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2517.HK HKEX Unclassified

Guoquan Food Shanghai Co Ltd

HK$2,71
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1D5D1M3M6MYTD1Y5YMax
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Mcap
7,0B HKD
P/E
10,5x
EV / Rev
0,6x
Div yield
6,46 %
Op margin
7,6 %
ROE
14,2 %
Net margin
5,5 %
Debt / equity
0,07
Beta
52w range
Volume
Day range
Prev close
Open
Next earnings
Ex-dividend
TR 1Y
About

Guoquan Food Shanghai Co Ltd operates in the Consumer Staples sector, specifically within the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry, generating revenue through the production and sale of food products.

Business. Guoquan Food Shanghai Co Ltd operates in the Consumer Staples sector, specifically within the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry, generating revenue through the production and sale of food products.

Classification20 %
SectorUnclassified
Generated · model-assisted
Sell-side consensus
BUY10 analysts
10 buy0 hold0 sell
Avg 12m price target4,55

Analyst recommendations

10 analysts · consensus Buy
Buy10
Hold0
Sell0
12-month price target
4,55
Consensus of sell-side coverage.
Upcoming events
— missing data
See all catalysts →

At a glance

Score
not yet scored
Valuation
10,5x
P/E
Analysts
Buy
10 analysts · indicative
Ownership
not yet wired
Profitability
14,2 %
return on equity
Quality
not yet scored

What drives this business

The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.

— missing data

News & coverage

0
  • No recent newsroom coverage mentioning 2517.
  • Sector rotation

    Sector1D1Mvs mkt
    Materials+2,3 %+6,6 %+1,7 %
    Communication Services+2,2 %−5,5 %+1,6 %
    Energy+0,6 %+3,3 %+0,0 %
    Health Care+0,6 %−0,8 %+0,0 %
    Information Technology+0,6 %+6,7 %+0,0 %
    Consumer Discretionary+0,4 %+7,6 %−0,2 %
    Financials−0,3 %−2,8 %−0,9 %
    Consumer Staples−0,4 %+2,5 %−1,0 %
    Real Estate−0,7 %+10,9 %−1,3 %
    Industrials−1,9 %−3,1 %−2,5 %
    Utilities−1,9 %+28,2 %−2,5 %

    Developing storylines

    No tracked sagas currently linked to 2517.HK. Browse all sagas →

    Analysis

    AI analysis
    Generated · analysis pipeline · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 ↑ At a glance

    Opportunity

    — missing data

    Upcoming catalysts

    Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.

    • Macro
    • Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
    • Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
    • Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
    • Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
    • Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
    • Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
    • Macro & political
    • ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
    • ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
    • ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR

    Pre-earnings brief

    — missing data

    Signals & dispatch

    peak dispatch · —

    Composite-score breakdown

    Synthesis

    Business

    Guoquan Food Shanghai Co Ltd operates in the Consumer Staples sector, specifically within the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry, generating revenue through the production and sale of food products.

    Classification20 %
    SectorUnclassified
    AI synthesis
    GENERATED

    Guoquan Food maintains a conservative capital structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07 and a current ratio of 1.79, indicating strong short-term liquidity coverage despite a medium liquidity risk flag. The balance sheet shows total assets of 5.24 billion CNY against total liabilities of 2.20 billion CNY, resulting in total equity of 3.04 billion CNY. Long-term debt stands at 216.5 million CNY, which is minimal relative to equity. However, the company reports negative free cash flow of -27.9 million CNY, driven by capital expenditures of 195.9 million CNY that exceed operating cash flow of 588.4 million CNY. This negative free cash flow position contributes to the key risk flag noting that net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.

    Profitability metrics demonstrate solid returns, with a return on equity (ROE) of 14.25% and a return on assets (ROA) of 8.26%. The company generated net income of 432.9 million CNY on revenue of 7.81 billion CNY, resulting in a net margin of approximately 5.5%. Operating income was 597.2 million CNY, yielding an operating margin of roughly 7.6%. The gross profit of 1.69 billion CNY indicates a gross margin of approximately 21.6%. These returns are supported by a valuation profile that includes a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.51 and an EV/EBITDA of 7.98, suggesting the market prices the company at a reasonable multiple relative to its earnings power. The price-to-book ratio of 1.5 aligns with the tangible book value multiple, reflecting a modest premium over the company's net asset value.

