operations or acquisitions at this time. Concurrently, the company’s liquidity risk has been newly assessed as "medium." This classification highlights a moderate level of concern regarding the firm's ability to meet short-term obligations without significant strain. While not critical, a medium liquidity risk rating warrants attention from stakeholders monitoring cash flow dynamics and working capital management, as it suggests that while the company is solvent, it may face tighter constraints compared to peers with lower liquidity risk profiles. On the classification front, both the activity and economic sector taxonomies for Advance Auto Parts have been updated to "Unclassified." These changes, marked with medium severity, reflect a gap in the current categorization framework rather than a shift in business operations. This lack of specific classification may impact automated screening tools or sector-based comparative analyses, potentially requiring investors to rely on manual verification of the company's operational focus within the auto parts retail space. The broader context for these updates is supported by the company's profile, which includes 32 top holders, indicating a distributed ownership base. With no new analyst counts or index membership changes reported, the focus remains on these internal risk and classification adjustments. The revised AI analysis narrative, sourced from the ha_light_thesis, further contextualizes these shifts, though specific details of the narrative revision are not elaborated in the current data set. Investors should monitor how these risk assessments evolve alongside future financial disclosures.
Signals & dispatch
Composite-score breakdown
Synthesis
Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP.O) is a retailer in the Broadline & Specialty Retail industry, operating within the Cyclical Consumer Goods & Services sector. The company generates revenue through product sales and is headquartered in the United States. It is primarily listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange. Specific details regarding operating segments and geographic breakdowns are not provided.
AAP.AX maintains a relatively conservative capital structure, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.4, indicating a balanced approach to financing. The company's liquidity position is characterized as medium, with a current ratio of 1.84, suggesting it can cover short-term obligations but with limited excess cash. Free cash flow of AUD 2.54 million supports operational flexibility, though cash and equivalents are modest at AUD 450,570.
Profitability metrics show a return on equity of 12.77% and a return on assets of 8.2%, both above the industry median for the Food & Beverages sector. These figures suggest strong asset utilization and efficient capital deployment. The company's operating margin of 30.7% (calculated from operating income of AUD 1.72 million on revenue of AUD 5.60 million) is robust, indicating effective cost control.
AAP.AX's revenue is derived from a mix of wool, meat, and grain production, with no disclosed segment breakdown. The company's geographic exposure is primarily domestic, with operations concentrated in Australia. No material international revenue streams are reported, which may limit diversification benefits.
Looking ahead, the company is projected to maintain stable revenue growth, with a modest increase expected in the next fiscal year. Historical revenue growth has been steady, and the company's free cash flow generation supports reinvestment and operational resilience. However, the absence of significant capital expenditure (AUD -201,450) suggests a conservative approach to expansion.
Risk factors include a medium liquidity risk, as the company's cash and equivalents are insufficient to cover total debt. The risk of dilution is low, with no recent or planned share issuances reported. However, the company's net cash position is negative after subtracting total debt, which could constrain flexibility in adverse conditions.
Recent events include the publication of the latest financial results, which show a net income of AUD 1.96 million. No significant regulatory or operational events were disclosed in the most recent filings. The company's earnings per share (EPS) for the latest period was reported as 0.00 AUD, indicating a flat performance.
Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP.O) has seen its dilution risk assessment updated to "low," a new classification that provides clarity on the stability of existing shareholder equity. This determination, classified as low severity per specification thresholds, indicates that the company currently faces minimal pressure from share issuance that could erode per-share value. For investors, this low dilution risk is a foundational element of capital structure health, suggesting that management is not aggressively leveraging equity markets to fund operations or acquisitions at this time. Concurrently, the company’s liquidity risk has been newly assessed as "medium." This classification highlights a moderate level of concern regarding the firm's ability to meet short-term obligations without significant strain. While not critical, a medium liquidity risk rating warrants attention from stakeholders monitoring cash flow dynamics and working capital management, as it suggests that while the company is solvent, it may face tighter constraints compared to peers with lower liquidity risk profiles. On the classification front, both the activity and economic sector taxonomies for Advance Auto Parts have been updated to "Unclassified." These changes, marked with medium severity, reflect a gap in the current categorization framework rather than a shift in business operations. This lack of specific classification may impact automated screening tools or sector-based comparative analyses, potentially requiring investors to rely on manual verification of the company's operational focus within the auto parts retail space. The broader context for these updates is supported by the company's profile, which includes 32 top holders, indicating a distributed ownership base. With no new analyst counts or index membership changes reported, the focus remains on these internal risk and classification adjustments. The revised AI analysis narrative, sourced from the ha_light_thesis, further contextualizes these shifts, though specific details of the narrative revision are not elaborated in the current data set. Investors should monitor how these risk assessments evolve alongside future financial disclosures.
