Handelsavisen
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MC
MCD.O NYSE Unclassified

McDonald's Corp

$280,00
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USD
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Last 30 days
1D5D1M3M6MYTD1Y5YMax
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Mcap
200,592 USD
P/E
0,0x
EV / Rev
1,4x
Div yield
2,56 %
Op margin
46,1 %
ROE
-478,1 %
Net margin
31,9 %
Debt / equity
-22,32
Beta
52w range
Volume
113,0k
Day range
$265,60–$272,50
Prev close
$269,76
Open
$271,03
Next earnings
2026-07-28
Ex-dividend
TR 1Y
About

McDonald's Corp operates a global fast-food restaurant chain, generating revenue primarily through franchise fees, royalties, and real estate rents from its extensive network of company-owned and franchised locations.

Business. McDonald's Corp operates a global fast-food restaurant chain, generating revenue primarily through franchise fees, royalties, and real estate rents from its extensive network of company-owned and franchised locations.

Classification20 %
SectorUnclassified
Generated · model-assisted
Sell-side consensus
BUY38 analysts
21 buy16 hold1 sell
Avg 12m price target347,51

Analyst recommendations

38 analysts · consensus Buy
Buy21
Hold16
Sell1
12-month price target
347,51
Consensus of sell-side coverage.
Upcoming events
  • EarningsQ2 2026 earnings (expected)2026-07-28 · estimated
See all catalysts →

At a glance

Score
64
composite score
Valuation
0,0x
P/E
Analysts
Buy
38 analysts · indicative
Ownership
Arrowstreet Capital, Limited Partnership
largest disclosed fund holder
Profitability
-478,1 %
return on equity
Quality
60
quality score (0-100)

What drives this business

The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.

— missing data

News & coverage

0
  • No recent newsroom coverage mentioning MCD.
  • Sector rotation

    Sector1D1Mvs mkt
    Materials+2,2 %+1,6 %+2,4 %
    Energy+1,2 %+5,3 %+1,4 %
    Real Estate+0,7 %+4,1 %+0,8 %
    Health Care+0,6 %−0,5 %+0,8 %
    Consumer Discretionary · THIS SECTOR+0,3 %+8,7 %+0,5 %
    Information Technology−0,3 %+6,5 %−0,1 %
    Financials−0,3 %−4,5 %−0,1 %
    Consumer Staples−1,0 %+3,0 %−0,8 %
    Utilities−1,5 %−21,2 %−1,3 %
    Industrials−1,7 %−2,3 %−1,6 %
    Communication Services

    Developing storylines

    No tracked sagas currently linked to MCD.O. Browse all sagas →

    Analysis

    AI analysis
    Generated · analysis pipeline · tier hybrid · as of 2026-07-07 ↑ At a glance

    Opportunity

    — missing data

    Upcoming catalysts

    Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.

    Pre-earnings brief

    Briefing · model-assisted

    McDonald's Corp (MCD.O) has recorded its first analysis in the current dataset, establishing a baseline for future monitoring with no prior basis for delta computation. This initial snapshot captures the company's structural profile, including its membership in two indices and a shareholder base comprising 39 top holders, though specific analyst coverage and officer counts are currently unreported in this view. The most material development involves significant volatility in the holdings of investor ID 587, flagged as a major severity event. Data detected on June 24, 2026, indicates a substantial increase in this investor's position, with shares rising to 2,590,740, representing a portfolio weight of approximately 46.49% and a value of $805.18 million as of March 31, 2026. However, a subsequent detection on June 26, 2026, reveals a dramatic reversal in the same investor's stance. The records show the position was modified down to just 22,659 shares, reducing the weight to roughly 0.004% and the value to $7.04 million for the same March 31, 2026 reporting period. This rapid succession of conflicting major holder changes highlights significant data instability or extreme trading activity associated with this specific investor ID. These holder fluctuations underscore the importance of verifying data integrity when assessing ownership concentration for McDonald's. With no cross-source signals or sagas to corroborate these movements, the conflicting reports for investor ID 587 remain an isolated anomaly within the initial analysis framework, warranting caution in interpreting the stability of the company's top holder composition.