    Key takeaways
    • The company trades at a P/E of 10.51 and EV/EBITDA of 7.98, with analyst targets implying significant upside from the current price of 1.77 CNY.
    • Strong profitability is evidenced by an ROE of 14.25% and ROA of 8.26%, supported by a net income of 432.9 million CNY.
    • Negative free cash flow of -27.9 million CNY results from capital expenditures exceeding operating cash flow, creating a net cash deficit after debt.
    • Low dilution risk is confirmed by identical basic and diluted share counts, while a current ratio of 1.79 provides adequate short-term liquidity coverage.
    • Analyst sentiment is strongly positive with a mean recommendation of 1.40, driven by six strong buy ratings and four buy ratings.

    Bull / Bear case

    Generated · model-assisted
    BULL CASE · 2

    Analysts project 67.8% upside to a mean target price of HK$4.55, reflecting strong buy consensus.

    Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07 is significantly lower than the cohort median of 0.40.

    BEAR CASE · 2

    Long-term debt more than doubled to 216.5 million CNY in FY2026, increasing leverage significantly.

    The company faces medium liquidity risk, which could constrain operational flexibility during downturns.

    In focus — financials by report

    Annual
    ANNUALFiled 2026-03-12
    FY 2026 · Full-year highlights

    Revenue ¥7.81B, +20,7% YoY; Operating income +84,3% YoY.

    Revenue¥7.81B+20,7 % YoY
    Operating income¥597.2M+84,3 % YoY
    Net income¥432.9M+87,8 % YoY
    Free cash flow-¥27.9M−146,4 % YoY
    EPS
    Operating cash flow¥588.4M+10,8 % YoY
    Financials
    Income statement
    Revenue¥7.81B
    Gross profit¥1.69B
    Operating income¥597.2M
    Net income¥432.9M
    Margins
    Gross margin21.6%
    Operating margin7.6%
    Net margin5.5%
    FCF margin-0.4%
    Balance sheet
    Total assets¥5.24B
    Total liabilities¥2.20B
    Total equity¥3.04B
    Cash & equivalents
    Long-term debt¥216.5M
    Cash flow
    Operating cash flow¥588.4M
    CapEx-¥195.9M
    Free cash flow-¥27.9M
    SBC
    P&L flow · revenue → net income
    Revenue ¥7.81BOperating costs ¥7.21BFinance ¥5.8MNet income ¥432.9M
    Highlights
    • Revenue ¥7.81B, +20,7% YoY
    • Operating income +84,3% YoY
    • Net income +87,8% YoY
    • Free cash flow −146,4% YoY
    • Net margin 5.5%

    Valuation FY

    Market price
    HK$2,71
    Market cap
    HK$4.55B
    Enterprise value
    HK$4.77B
    P/E
    10.5x
    Non-GAAP P/E
    EV / Revenue
    0.6x
    EV / Op income
    8.0x
    EV / OCF
    8.1x
    P / B
    1.5x
    P / Tangible book
    1.5x
    Tangible book
    HK$3.04B
    Net cash
    -HK$216.5M
    Current ratio
    1.8
    Debt / equity
    0.1
    ROA
    8.3%
    ROE
    14.2%
    Cash conversion
    136.0%
    CapEx / revenue
    -2.5%
    SBC / revenue
    Dilution ratio
    0.0%

