McDonald's Corp
McDonald's Corp operates a global fast-food restaurant chain, generating revenue primarily through franchise fees, royalties, and real estate rents from its extensive network of company-owned and franchised locations.
Business. McDonald's Corp operates a global fast-food restaurant chain, generating revenue primarily through franchise fees, royalties, and real estate rents from its extensive network of company-owned and franchised locations.
Analyst recommendations
38 analysts · consensus BuyAt a glance
What drives this business
The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.
News & coverage
0Sector rotation
Developing storylines
Analysis
AI analysisOpportunity
Upcoming catalysts
Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.
- Company
- EarningsQ2 2026 earnings (expected)2026-07-28 · estimated
- Macro
- Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-08 · AU
- Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-15 · CA
- Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-16 · EU
- Rate decisionBank of Japan rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-16 · JP
- Rate decisionFederal Reserve rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-29 · US
- Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
- Macro & political
- ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
- ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
- ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
- Congressional trades
- CongressSheldon Whitehouse — McDonald's Corp2026-01-09 · Democrat · RI · Sale · $15,001 - $50,000
- CongressJulie Johnson — McDonald's Corporation Common2025-12-18 · Democrat · TX · Sale · $1,001 - $15,000
- CongressJulie Johnson — McDonald's Corporation Common2025-11-13 · Democrat · TX · Sale · $1,001 - $15,000
- CongressLisa McClain — McDonald's Corporation Common2025-10-31 · Republican · MI · Sale · $1,001 - $15,000
- CongressLisa McClain — McDonald's Corporation Common2025-10-30 · Republican · MI · Sale · $1,001 - $15,000
- CongressLisa McClain — McDonald's Corporation Common2025-10-30 · Republican · MI · Purchase · $1,001 - $15,000
Pre-earnings brief
McDonald's Corp (MCD.O) has recorded its first analysis in the current dataset, establishing a baseline for future monitoring with no prior basis for delta computation. This initial snapshot captures the company's structural profile, including its membership in two indices and a shareholder base comprising 39 top holders, though specific analyst coverage and officer counts are currently unreported in this view. The most material development involves significant volatility in the holdings of investor ID 587, flagged as a major severity event. Data detected on June 24, 2026, indicates a substantial increase in this investor's position, with shares rising to 2,590,740, representing a portfolio weight of approximately 46.49% and a value of $805.18 million as of March 31, 2026. However, a subsequent detection on June 26, 2026, reveals a dramatic reversal in the same investor's stance. The records show the position was modified down to just 22,659 shares, reducing the weight to roughly 0.004% and the value to $7.04 million for the same March 31, 2026 reporting period. This rapid succession of conflicting major holder changes highlights significant data instability or extreme trading activity associated with this specific investor ID. These holder fluctuations underscore the importance of verifying data integrity when assessing ownership concentration for McDonald's. With no cross-source signals or sagas to corroborate these movements, the conflicting reports for investor ID 587 remain an isolated anomaly within the initial analysis framework, warranting caution in interpreting the stability of the company's top holder composition.
Signals & dispatch
Composite-score breakdown
Synthesis
McDonald's Corp operates a global fast-food restaurant chain, generating revenue primarily through franchise fees, royalties, and real estate rents from its extensive network of company-owned and franchised locations.
McDonald's Corp maintains a capital structure characterized by significant leverage and negative total equity. The company reports total assets of $59.5 billion against total equity of -$1.8 billion, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of -22.32. Long-term debt stands at $40.0 billion, while cash and equivalents are limited to $0.8 billion, leading to a negative net cash position. The enterprise value to EBITDA multiple is 3.16, and the EV-to-revenue ratio is 1.46, suggesting a valuation that may reflect the heavy debt load or specific accounting treatments rather than pure operational multiples. The price-to-earnings ratio is reported as 0.0, which is anomalous for a profitable entity and likely indicates a data processing error or specific accounting adjustment in the earnings calculation.