    Signals & dispatch

    peak dispatch · —

    Composite-score breakdown

    Score breakdown64
    Valuation+13
    Profitability+24
    Sentiment+30
    Risk penalty−3
    Missing signals−1

    Synthesis

    Business

    McDonald's Corp operates a global fast-food restaurant chain, generating revenue primarily through franchise fees, royalties, and real estate rents from its extensive network of company-owned and franchised locations.

    Classification20 %
    SectorUnclassified
    AI synthesis
    GENERATED

    McDonald's Corp maintains a capital structure characterized by significant leverage and negative total equity. The company reports total assets of $59.5 billion against total equity of -$1.8 billion, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of -22.32. Long-term debt stands at $40.0 billion, while cash and equivalents are limited to $0.8 billion, leading to a negative net cash position. The enterprise value to EBITDA multiple is 3.16, and the EV-to-revenue ratio is 1.46, suggesting a valuation that may reflect the heavy debt load or specific accounting treatments rather than pure operational multiples. The price-to-earnings ratio is reported as 0.0, which is anomalous for a profitable entity and likely indicates a data processing error or specific accounting adjustment in the earnings calculation.

    Profitability metrics show strong operational efficiency despite the balance sheet structure. Operating income is $12.4 billion on revenue of $26.9 billion, yielding a robust operating margin. Net income is $8.6 billion, resulting in a return on assets of 14.4%. However, the return on equity is negative at -4.78%, a direct consequence of the negative equity base. The company generates substantial operating cash flow of $10.6 billion, which exceeds capital expenditures of $3.4 billion, providing ample free cash flow to service its debt obligations.

    Segment and geographic data are not provided in the current input, preventing a detailed analysis of revenue concentration by business line or region. The company's global footprint is implied by its ticker and name, but specific exposure to key markets such as the United States, Europe, or Asia cannot be quantified from the available data.

    Growth trajectory analysis is limited due to the absence of historical period data. Without five-year annual or eight-quarter quarterly revenue and net income trends, it is not possible to assess the momentum of top-line growth or earnings expansion. The current financial snapshot provides a static view of performance but lacks the temporal depth required for trend reasoning.

    Risk assessment indicates medium liquidity risk and low dilution risk. The key flag notes that net cash is negative after subtracting total debt, highlighting the company's reliance on debt financing. The negative equity position amplifies financial risk, although the strong operating cash flow provides a buffer against immediate solvency concerns. The low dilution risk suggests that the company is not currently issuing significant new shares, preserving value for existing shareholders.

    Recent events are reflected in analyst estimates, which show a mean price target of $330.52 and a median target of $327.50, implying upside from the current market price of $271.13. The mean recommendation is 2.27, with 7 strong buys, 14 buys, and 15 holds, indicating a generally positive but cautious sentiment among analysts. No specific filing, news, or transcript observations are provided to detail recent corporate actions or strategic shifts.

    McDonald's Corp (MCD.O) has recorded its first analysis in the current dataset, establishing a baseline for future monitoring with no prior basis for delta computation. This initial snapshot captures the company's structural profile, including its membership in two indices and a shareholder base comprising 39 top holders, though specific analyst coverage and officer counts are currently unreported in this view. The most material development involves significant volatility in the holdings of investor ID 587, flagged as a major severity event. Data detected on June 24, 2026, indicates a substantial increase in this investor's position, with shares rising to 2,590,740, representing a portfolio weight of approximately 46.49% and a value of $805.18 million as of March 31, 2026. However, a subsequent detection on June 26, 2026, reveals a dramatic reversal in the same investor's stance. The records show the position was modified down to just 22,659 shares, reducing the weight to roughly 0.004% and the value to $7.04 million for the same March 31, 2026 reporting period. This rapid succession of conflicting major holder changes highlights significant data instability or extreme trading activity associated with this specific investor ID. These holder fluctuations underscore the importance of verifying data integrity when assessing ownership concentration for McDonald's. With no cross-source signals or sagas to corroborate these movements, the conflicting reports for investor ID 587 remain an isolated anomaly within the initial analysis framework, warranting caution in interpreting the stability of the company's top holder composition.

