Cheesecake Factory Inc
The Cheesecake Factory Inc operates a portfolio of casual dining restaurants, generating revenue through food and beverage sales across its domestic and international locations.
Business. Cheesecake Factory Inc (CAKE.O) is a consumer discretionary company operating in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. The firm generates revenue through product sales and is headquartered in the United States. It is primarily listed on the NASDAQ exchange under the ticker symbol CAKE.O. Specific details regarding operating segments and geographic revenue mix are not available.
Analyst recommendations
23 analysts · consensus HoldAt a glance
What drives this business
The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.
News & coverage
0Sector rotation
Developing storylines
Analysis
AI analysisOpportunity
Upcoming catalysts
Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.
- Company
- EarningsQ3 2026 earnings (expected)2026-10-28 · estimated
- Macro
- Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
- Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
- Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
- Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
- Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
- Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
- Macro & political
- ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
- ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
- ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
Pre-earnings brief
Cheesecake Factory Inc (CAKE.O) has recorded its first analysis, establishing a baseline for future delta computation with no prior material changes to report. The company’s current profile includes one officer, no analyst coverage, and no index memberships, while maintaining a shareholder base of 33 top holders. Recent data reveals significant volatility in institutional holdings, marked by major severity holder changes detected in early July 2026. These adjustments reflect substantial shifts in share counts for specific investors, indicating active portfolio rebalancing or data corrections within the company’s ownership structure. Specifically, investor ID 587 saw their position fluctuate between 760 shares and 9,798 shares, with the most recent adjustment detected on July 12, 2026, showing a holding of 9,798 shares valued at approximately $0.54 million. This represents a notable increase from the lower bound of their recent activity, suggesting a renewed or expanded interest in the ticker. Concurrently, investor ID 929 experienced even larger swings, with holdings oscillating between 200,000 shares and 473,224 shares. The latest detection on July 10, 2026, shows this investor holding 473,224 shares, valued at roughly $25.91 million, which constitutes a weight of approximately 0.48% in their portfolio. These movements highlight the dynamic nature of CAKE.O’s shareholder base despite the lack of broader analyst or index signals.
Signals & dispatch
Composite-score breakdown
Synthesis
Cheesecake Factory Inc (CAKE.O) is a consumer discretionary company operating in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. The firm generates revenue through product sales and is headquartered in the United States. It is primarily listed on the NASDAQ exchange under the ticker symbol CAKE.O. Specific details regarding operating segments and geographic revenue mix are not available.
The company maintains a capital structure characterized by significant leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.29 and a price-to-book value of 9.64. Total liabilities stand at $2.83 billion against total equity of $436.4 million, resulting in a negative net cash position after accounting for $561.3 million in long-term debt and $215.7 million in cash and equivalents. Liquidity is assessed as medium risk, supported by an operating cash flow of $301.3 million which exceeds capital expenditures of $146.2 million, providing free cash flow to service debt obligations. The current ratio is not explicitly provided, but the high debt load relative to equity suggests constrained financial flexibility compared to less leveraged peers.
Profitability metrics indicate strong returns on equity at 34.01%, driven by the high leverage effect, while return on assets is 4.55%. The company generated $148.4 million in net income on $3.75 billion in revenue, implying a net margin of approximately 3.96%. Operating income was $187.3 million, suggesting an operating margin of roughly 5.0%. These returns are elevated relative to the asset base, reflecting the capital-intensive nature of the restaurant industry where real estate and equipment investments are significant. The valuation multiples, including a P/E of 28.33 and EV/EBITDA of 24.30, suggest the market prices in stable cash flows despite the high leverage.
Revenue concentration is not detailed by segment or geography in the available data, but the company operates a large number of units, implying a diversified customer base across its restaurant locations. The lack of specific segment data prevents a detailed analysis of revenue mix, but the overall revenue scale of $3.75 billion indicates a substantial market presence. The company's business model relies on high volume and consistent foot traffic, which is typical for the casual dining segment.
Growth trajectory cannot be fully assessed due to the absence of historical period data in the input. However, the current revenue base of $3.75 billion provides a large scale for incremental growth. The company's ability to expand its unit count or increase same-store sales will be critical for future revenue growth. The lack of historical data limits the ability to trend analyze revenue or net income performance over the past five years.
