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BGA.AX ASX Food Products

Bega Cheese Ltd

A$6,17
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Mcap
1,9B AUD
P/E
EV / Rev
0,6x
Div yield
3,01 %
Op margin
-0,2 %
ROE
-0,9 %
Net margin
-0,2 %
Debt / equity
0,45
Beta
52w range
Volume
Day range
Prev close
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Next earnings
Ex-dividend
TR 1Y
About

Bega Cheese Ltd operates in the Food Products industry within the Consumer Staples sector, generating revenue through the production and distribution of dairy and related food items.

Business. Bega Cheese Ltd (BGA.AX) is an Australian food products company listed on the Australian Securities Exchange. The firm operates within the Consumer Staples sector, focusing on the production and sale of food items. Specific details regarding its operating segments and geographic revenue mix are not available. The company is headquartered in Australia.

Classification85 %
SectorConsumer Staples
Industry groupFood Products
Generated · model-assisted
Sell-side consensus
BUY10 analysts
7 buy3 hold0 sell
Avg 12m price target6,73

Analyst recommendations

10 analysts · consensus Buy
Buy7
Hold3
Sell0
12-month price target
6,73
Consensus of sell-side coverage.
Upcoming events
— missing data
See all catalysts →

At a glance

Score
not yet scored
Valuation
valuation pending
Analysts
Buy
10 analysts · indicative
Ownership
not yet wired
Profitability
-0,9 %
return on equity
Quality
not yet scored

What drives this business

The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.

— missing data

News & coverage

0
  • No recent newsroom coverage mentioning BGA.
  • Sector rotation

    Sector1D1Mvs mkt
    Materials+2,3 %+6,6 %+1,7 %
    Communication Services+2,2 %−5,5 %+1,6 %
    Energy+0,6 %+3,3 %+0,0 %
    Health Care+0,6 %−0,8 %+0,0 %
    Information Technology+0,6 %+6,7 %+0,0 %
    Consumer Discretionary+0,4 %+7,6 %−0,2 %
    Financials−0,3 %−2,8 %−0,9 %
    Consumer Staples · THIS SECTOR−0,4 %+2,5 %−1,0 %
    Real Estate−0,7 %+10,9 %−1,3 %
    Industrials−1,9 %−3,1 %−2,5 %
    Utilities−1,9 %+28,2 %−2,5 %

    Developing storylines

    No tracked sagas currently linked to BGA.AX. Browse all sagas →

    Analysis

    AI analysis
    Generated · analysis pipeline · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 ↑ At a glance

    Opportunity

    — missing data

    Upcoming catalysts

    Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.

    • Macro
    • Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
    • Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
    • Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
    • Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
    • Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
    • Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
    • Macro & political
    • ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
    • ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
    • ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR

    Pre-earnings brief

    — missing data

    Signals & dispatch

    peak dispatch · —

    Composite-score breakdown

    Synthesis

    Business

    Bega Cheese Ltd (BGA.AX) is an Australian food products company listed on the Australian Securities Exchange. The firm operates within the Consumer Staples sector, focusing on the production and sale of food items. Specific details regarding its operating segments and geographic revenue mix are not available. The company is headquartered in Australia.

    Classification85 %
    SectorConsumer Staples
    Industry groupFood Products
    AI synthesis
    GENERATED

    Bega Cheese Ltd maintains a capital structure characterized by AUD 439.6 million in long-term debt against AUD 980.2 million in total equity, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.45. The company holds AUD 120.9 million in cash and equivalents, leading to a net cash position that is negative after subtracting total debt, which contributes to a medium liquidity risk assessment. The current ratio stands at 1.19, indicating adequate short-term liquidity coverage. Operating cash flow is positive at AUD 165.0 million, but free cash flow is negative at AUD -40.4 million due to capital expenditures of AUD 94.4 million.

    Profitability metrics indicate operational challenges, with an operating income of AUD -6.7 million and a net income of AUD -8.5 million on revenues of AUD 3,539.0 million. This results in a return on equity of -0.87% and a return on assets of -0.42%. The gross profit is AUD 730.2 million, representing a gross margin of approximately 20.6%. The negative earnings render the EV/EBITDA ratio negative at -328.97, while the price-to-book ratio is 1.92.

