Medifast Inc
Medifast Inc provides structured weight loss and metabolic health solutions through its meal replacement products and coaching services.
Business. Medifast Inc. (NYSE: MED) is a food and beverage producer that operates within the Non-Cyclical Consumer Goods & Services sector. The company generates revenue through the sale of products. Specific details regarding its operating segments and geographic mix are not available.
Analyst recommendations
2 analysts · consensus HoldAt a glance
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- Company
- EarningsQ3 2026 earnings (expected)2026-10-28 · estimated
- Macro
- Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
- Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
- Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
- Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
- Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
- Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
- Macro & political
- ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
- ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
- ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
Pre-earnings brief
Signals & dispatch
Composite-score breakdown
Synthesis
Medifast Inc. (NYSE: MED) is a food and beverage producer that operates within the Non-Cyclical Consumer Goods & Services sector. The company generates revenue through the sale of products. Specific details regarding its operating segments and geographic mix are not available.
Medifast operates with a price-to-book ratio of 0.74 and a price-to-tangible-book ratio of 0.74, indicating a discount to its book value. The company's liquidity position is strong, with a current ratio of 4.8 and $71.5 million in cash and equivalents. However, its operating cash flow of $260,000 and negative free cash flow of -$836,000 suggest limited cash generation capacity.
Profitability metrics show significant underperformance relative to industry norms. The company reported a net loss of $2.1 million and an operating loss of $3.3 million in Q1 2026. Return on equity and return on assets were -1.07% and -0.84%, respectively, indicating poor capital efficiency. These results contrast sharply with the industry's typical focus on stable margins and brand-driven pricing power.
The company's revenue is concentrated in its direct-to-consumer business model, which accounts for the majority of its operations. This model exposes Medifast to risks related to customer acquisition costs, coach network performance, and digital marketing effectiveness. The company's supply chain optimization initiative in 2024 aimed to align distribution with demand, but the recent inventory levels show only modest changes, with raw materials increasing from $4.9 million to $6.5 million.
Looking ahead, the company expects to shift from transformation to execution in 2026, leveraging its structured weight loss expertise and new metabolic health offerings. However, the Q1 2026 results show a revenue of $76.0 million, and the outlook for FY 2026 remains uncertain given the competitive pressures from new weight loss medications and AI-driven competitors.
The risk assessment highlights medium dilution potential, with the company having mentioned dilution or offering risks in its filings. The valuation adjustments in custom_valuations reflect a cautious view of the company's capital structure and earnings potential. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.0, indicating no leverage, but this also suggests limited financial flexibility.
Recent events include the FASB's ASU 2025-06 on internal-use software accounting, which may impact the company's financial reporting. The company also completed a supply chain optimization initiative in 2024, but the impact on operational efficiency remains to be seen. The company's strategic shift toward metabolic health is a key focus for long-term growth, but execution risks remain high.
- Medifast trades at a significant discount to book value, with a price-to-book ratio of 0.74.
- The company is unprofitable, with a net loss of $2.1 million and an operating loss of $3.3 million in Q1 2026.
- Revenue is concentrated in a direct-to-consumer model, which exposes the company to customer acquisition and marketing risks.
- The company is transitioning to a metabolic health strategy, but execution risks and competitive pressures remain high.
- The risk assessment indicates medium dilution potential, with the company having mentioned dilution or offering risks in its filings.
Bull / Bear case
Generated · model-assistedAnalysts project 14.1% upside to a consensus price target of $12.00, suggesting undervaluation relative to current market price.
The company maintains a low leverage band with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.25, indicating a conservative capital structure.
A strong current ratio of 4.69 suggests robust short-term liquidity and ability to meet immediate financial obligations.
Year-over-year free cash flow surged 1,262.9% in the latest period, demonstrating significant improvement in cash generation.
Operating income increased 120.2% year-over-year, indicating a potential turnaround in core operational profitability metrics.
Return on equity of -1.07% places the company in the bottom quartile of its Food & Beverages cohort.
The company faces medium dilution risk, which could negatively impact existing shareholder value and earnings per share.
In focus — financials by report
Revenue $76.0M; Operating income -$3.3M.
- ▍Revenue $76.0M
- ▍Operating income -$3.3M
- ▍Net margin -2.8%
Revenue $310.7M; Operating income -$6.4M.
- ▍Revenue $310.7M
- ▍Operating income -$6.4M
- ▍Net margin -0.2%
Revenue $221.3M; Operating income -$2.3M.
- ▍Revenue $221.3M
- ▍Operating income -$2.3M
- ▍Net margin 0.8%
Revenue $385.8M; Operating income -$14.2M.
- ▍Revenue $385.8M
- ▍Operating income -$14.2M
- ▍Net margin -4.8%
Revenue $602.5M; Operating income $2.9M.
- ▍Revenue $602.5M
- ▍Operating income $2.9M
- ▍Net margin 0.3%
Revenue $602.5M; Operating income $2.9M.
- ▍Revenue $602.5M
- ▍Operating income $2.9M
- ▍Net margin 0.3%
Revenue $1.07B; Operating income $126.4M.
- ▍Revenue $1.07B
- ▍Operating income $126.4M
- ▍Net margin 9.3%
Revenue $1.07B; Operating income $126.4M.
- ▍Revenue $1.07B
- ▍Operating income $126.4M
- ▍Net margin 9.3%
Valuation FY
Revenue by segment
Business relationships
Supply chain
Peer comparison
Market position
Stress test
Predictor forecast
| Metric | Our forecast | Guidance | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | —no estimate | —no estimate | -1,64 |
| Revenue | —no estimate | —no estimate | 279,7M USD |
| Operating income | —no estimate | —no estimate | -22,9M USD |
Options
Short squeeze
Earnings-call key lines
Consensus distribution
sell-side coverageEstimate revisions
consensus EPS · 26-week trendSell-side observations
Themes
ESG
Risk factors
- Source documents mention dilution or offering risk.