- AAP.AX maintains a balanced capital structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.4.
- The company's return on equity of 12.77% and return on assets of 8.2% are above industry medians.
- Free cash flow of AUD 2.54 million supports operational flexibility and reinvestment.
- Revenue is primarily derived from domestic agricultural production, with no material international exposure.
- Liquidity risk is moderate, with a current ratio of 1.84 and limited cash reserves.
- The company's EPS for the latest period was 0.00 AUD, indicating a flat performance.
Bull / Bear case
Generated · model-assistedAnalysts project 7.2% upside to a mean price target of $59.78, suggesting modest valuation recovery potential.
Free cash flow improved by 105.2% year-over-year to $28 million, indicating a stabilization in cash generation.
Net income surged 113.1% year-over-year to $44 million, marking a significant turnaround from prior losses.
Gross profit increased to $3.77 billion in FY2026, demonstrating resilience in core product margins despite revenue declines.
Operating income improved by 94.0% year-over-year, narrowing the operating loss significantly compared to the prior fiscal year.
Revenue declined at a 6.0% CAGR over four years, reflecting persistent top-line erosion in the retail sector.
Long-term debt surged to $3.41 billion in FY2026, significantly increasing leverage and financial risk exposure.
Operating margin remains negative at -0.5%, placing the company in the bottom quartile among 63 retail peers.
Debt-to-equity ratio of 1.55 is in the bottom quartile, indicating higher leverage than most retail competitors.
In focus — financials by report
Valuation
Revenue by segment
Business relationships
Supply chain
Peer comparison
Market position
Stress test
Predictor forecast
Options
Short squeeze
Earnings-call key lines
Estimate revisions
consensus EPS · 26-week trendSell-side observations
Themes
ESG
Risk factors
- Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Benchmarks vs cohort
Corporate actions / M&A
FX exposure
Comparable transactions
Derivatives & instruments
Actions
Ask Handelsavisen
- Market data
- Market data cache
- Issuer disclosures
- Public news
- Earnings transcripts
- Consensus estimates
- ESG data
- Dilution Ratio(shares_outstanding_diluted - shares_outstanding_basic) / shares_outstanding_basic
- Net Cashcash_and_equivalents + short_term_investments - short_term_debt - long_term_debt
- Capex To Revenuecapital_expenditure / revenue
- Return On Equitynet_income / total_equity
- Debt To Equity(short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
- Cash Conversion Ratiooperating_cash_flow / net_income
- AAP.AX Market data — financials · 2026-05-27
- Australian Agricultural Projects Ltd Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-05-27
Ownership & reference
Top holders
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,05 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,05 %$91M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,03 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,02 %$112M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,02 %$75M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2022-09-300,01 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$62M
- Investment Managers · as of 2024-06-300,01 %$471M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$15M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$41M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$54M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$43M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$77M
- Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$24M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$25M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$128M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$32M
