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INDICATIVE · SAMPLE DATA
2282$10.8559

MGM China Holdings Ltd

Casinos & GamingVerified

MGM China's capital structure is highly leveraged, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 6.4, indicating significant reliance on debt financing. The company maintains a liquidity position of HKD 4.4 billion in cash and equivalents, but this is offset by long-term debt of HKD 20.8 billion, resulting in a net cash position that is negative after subtracting total debt. The price-to-book ratio of 12.7 suggests that the market values the company at a premium to its book value, while the price-to-tangible-book ratio is identical, indicating no intangible asset discount. Profitability metrics show a return on equity (ROE) of 1.56 and a return on assets (ROA) of 0.17, both below the industry median for Casinos & Gaming, which typically sees ROE in the 5-10% range and ROA in the 2-5% range. The company's operating margin is 19.3% (calculated from operating income of HKD 6.7 billion on revenue of HKD 34.8 billion), which is in line with the industry average but leaves little room for margin compression in a volatile market. Geographically, the company is heavily concentrated in Macau, where it operates its flagship integrated resorts. This concentration exposes the company to regulatory and geopolitical risks specific to the region, including potential changes in gaming licensing and cross-border travel restrictions. No other geographic regions are disclosed as material to revenue, and no segment breakdown is provided in the input data. The company's revenue growth trajectory is uncertain, with no explicit guidance provided in the input data. However, the current FY outlook suggests a stable operating environment, with no significant changes in revenue expected in the near term. Analysts have set a mean price target of HKD 17.04, implying a 57% upside from the current market price of HKD 10.85. Risk factors include the company's high leverage and liquidity risk, as well as the potential for dilution if the company issues additional shares to service debt or fund capital expenditures. The risk assessment indicates a low probability of dilution in the near term, but the company's capital structure leaves it vulnerable to interest rate fluctuations and refinancing risks. No recent filings or transcripts are provided in the input data to suggest material changes in the company's risk profile. No recent events, such as earnings calls, investor presentations, or regulatory filings, are provided in the input data to suggest material changes in the company's operations or strategy. The absence of such data limits the ability to assess the company's response to market conditions or strategic initiatives.

30-day price · 2282-0.49 (-4.3%)
Low$10.74High$11.70Close$10.85As of18 May, 00:00 UTC
Profile
CompanyMGM China Holdings Ltd
Ticker2282.HK
SectorConsumer Cyclicals
BusinessCyclical Consumer Services
Industry groupCyclical Consumer Services
IndustryCasinos & Gaming
AI analysis

Business. MGM China Holdings Ltd operates integrated resorts in Macau, offering casino gaming, hotel accommodations, entertainment, and retail services.

Classification. MGM China is classified under industry Casinos & Gaming within the Cyclical Consumer Services business sector, with a confidence level of 0.92.

