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OCDO.L London Stock Exchange Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail

Ocdo.L

$178,15
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Mcap
150,3B GBp
P/E
393,5x
EV / Rev
118,0x
Div yield
Op margin
-19,5 %
ROE
25,9 %
Net margin
29,8 %
Debt / equity
1,15
Beta
52w range
Volume
Day range
Prev close
Open
Next earnings
Ex-dividend
TR 1Y
About

OCDO.L is classified under Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail with low confidence, operating as a retail entity generating revenue through product distribution.

Business. OCDO.L is classified under Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail with low confidence, operating as a retail entity generating revenue through product distribution.

Classification85 %
SectorConsumer Staples
Industry groupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Generated · model-assisted
Sell-side consensus
HOLD14 analysts
7 buy4 hold3 sell
Avg 12m price target248,60

Analyst recommendations

14 analysts · consensus Hold
Buy7
Hold4
Sell3
12-month price target
248,60
Consensus of sell-side coverage.
Upcoming events
— missing data
See all catalysts →

At a glance

Score
not yet scored
Valuation
393,5x
P/E
Analysts
Hold
14 analysts · indicative
Ownership
not yet wired
Profitability
25,9 %
return on equity
Quality
not yet scored

What drives this business

The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.

— missing data

News & coverage

0
  • No recent newsroom coverage mentioning OCDO.
  • Sector rotation

    Sector1D1Mvs mkt
    Materials+2,3 %+6,6 %+1,7 %
    Communication Services+2,2 %−5,5 %+1,6 %
    Energy+0,6 %+3,3 %+0,0 %
    Health Care+0,6 %−0,8 %+0,0 %
    Information Technology+0,6 %+6,7 %+0,0 %
    Consumer Discretionary+0,4 %+7,6 %−0,2 %
    Financials−0,3 %−2,8 %−0,9 %
    Consumer Staples · THIS SECTOR−0,4 %+2,5 %−1,0 %
    Real Estate−0,7 %+10,9 %−1,3 %
    Industrials−1,9 %−3,1 %−2,5 %
    Utilities−1,9 %+28,2 %−2,5 %

    Developing storylines

    No tracked sagas currently linked to OCDO.L. Browse all sagas →

    Analysis

    AI analysis
    Generated · analysis pipeline · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 ↑ At a glance

    Opportunity

    — missing data

    Upcoming catalysts

    Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.

    • Macro
    • Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
    • Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
    • Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
    • Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
    • Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
    • Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
    • Macro & political
    • ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
    • ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
    • ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR

    Pre-earnings brief

    — missing data

    Signals & dispatch

    peak dispatch · —

    Composite-score breakdown

    Synthesis

    Business

    OCDO.L is classified under Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail with low confidence, operating as a retail entity generating revenue through product distribution.

    Classification85 %
    SectorConsumer Staples
    Industry groupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
    AI synthesis
    GENERATED

    The company maintains a capital structure characterized by significant leverage, with long-term debt of £1.79 billion against total equity of £1.56 billion, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.15. Liquidity is assessed as medium risk, supported by a current ratio of 2.0 and cash and equivalents of £618 million, though net cash is negative after accounting for total debt. The balance sheet shows total assets of £4.28 billion and total liabilities of £2.72 billion.

    Profitability metrics present a divergence between operating and net performance; operating income is negative at -£265 million, while net income stands at £405.2 million, yielding a return on equity of 25.95% and return on assets of 9.47%. Valuation multiples are elevated, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 393.51 and an EV/EBITDA of -606.12, reflecting the negative operating earnings. The price-to-book ratio is 102.13, indicating a substantial premium over book value.

    Segment and geographic revenue mix data is absent from the available input, preventing analysis of revenue concentration or regional exposure. The company’s activity is broadly classified under Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail, but specific operational breakdowns are not provided.

    Growth trajectory analysis is constrained by the absence of historical period data; only the latest normalized period’s revenue of £1.36 billion is available. Without multi-year revenue or net income trends, year-over-year growth rates cannot be calculated.

    Risk assessment highlights medium liquidity risk and low dilution risk. A key flag notes that net cash is negative after subtracting total debt, suggesting reliance on external financing or cash flow generation to service obligations. The high valuation multiples amplify sensitivity to earnings volatility.