- Investment Managers · as of 2025-12-310,00 %$268M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$68M
- Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$11M
- Funds · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$18M
- Investment Managers · as of 2024-12-310,00 %$7M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$7M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$2M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$27M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$3M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$2M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
Insider activity
- Director · Common StockOther 19 @ $55,80$1K · 2026-07-24
- Director · Common StockOther 17 @ $55,80$921 · 2026-07-24
- Director · Common StockOther 45 @ $55,80$2K · 2026-07-24
- Director · Common StockOther 43 @ $55,80$2K · 2026-07-24
- Director · Common StockOther 65 @ $55,80$4K · 2026-07-24
- Director · Common StockOther 27 @ $53,90$1K · 2026-07-24
- Director · Common StockOther 43 @ $55,80$2K · 2026-07-24
- Director · Common StockOther 388 @ $55,80$22K · 2026-07-24
- Director · Common StockOther 119 @ $55,80$7K · 2026-07-24
- Director · Common StockOther 58 @ $55,80$3K · 2026-07-24
- EVP, CMO · Common StockOther 3 003 @ $62,18$187K · 2026-06-27
- EVP, Chief HR Officer · Common StockOther 759 @ $60,80$46K · 2026-06-12
- Director · Common StockOther 3 209 @ $57,65$185K · 2026-06-02
- Director · Common StockOther 4 163 @ $57,65$240K · 2026-06-02
- Director · Common StockOther 3 209 @ $57,65$185K · 2026-06-02
- Director · Common StockOther 87 @ $57,65$5K · 2026-06-02
- Director · Common StockOther 3 209 @ $57,65$185K · 2026-06-02
- Director · Common StockOther 2 602 @ $57,65$150K · 2026-06-02
- Director · Common StockOther 3 686 @ $57,65$212K · 2026-06-02
- Director · Common StockOther 3 209 @ $57,65$185K · 2026-06-02
- Director · Common StockOther 3 209 @ $57,65$185K · 2026-06-02
- Director · Common StockOther 3 209 @ $57,65$185K · 2026-06-02
- Director · Common StockOther 3 209 @ $57,65$185K · 2026-06-02
- Director · Common StockOther 28 @ $58,18$2K · 2026-04-24
- Director · Common StockOther 346 @ $58,18$20K · 2026-04-24
Short positioning
Geographic breakdown
Intel & risk
Evidence & claims
From filings & derived data- Total assets (YoY) (2026-01-03 vs 2024-12-28): 9.5%Derived (calculated)
- Total liabilities (YoY) (2026-01-03 vs 2024-12-28): 11.6%Derived (calculated)
- Return on assets (FY 2026-01-03): 0.4%Derived (calculated)
- Net margin (FY 2026-01-03): 0.5%Derived (calculated)
- Return on equity (FY 2026-01-03): 2.0%Derived (calculated)
- Gross margin (FY 2026-01-03): 43.4%Derived (calculated)
- Current ratio (FY 2026-01-03): 1.75xDerived (calculated)
- Debt-to-equity (FY 2026-01-03): 4.38xDerived (calculated)
- Capex (YoY) (2026-01-03 vs 2024-12-28): 39.2%Derived (calculated)
- Cash & equivalents (YoY) (2026-01-03 vs 2024-12-28): 67.1%Derived (calculated)
- Cost of revenue (YoY) (2026-01-03 vs 2024-12-28): -14.4%Derived (calculated)
- EPS (basic) (YoY) (2026-01-03 vs 2024-12-28): 113.0%Derived (calculated)
- EPS (diluted) (YoY) (2026-01-03 vs 2024-12-28): 113.0%Derived (calculated)
- Gross profit (YoY) (2026-01-03 vs 2024-12-28): 9.5%Derived (calculated)
- Long-term debt (YoY) (2026-01-03 vs 2024-12-28): 90.7%Derived (calculated)
- Net income (YoY) (2026-01-03 vs 2024-12-28): 113.1%Derived (calculated)
- Operating cash flow (YoY) (2026-01-03 vs 2024-12-28): -154.1%Derived (calculated)
- Revenue (YoY) (2026-01-03 vs 2024-12-28): -5.4%Derived (calculated)
- Operating income (YoY) (2026-01-03 vs 2024-12-28): 94.0%Derived (calculated)
- Shareholders' equity (YoY) (2026-01-03 vs 2024-12-28): 1.3%Derived (calculated)
- Cash & equivalents (annual): USD 3.12BSEC XBRL filing
- Operating cash flow (annual): USD -46MSEC XBRL filing
- Shareholders' equity (annual): USD 2.2BSEC XBRL filing
- Total liabilities (annual): USD 9.63BSEC XBRL filing