    Key takeaways
    • McDonald's Corp reports negative total equity of -$1.8 billion, driven by high long-term debt of $40.0 billion.
    • Operating cash flow of $10.6 billion significantly exceeds capital expenditures of $3.4 billion, ensuring debt service capacity.
    • Return on assets is strong at 14.4%, but return on equity is negative due to the inverted capital structure.
    • Analyst consensus suggests upside potential, with a mean price target of $330.52 versus the current price of $271.13.
    • The P/E ratio of 0.0 is an anomaly that requires verification, as net income is positive at $8.6 billion.

    Bull / Bear case

    Generated · model-assisted
    BULL CASE · 2

    Analysts project 28.2% upside to a mean price target of $347.51, reflecting strong consensus buy recommendations from 38 analysts.

    Revenue is projected to grow at a 3.7% CAGR through 2026, indicating consistent top-line expansion over the forecast period.

    BEAR CASE · 4

    The company faces medium liquidity risk and a current ratio of 0.95, indicating potential short-term solvency pressures.

    Return on equity stands at -4.8%, placing McDonald's in the bottom quartile of its peer cohort.

    High leverage is evident with a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 3.11 and a debt-to-equity ratio of -22.72.

    Cash conversion efficiency is below the cohort median at 1.23 versus 1.35, suggesting weaker cash generation relative to earnings.

    In focus — financials by report

    Quarterly
    Annual
    QUARTERLYFiled 2026-05-07
    Q1 2026 · Quarter highlights
    Open report →

    Revenue $6.52B, +9,4% YoY; Operating income +11,5% YoY.

    Revenue$6.52B+9,4 % YoY
    Operating income$2.95B+11,5 % YoY
    Net income$1.98B+6,1 % YoY
    Free cash flow$544.0M−4,9 % YoY
    EPS
    Operating cash flow$2.41B−0,6 % YoY
    Financials
    Income statement
    Revenue$6.52B
    Gross profit$3.64B
    Operating income$2.95B
    Net income$1.98B
    Margins
    Gross margin55.9%
    Operating margin45.3%
    Net margin30.4%
    FCF margin8.3%
    Balance sheet
    Total assets$60.04B
    Total liabilities$61.32B
    Total equity-$1.29B
    Cash & equivalents$1.17B
    Long-term debt$40.10B
    Cash flow
    Operating cash flow$2.41B
    CapEx-$682.0M
    Free cash flow$544.0M
    SBC
    P&L flow · revenue → net income
    Revenue $6.52BOperating costs $3.56BTax $970.0MNet income $1.98B
    Highlights
    • Revenue $6.52B, +9,4% YoY
    • Operating income +11,5% YoY
    • Net income +6,1% YoY
    • Free cash flow −4,9% YoY
    • Net margin 30.4%

    Valuation TTM

    Market price
    $280,00
    Market cap
    $194.2k
    Enterprise value
    $39.20B
    P/E
    0.0x
    Non-GAAP P/E
    EV / Revenue
    1.4x
    EV / Op income
    3.1x
    EV / OCF
    3.7x
    P / B
    P / Tangible book
    Tangible book
    Net cash
    -$39.20B
    Current ratio
    Debt / equity
    -22.3
    ROA
    14.4%
    ROE
    -4.8%
    Cash conversion
    123.0%
    CapEx / revenue
    12.5%
    SBC / revenue
    Dilution ratio
    0.0%

    Revenue by segment

    Market share

    INDUSTRYSEGMENTCOMPANYConsumer CyclicalsIndustryRestaurants & Bars150,0B node revenueSBUX 24,8%MCD 17,9%DRI 8,1%CMG 8,0%YUMC 7,9%QSR 6,3%YUM 5,5%TXRH 3,9%Other 17,8%
    Source: company disclosures · own-taxonomy revenue-covered setMCD 17,9% · rank #2 of 34

