Costco Wholesale Corp
Costco Wholesale Corporation operates membership-based warehouse clubs that generate revenue through the sale of merchandise and membership fees, leveraging high inventory turnover and a limited product selection to drive volume.
Business. COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP /NEW (COST) is a discount retailer operating within the Consumer Cyclicals sector. The company generates revenue through product sales and is headquartered in the United States. It is primarily listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange. Specific operating segments and geographic breakdowns are not provided in the available data.
Analyst recommendations
38 analysts · consensus BuyAt a glance
What drives this business
The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.
News & coverage
3Sector rotation
Developing storylines
Analysis
AI analysisOpportunity
Upcoming catalysts
Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.
- Company
- EarningsQ2 2026 earnings (expected)2026-09-24 · estimated
- Macro
- Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
- Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
- Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
- Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
- Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
- Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
- Macro & political
- ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
- ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
- ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
- Congressional trades
- CongressMarkwayne Mullin — Costco Wholesale Corporation - Common Stock2025-12-29 · Purchase · $15,001 - $50,000
- CongressValerie Hoyle — Costco Wholesale Corporation2025-09-23 · Democrat · OR · Sale · $1,001 - $15,000
- CongressLisa McClain — Costco Wholesale Corporation2025-07-10 · Republican · MI · Sale · $1,001 - $15,000
- CongressLisa McClain — Costco Wholesale Corporation2025-06-17 · Republican · MI · Purchase · $1,001 - $15,000
- CongressLisa McClain — Costco Wholesale Corporation2025-06-09 · Republican · MI · Sale · $1,001 - $15,000
- CongressGreg Landsman — Costco Wholesale Corporation2025-03-27 · Democrat · OH · Sale · $1,001 - $15,000
Pre-earnings brief
Costco Wholesale Corp (COST) has undergone significant shifts in its ownership structure, marked by major holder changes detected in late June and July 2026. Specifically, investor ID 587 drastically reduced their stake from 623,613 shares (valued at $621.4 million) to just 7,201 shares (valued at $7.2 million) as of March 31, 2026, a change detected on June 27, 2026. Conversely, other signals indicate a reversal or adjustment where the same investor ID 587 is shown increasing from 7,201 shares back to 623,613 shares in detections on June 24 and June 26, 2026. Additionally, investor ID 931 reduced their holding from 232,316 shares ($228.6 million) to 9,644 shares ($9.6 million), a change detected on July 21, 2026. These substantial modifications in share counts and portfolio weights highlight active rebalancing among top holders. These ownership fluctuations coincide with the formalization of Costco’s risk and sector profiles. The company’s risk assessment now explicitly flags "medium" levels for both dilution risk and liquidity risk, a new classification that was previously unrecorded. Simultaneously, Costco’s taxonomy has been updated to classify its activity under "Broadline & Specialty Retail" and its economic sector as "Cyclical Consumer Goods & Services." These new field assignments provide a clearer framework for understanding the company’s exposure to consumer spending cycles and potential capital structure adjustments. The significance of these changes is underscored by the company’s broader market context. Costco remains a constituent of two major indices and is tracked by 13 analysts, with 39 top holders monitoring its performance. The recent volatility in major holder positions, particularly the drastic swings associated with investor ID 587, suggests heightened sensitivity to the company’s valuation or strategic direction within the cyclical consumer goods space. The newly identified medium dilution and liquidity risks may influence how these institutional investors manage their exposure, especially given the company’s retail-focused operations. Despite the significant holder activity, recent news dispatches have been sparse, with only one dispatch recorded on June 23, 2026, and none in the subsequent weeks through mid-July. This lack of recent news volume contrasts with the major structural changes in ownership and risk classification, indicating that the shifts may be driven by internal portfolio adjustments or regulatory filings rather than immediate public events. Investors should monitor how these new risk classifications and holder dynamics evolve in the context of Costco’s ongoing performance in the broadline retail sector.
Signals & dispatch
Composite-score breakdown
Synthesis
COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP /NEW (COST) is a discount retailer operating within the Consumer Cyclicals sector. The company generates revenue through product sales and is headquartered in the United States. It is primarily listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange. Specific operating segments and geographic breakdowns are not provided in the available data.
Costco maintains a robust capital structure characterized by significant liquidity and minimal leverage. The company holds $18.9 billion in cash and equivalents against only $5.7 billion in long-term debt and zero short-term debt, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.17. While the current ratio of 1.07 is flagged as medium risk due to proximity to minimum comfort ranges, the substantial cash reserve provides ample buffer for operational flexibility and capital returns,.