Profitability metrics show strong operational efficiency despite the balance sheet structure. Operating income is $12.4 billion on revenue of $26.9 billion, yielding a robust operating margin. Net income is $8.6 billion, resulting in a return on assets of 14.4%. However, the return on equity is negative at -4.78%, a direct consequence of the negative equity base. The company generates substantial operating cash flow of $10.6 billion, which exceeds capital expenditures of $3.4 billion, providing ample free cash flow to service its debt obligations.
Segment and geographic data are not provided in the current input, preventing a detailed analysis of revenue concentration by business line or region. The company's global footprint is implied by its ticker and name, but specific exposure to key markets such as the United States, Europe, or Asia cannot be quantified from the available data.
Growth trajectory analysis is limited due to the absence of historical period data. Without five-year annual or eight-quarter quarterly revenue and net income trends, it is not possible to assess the momentum of top-line growth or earnings expansion. The current financial snapshot provides a static view of performance but lacks the temporal depth required for trend reasoning.
Risk assessment indicates medium liquidity risk and low dilution risk. The key flag notes that net cash is negative after subtracting total debt, highlighting the company's reliance on debt financing. The negative equity position amplifies financial risk, although the strong operating cash flow provides a buffer against immediate solvency concerns. The low dilution risk suggests that the company is not currently issuing significant new shares, preserving value for existing shareholders.
Recent events are reflected in analyst estimates, which show a mean price target of $330.52 and a median target of $327.50, implying upside from the current market price of $271.13. The mean recommendation is 2.27, with 7 strong buys, 14 buys, and 15 holds, indicating a generally positive but cautious sentiment among analysts. No specific filing, news, or transcript observations are provided to detail recent corporate actions or strategic shifts.
McDonald's Corp (MCD.O) has recorded its first analysis in the current dataset, establishing a baseline for future monitoring with no prior basis for delta computation. This initial snapshot captures the company's structural profile, including its membership in two indices and a shareholder base comprising 39 top holders, though specific analyst coverage and officer counts are currently unreported in this view. The most material development involves significant volatility in the holdings of investor ID 587, flagged as a major severity event. Data detected on June 24, 2026, indicates a substantial increase in this investor's position, with shares rising to 2,590,740, representing a portfolio weight of approximately 46.49% and a value of $805.18 million as of March 31, 2026. However, a subsequent detection on June 26, 2026, reveals a dramatic reversal in the same investor's stance. The records show the position was modified down to just 22,659 shares, reducing the weight to roughly 0.004% and the value to $7.04 million for the same March 31, 2026 reporting period. This rapid succession of conflicting major holder changes highlights significant data instability or extreme trading activity associated with this specific investor ID. These holder fluctuations underscore the importance of verifying data integrity when assessing ownership concentration for McDonald's. With no cross-source signals or sagas to corroborate these movements, the conflicting reports for investor ID 587 remain an isolated anomaly within the initial analysis framework, warranting caution in interpreting the stability of the company's top holder composition.
- McDonald's Corp reports negative total equity of -$1.8 billion, driven by high long-term debt of $40.0 billion.
- Operating cash flow of $10.6 billion significantly exceeds capital expenditures of $3.4 billion, ensuring debt service capacity.
- Return on assets is strong at 14.4%, but return on equity is negative due to the inverted capital structure.
- Analyst consensus suggests upside potential, with a mean price target of $330.52 versus the current price of $271.13.
- The P/E ratio of 0.0 is an anomaly that requires verification, as net income is positive at $8.6 billion.
Bull / Bear case
Generated · model-assistedAnalysts project 28.2% upside to a mean price target of $347.51, reflecting strong consensus buy recommendations from 38 analysts.
Revenue is projected to grow at a 3.7% CAGR through 2026, indicating consistent top-line expansion over the forecast period.
The company faces medium liquidity risk and a current ratio of 0.95, indicating potential short-term solvency pressures.
Return on equity stands at -4.8%, placing McDonald's in the bottom quartile of its peer cohort.
High leverage is evident with a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 3.11 and a debt-to-equity ratio of -22.72.
Cash conversion efficiency is below the cohort median at 1.23 versus 1.35, suggesting weaker cash generation relative to earnings.
In focus — financials by report
Revenue $6.52B, +9,4% YoY; Operating income +11,5% YoY.