    Business relationships

    — missing data

    Supply chain

    — missing data

    Peer comparison

    Peer comparison7 peers · vs MCD · multiples and returns
    SB
    SBUX
    STARBUCKS CORPORATION
    $102,49
    116,8B USD
    P/E
    114,3x
    +114,3 vs self
    Div yield
    2,4 %
    -0,2 vs self
    ROE
    -13,3 %
    +464,8 vs self
    DR
    DRI
    Darden Restaurants Inc
    P/E
    vs self
    Div yield
    vs self
    ROE
    vs self
    CM
    CMG
    Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
    P/E
    vs self
    Div yield
    vs self
    ROE
    vs self
    YU
    YUMC
    YUM CHINA HOLDINGS, INC.
    $44,56
    15,6B USD
    P/E
    17,0x
    +17,0 vs self
    Div yield
    2,4 %
    -0,2 vs self
    ROE
    17,3 %
    +495,4 vs self
    QS
    QSR
    Restaurant Brands Intern
    P/E
    vs self
    Div yield
    vs self
    ROE
    vs self
    YU
    YUM
    Yum! Brands Inc
    $165,99
    46,6B USD
    P/E
    27,6x
    +27,6 vs self
    Div yield
    1,7 %
    -0,8 vs self
    ROE
    -21,3 %
    +456,8 vs self
    TX
    TXRH
    Texas Roadhouse Inc
    $186,01
    12,2B USD
    P/E
    103,0x
    +103,0 vs self
    Div yield
    1,9 %
    -0,7 vs self
    ROE
    9,4 %
    +487,5 vs self

    Market position

    Stress test

    — missing data

    Predictor forecast

    Next quarternear-term
    Earnings · next quarterconf 45 %
    EPS
    Consensus EPS
    12,98
    Predicted surprise
    -0,01
    Beat probability
    45 %
    Analysts
    37
    Other metrics
    Revenue
    no estimate
    Segment revenue
    no estimate
    Margin
    no estimate
    Segment margin
    no estimate
    as of 2026-06-29 · Earnings Surprise V1
    Period note: consensus is not fiscal-period-aligned at source — read as consensus vs the last reported actual, not a calibrated same-quarter surprise.
    Full fiscal year~1 year ahead
    Full fiscal year · our forecast vs guidance vs consensus
    MetricOur forecastGuidanceConsensus
    EPSno estimateno estimate13,18
    Revenueno estimateno estimate28,6B USD
    Operating incomeno estimateno estimate13,6B USD
    Full-year consensus mean (period as reported by source) · consensus in USD. Company-level full-year forecast and management guidance are not yet modelled at scale — shown as "no estimate", never inferred.
    Corporate eventM&A horizon
    M&A probabilityconf 3 %
    Probability
    3 %
    Base rate
    3 %
    Band
    180-day horizon · target 2027-01-03 · 1,0× base rate
    No acquirer candidates identified by the signal model.
    Probabilistic model output — not investment advice. · generated 2026-07-07

    Options

    — missing data

    Short squeeze

    — missing data

    Earnings-call key lines

    — missing data

    Consensus distribution

    sell-side coverage
    Recommendation distribution38 analysts
    Strong buy7
    Buy14
    Hold16
    Sell1
    Strong sell0
    12-month price target$347,51 · Median $355,00
    Low $306,00High $380,00
    Operating income · consensus13,6B USD
    EPS surprise
    −7,5 %
    reported vs consensus · miss
    Revenue surprise
    −6,1 %
    reported vs consensus · miss

    Estimate revisions

    consensus EPS · 26-week trend
    — missing data

    Sell-side observations

    Low$306,00
    Mean$347,51
    Median$355,00
    High$380,00
    Spot$280,00
    +24.1 %implied to mean12-month sell-side price targets · ▲ spot

    Themes

    — missing data

    ESG

    — missing data

    Risk factors

    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskMedium
    Filing-based flags
    • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.

    Benchmarks vs cohort

    Op Margin46,1 %Best in class
    Net Margin31,9 %Best in class
    ROE-478,1 %Bottom quartile
    Capex / Rev12,5 %Best in class
    D/E-22,32Best in class
    Cash Conv1,23Above median

    Corporate actions / M&A

    M&A probabilityconf —
    Probability
    3 %
    Base rate
    3 %
    Band
    Low
    180-day horizon · target 2027-01-03 · 1,0× base rate
    No acquirer candidates identified by the signal model.
    Corporate actionsNo corporate-action source connected yet — splits, dividends and buyback events are not tracked for this company. Honest-dim (no data fabricated).