MGM China's capital structure is highly leveraged, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 6.4, indicating significant reliance on debt financing. The company maintains a liquidity position of HKD 4.4 billion in cash and equivalents, but this is offset by long-term debt of HKD 20.8 billion, resulting in a net cash position that is negative after subtracting total debt. The price-to-book ratio of 12.7 suggests that the market values the company at a premium to its book value, while the price-to-tangible-book ratio is identical, indicating no intangible asset discount. Profitability metrics show a return on equity (ROE) of 1.56 and a return on assets (ROA) of 0.17, both below the industry median for Casinos & Gaming, which typically sees ROE in the 5-10% range and ROA in the 2-5% range. The company's operating margin is 19.3% (calculated from operating income of HKD 6.7 billion on revenue of HKD 34.8 billion), which is in line with the industry average but leaves little room for margin compression in a volatile market. Geographically, the company is heavily concentrated in Macau, where it operates its flagship integrated resorts. This concentration exposes the company to regulatory and geopolitical risks specific to the region, including potential changes in gaming licensing and cross-border travel restrictions. No other geographic regions are disclosed as material to revenue, and no segment breakdown is provided in the input data. The company's revenue growth trajectory is uncertain, with no explicit guidance provided in the input data. However, the current FY outlook suggests a stable operating environment, with no significant changes in revenue expected in the near term. Analysts have set a mean price target of HKD 17.04, implying a 57% upside from the current market price of HKD 10.85. Risk factors include the company's high leverage and liquidity risk, as well as the potential for dilution if the company issues additional shares to service debt or fund capital expenditures. The risk assessment indicates a low probability of dilution in the near term, but the company's capital structure leaves it vulnerable to interest rate fluctuations and refinancing risks. No recent filings or transcripts are provided in the input data to suggest material changes in the company's risk profile. No recent events, such as earnings calls, investor presentations, or regulatory filings, are provided in the input data to suggest material changes in the company's operations or strategy. The absence of such data limits the ability to assess the company's response to market conditions or strategic initiatives.
Key takeaways
  • The company is highly leveraged, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 6.4, which increases financial risk.
  • The price-to-book ratio of 12.7 suggests the market is valuing the company at a premium to its book value.
  • ROE of 1.56 and ROA of 0.17 are below industry medians, indicating subpar profitability.
  • The company is geographically concentrated in Macau, exposing it to regulatory and geopolitical risks.
  • Analysts have a positive outlook, with a mean price target of HKD 17.04, implying a 57% upside.
  • No recent events or filings are available to assess strategic or operational changes.
  • --
  • ## RATIONALES
Financial snapshot
PeriodHA-latest
CurrencyHKD
Revenue$34.79B
Gross profit$18.11B
Operating income$6.71B
Net income$5.07B
R&D
SG&A
D&A
SBC
Operating cash flow$8.74B
CapEx-$1.57B
Free cash flow$3.42B
Total assets$29.67B
Total liabilities$26.43B
Total equity$3.25B
Cash & equivalents$4.40B
Long-term debt$20.78B
Annual history (last 5)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
FY0$34.79B$6.71B$5.07B$3.42B
FY-1$31.39B$6.16B$4.60B$2.26B
FY-2$24.68B$4.55B$2.64B$4.10B
FY-3$5.27B-$3.61B-$5.23B-$3.55B
FY-4$9.41B-$2.35B-$3.85B-$2.22B
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
FY0
FY-1
FY-2
FY-3
FY-4
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
FY0$29.67B$3.25B$4.40B
FY-1$30.60B$527.5M$5.32B
FY-2$29.18B-$1.33B$4.23B
FY-3$31.21B-$4.00B$6.71B
FY-4$28.44B$1.20B$3.11B
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
FY0$8.74B-$1.57B$3.42B
FY-1$8.27B-$1.52B$2.26B
FY-2$8.27B-$415.9M$4.10B
FY-3-$2.11B-$349.7M-$3.55B
FY-4-$449.6M-$527.7M-$2.22B
Quarterly history (last 4)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
FQ0
FQ-1
FQ-2
FQ-3
FQ-4
FQ-5
FQ-6
FQ-7
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
FQ0
FQ-1
FQ-2
FQ-3
FQ-4
FQ-5
FQ-6
FQ-7
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
FQ0
FQ-1
FQ-2
FQ-3
FQ-4
FQ-5
FQ-6
FQ-7
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
FQ0
FQ-1
FQ-2
FQ-3
FQ-4
FQ-5
FQ-6
FQ-7
Valuation
Market price$10.85
Market cap$41.23B
Enterprise value$57.61B
P/E8.1
Reported non-GAAP P/E
EV/Revenue1.7
EV/Op income8.6
EV/OCF6.6
P/B12.7
P/Tangible book12.7
Tangible book$3.25B
Net cash-$16.38B
Current ratio0.5
Debt/Equity6.4
ROA17.1%
ROE1.6%
Cash conversion1.7%
CapEx/Revenue-4.5%
SBC/Revenue
Asset intensity
Dilution ratio0.0%
Risk assessment
Dilution riskLow
Liquidity riskMedium
  • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Industry benchmarks
Activity: Casinos & Gaming · cohort 92 companies
Metric2282Activity
Op margin19.3%10.2% medp25 1.0% · p75 16.3%top quartile
Net margin14.6%5.2% medp25 -0.9% · p75 14.0%top quartile
Gross margin52.1%45.2% medp25 31.6% · p75 73.4%above median
R&D / revenue1.1% medp25 1.1% · p75 1.1%
CapEx / revenue-4.5%-6.7% medp25 -9.3% · p75 -2.4%above median
Debt / equity640.0%11.9% medp25 0.0% · p75 72.0%top quartile
Observations
IR observations
Mean price target17.04 HKD
Median price target17.00 HKD
High price target20.00 HKD
Low price target13.20 HKD
Mean recommendation1.92 (1=strong buy, 5=strong sell)
Strong-buy count4.00
Buy count6.00
Hold count3.00
Sell count0.00
Strong-sell count0.00
Mean EPS estimate1.28 HKD
Last actual EPS1.33 HKD
Source: analysis-pipeline (hybrid)Generated: 2026-05-19 00:35 UTCJob: f2caf34b