- ▍Revenue $6.52B, +9,4% YoY
- ▍Operating income +11,5% YoY
- ▍Net income +6,1% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow −4,9% YoY
- ▍Net margin 30.4%
Revenue $7.01B, +9,7% YoY; Operating income +10,0% YoY.
- ▍Revenue $7.01B, +9,7% YoY
- ▍Operating income +10,0% YoY
- ▍Net income +7,2% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow −27,9% YoY
- ▍Net margin 30.9%
Revenue $7.08B, +3,0% YoY; Operating income +5,3% YoY.
- ▍Revenue $7.08B, +3,0% YoY
- ▍Operating income +5,3% YoY
- ▍Net income +1,0% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow −29,1% YoY
- ▍Net margin 32.2%
Revenue $6.84B, +5,4% YoY; Operating income +10,7% YoY.
- ▍Revenue $6.84B, +5,4% YoY
- ▍Operating income +10,7% YoY
- ▍Net income +11,4% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow +13,0% YoY
- ▍Net margin 32.9%
Revenue $5.96B; Operating income $2.65B.
- ▍Revenue $5.96B
- ▍Operating income $2.65B
- ▍Net margin 31.4%
Revenue $6.39B; Operating income $2.87B.
- ▍Revenue $6.39B
- ▍Operating income $2.87B
- ▍Net margin 31.6%
Revenue $6.87B; Operating income $3.19B.
- ▍Revenue $6.87B
- ▍Operating income $3.19B
- ▍Net margin 32.8%
Revenue $6.49B; Operating income $2.92B.
- ▍Revenue $6.49B
- ▍Operating income $2.92B
- ▍Net margin 31.2%
Revenue $26.89B, +3,7% YoY; Operating income +5,8% YoY.
- ▍Revenue $26.89B, +3,7% YoY
- ▍Operating income +5,8% YoY
- ▍Net income +4,1% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow −19,1% YoY
- ▍Net margin 31.9%
Revenue $25.92B, +1,7% YoY; Operating income +0,6% YoY.
- ▍Revenue $25.92B, +1,7% YoY
- ▍Operating income +0,6% YoY
- ▍Net income −2,9% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow −32,5% YoY
- ▍Net margin 31.7%
Revenue $25.49B, +10,0% YoY; Operating income +31,8% YoY.
- ▍Revenue $25.49B, +10,0% YoY
- ▍Operating income +31,8% YoY
- ▍Net income +37,1% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow +96,9% YoY
- ▍Net margin 33.2%
Revenue $23.18B, −0,2% YoY; Operating income −14,7% YoY.
- ▍Revenue $23.18B, −0,2% YoY
- ▍Operating income −14,7% YoY
- ▍Net income −18,1% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow −49,8% YoY
- ▍Net margin 26.6%
Valuation TTM
Revenue by segment
Business relationships
Supply chain
Peer comparison
Market position
Stress test
Predictor forecast
| Metric | Our forecast | Guidance | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | —no estimate | —no estimate | 13,18 |
| Revenue | —no estimate | —no estimate | 28,6B USD |
| Operating income | —no estimate | —no estimate | 13,6B USD |
Options
Short squeeze
Earnings-call key lines
Consensus distribution
sell-side coverageEstimate revisions
consensus EPS · 26-week trendSell-side observations
Themes
ESG
Risk factors
- Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Benchmarks vs cohort
Corporate actions / M&A
FX exposure
Comparable transactions
Derivatives & instruments
Derivative transactions
- Director · Phantom Stock → Common StockAcquired 111grant · 2026-06-30
- Director · Phantom Stock → Common StockAcquired 111grant · 2026-06-30
- Director · Phantom Stock → Common StockAcquired 134grant · 2026-06-30
- President, McDonald's USA · Options (Right to Buy) → Common StockDisposed 5 252 @ $157,79exercise · 2026-06-10
- President, McDonald's USA · Options (Right to Buy) → Common StockDisposed 2 626 @ $157,79exercise · 2026-04-10
- Director · Phantom Stock → Common StockAcquired 117grant · 2026-03-31
- Director · Phantom Stock → Common StockAcquired 97grant · 2026-03-31
- Director · Phantom Stock → Common StockAcquired 97grant · 2026-03-31
- President, McDonald's USA · Options (Right to Buy) → Common StockDisposed 2 626 @ $157,79exercise · 2026-03-10
- EVP - Chief Impact Officer · Options (Right to Buy) → Common StockDisposed 4 600 @ $266,20exercise · 2026-02-23
- EVP, Chief Legal Officer · Phantom Stock → Common StockAcquired 1 519other · 2026-02-20
- EVP, Global Rest. Exp. Ofc. · Dividend Equivalent Rights → Common StockDisposed 296exercise · 2026-02-13
- EVP, Global Rest. Exp. Ofc. · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 2 231exercise · 2026-02-13