Profitability metrics demonstrate strong efficiency relative to the asset base. Return on equity stands at 18.6%, and return on assets is 7.2%, indicating effective capital deployment. The operating margin, derived from $7.9 billion operating income on $207.4 billion revenue, reflects the discipline of the low-price, high-volume model. These returns are sustained by the membership fee structure, which acts as a high-margin revenue stream distinct from merchandise sales.
Costco Wholesale Corp (COST) has undergone significant shifts in its ownership structure, marked by major holder changes detected in late June and July 2026. Specifically, investor ID 587 drastically reduced their stake from 623,613 shares (valued at $621.4 million) to just 7,201 shares (valued at $7.2 million) as of March 31, 2026, a change detected on June 27, 2026. Conversely, other signals indicate a reversal or adjustment where the same investor ID 587 is shown increasing from 7,201 shares back to 623,613 shares in detections on June 24 and June 26, 2026. Additionally, investor ID 931 reduced their holding from 232,316 shares ($228.6 million) to 9,644 shares ($9.6 million), a change detected on July 21, 2026. These substantial modifications in share counts and portfolio weights highlight active rebalancing among top holders. These ownership fluctuations coincide with the formalization of Costco’s risk and sector profiles. The company’s risk assessment now explicitly flags "medium" levels for both dilution risk and liquidity risk, a new classification that was previously unrecorded. Simultaneously, Costco’s taxonomy has been updated to classify its activity under "Broadline & Specialty Retail" and its economic sector as "Cyclical Consumer Goods & Services." These new field assignments provide a clearer framework for understanding the company’s exposure to consumer spending cycles and potential capital structure adjustments. The significance of these changes is underscored by the company’s broader market context. Costco remains a constituent of two major indices and is tracked by 13 analysts, with 39 top holders monitoring its performance. The recent volatility in major holder positions, particularly the drastic swings associated with investor ID 587, suggests heightened sensitivity to the company’s valuation or strategic direction within the cyclical consumer goods space. The newly identified medium dilution and liquidity risks may influence how these institutional investors manage their exposure, especially given the company’s retail-focused operations. Despite the significant holder activity, recent news dispatches have been sparse, with only one dispatch recorded on June 23, 2026, and none in the subsequent weeks through mid-July. This lack of recent news volume contrasts with the major structural changes in ownership and risk classification, indicating that the shifts may be driven by internal portfolio adjustments or regulatory filings rather than immediate public events. Investors should monitor how these new risk classifications and holder dynamics evolve in the context of Costco’s ongoing performance in the broadline retail sector.
- Strong liquidity position with $18.9B cash and minimal debt supports financial stability.
- High ROE of 18.6% reflects efficient capital use and membership fee leverage.
- Regulatory scrutiny from US and Washington authorities requires ongoing monitoring.
- Analyst consensus indicates upside potential with mean target of $1,071.36.
- Growth driven by warehouse expansion and membership fee adjustments.
- Tight working capital management evidenced by current ratio of 1.07.
Bull / Bear case
Generated · model-assistedAnalysts project 15.1% upside to a mean price target of $1,071, reflecting strong market confidence in future performance.
Net income CAGR of 8.2% from FY2023 to FY2025 signals consistent profitability growth over the two-year period.
A debt-to-equity ratio of 0.17 is below the 0.21 cohort median, suggesting a conservative and stable capital structure.
Year-over-year revenue declined by 7.6% in FY2025, indicating a significant contraction in top-line sales growth.
Free cash flow dropped 15.4% year-over-year in FY2025, raising concerns about the company's cash generation capabilities.
Medium dilution risk flags suggest potential shareholder value erosion through equity issuance or similar corporate actions.
Medium liquidity risk indicates potential challenges in meeting short-term obligations compared to more liquid peers.
In focus — financials by report
Revenue $207.43B; Operating income $7.88B.
- ▍Revenue $207.43B
- ▍Operating income $7.88B
- ▍Net margin 3.0%
Revenue $136.90B; Operating income $5.07B.
- ▍Revenue $136.90B
- ▍Operating income $5.07B
- ▍Net margin 2.9%
Revenue $67.31B; Operating income $2.46B.
- ▍Revenue $67.31B
- ▍Operating income $2.46B
- ▍Net margin 3.0%
Revenue $275.24B; Operating income $10.38B.