Risk factors include medium liquidity risk and low dilution risk. The key flag notes that net cash is negative after subtracting total debt, highlighting the reliance on debt financing. The high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.29 increases financial risk, particularly in a rising interest rate environment. The company's ability to maintain its credit profile and access capital markets will be essential for managing its debt obligations.
Recent events include analyst estimates with a mean price target of $66.29, which is below the current market price of $84.72, suggesting potential downside risk according to analyst consensus. The mean recommendation is 2.57, indicating a mixed view among analysts with 6 strong buys, 2 buys, and 11 holds. No specific news events or filing observations are provided in the input data, limiting the analysis of recent corporate actions or market developments.
Cheesecake Factory Inc (CAKE.O) has recorded its first analysis, establishing a baseline for future delta computation with no prior material changes to report. The company’s current profile includes one officer, no analyst coverage, and no index memberships, while maintaining a shareholder base of 33 top holders. Recent data reveals significant volatility in institutional holdings, marked by major severity holder changes detected in early July 2026. These adjustments reflect substantial shifts in share counts for specific investors, indicating active portfolio rebalancing or data corrections within the company’s ownership structure. Specifically, investor ID 587 saw their position fluctuate between 760 shares and 9,798 shares, with the most recent adjustment detected on July 12, 2026, showing a holding of 9,798 shares valued at approximately $0.54 million. This represents a notable increase from the lower bound of their recent activity, suggesting a renewed or expanded interest in the ticker. Concurrently, investor ID 929 experienced even larger swings, with holdings oscillating between 200,000 shares and 473,224 shares. The latest detection on July 10, 2026, shows this investor holding 473,224 shares, valued at roughly $25.91 million, which constitutes a weight of approximately 0.48% in their portfolio. These movements highlight the dynamic nature of CAKE.O’s shareholder base despite the lack of broader analyst or index signals.
- High leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.29 and negative net cash position.
- Strong return on equity of 34.01% driven by financial leverage.
- Analyst consensus suggests downside risk with a mean price target of $66.29 vs current price of $84.72.
- Operating cash flow of $301.3 million covers capital expenditures of $146.2 million.
- Low dilution risk with basic and diluted shares outstanding being equal.
- Medium liquidity risk due to high debt levels relative to equity.
Bull / Bear case
Generated · model-assistedIn focus — financials by report
Valuation
Revenue by segment
Business relationships
Supply chain
Peer comparison
Market position
Stress test
Predictor forecast
| Metric | Our forecast | Guidance | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | —no estimate | —no estimate | 4,08 |
| Revenue | —no estimate | —no estimate | 3,9B USD |
| Operating income | —no estimate | —no estimate | 230,9M USD |
Options
Short squeeze
Earnings-call key lines
Consensus distribution
sell-side coverageEstimate revisions
consensus EPS · 26-week trendSell-side observations
Themes
ESG
Risk factors
- Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Benchmarks vs cohort
Corporate actions / M&A
FX exposure
Comparable transactions
Derivatives & instruments
Derivative transactions
- EXEC VP, CFO · Employee Stock Option (Right to Buy) → Common StockDisposed 68 900 @ $40,16exercise · 2026-07-30
- Director, CHAIRMAN AND C.E.O. · Employee Stock Option (right to buy) → Common StockDisposed 104 000 @ $46,03exercise · 2026-05-01
Actions
Ask Handelsavisen
- Reference data
- Market data cache
- Issuer disclosures
- Public news
- Earnings transcripts
- Consensus estimates
- ESG data
- Price To Tangible Bookmarket_price / (tangible_book_value / shares_outstanding_diluted)
- Price To Bookmarket_price / (adjusted_book_value / shares_outstanding_diluted)
- Return On Equitynet_income / total_equity
- Enterprise Valuemarket_cap - net_cash
- Ev To Revenueenterprise_value / revenue
- Net Cashcash_and_equivalents + short_term_investments - short_term_debt - long_term_debt
- THE CHEESECAKE FACTORY INCORPORATED Market data — financials · 2026-07-27
- reconciler_enqueue (reconciler) on CAKE.O · 2026-07-27