    FX exposure

    — missing data

    Comparable transactions

    — missing data

    Derivatives & instruments

    Derivative transactions

    Net acquired 270 701 sh40 exercises · 18 grants15 insiders
    • Taubert Jennifer LDirector · Phantom Stock → Common StockAcquired 111grant · 2026-06-30
    • Hsu Michael D.Director · Phantom Stock → Common StockAcquired 111grant · 2026-06-30
    • Dean Lloyd HDirector · Phantom Stock → Common StockAcquired 134grant · 2026-06-30
    • Erlinger Joseph M.President, McDonald's USA · Options (Right to Buy) → Common StockDisposed 5 252 @ $157,79exercise · 2026-06-10
    • Erlinger Joseph M.President, McDonald's USA · Options (Right to Buy) → Common StockDisposed 2 626 @ $157,79exercise · 2026-04-10
    • Dean Lloyd HDirector · Phantom Stock → Common StockAcquired 117grant · 2026-03-31
    • Hsu Michael D.Director · Phantom Stock → Common StockAcquired 97grant · 2026-03-31
    • Taubert Jennifer LDirector · Phantom Stock → Common StockAcquired 97grant · 2026-03-31
    • Erlinger Joseph M.President, McDonald's USA · Options (Right to Buy) → Common StockDisposed 2 626 @ $157,79exercise · 2026-03-10
    • Banner JonathanEVP - Chief Impact Officer · Options (Right to Buy) → Common StockDisposed 4 600 @ $266,20exercise · 2026-02-23
    • Ralls-Morrison DesireeEVP, Chief Legal Officer · Phantom Stock → Common StockAcquired 1 519other · 2026-02-20
    • McDonald GillianEVP, Global Rest. Exp. Ofc. · Dividend Equivalent Rights → Common StockDisposed 296exercise · 2026-02-13
    • McDonald GillianEVP, Global Rest. Exp. Ofc. · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 2 231exercise · 2026-02-13
    • McDonald GillianEVP, Global Rest. Exp. Ofc. · Dividend Equivalent Rights → Common StockDisposed 161exercise · 2026-02-13
    • McDonald GillianEVP, Global Rest. Exp. Ofc. · Options (Right to Buy) → Common StockAcquired 30 087 @ $327,58grant · 2026-02-13
    • Kempczinski Christopher JDirector, Chairman and CEO · Options (Right to Buy) → Common StockDisposed 26 276 @ $128,09exercise · 2026-02-13
    • Kempczinski Christopher JDirector, Chairman and CEO · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 19 333exercise · 2026-02-13
    • Kempczinski Christopher JDirector, Chairman and CEO · Dividend Equivalent Rights → Common StockDisposed 1 395exercise · 2026-02-13
    • Kempczinski Christopher JDirector, Chairman and CEO · Options (Right to Buy) → Common StockAcquired 144 416 @ $327,58grant · 2026-02-13
    • Flatley Edith MorganEVP - Global CMO · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 1 859exercise · 2026-02-13
    • Flatley Edith MorganEVP - Global CMO · Dividend Equivalent Rights → Common StockDisposed 135exercise · 2026-02-13
    • Flatley Edith MorganEVP - Global CMO · Options (Right to Buy) → Common StockAcquired 26 076 @ $327,58grant · 2026-02-13
    • Erlinger Joseph M.President, McDonald's USA · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 5 577exercise · 2026-02-13
    • Erlinger Joseph M.President, McDonald's USA · Dividend Equilavent Rights → Common StockDisposed 403exercise · 2026-02-13
    • Erlinger Joseph M.President, McDonald's USA · Options (Right to Buy) → Common StockAcquired 32 093 @ $327,58grant · 2026-02-13

    Actions

    Ask Handelsavisen

    — missing data
    Data sources
    • Market data
    • Market data cache
    • Issuer disclosures
    • Public news
    • Earnings transcripts
    • Consensus estimates
    • ESG data
    • Reference data
    How metrics are computed
    • Cash Conversion Ratio
      operating_cash_flow / net_income
    • Return On Assets
      net_income / total_assets
    • Debt To Equity
      (short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
    • Return On Equity
      net_income / total_equity
    • Price To Earnings
      market_price / (net_income / shares_outstanding_diluted)
    • Dilution Ratio
      (shares_outstanding_diluted - shares_outstanding_basic) / shares_outstanding_basic
    Source documents
    • McDONALD’S CORPORATION Market data — financials · 2026-06-29
    • McDonald's Corp Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-06-29
    • McDonald's Corp Market data — ESG · 2026-06-29

