Guoquan Food Shanghai Co Ltd
Guoquan Food Shanghai Co Ltd operates in the Consumer Staples sector, specifically within the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry, generating revenue through the production and sale of food products.
Business. Guoquan Food Shanghai Co Ltd operates in the Consumer Staples sector, specifically within the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry, generating revenue through the production and sale of food products.
Analyst recommendations
10 analysts · consensus BuyAt a glance
What drives this business
The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.
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- Macro
- Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
- Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
- Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
- Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
- Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
- Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
- Macro & political
- ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
- ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
- ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
Pre-earnings brief
Signals & dispatch
Composite-score breakdown
Synthesis
Guoquan Food Shanghai Co Ltd operates in the Consumer Staples sector, specifically within the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry, generating revenue through the production and sale of food products.
Guoquan Food maintains a conservative capital structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07 and a current ratio of 1.79, indicating strong short-term liquidity coverage despite a medium liquidity risk flag. The balance sheet shows total assets of 5.24 billion CNY against total liabilities of 2.20 billion CNY, resulting in total equity of 3.04 billion CNY. Long-term debt stands at 216.5 million CNY, which is minimal relative to equity. However, the company reports negative free cash flow of -27.9 million CNY, driven by capital expenditures of 195.9 million CNY that exceed operating cash flow of 588.4 million CNY. This negative free cash flow position contributes to the key risk flag noting that net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Profitability metrics demonstrate solid returns, with a return on equity (ROE) of 14.25% and a return on assets (ROA) of 8.26%. The company generated net income of 432.9 million CNY on revenue of 7.81 billion CNY, resulting in a net margin of approximately 5.5%. Operating income was 597.2 million CNY, yielding an operating margin of roughly 7.6%. The gross profit of 1.69 billion CNY indicates a gross margin of approximately 21.6%. These returns are supported by a valuation profile that includes a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.51 and an EV/EBITDA of 7.98, suggesting the market prices the company at a reasonable multiple relative to its earnings power. The price-to-book ratio of 1.5 aligns with the tangible book value multiple, reflecting a modest premium over the company's net asset value.
- The company trades at a P/E of 10.51 and EV/EBITDA of 7.98, with analyst targets implying significant upside from the current price of 1.77 CNY.
- Strong profitability is evidenced by an ROE of 14.25% and ROA of 8.26%, supported by a net income of 432.9 million CNY.
- Negative free cash flow of -27.9 million CNY results from capital expenditures exceeding operating cash flow, creating a net cash deficit after debt.
- Low dilution risk is confirmed by identical basic and diluted share counts, while a current ratio of 1.79 provides adequate short-term liquidity coverage.
- Analyst sentiment is strongly positive with a mean recommendation of 1.40, driven by six strong buy ratings and four buy ratings.
Bull / Bear case
Generated · model-assistedAnalysts project 67.8% upside to a mean target price of HK$4.55, reflecting strong buy consensus.
Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07 is significantly lower than the cohort median of 0.40.
Long-term debt more than doubled to 216.5 million CNY in FY2026, increasing leverage significantly.
The company faces medium liquidity risk, which could constrain operational flexibility during downturns.
In focus — financials by report
Revenue ¥7.81B, +20,7% YoY; Operating income +84,3% YoY.
- ▍Revenue ¥7.81B, +20,7% YoY
- ▍Operating income +84,3% YoY
- ▍Net income +87,8% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow −146,4% YoY
- ▍Net margin 5.5%
Revenue ¥6.47B, +6,2% YoY; Operating income −12,7% YoY.
- ▍Revenue ¥6.47B, +6,2% YoY
- ▍Operating income −12,7% YoY
- ▍Net income −3,8% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow −71,3% YoY
- ▍Net margin 3.6%
Revenue ¥6.09B, −15,1% YoY; Operating income +9,4% YoY.
- ▍Revenue ¥6.09B, −15,1% YoY
- ▍Operating income +9,4% YoY
- ▍Net income +4,2% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow +14,7% YoY
- ▍Net margin 3.9%
Valuation FY
Revenue by segment
Business relationships
Supply chain
Peer comparison
Market position
Stress test
Predictor forecast
| Metric | Our forecast | Guidance | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | —no estimate | —no estimate | 0,22 |
| Revenue | —no estimate | —no estimate | 9,7B CNY |
| Operating income | —no estimate | —no estimate | 752,9M CNY |
Options
Short squeeze
Earnings-call key lines
Consensus distribution
sell-side coverageEstimate revisions
consensus EPS · 26-week trendSell-side observations
Themes
ESG
Risk factors
- Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Benchmarks vs cohort
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- Ev To Revenueenterprise_value / revenue
- Debt To Equity(short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
- Price To Earningsmarket_price / (net_income / shares_outstanding_diluted)
- Return On Assetsnet_income / total_assets
- Cash Conversion Ratiooperating_cash_flow / net_income
- Market Priceinput from market-data provider (delayed close or quote-shim mid)
- Guoquan Food Shanghai Co Ltd Market data — financials · 2026-07-09
- Guoquan Food Shanghai Co Ltd Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-07-09