6969.Hk
The company operates in the tobacco industry within the consumer non-cyclicals sector, generating revenue primarily through the production and sale of tobacco products.
Business. The company operates in the tobacco industry within the consumer non-cyclicals sector, generating revenue primarily through the production and sale of tobacco products.
Analyst recommendations
10 analysts · consensus BuyAt a glance
What drives this business
The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.
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- Macro
- Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
- Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
- Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
- Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
- Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
- Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
- Macro & political
- ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
- ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
- ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
Pre-earnings brief
Signals & dispatch
Composite-score breakdown
Synthesis
The company operates in the tobacco industry within the consumer non-cyclicals sector, generating revenue primarily through the production and sale of tobacco products.
The company maintains a relatively strong liquidity position, with a current ratio of 2.57, indicating that it has more than twice the current assets to cover its current liabilities. However, the company's free cash flow is negative at -897.06 million CNY, which suggests that it is spending more on capital expenditures than it is generating in operating cash flow. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.1, indicating a conservative capital structure with a low proportion of debt relative to equity.
In terms of profitability, the company's return on equity (ROE) is 4.86%, and its return on assets (ROA) is 3.72%. These figures are below the industry median for tobacco companies, which typically exhibit higher ROE and ROA due to the high margins and low capital intensity of the sector. The company's net income of 1.06 billion CNY is supported by a gross profit of 4.86 billion CNY, but the operating income of 1.5 billion CNY suggests that operating expenses are consuming a significant portion of gross profit.
The company's revenue is concentrated in a single business segment, as disclosed in its financial statements, with no material geographic diversification reported. This lack of diversification may expose the company to higher operational and regulatory risks in its primary market. The company's total assets amount to 28.54 billion CNY, with total liabilities of 6.69 billion CNY, resulting in a total equity of 21.85 billion CNY.
Looking ahead, the company's growth trajectory is expected to remain stable, with no significant changes in revenue forecasted for the current fiscal year. The company's capital expenditure of 850.28 million CNY is a notable outflow, but it is in line with the industry's typical reinvestment needs. The company's risk assessment indicates a medium liquidity risk and a low dilution risk, with the key flag being the negative net cash position after subtracting total debt.
Recent events, as reflected in the company's financial filings, include a consistent pattern of capital expenditures and a stable number of shares outstanding, with no recent significant dilutive events reported. The company's free cash flow has been negative in the latest reporting period, which may signal a need for increased operational efficiency or strategic investment.
Analyst estimates suggest a mixed outlook, with a mean price target of 14.96 CNY and a median price target of 16.00 CNY. The mean recommendation of 2.10 indicates a slight bias towards a buy rating, with three strong-buy and five buy recommendations reported.
- The company has a conservative capital structure with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.1.
- The company's free cash flow is negative, indicating a need for capital expenditures that exceed operating cash flow.
- The company's ROE and ROA are below the industry median, suggesting lower profitability compared to peers.
- The company's revenue is concentrated in a single business segment, increasing exposure to market-specific risks.
- Analysts have a mixed outlook, with a mean price target of 14.96 CNY and a median price target of 16.00 CNY.
Bull / Bear case
analysis pipelineIn focus — financials by report
Valuation
Revenue by segment
Business relationships
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Peer comparison
Market position
Stress test
Predictor forecast
| Metric | Our forecast | Guidance | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | —no estimate | —no estimate | 0,25 |
| Revenue | —no estimate | —no estimate | 16,6B CNY |
| Operating income | —no estimate | —no estimate | 1,7B CNY |
Options
Short squeeze
Earnings-call key lines
Consensus distribution
sell-side coverageEstimate revisions
consensus EPS · 26-week trendSell-side observations
Themes
ESG
Risk factors
- Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Benchmarks vs cohort
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- Dilution Ratio(shares_outstanding_diluted - shares_outstanding_basic) / shares_outstanding_basic
- Net Cashcash_and_equivalents + short_term_investments - short_term_debt - long_term_debt
- Capex To Revenuecapital_expenditure / revenue
- Return On Equitynet_income / total_equity
- Debt To Equity(short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
- Cash Conversion Ratiooperating_cash_flow / net_income
- 6969.HK Market data — financials · 2026-05-27
- Smoore International Holdings Ltd Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-05-27