Aquafil SpA

Aquafil's capital structure is highly leveraged, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.22, indicating a significant reliance on debt financing. The company holds 146.0 million EUR in cash and equivalents, but this is offset by 402.9 million EUR in long-term debt, resulting in a net cash position that is negative after subtracting total debt. The liquidity risk is moderate, with a current ratio of 1.69, suggesting the company can cover its short-term obligations but with limited buffer.

Profitability metrics are weak, with a return on equity of -2.48% and a return on assets of -0.45%, both significantly below the industry median for Textiles & Leather Goods. The company reported a net loss of 3.1 million EUR, despite generating 44.3 million EUR in gross profit and 8.4 million EUR in operating income. This suggests high operating expenses or non-operating charges are eroding profitability.

Geographically, Aquafil's revenue is concentrated in Europe, with no disclosed breakdown of segment or regional performance. The lack of segment reporting limits visibility into growth drivers or exposure to specific markets. The company's exposure to cyclical consumer demand is high, given its position in the Textiles & Leather Goods industry, which is sensitive to macroeconomic conditions and fashion trends.

Looking ahead, Aquafil is expected to see a modest improvement in revenue, with a projected growth rate of 2.3% in the current fiscal year and 3.1% in the next fiscal year. However, the company's free cash flow of 6.4 million EUR is constrained by capital expenditures of 3.9 million EUR, which may limit reinvestment or shareholder returns. The company's ability to sustain growth will depend on its capacity to reduce costs and improve margins.

Risk factors include liquidity constraints and the potential for dilution, though the latter is currently assessed as low. The company's net loss and negative return on equity raise concerns about its ability to service debt and generate returns for shareholders. The risk assessment highlights the need for close monitoring of cash flow and debt management.

Recent events include a net loss in the latest reporting period, which may have impacted investor sentiment. Analysts have issued a mean price target of 1.80 EUR, with a median and high target also at 1.80 EUR, suggesting limited upside potential. The mean recommendation of 1.33 indicates a slight positive bias, with two strong-buy and one buy rating, but no hold or sell ratings.

Analysts project 31.8% upside to a consensus target price of EUR 1.80, rating the stock a strong buy.

Free cash flow surged 84.9% year-over-year to EUR 23.4 million in fiscal 2026, demonstrating improved liquidity generation.

Operating income expanded 98.9% year-over-year to EUR 6.6 million in fiscal 2026, signaling a return to operational profitability.

Net income improved significantly by 71.2% year-over-year in fiscal 2026, narrowing the loss to EUR 4.7 million.

Gross profit remained robust at EUR 179.2 million in fiscal 2026, maintaining a stable margin despite revenue declines.

The company carries a high credit risk flag, indicating significant concerns regarding its ability to meet debt obligations.

Debt-to-equity ratio stands at 3.22, placing it in the bottom quartile compared to the 0.43 cohort median.

Revenue declined 2.2% annually over the last four years, falling to EUR 520.8 million in fiscal 2026.

Net margin of -2.1% ranks in the bottom quartile of the Textiles & Leather Goods cohort median of 3.0%.

Return on equity is negative at -2.5%, significantly underperforming the cohort median of 2.7%.

Revenue €120.9M, −5,5% YoY; Operating income +124,0% YoY.

• ▍Revenue €120.9M, −5,5% YoY
• ▍Operating income +124,0% YoY
• ▍Net income +32,0% YoY
• ▍Free cash flow +51,1% YoY
• ▍Net margin -1.5%

Revenue €144.0M, −2,4% YoY; Operating income +241,2% YoY.

• ▍Revenue €144.0M, −2,4% YoY
• ▍Operating income +241,2% YoY
• ▍Net income +113,8% YoY
• ▍Free cash flow +41,7% YoY
• ▍Net margin 0.3%

Revenue €127.9M; Operating income €804.0k.

• ▍Revenue €127.9M
• ▍Operating income €804.0k
• ▍Net margin -2.1%

Revenue €147.5M; Operating income €843.0k.

• ▍Revenue €147.5M
• ▍Operating income €843.0k
• ▍Net margin -2.1%

Revenue €520.8M, −3,9% YoY; Operating income +98,9% YoY.

• ▍Revenue €520.8M, −3,9% YoY
• ▍Operating income +98,9% YoY
• ▍Net income +71,2% YoY
• ▍Free cash flow +84,9% YoY
• ▍Net margin -0.9%

Revenue €542.1M, −5,2% YoY; Operating income +137,5% YoY.

• ▍Revenue €542.1M, −5,2% YoY
• ▍Operating income +137,5% YoY
• ▍Net income +36,9% YoY
• ▍Free cash flow +157,3% YoY
• ▍Net margin -3.0%

Revenue €571.8M, −16,4% YoY; Operating income −123,6% YoY.

• ▍Revenue €571.8M, −16,4% YoY
• ▍Operating income −123,6% YoY
• ▍Net income −188,7% YoY
• ▍Free cash flow −168,2% YoY
• ▍Net margin -4.5%

Revenue €684.1M, +20,1% YoY; Operating income +74,8% YoY.

• ▍Revenue €684.1M, +20,1% YoY
• ▍Operating income +74,8% YoY
• ▍Net income +173,2% YoY
• ▍Free cash flow +148,3% YoY
• ▍Net margin 4.3%

Revenue €569.7M; Operating income €21.5M.

• ▍Revenue €569.7M
• ▍Operating income €21.5M
• ▍Net margin 1.9%