    Ownership & reference

    Top holders

    • Arrowstreet Capital, Limited PartnershipInvestment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,61 %$1 131M
    • Wells Fargo AdvisorsBrokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,49 %$2 477M
    • PNC Investments LLCInvestment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,46 %$805M
    • State Street Investment Management (US)Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,38 %$11 012M
    • Nuveen LLCInvestment Managers · as of 2024-12-310,38 %$1 332M
    • T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,35 %$3M
    • Geode Capital Management, L.L.C.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,35 %$5 572M
    • Northern Trust Investments, Inc.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,34 %$2 555M
    • Franklin Advisers, Inc.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,32 %$1 319M
    • Vanguard Capital Management, LLCInvestment Managers · as of 2025-12-310,32 %$22 113M
    • AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INCInstitutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,31 %$1 350M
    • UBS Financial Services, Inc.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,31 %$1 765M
    • Bank of New York Mellon CorpInstitutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,29 %$1 603M
    • Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLCInvestment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,29 %$4 854M
    • BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A.Investment Managers · as of 2024-06-300,29 %$12 788M
    • Charles Schwab Investment Management, Inc.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,27 %$1 736M
    • Raymond James & Associates, Inc.Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,25 %$801M
    • EATON VANCE MANAGEMENTInstitutional Investor · as of 2022-09-300,22 %$0M
    • Goldman Sachs Asset Management, L.P.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,21 %$1 575M
    • Wellington Management Company, LLPInvestment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,20 %$1 061M
    • AllianceBernstein L.P.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,19 %$595M
    • Invesco QQQ TrustFunds · as of 2026-03-310,17 %$1 103M
    • Principal Global Investors (Equity)Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,14 %$256M
    • LPL Financial LLCInvestment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,13 %$501M
    • JONES FINANCIAL COMPANIES LLLPInstitutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,13 %$261M
    • Dimensional Fund Advisors, L.P.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,12 %$593M
    • Victory Capital Management Inc.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,12 %$189M
    • Capital Research Global InvestorsInvestment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,11 %$486M
    • JANUS HENDERSON GROUP PLCInstitutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,11 %$218M
    • AQR Capital Management, LLCInvestment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,09 %$203M
    • FMR LLCInstitutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,06 %$1 119M
    • First Trust Advisors L.P.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,05 %$70M
    • Jennison Associates LLCInvestment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,05 %$68M
    • Fisher InvestmentsInvestment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,03 %$86M
    • American Century Investment Management, Inc.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$22M
    • MASSACHUSETTS FINANCIAL SERVICES CO /MA/Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$14M
    • T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
    • PNC Investments LLCInvestment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$7M
    • Dodge & CoxInvestment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$2M