- Cheesecake Factory Inc Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-07-27
- Cheesecake Factory Inc HA canonical relationships · 2026-07-27
Ownership & reference
Top holders
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,05 %$97M
- Funds · as of 2026-03-310,02 %$110M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$68M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$27M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$17M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$34M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$26M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$63M
- Investment Managers · as of 2025-12-310,00 %$260M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$28M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$57M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$4M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$12M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$3M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$5M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$4M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$20M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$3M
- Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$4M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$2M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
- Investment Managers · as of 2024-12-310,00 %$2M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$4M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$8M
- Investment Managers · as of 2024-06-300,00 %$3M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
Leadership
- David M. OvertonChairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer
Insider activity
- Director · Common StockSold 59 @ $104,20$6K · 2026-08-03
- EVP, GENERAL COUNSEL · Common StockSold 7 978 @ $102,66$819K · 2026-07-31
- Director · Common StockSold 100 @ $103,04$10K · 2026-07-31
- Director · Common StockSold 2 095 @ $101,50$213K · 2026-07-30
- EXEC VP, CFO · Common StockOther 68 900 @ $40,16$2,8M · 2026-07-30
- EXEC VP, CFO · Common StockSold 68 900 @ $99,30$6,8M · 2026-07-30
- PRINCIPAL ACCOUNTING OFFICER · Common StockSold 3 500 @ $100,00$350K · 2026-07-30
- Director · Common StockSold 2 490 @ $64,90$162K · 2026-06-02
- Director · Common StockOther 1 250 · 2026-05-28
- Director · Common StockOther 2 490 · 2026-05-28
- Director · Common StockOther 2 490 · 2026-05-28
- Director, CHAIRMAN AND C.E.O. · Common StockOther 104 000 @ $46,03$4,8M · 2026-05-01
- Director, CHAIRMAN AND C.E.O. · Common StockSold 104 000 @ $61,02$6,3M · 2026-05-01
- EXEC VP, CFO · Common StockOther 1 059 @ $55,30$59K · 2026-04-01
- Director, CHAIRMAN AND C.E.O. · Common StockOther 4 655 @ $55,30$257K · 2026-04-01
- EVP, GENERAL COUNSEL · Common StockOther 525 @ $55,30$29K · 2026-04-01
- PRESIDENT · Common StockOther 1 167 @ $55,30$65K · 2026-04-01
- EVP, GENERAL COUNSEL · Common StockSold 5 206 @ $62,95$328K · 2026-03-10
- EVP Operations - CFRI · Common StockSold 4 790 @ $66,00$316K · 2026-02-25
- PRINCIPAL ACCOUNTING OFFICER · Common StockSold 2 951 @ $65,64$194K · 2026-02-25
- EXEC VP, CFO · Common StockSold 7 000 @ $65,70$460K · 2026-02-25
- Director · Common StockSold 635 @ $63,74$40K · 2026-02-23
- EXEC VP, CFO · Common StockOther 3 033 @ $58,67$178K · 2026-02-16
- PRESIDENT · Common StockOther 5 288 @ $58,67$310K · 2026-02-16
- PRINCIPAL ACCOUNTING OFFICER · Common StockOther 880 @ $58,67$52K · 2026-02-16
Short positioning
Geographic breakdown
Intel & risk
Evidence & claims
From filings & derived data- EPS (diluted) (annual): USD-PER-SHARES 3Unknown
- Total assets (annual): USD 3.26BUnknown
- Current liabilities (annual): USD 777.01MUnknown
- Cash & equivalents (annual): USD 215.73MUnknown
- Capex (annual): USD 146.2MUnknown
- Revenue (annual): USD 3.75BUnknown
- Shareholders' equity (annual): USD 436.43MUnknown
- Net income (annual): USD 148MUnknown
- Current assets (annual): USD 454.83MUnknown
- Pre-tax income (annual): USD 162.9MUnknown
- EPS (basic) (annual): USD-PER-SHARES 3Unknown
- Operating cash flow (annual): USD 301.28MUnknown
- Shares outstanding (annual): 49.64MUnknown
- Operating income (annual): USD 187.28MUnknown
- Long-term debt (annual): USD 561.26MUnknown
- Total liabilities (annual): USD 2.83BUnknown
- Long-term debt (annual): USD 452.06MUnknown
- Shareholders' equity (annual): USD 443.45MUnknown
- Total liabilities (annual): USD 2.6BUnknown
- Current liabilities (annual): USD 711.42MUnknown
- Pre-tax income (annual): USD 171.05MUnknown
- Capex (annual): USD 160.36MUnknown
- Revenue (annual): USD 3.58BUnknown
- Operating cash flow (annual): USD 268.32MUnknown