- EVP, Global Rest. Exp. Ofc. · Dividend Equivalent Rights → Common StockDisposed 161exercise · 2026-02-13
- EVP, Global Rest. Exp. Ofc. · Options (Right to Buy) → Common StockAcquired 30 087 @ $327,58grant · 2026-02-13
- Director, Chairman and CEO · Options (Right to Buy) → Common StockDisposed 26 276 @ $128,09exercise · 2026-02-13
- Director, Chairman and CEO · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 19 333exercise · 2026-02-13
- Director, Chairman and CEO · Dividend Equivalent Rights → Common StockDisposed 1 395exercise · 2026-02-13
- Director, Chairman and CEO · Options (Right to Buy) → Common StockAcquired 144 416 @ $327,58grant · 2026-02-13
- EVP - Global CMO · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 1 859exercise · 2026-02-13
- EVP - Global CMO · Dividend Equivalent Rights → Common StockDisposed 135exercise · 2026-02-13
- EVP - Global CMO · Options (Right to Buy) → Common StockAcquired 26 076 @ $327,58grant · 2026-02-13
- President, McDonald's USA · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 5 577exercise · 2026-02-13
- President, McDonald's USA · Dividend Equilavent Rights → Common StockDisposed 403exercise · 2026-02-13
- President, McDonald's USA · Options (Right to Buy) → Common StockAcquired 32 093 @ $327,58grant · 2026-02-13
Actions
Ask Handelsavisen
- Market data
- Market data cache
- Issuer disclosures
- Public news
- Earnings transcripts
- Consensus estimates
- ESG data
- Reference data
- Cash Conversion Ratiooperating_cash_flow / net_income
- Return On Assetsnet_income / total_assets
- Debt To Equity(short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
- Return On Equitynet_income / total_equity
- Price To Earningsmarket_price / (net_income / shares_outstanding_diluted)
- Dilution Ratio(shares_outstanding_diluted - shares_outstanding_basic) / shares_outstanding_basic
- McDONALD’S CORPORATION Market data — financials · 2026-06-29
- McDonald's Corp Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-06-29
- McDonald's Corp Market data — ESG · 2026-06-29
Ownership & reference
Top holders
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,61 %$1 131M
- Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,49 %$2 477M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,46 %$805M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,38 %$11 012M
- Investment Managers · as of 2024-12-310,38 %$1 332M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,35 %$3M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,35 %$5 572M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,34 %$2 555M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,32 %$1 319M
- Investment Managers · as of 2025-12-310,32 %$22 113M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,31 %$1 350M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,31 %$1 765M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,29 %$1 603M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,29 %$4 854M
- Investment Managers · as of 2024-06-300,29 %$12 788M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,27 %$1 736M
- Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,25 %$801M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2022-09-300,22 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,21 %$1 575M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,20 %$1 061M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,19 %$595M
- Funds · as of 2026-03-310,17 %$1 103M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,14 %$256M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,13 %$501M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,13 %$261M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,12 %$593M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,12 %$189M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,11 %$486M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,11 %$218M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,09 %$203M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,06 %$1 119M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,05 %$70M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,05 %$68M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,03 %$86M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$22M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$14M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$7M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$2M
