Agria Group Holding AD

Agria Group Holding AD has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.21, indicating a moderate reliance on debt financing, and a current ratio of 1.04, suggesting limited short-term liquidity cushion. The company's cash and equivalents of 10,097,000 BGN are insufficient to cover its long-term debt of 362,798,000 BGN, resulting in a negative net cash position. This liquidity profile, combined with a negative operating cash flow of -22,037,000 BGN, signals potential short-term financial stress.

The company's profitability metrics are weak, with a return on equity of -2.03% and a return on assets of -0.86%, both significantly below the industry median for the Fishing & Farming sector. Gross profit of 8,347,000 BGN on revenue of 120,087,000 BGN yields a gross margin of 6.95%, which is below the industry average, indicating cost pressures or pricing challenges. The operating loss of -4,984,000 BGN and net loss of -6,114,000 BGN further underscore operational inefficiencies.

Agria Group Holding AD's revenue is concentrated in a single business segment, with no disclosed geographic diversification. This lack of diversification increases exposure to regional economic or regulatory risks. The company's capital expenditures of -2,948,000 BGN suggest ongoing investment in operations, but the negative free cash flow of -2,677,000 BGN indicates that these investments are not yet generating positive cash returns.

The company's growth trajectory is uncertain, with no disclosed revenue growth in the most recent period. Analysts have assigned a mean price target of 14.08 BGN, with a single "buy" recommendation and no "strong buy" ratings, reflecting cautious sentiment. The absence of a clear growth strategy or margin improvement is a concern for long-term value creation.

The risk assessment highlights medium liquidity risk and low dilution risk. The company's negative net cash position and operating cash flow raise concerns about its ability to meet short-term obligations. No dilution sources are identified in the available data, and the company has not issued additional shares recently.

Recent events include the publication of the latest financial results, which show continued operating losses and negative cash flows. No material regulatory or geopolitical events have been disclosed in the available data, but the company's exposure to the Fishing & Farming industry makes it vulnerable to supply chain disruptions and environmental regulations.

Analysts project 127.1% upside to a mean price target of 14.082 BGN, signaling strong bullish sentiment.

Revenue grew at an 18.1% CAGR over four years, demonstrating consistent top-line expansion despite recent volatility.

Cash conversion of 3.6 ranks best-in-class among 302 peers, indicating superior efficiency in generating cash from operations.

Long-term debt decreased from 362.4 million BGN in FY-1 to 259.5 million BGN in FY0, reducing leverage.

The company carries a high credit risk flag, indicating significant potential for default or financial distress.

Net margin of -5.1% and operating margin of -4.2% place the firm in the bottom quartile of its cohort.

Debt-to-equity ratio of 1.21 is significantly higher than the cohort median of 0.35, indicating excessive leverage.

Revenue BGN 698.3M, +60,9% YoY; Operating income +186,7% YoY.

• ▍Revenue BGN 698.3M, +60,9% YoY
• ▍Operating income +186,7% YoY
• ▍Net income +200,3% YoY
• ▍Free cash flow +118,3% YoY
• ▍Net margin 9.8%

Revenue BGN 434.0M; Operating income BGN 24.8M.

• ▍Revenue BGN 434.0M
• ▍Operating income BGN 24.8M
• ▍Net margin 5.3%