- ▍Revenue $275.24B
- ▍Operating income $10.38B
- ▍Net margin 2.9%
Revenue $254.45B; Operating income $9.29B.
- ▍Revenue $254.45B
- ▍Operating income $9.29B
- ▍Net margin 2.9%
Revenue $254.45B; Operating income $9.29B.
- ▍Revenue $254.45B
- ▍Operating income $9.29B
- ▍Net margin 2.9%
Revenue $242.29B; Operating income $8.11B.
- ▍Revenue $242.29B
- ▍Operating income $8.11B
- ▍Net margin 2.6%
Revenue $242.29B; Operating income $8.11B.
- ▍Revenue $242.29B
- ▍Operating income $8.11B
- ▍Net margin 2.6%
Valuation FY
Revenue by segment
Business relationships
Supply chain
Peer comparison
Market position
Stress test
Predictor forecast
| Metric | Our forecast | Guidance | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | —no estimate | —no estimate | 20,49 |
| Revenue | —no estimate | —no estimate | 298,9B USD |
| Operating income | —no estimate | —no estimate | 11,6B USD |
Options
Short squeeze
Earnings-call key lines
Consensus distribution
sell-side coverageEstimate revisions
consensus EPS · 26-week trendSell-side observations
Themes
ESG
Risk factors
- Current ratio is close to the minimum comfort range.
- Source documents mention dilution or offering risk.
Benchmarks vs cohort
Corporate actions / M&A
FX exposure
Comparable transactions
Derivatives & instruments
Physical assets
4 tracked| Asset | Type | Commodity | Country | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mira Loma | Power | Power | US | Operating company |
| Mira Loma solar farm | Power | Power | United States | Operating company |
| Mira Loma solar farm | Power | Power | United States | Operating company |
| Tracy 210 | Power | Power | US | Operating company |
Actions
Ask Handelsavisen
- Market data
- Regulatory filings
- Issuer disclosures
- Public news
- Earnings transcripts
- Consensus estimates
- ESG data
- Enterprise Valuemarket_cap - net_cash
- Return On Assetsnet_income / total_assets
- Price To Earningsmarket_price / (net_income / shares_outstanding_diluted)
- Price To Bookmarket_price / (adjusted_book_value / shares_outstanding_diluted)
- Cash Conversion Ratiooperating_cash_flow / net_income
- Return On Equitynet_income / total_equity
- COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP /NEW company facts · 2026-06-09
- COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP /NEW 10-Q 2026-06-03 · 2026-06-09
- COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP /NEW 10-Q 2026-03-11 · 2026-06-09
- COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP /NEW 10-Q 2025-12-17 · 2026-06-09
- COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP /NEW 10-K 2025-10-08 · 2026-06-09
- Costco Wholesale Corp Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-06-09
- Costco Wholesale Corp Market data — ESG · 2026-06-09
Ownership & reference
Top holders
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-311,58 %$2 304M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-311,09 %$3 208M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2022-09-300,94 %$1M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,93 %$1 800M
- Investment Managers · as of 2024-12-310,91 %$3 210M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,77 %$2 385M
- Funds · as of 2026-03-310,66 %$4 298M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,66 %$10 576M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,65 %$4 911M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,64 %$2 740M
- Investment Managers · as of 2024-06-300,64 %$28 208M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,62 %$18 087M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,62 %$3 380M
- Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,62 %$3 101M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,61 %$1 137M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,59 %$9 863M
- Investment Managers · as of 2025-12-310,55 %$37 616M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,52 %$3 388M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,49 %$690M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,47 %$1 024M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,44 %$2 472M
- Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,43 %$1 399M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,42 %$3 202M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,36 %$621M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,35 %$6 695M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,35 %$1 434M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,35 %$1 679M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,33 %$1 443M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,30 %$3M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,29 %$1 109M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,27 %$496M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,24 %$379M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,19 %$387M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,11 %$229M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,05 %$141M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,04 %$203M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$10M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$7M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
Leadership
- Ron Michael VachrisPresident, Chief Executive Officer, Director
Insider activity
- Director · Common StockOther 5 249 · 2026-07-10
- Director · Common StockSold 885 @ $957,45$847K · 2026-06-23
- Executive Vice President · Common StockSold 700 @ $993,00$695K · 2026-04-01
- Executive Vice President · Common StockOther 642 @ $991,21$636K · 2026-03-12
- Executive Vice President · Common StockOther 1 154 @ $992,23$1,1M · 2026-03-11
- Executive Vice President · Common StockSold 730 @ $1 003,02$732K · 2026-03-09
- Executive Vice President · Common StockOther 300 · 2026-01-27
- Director · Common StockOther 5 115 · 2026-01-27
- Executive Vice President · Common StockSold 850 @ $986,26$838K · 2026-01-21
- Director · Common StockOther 215 · 2026-01-16
- Director · Common StockSold 458 @ $955,00$437K · 2026-01-16
- Executive Vice President · Common StockSold 1 500 @ $939,00$1,4M · 2026-01-14
- Sr. Executive Vice President · Common StockSold 1 500 @ $916,32$1,4M · 2026-01-09
- Executive Vice President · Common StockSold 558 @ $862,89$482K · 2025-12-30
- Executive Vice President · Common StockSold 2 049 @ $867,21$1,8M · 2025-12-29
- Director · Common StockOther 325 · 2025-12-19
- Director · Common StockOther 2 827 · 2025-12-15
- Director · Common StockOther 4 120 · 2025-11-10
- Executive Vice President · Common StockSold 2 400 @ $930,13$2,2M · 2025-11-07
- Principal Accounting Officer · Common StockSold 1 239 @ $934,62$1,2M · 2025-10-24
- Executive Vice President · Common StockOther 4 219 · 2025-10-22
- Executive VP · Common StockOther 569 @ $944,68$537K · 2025-10-22
- Executive VP · Common StockOther 585 @ $944,68$552K · 2025-10-22
- Executive VP · Common StockOther 366 @ $944,68$346K · 2025-10-22
- Executive Vice President · Common StockOther 538 @ $944,68$508K · 2025-10-22
Short positioning
Held by funds 1
- Vanguard · ETF2,10 %90,0B $ · #19
Geographic breakdown
Intel & risk
4 tracked-field change(s) detected vs prior analysis; max severity: medium.
- Dilution risk— → mediumlow
- Liquidity risk— → mediumlow
- Activity— → Broadline & Specialty Retailmedium
- Economic sector— → Cyclical Consumer Goods & Servicesmedium
Evidence & claims
From filings & derived data- Debt-to-equity (FY 2025-11-23): 1.73xDerived (calculated)
- Current ratio (FY 2025-11-23): 1.04xDerived (calculated)
- Cash & equivalents (YoY) (2025-11-23 vs 2024-11-24): 48.7%Derived (calculated)
- Long-term debt (YoY) (2025-11-23 vs 2024-11-24): -1.4%Derived (calculated)
- Shareholders' equity (YoY) (2025-11-23 vs 2024-11-24): 23.9%Derived (calculated)
- Total assets (YoY) (2025-11-23 vs 2024-11-24): 12.8%Derived (calculated)
- Total liabilities (YoY) (2025-11-23 vs 2024-11-24): 7.3%Derived (calculated)
- Long-term debt (annual): USD 5.67BSEC XBRL filing
- Total assets (annual): USD 82.79BSEC XBRL filing
- Total liabilities (annual): USD 52.49BSEC XBRL filing
- Current liabilities (annual): USD 41.8BSEC XBRL filing
- Current assets (annual): USD 43.41BSEC XBRL filing
- Shares outstanding (annual): 443.92MSEC XBRL filing
- Shareholders' equity (annual): USD 30.3BSEC XBRL filing
- Cash & equivalents (annual): USD 16.22BSEC XBRL filing
- Cost of revenue (YoY) (2025-08-31 vs 2024-09-01): 7.9%Derived (calculated)
- Operating income (YoY) (2025-08-31 vs 2024-09-01): 11.8%Derived (calculated)
- Operating cash flow (YoY) (2025-08-31 vs 2024-09-01): 17.6%Derived (calculated)
- Net margin (FY 2025-08-31): 2.9%Derived (calculated)
- Net income (YoY) (2025-08-31 vs 2024-09-01): 9.9%Derived (calculated)
- EPS (diluted) (YoY) (2025-08-31 vs 2024-09-01): 10.0%Derived (calculated)
- EPS (basic) (YoY) (2025-08-31 vs 2024-09-01): 9.9%Derived (calculated)
- Capex (YoY) (2025-08-31 vs 2024-09-01): 16.7%Derived (calculated)
- Revenue (YoY) (2025-08-31 vs 2024-09-01): 8.2%Derived (calculated)