    Key takeaways
    • Bega Cheese Ltd reports negative net income of AUD -8.5 million, resulting in negative ROE and ROA.
    • The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.45 and a current ratio of 1.19, indicating manageable leverage but medium liquidity risk.
    • Free cash flow is negative at AUD -40.4 million due to significant capital expenditures of AUD 94.4 million.
    • Analyst sentiment is moderately positive with a mean recommendation of 2.30 and a mean price target of AUD 6.73.
    • The EV/Revenue ratio of 0.62 suggests a valuation discount relative to sales, while the P/B ratio is 1.92.

    Bull / Bear case

    Generated · model-assisted
    BULL CASE · 5

    Revenue grew at a 14.3% CAGR over four years, reaching AUD 3.54 billion in FY2025.

    Gross profit increased to AUD 730.2 million in FY2025, indicating improved top-line cost management.

    Long-term debt decreased to AUD 418.9 million in FY2024, showing a reduction in leverage.

    The company generated positive free cash flow of AUD 24.6 million in FY2024.

    Dilution risk is assessed as low, suggesting limited pressure on existing shareholder equity.

    BEAR CASE · 2

    Operating margin of -0.19% is significantly below the Food Products cohort median of 4.81%.

    The company faces high credit risk and medium liquidity risk according to risk assessments.

    In focus — financials by report

    Annual
    ANNUALFiled 2025-08-21
    FY 2025 · Full-year highlights

    Revenue A$3.54B, +0,5% YoY; Operating income −116,8% YoY.

    RevenueA$3.54B+0,5 % YoY
    Operating income-A$6.7M−116,8 % YoY
    Net income-A$8.5M−127,9 % YoY
    Free cash flow-A$40.4M−264,2 % YoY
    EPS
    Operating cash flowA$165.0M+22,9 % YoY
    Financials
    Income statement
    RevenueA$3.54B
    Gross profitA$730.2M
    Operating income-A$6.7M
    Net income-A$8.5M
    Margins
    Gross margin20.6%
    Operating margin-0.2%
    Net margin-0.2%
    FCF margin-1.1%
    Balance sheet
    Total assetsA$2.04B
    Total liabilitiesA$1.06B
    Total equityA$980.2M
    Cash & equivalentsA$120.9M
    Long-term debtA$439.6M
    Cash flow
    Operating cash flowA$165.0M
    CapEx-A$94.4M
    Free cash flow-A$40.4M
    SBC
    P&L flow · revenue → net income
    Revenue A$3.54BOperating costs A$3.55BFinance A$32.4MNet income A$8.5M
    Highlights
    • Revenue A$3.54B, +0,5% YoY
    • Operating income −116,8% YoY
    • Net income −127,9% YoY
    • Free cash flow −264,2% YoY
    • Net margin -0.2%

    Valuation FY

    Market price
    A$6,17
    Market cap
    A$1.89B
    Enterprise value
    A$2.20B
    P/E
    Non-GAAP P/E
    EV / Revenue
    0.6x
    EV / Op income
    EV / OCF
    13.4x
    P / B
    1.9x
    P / Tangible book
    1.9x
    Tangible book
    A$980.2M
    Net cash
    -A$318.7M
    Current ratio
    1.2
    Debt / equity
    0.5
    ROA
    -0.4%
    ROE
    -0.9%
    Cash conversion
    -1941.0%
    CapEx / revenue
    -2.7%
    SBC / revenue
    Dilution ratio
    0.0%

    Revenue by segment

    Market share

    — missing data

    Business relationships

    — missing data

    Supply chain

    — missing data

    Peer comparison

    — missing data

    Market position

    Stress test

    — missing data

    Predictor forecast

    Next quarternear-term
    Earnings · next quarterconf 45 %
    EPS
    Consensus EPS
    0,23
    Predicted surprise
    +0,00
    Beat probability
    45 %
    Analysts
    10
    Other metrics
    Revenue
    no estimate
    Segment revenue
    no estimate
    Margin
    no estimate
    Segment margin
    no estimate
    as of 2026-07-20 · Earnings Surprise V1
    Period note: consensus is not fiscal-period-aligned at source — read as consensus vs the last reported actual, not a calibrated same-quarter surprise.
    Full fiscal year~1 year ahead
    Full fiscal year · our forecast vs guidance vs consensus
    MetricOur forecastGuidanceConsensus
    EPSno estimateno estimate0,23
    Revenueno estimateno estimate3,7B AUD
    Operating incomeno estimateno estimate131,3M AUD
    Full-year consensus mean (period as reported by source) · consensus in AUD. Company-level full-year forecast and management guidance are not yet modelled at scale — shown as "no estimate", never inferred.
    Probabilistic model output — not investment advice. · generated 2026-08-04