    Insider activity

    Net selling0 buys · 15 sellsnet -$26,5M11 insiders · last 365d
    • Erlinger Joseph M.President, McDonald's USA · Common StockSold 5 252 @ $284,32$1,5M · 2026-06-10
    • Erlinger Joseph M.President, McDonald's USA · Common StockOther 5 252 @ $157,79$829K · 2026-06-10
    • Ralls-Morrison DesireeEVP, Chief Legal Officer · Common StockSold 2 763 @ $278,36$769K · 2026-05-28
    • Erlinger Joseph M.President, McDonald's USA · Common StockSold 333 @ $280,11$93K · 2026-05-26
    • Erlinger Joseph M.President, McDonald's USA · Common StockSold 333 @ $302,72$101K · 2026-04-23
    • Erlinger Joseph M.President, McDonald's USA · Common StockOther 2 626 @ $157,79$414K · 2026-04-10
    • Erlinger Joseph M.President, McDonald's USA · Common StockSold 2 626 @ $307,00$806K · 2026-04-10
    • Erlinger Joseph M.President, McDonald's USA · Common StockSold 333 @ $313,47$104K · 2026-03-23
    • Baroni DarioPresident, IDL · Common StockSold 600 @ $323,77$194K · 2026-03-18
    • Erlinger Joseph M.President, McDonald's USA · Common StockOther 2 626 @ $157,79$414K · 2026-03-10
    • Erlinger Joseph M.President, McDonald's USA · Common StockSold 2 626 @ $328,34$862K · 2026-03-10
    • Banner JonathanEVP - Chief Impact Officer · Common StockOther 4 600 @ $266,20$1,2M · 2026-02-23
    • Banner JonathanEVP - Chief Impact Officer · Common StockSold 4 600 @ $333,24$1,5M · 2026-02-23
    • Banner JonathanEVP - Chief Impact Officer · Common StockSold 1 601 @ $333,42$534K · 2026-02-23
    • Erlinger Joseph M.President, McDonald's USA · Common StockSold 333 @ $330,43$110K · 2026-02-23
    • McDonald GillianEVP, Global Rest. Exp. Ofc. · Common StockOther 161 · 2026-02-13
    • McDonald GillianEVP, Global Rest. Exp. Ofc. · Common StockOther 1 103 @ $327,58$361K · 2026-02-13
    • Erlinger Joseph M.President, McDonald's USA · Common StockOther 403 · 2026-02-13
    • Erlinger Joseph M.President, McDonald's USA · Common StockOther 2 312 @ $327,58$757K · 2026-02-13
    • Boyd Tiffanie L.EVP - Chief People Officer · Common StockOther 1 221 · 2026-02-13
    • Boyd Tiffanie L.EVP - Chief People Officer · Common StockOther 89 · 2026-02-13
    • Kempczinski Christopher JDirector, Chairman and CEO · Common StockOther 26 276 @ $128,09$3,4M · 2026-02-13
    • Kempczinski Christopher JDirector, Chairman and CEO · Common StockSold 26 276 @ $333,54$8,8M · 2026-02-13
    • Kempczinski Christopher JDirector, Chairman and CEO · Common StockOther 19 333 · 2026-02-13
    • Kempczinski Christopher JDirector, Chairman and CEO · Common StockOther 1 395 · 2026-02-13

    Short positioning

    10.7Mshares short+12.8% vs prior
    2.38days to cover
    54.1%short of daily vol
    4.0Kfails-to-deliver
    as of 2026-06-15 · short-interest report (free)
    Index membership
    Dow Jones Industrial Average
    S&P 500United States

    Geographic breakdown

    — missing data
    Listings · one canonical issuer all listings resolve to the canonical
    MCD.OCanonical
    NYSE · USD

    Intel & risk

    PredictorBeat prob45 %Surprise-0,01M&A prob3 %Full forecast →
    peak dispatch · —
    OSINT findings
    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskMedium
    Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.

    Evidence & claims

    From filings & derived data
    • Operating income (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 5.8%Derived (calculated)
    • EPS (diluted) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 4.9%Derived (calculated)
    • Net margin (FY 2025-12-31): 31.9%Derived (calculated)
    • Return on equity (FY 2025-12-31): -478.1%Derived (calculated)
    • Return on assets (FY 2025-12-31): 14.4%Derived (calculated)
    • Current ratio (FY 2025-12-31): 0.95xDerived (calculated)
    • Operating cash flow (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 11.7%Derived (calculated)
    • Total assets (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 7.9%Derived (calculated)
    • Shareholders' equity (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 52.8%Derived (calculated)
    • Revenue (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 3.7%Derived (calculated)
    • EPS (basic) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 4.8%Derived (calculated)
    • Net income (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 4.1%Derived (calculated)
    • Cash & equivalents (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -28.7%Derived (calculated)
    • Long-term debt (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 4.0%Derived (calculated)
    • Capex (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 21.3%Derived (calculated)
    • Operating cash flow (annual): USD 10.55BSEC XBRL filing
    • Net income (annual): USD 8.56BSEC XBRL filing
    • Current assets (annual): USD 4.16BSEC XBRL filing
    • Revenue (annual): USD 26.89BSEC XBRL filing
    • Interest expense (annual): USD 1.58BSEC XBRL filing
    • Operating income (annual): USD 12.39BSEC XBRL filing
    • Cash & equivalents (annual): USD 774MSEC XBRL filing
    • EPS (basic) (annual): USD-PER-SHARES 12SEC XBRL filing
    • EPS (diluted) (annual): USD-PER-SHARES 12SEC XBRL filing
    Showing 24 of 60 surfaced claims.
    Atomic claims from regulatory filings and derived calculations. Provenance shown as source kind only.