Insider activity
- President, McDonald's USA · Common StockSold 5 252 @ $284,32$1,5M · 2026-06-10
- President, McDonald's USA · Common StockOther 5 252 @ $157,79$829K · 2026-06-10
- EVP, Chief Legal Officer · Common StockSold 2 763 @ $278,36$769K · 2026-05-28
- President, McDonald's USA · Common StockSold 333 @ $280,11$93K · 2026-05-26
- President, McDonald's USA · Common StockSold 333 @ $302,72$101K · 2026-04-23
- President, McDonald's USA · Common StockOther 2 626 @ $157,79$414K · 2026-04-10
- President, McDonald's USA · Common StockSold 2 626 @ $307,00$806K · 2026-04-10
- President, McDonald's USA · Common StockSold 333 @ $313,47$104K · 2026-03-23
- President, IDL · Common StockSold 600 @ $323,77$194K · 2026-03-18
- President, McDonald's USA · Common StockOther 2 626 @ $157,79$414K · 2026-03-10
- President, McDonald's USA · Common StockSold 2 626 @ $328,34$862K · 2026-03-10
- EVP - Chief Impact Officer · Common StockOther 4 600 @ $266,20$1,2M · 2026-02-23
- EVP - Chief Impact Officer · Common StockSold 4 600 @ $333,24$1,5M · 2026-02-23
- EVP - Chief Impact Officer · Common StockSold 1 601 @ $333,42$534K · 2026-02-23
- President, McDonald's USA · Common StockSold 333 @ $330,43$110K · 2026-02-23
- EVP, Global Rest. Exp. Ofc. · Common StockOther 161 · 2026-02-13
- EVP, Global Rest. Exp. Ofc. · Common StockOther 1 103 @ $327,58$361K · 2026-02-13
- President, McDonald's USA · Common StockOther 403 · 2026-02-13
- President, McDonald's USA · Common StockOther 2 312 @ $327,58$757K · 2026-02-13
- EVP - Chief People Officer · Common StockOther 1 221 · 2026-02-13
- EVP - Chief People Officer · Common StockOther 89 · 2026-02-13
- Director, Chairman and CEO · Common StockOther 26 276 @ $128,09$3,4M · 2026-02-13
- Director, Chairman and CEO · Common StockSold 26 276 @ $333,54$8,8M · 2026-02-13
- Director, Chairman and CEO · Common StockOther 19 333 · 2026-02-13
- Director, Chairman and CEO · Common StockOther 1 395 · 2026-02-13
Short positioning
Geographic breakdown
Intel & risk
Evidence & claims
From filings & derived data- Operating income (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 5.8%Derived (calculated)
- EPS (diluted) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 4.9%Derived (calculated)
- Net margin (FY 2025-12-31): 31.9%Derived (calculated)
- Return on equity (FY 2025-12-31): -478.1%Derived (calculated)
- Return on assets (FY 2025-12-31): 14.4%Derived (calculated)
- Current ratio (FY 2025-12-31): 0.95xDerived (calculated)
- Operating cash flow (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 11.7%Derived (calculated)
- Total assets (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 7.9%Derived (calculated)
- Shareholders' equity (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 52.8%Derived (calculated)
- Revenue (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 3.7%Derived (calculated)
- EPS (basic) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 4.8%Derived (calculated)
- Net income (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 4.1%Derived (calculated)
- Cash & equivalents (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -28.7%Derived (calculated)
- Long-term debt (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 4.0%Derived (calculated)
- Capex (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 21.3%Derived (calculated)
- Operating cash flow (annual): USD 10.55BSEC XBRL filing
- Net income (annual): USD 8.56BSEC XBRL filing
- Current assets (annual): USD 4.16BSEC XBRL filing
- Revenue (annual): USD 26.89BSEC XBRL filing
- Interest expense (annual): USD 1.58BSEC XBRL filing
- Operating income (annual): USD 12.39BSEC XBRL filing
- Cash & equivalents (annual): USD 774MSEC XBRL filing
- EPS (basic) (annual): USD-PER-SHARES 12SEC XBRL filing
- EPS (diluted) (annual): USD-PER-SHARES 12SEC XBRL filing