    Options

    — missing data

    Short squeeze

    — missing data

    Earnings-call key lines

    — missing data

    Consensus distribution

    sell-side coverage
    Recommendation distribution10 analysts
    Strong buy0
    Buy7
    Hold3
    Sell0
    Strong sell0
    12-month price targetA$6,73 · Median A$6,60
    Low A$5,70High A$7,75
    Operating income · consensus131,3M AUD
    EPS surprise
    −28,1 %
    reported vs consensus · miss
    Revenue surprise
    −5,6 %
    reported vs consensus · miss

    Estimate revisions

    consensus EPS · 26-week trend
    — missing data

    Sell-side observations

    LowA$5,70
    MeanA$6,73
    MedianA$6,60
    HighA$7,75
    SpotA$6,17
    +9.0 %implied to mean12-month sell-side price targets · ▲ spot

    Themes

    — missing data

    ESG

    — missing data

    Risk factors

    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskMedium
    Filing-based flags
    • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.

    Benchmarks vs cohort

    Op Margin-0,2 %Below median
    Net Margin-0,2 %Below median
    ROE-0,9 %Below median
    Capex / Rev-2,7 %Below median
    D/E0,45Above median
    Cash Conv-19,41Bottom quartile

    Corporate actions / M&A

    — missing data

    FX exposure

    — missing data

    Comparable transactions

    — missing data

    Derivatives & instruments

    — missing data

    Actions

    Ask Handelsavisen

    — missing data
    Data sources
    • Market data
    • Market data cache
    • Issuer disclosures
    • Public news
    • Earnings transcripts
    • Consensus estimates
    • ESG data
    • Reference data
    How metrics are computed
    • Price To Tangible Book
      market_price / (tangible_book_value / shares_outstanding_diluted)
    • Price To Book
      market_price / (adjusted_book_value / shares_outstanding_diluted)
    • Return On Equity
      net_income / total_equity
    • Enterprise Value
      market_cap - net_cash
    • Ev To Revenue
      enterprise_value / revenue
    • Net Cash
      cash_and_equivalents + short_term_investments - short_term_debt - long_term_debt
    Source documents
    • Bega Cheese Ltd Market data — financials · 2026-07-20
    • Bega Cheese Ltd Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-07-20
    • Bega Cheese Ltd Market data — ESG · 2026-07-20

    Ownership & reference

    Leadership

    • Barry Andrew IrvinExecutive Chairman of the Board

    Insider activity

    — missing data

    Short positioning

    — missing data
    Index membership
    S&P/ASX 200

    Geographic breakdown

    — missing data
    Listings · one canonical issuer all listings resolve to the canonical
    BGA.AXCanonical
    ASX · AUD

    Intel & risk

    PredictorBeat prob45 %Surprise+0,00Full forecast →
    peak dispatch · —
    OSINT findings
    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskMedium
    Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.

    Evidence & claims

    From filings & derived data
    — missing data

    The Thread

    Everything we know, in order
    2025-08-21 03:43 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2025 Revenue AUD 3.54B · Net AUD -8.5M
    2024-08-29 03:45 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2024 Revenue AUD 3.52B · Net AUD 30.5M
    2023-08-24 03:45 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2023 Revenue AUD 3.38B · Net AUD -229.9M
    2022-08-26 03:44 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2022 Revenue AUD 3.01B · Net AUD 24.2M
    2021-08-27 03:46 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2021 Revenue AUD 2.07B · Net AUD 78.0M
    The entity's full life in the product — typed, chronological, joined across Newspaper, Platform and Data. Our memory, made visible.
    Sources filings · IR · transcripts · market data · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 Market data · Issuer disclosures · Public news · Earnings transcripts · Consensus estimates · ESG data · Reference data Premium coverage