Benchmarks vs cohort
Corporate actions / M&A
FX exposure
Comparable transactions
Derivatives & instruments
Derivative transactions
- Director · Restricted Stock Units (cash settled) → Common StockAcquired 11 680grant · 2026-05-26
Actions
Ask Handelsavisen
- Market data
- Regulatory filings
- Issuer disclosures
- Public news
- Earnings transcripts
- Consensus estimates
- ESG data
- Ev To Operating Cash Flowenterprise_value / operating_cash_flow
- Return On Equitynet_income / total_equity
- Price To Bookmarket_price / (adjusted_book_value / shares_outstanding_diluted)
- Dilution Ratio(shares_outstanding_diluted - shares_outstanding_basic) / shares_outstanding_basic
- Market Priceinput from market-data provider (delayed close or quote-shim mid)
- Market Capmarket_price * shares_outstanding_diluted
- MEDIFAST INC company facts · 2026-05-28
- MEDIFAST INC 10-Q 2026-05-04 · 2026-05-28
- MEDIFAST INC 10-K 2026-02-17 · 2026-05-28
- MEDIFAST INC 10-Q 2025-11-03 · 2026-05-28
- MEDIFAST INC 10-Q 2025-08-04 · 2026-05-28
Ownership & reference
Top holders
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$2M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$6M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$4M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
- Investment Managers · as of 2024-06-300,00 %$18M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$2M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$3M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$3M
- Investment Managers · as of 2024-12-310,00 %$1M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
- Investment Managers · as of 2025-12-310,00 %$8M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$2M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Funds · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
Leadership
- Nicholas Mark JohnsonPresident, Chief Executive Officer
Insider activity
- Director · Common StockOther 11 680 · 2026-05-26
- Director · Common StockOther 11 680 · 2026-05-26
- Director · Common StockOther 6 739 · 2026-05-26
- Director · Common StockOther 11 680 · 2026-05-26
- Director · Common StockOther 7 637 · 2026-05-26
- Director · Common StockOther 11 680 · 2026-05-26
- Director · Common StockOther 11 680 · 2026-05-26
- Director · Common StockBought 2 500 @ $12,53$31K · 2026-05-11
- Director · Common StockBought 2 500 @ $12,65$32K · 2026-05-08
- Chief Financial Officer · Common StockOther 34 344 · 2026-03-25
- Chief Financial Officer · Common StockOther 3 224 @ $9,59$31K · 2026-03-25
- Chief Financial Officer · Common StockOther 1 014 · 2026-03-25
- Director, Chairman & CEO · Common StockOther 4 827 · 2026-03-25
- Director, Chairman & CEO · Common StockOther 36 968 · 2026-03-25
- Director, Chairman & CEO · Common StockOther 20 095 @ $9,59$193K · 2026-03-25
- VP, Finance & CAO · Common StockOther 10 830 · 2026-03-25
- VP, Finance & CAO · Common StockOther 862 @ $9,59$8K · 2026-03-25
- Director, Chairman & CEO · Common StockBought 17 678 @ $10,11$179K · 2026-03-20
- Chief Financial Officer · Common StockOther 482 @ $10,05$5K · 2026-03-17
- Director, Chairman & CEO · Common StockOther 2 638 @ $10,05$27K · 2026-03-17
- VP, Finance & CAO · Common StockOther 70 @ $10,05$704 · 2026-03-17
- Director, Chairman & CEO · Common StockOther 7 075 @ $9,62$68K · 2026-03-13
- VP, Finance & CAO · Common StockOther 198 @ $9,62$2K · 2026-03-13
- Chief Financial Officer · Common StockOther 918 @ $9,62$9K · 2026-03-13
Short positioning
Geographic breakdown
Intel & risk
Evidence & claims
From filings & derived data- Gross profit (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -38.1%Derived (calculated)
- Operating cash flow (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -72.0%Derived (calculated)
- Operating income (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -593.8%Derived (calculated)
- Total liabilities (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -33.8%Derived (calculated)
- Total assets (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -12.8%Derived (calculated)
- Shareholders' equity (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -5.3%Derived (calculated)
- Net margin (FY 2025-12-31): -4.9%Derived (calculated)
- Gross margin (FY 2025-12-31): 71.3%Derived (calculated)
- Return on equity (FY 2025-12-31): -9.6%Derived (calculated)
- Return on assets (FY 2025-12-31): -7.7%Derived (calculated)
- Current ratio (FY 2025-12-31): 4.69xDerived (calculated)
- Debt-to-equity (FY 2025-12-31): 0.25xDerived (calculated)
- Revenue (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -36.0%Derived (calculated)
- Capex (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -24.7%Derived (calculated)
- Cash & equivalents (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -1.8%Derived (calculated)
- Cost of revenue (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -29.9%Derived (calculated)
- EPS (basic) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -994.7%Derived (calculated)
- EPS (diluted) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -994.7%Derived (calculated)
- R&D expense (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -6.5%Derived (calculated)
- Net income (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -1,050.0%Derived (calculated)
- Current assets (annual): USD 201.68MSEC XBRL filing
- Current liabilities (annual): USD 42.96MSEC XBRL filing
- Total liabilities (annual): USD 49.05MSEC XBRL filing
- Shares outstanding (annual): 10.99MSEC XBRL filing