    Revenue by segment

    Market share

    — missing data

    Business relationships

    — missing data

    Supply chain

    — missing data

    Peer comparison

    — missing data

    Market position

    Stress test

    — missing data

    Predictor forecast

    Next quarternear-term
    Earnings · next quarterconf 45 %
    EPS
    Consensus EPS
    0,22
    Predicted surprise
    -0,08
    Beat probability
    45 %
    Analysts
    10
    Other metrics
    Revenue
    no estimate
    Segment revenue
    no estimate
    Margin
    no estimate
    Segment margin
    no estimate
    revision ratio 0,01 · as of 2026-07-09 · Earnings Surprise V1
    Period note: consensus is not fiscal-period-aligned at source — read as consensus vs the last reported actual, not a calibrated same-quarter surprise.
    Full fiscal year~1 year ahead
    Full fiscal year · our forecast vs guidance vs consensus
    MetricOur forecastGuidanceConsensus
    EPSno estimateno estimate0,22
    Revenueno estimateno estimate9,7B CNY
    Operating incomeno estimateno estimate752,9M CNY
    Full-year consensus mean (period as reported by source) · consensus in CNY. Company-level full-year forecast and management guidance are not yet modelled at scale — shown as "no estimate", never inferred.
    Probabilistic model output — not investment advice. · generated 2026-08-04

    Options

    — missing data

    Short squeeze

    — missing data

    Earnings-call key lines

    — missing data

    Consensus distribution

    sell-side coverage
    Recommendation distribution10 analysts
    Strong buy6
    Buy4
    Hold0
    Sell0
    Strong sell0
    12-month price targetHK$4,55 · Median HK$4,80
    Low HK$3,10High HK$6,15
    Operating income · consensus752,9M CNY
    EPS surprise
    −26,3 %
    reported vs consensus · miss
    Revenue surprise
    −19,6 %
    reported vs consensus · miss

    Estimate revisions

    consensus EPS · 26-week trend
    — missing data

    Sell-side observations

    LowHK$3,10
    MeanHK$4,55
    MedianHK$4,80
    HighHK$6,15
    SpotHK$2,71
    +67.8 %implied to mean12-month sell-side price targets · ▲ spot

    Themes

    — missing data

    ESG

    — missing data

    Risk factors

    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskMedium
    Filing-based flags
    • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.

    Benchmarks vs cohort

    Op Margin7,6 %Above median
    Net Margin5,5 %Above median
    ROE14,2 %Above P75
    Capex / Rev-2,5 %Above median
    D/E0,07Above P75
    Cash Conv1,36Above median

    Corporate actions / M&A

    — missing data

    FX exposure

    — missing data

    Comparable transactions

    — missing data

    Derivatives & instruments

    — missing data

    Actions

    Ask Handelsavisen

    — missing data
    Data sources
    • Market data
    • Market data cache
    • Issuer disclosures
    • Public news
    • Earnings transcripts
    • Consensus estimates
    • ESG data
    • Reference data
    How metrics are computed
    • Ev To Revenue
      enterprise_value / revenue
    • Debt To Equity
      (short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
    • Price To Earnings
      market_price / (net_income / shares_outstanding_diluted)
    • Return On Assets
      net_income / total_assets
    • Cash Conversion Ratio
      operating_cash_flow / net_income
    • Market Price
      input from market-data provider (delayed close or quote-shim mid)
    Source documents
    • Guoquan Food Shanghai Co Ltd Market data — financials · 2026-07-09
    • Guoquan Food Shanghai Co Ltd Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-07-09

    Ownership & reference

    Insider activity

    — missing data

    Short positioning

    — missing data

    Geographic breakdown

    — missing data
    Listings · one canonical issuer all listings resolve to the canonical
    2517.HKCanonical
    HKEX · HKD

    Intel & risk

    PredictorBeat prob45 %Surprise-0,08Full forecast →
    peak dispatch · —
    OSINT findings
    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskMedium
    Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.

    Evidence & claims

    From filings & derived data
    — missing data

    The Thread

    Everything we know, in order
    2026-06-30 03:38 UTCEARNINGSUpcomingForecast: earnings_forecast (90d)
    2026-03-12 16:10 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2026 Revenue CNY 7.81B · Net CNY 432.9M
    2025-03-28 17:12 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2025 Revenue CNY 6.47B · Net CNY 230.6M
    2024-03-28 14:37 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2024 Revenue CNY 6.09B · Net CNY 239.6M
    The entity's full life in the product — typed, chronological, joined across Newspaper, Platform and Data. Our memory, made visible.
    Sources filings · IR · transcripts · market data · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 Market data · Issuer disclosures · Public news · Earnings transcripts · Consensus estimates · ESG data · Reference data Premium coverage