    The Thread

    Everything we know, in order
    2026-07-28EVENTUpcomingQ2 2026 earnings (expected) estimated date
    2026-06-30 03:38 UTCEARNINGSUpcomingForecast: earnings_forecast (90d)
    2026-06-30 03:38 UTCEARNINGSUpcomingForecast: ma_probability (180d)
    2026-06-30INSIDERTaubert Jennifer L acquired 111 sh Phantom Stock — Director
    2026-06-30INSIDERHsu Michael D. acquired 111 sh Phantom Stock — Director
    2026-06-30INSIDERDean Lloyd H acquired 134 sh Phantom Stock — Director
    2026-06-26 03:13 UTCHOLDERInstitutional holding changed
    2026-06-26 03:13 UTCHOLDER1 institutional position change flagged (1 major)
    2026-06-24 03:12 UTCHOLDERInstitutional holding changed
    2026-06-24 03:12 UTCHOLDER1 institutional position change flagged (1 major)
    2026-06-10 00:00 UTCINSIDER3 insider transactions — 2026-06 · net sell $665k 1 derivative
    2026-06-10 00:00 UTCINSIDER3 insider transactions — 2026-06 · net sell $665k 1 derivative
    2026-06-10INSIDERErlinger Joseph M. sold 5.3k sh — President, McDonald's USA ~$1.49M
    2026-06-10INSIDERErlinger Joseph M. transacted 5.3k sh — President, McDonald's USA ~$829k
    2026-06-10INSIDERErlinger Joseph M. disposed of 5.3k sh Options (Right to Buy) — President, McDonald's USA
    2026-05-28 00:00 UTCINSIDER2 insider transactions — 2026-05 · net sell $862k
    2026-05-28 00:00 UTCINSIDER2 insider transactions — 2026-05 · net sell $862k
    2026-05-28INSIDERRalls-Morrison Desiree sold 2.8k sh — EVP, Chief Legal Officer ~$769k
    2026-05-26INSIDERErlinger Joseph M. sold 333 sh — President, McDonald's USA ~$93k
    2026-05-22FILING8-K filing →
    2026-05-21 05:42 UTCFILINGRegulatory filing →
    2026-05-07 07:00 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q1 2026 Revenue USD 6.52B · Net USD 1.98B
    2026-05-07FILING10-Q filing →
    2026-05-07FILING8-K filing →
    2026-05-01 02:43 UTCFILINGRegulatory filing →
    2026-04-23 00:00 UTCINSIDER4 insider transactions — 2026-04 · net sell $493k 1 derivative
    2026-04-23 00:00 UTCINSIDER4 insider transactions — 2026-04 · net sell $493k 1 derivative
    2026-04-23INSIDERErlinger Joseph M. sold 333 sh — President, McDonald's USA ~$101k
    2026-04-10INSIDERErlinger Joseph M. transacted 2.6k sh — President, McDonald's USA ~$414k
    2026-04-10INSIDERErlinger Joseph M. sold 2.6k sh — President, McDonald's USA ~$806k
    2026-04-10INSIDERErlinger Joseph M. disposed of 2.6k sh Options (Right to Buy) — President, McDonald's USA
    2026-04-07FILINGDEF 14A filing →
    2026-03-31INSIDERDean Lloyd H acquired 117 sh Phantom Stock — Director
    2026-03-31INSIDERHsu Michael D. acquired 97 sh Phantom Stock — Director
    2026-03-31INSIDERTaubert Jennifer L acquired 97 sh Phantom Stock — Director
    2026-03-23 00:00 UTCINSIDER5 insider transactions — 2026-03 · net sell $747k 1 derivative
    2026-03-23 00:00 UTCINSIDER5 insider transactions — 2026-03 · net sell $747k 1 derivative
    2026-03-23INSIDERErlinger Joseph M. sold 333 sh — President, McDonald's USA ~$104k
    2026-03-18INSIDERBaroni Dario sold 600 sh — President, IDL ~$194k
    2026-03-10INSIDERErlinger Joseph M. transacted 2.6k sh — President, McDonald's USA ~$414k
    Showing the 40 most recent of 106 entries.
    The entity's full life in the product — typed, chronological, joined across Newspaper, Platform and Data. Our memory, made visible.
    Sources filings · IR · transcripts · market data · tier hybrid · as of 2026-07-07 Market data · Issuer disclosures · Public news · Earnings transcripts · Consensus estimates · ESG data · Reference data Premium coverage