Heineken NV
Heineken NV operates as a global beverage company, generating revenue through the production and distribution of beer and other alcoholic beverages, as indicated by its sector classification classification in the Beverages industry.
Business. Heineken NV operates as a global beverage company, generating revenue through the production and distribution of beer and other alcoholic beverages, as indicated by its sector classification classification in the Beverages industry.
Analyst recommendations
25 analysts · consensus BuyAt a glance
What drives this business
The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.
News & coverage
1Sector rotation
Developing storylines
Analysis
AI analysisOpportunity
Upcoming catalysts
Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.
- Macro
- Rate decisionFederal Reserve rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-29 · US
- Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
- Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
- Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
- Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
- Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
- Macro & political
- ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
- ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
- ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
Pre-earnings brief
Signals & dispatch
Composite-score breakdown
Synthesis
Heineken NV operates as a global beverage company, generating revenue through the production and distribution of beer and other alcoholic beverages, as indicated by its sector classification classification in the Beverages industry.
Heineken NV maintains a capital structure characterized by significant leverage, with long-term debt of €19.28 billion against total equity of €17.98 billion, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.07. The company holds €4.77 billion in cash and equivalents, which is insufficient to cover total liabilities of €35.78 billion, leading to a negative net cash position. Liquidity is assessed as medium risk, supported by a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that current liabilities slightly exceed current assets,. Operating cash flow stands at €5.01 billion, but free cash flow is compressed to €693 million due to capital expenditures of €2.40 billion.
Profitability metrics show a return on equity of 10.49% and a return on assets of 3.51%. The company generated €28.75 billion in revenue, with a gross profit of €13.83 billion and operating income of €3.46 billion, yielding a net income of €1.89 billion. The price-to-earnings ratio is 21.94, and the enterprise value-to-EBITDA multiple is 16.15, suggesting a premium valuation relative to earnings. Without cohort median data provided, these returns are evaluated in isolation, though the net margin of approximately 6.6% reflects the typical thin-margin nature of the beverage industry.
Segment and geographic revenue mix data is not available in the provided input, preventing a detailed analysis of revenue concentration or regional exposure,. The company’s business activity is broadly defined as unclassified within the specific activity field, though the sector classification code confirms its position in the Beverages industry.
Historical period data for revenue and net income trends is absent, limiting the ability to assess growth trajectory or momentum over the past five years. The current financial snapshot provides a static view of performance, with no quarterly or annual trend lines to contextualize the latest results.
Risk assessment highlights medium liquidity risk and low dilution risk. A key flag notes that net cash is negative after subtracting total debt, emphasizing the reliance on debt financing. The current ratio below 1.0 further underscores potential short-term liquidity pressures, although the substantial operating cash flow provides a buffer,.
Recent observations include analyst estimates with a mean price target of €86.08 and a median of €85.00, implying upside from the current market price of €73.78. The mean recommendation is 2.16, with 7 strong buys and 8 buys, indicating positive sentiment among analysts. News event observations reference a system-level refusal recovery event, which does not constitute a fundamental business event.
- Heineken NV carries a high debt load with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.07 and negative net cash, posing medium liquidity risk.
- Free cash flow is significantly lower than operating cash flow due to high capital expenditures of €2.40 billion.
- Analyst sentiment is positive, with a mean price target of €86.08 suggesting potential upside from the current price of €73.78.
- Profitability is moderate with a 10.49% ROE and 3.51% ROA, typical for the beverage industry.
- Lack of segment and historical trend data limits the depth of growth and concentration analysis.
Bull / Bear case
Generated · model-assistedIn focus — financials by report
Revenue €6.85B, +4,7% YoY.
- ▍Revenue €6.85B, +4,7% YoY
Revenue €7.33B, −4,6% YoY.
- ▍Revenue €7.33B, −4,6% YoY
Revenue €6.54B.
- ▍Revenue €6.54B
Revenue €7.68B.
- ▍Revenue €7.68B
Revenue €28.75B, −3,9% YoY; Operating income −1,9% YoY.
- ▍Revenue €28.75B, −3,9% YoY
- ▍Operating income −1,9% YoY
- ▍Net income +92,7% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow +222,9% YoY
- ▍Net margin 6.6%
Revenue €29.91B, −1,7% YoY; Operating income +6,6% YoY.
- ▍Revenue €29.91B, −1,7% YoY
- ▍Operating income +6,6% YoY
- ▍Net income −57,5% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow −193,2% YoY
- ▍Net margin 3.3%
Revenue €30.42B, +5,9% YoY; Operating income −24,4% YoY.
- ▍Revenue €30.42B, +5,9% YoY
- ▍Operating income −24,4% YoY
- ▍Net income −14,1% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow −68,8% YoY
- ▍Net margin 7.6%
Revenue €28.72B, +30,9% YoY; Operating income −4,5% YoY.
- ▍Revenue €28.72B, +30,9% YoY
- ▍Operating income −4,5% YoY
- ▍Net income −19,3% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow −35,4% YoY
- ▍Net margin 9.3%
Revenue €21.94B; Operating income €4.58B.
- ▍Revenue €21.94B
- ▍Operating income €4.58B
- ▍Net margin 15.1%
Valuation FY
Revenue by segment
Business relationships
Supply chain
Peer comparison
Market position
Stress test
Predictor forecast
| Metric | Our forecast | Guidance | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | —no estimate | —no estimate | 5,18 |
| Revenue | —no estimate | —no estimate | 30,7B EUR |
| Operating income | —no estimate | —no estimate | 4,6B EUR |
Options
Short squeeze
Earnings-call key lines
Consensus distribution
sell-side coverageEstimate revisions
consensus EPS · 26-week trendSell-side observations
Themes
ESG
Risk factors
- Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Benchmarks vs cohort
Corporate actions / M&A
FX exposure
Comparable transactions
Derivatives & instruments
Physical assets
2 tracked| Asset | Type | Commodity | Country | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrepolder wind farm | Power | Power | Netherlands | Registered owner |
| De Rietvelden wind farm | Power | Power | Netherlands | Registered owner |
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- Reference data
- Capex To Revenuecapital_expenditure / revenue
- Ev To Revenueenterprise_value / revenue
- Market Capmarket_price * shares_outstanding_diluted
- Debt To Equity(short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
- Return On Equitynet_income / total_equity
- Return On Assetsnet_income / total_assets
- Heineken NV Market data — financials · 2026-06-25
- ha_refusal_refire fired on HEIA.AS · 2026-06-25
- Heineken NV Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-06-25
- Heineken NV Market data — ESG · 2026-06-25
Ownership & reference
Insider activity
Short positioning
Geographic breakdown
Intel & risk
4 tracked-field change(s) detected vs prior analysis; max severity: medium.
- Dilution risk— → lowlow
- Liquidity risk— → mediumlow
- Activity— → Unclassifiedmedium
- Economic sector— → Unclassifiedmedium
- Narrative— → —medium
- Business summary— → —medium
- Conclusion— → —medium
- Key takeaways— → —medium