    Recent observations include analyst estimates with a mean price target of £248.60 and a median of £232.50, based on a mean recommendation of 2.57. News events indicate a reconciler enqueue process related to name-poison root-fix re-analysis, which is an internal data processing event rather than a fundamental business development.

    Key takeaways
    • Operating income is negative (-£265m) while net income is positive (£405.2m), creating distorted valuation multiples such as a P/E of 393.51.
    • Debt-to-equity ratio of 1.15 and negative net cash position signal moderate financial leverage and liquidity risk.
    • Analyst consensus suggests upside potential with a mean price target of £248.60 versus the current market price of £189.05.
    • Classification confidence is low (0.20), limiting the reliability of industry-specific comparative analysis.
    • Free cash flow is negative at -£397.8 million, driven by capital expenditures of £378.3 million exceeding operating cash flow of £341.7 million.

    Bull / Bear case

    Generated · model-assisted
    — missing data

    In focus — financials by report

    Annual
    ANNUALFiled 2026-02-26
    FY 2026 · Full-year highlights

    Revenue £1.36B, +12,1% YoY; Operating income +5,9% YoY.

    Revenue£1.36B+12,1 % YoY
    Operating income-£265.0M+5,9 % YoY
    Net income£405.2M+220,5 % YoY
    Free cash flow-£397.8M−7,8 % YoY
    EPS
    Operating cash flow£341.7M+27,1 % YoY
    Financials
    Income statement
    Revenue£1.36B
    Gross profit
    Operating income-£265.0M
    Net income£405.2M
    Margins
    Gross margin
    Operating margin-19.5%
    Net margin29.8%
    FCF margin-29.2%
    Balance sheet
    Total assets£4.28B
    Total liabilities£2.72B
    Total equity£1.56B
    Cash & equivalents£618.0M
    Long-term debt£1.79B
    Cash flow
    Operating cash flow£341.7M
    CapEx-£378.3M
    Free cash flow-£397.8M
    SBC
    P&L flow · revenue → net income
    Revenue £1.36BOperating costs £1.63BFinance £140.3MNet income £405.2M
    Highlights
    • Revenue £1.36B, +12,1% YoY
    • Operating income +5,9% YoY
    • Net income +220,5% YoY
    • Free cash flow −7,8% YoY
    • Net margin 29.8%

    Valuation FY

    Market price
    $178,15
    Market cap
    $159.45B
    Enterprise value
    $160.62B
    P/E
    393.5x
    Non-GAAP P/E
    EV / Revenue
    118.0x
    EV / Op income
    EV / OCF
    470.1x
    P / B
    102.1x
    P / Tangible book
    102.1x
    Tangible book
    $1.56B
    Net cash
    -$1.17B
    Current ratio
    2.0
    Debt / equity
    1.1
    ROA
    9.5%
    ROE
    25.9%
    Cash conversion
    84.0%
    CapEx / revenue
    -27.8%
    SBC / revenue
    Dilution ratio
    0.0%

    Revenue by segment

    Market share

    — missing data

    Business relationships

    — missing data

    Supply chain

    — missing data

    Peer comparison

    — missing data

    Market position

    Stress test

    — missing data

    Predictor forecast

    Next quarternear-term
    Earnings · next quarterconf 44 %
    EPS
    Consensus EPS
    -0,31
    Predicted surprise
    -0,08
    Beat probability
    44 %
    Analysts
    14
    Other metrics
    Revenue
    no estimate
    Segment revenue
    no estimate
    Margin
    no estimate
    Segment margin
    no estimate
    revision ratio -0,02 · as of 2026-07-28 · Earnings Surprise V1
    Period note: consensus is not fiscal-period-aligned at source — read as consensus vs the last reported actual, not a calibrated same-quarter surprise.
    Full fiscal year~1 year ahead
    Full fiscal year · our forecast vs guidance vs consensus
    MetricOur forecastGuidanceConsensus
    EPSno estimateno estimate-0,31
    Revenueno estimateno estimate1,5B GBP
    Operating incomeno estimateno estimate-120,9M GBP
    Full-year consensus mean (period as reported by source) · consensus in GBP. Company-level full-year forecast and management guidance are not yet modelled at scale — shown as "no estimate", never inferred.
    Probabilistic model output — not investment advice. · generated 2026-08-04

    Options

    — missing data

    Short squeeze

    — missing data

    Earnings-call key lines

    — missing data

    Consensus distribution

    sell-side coverage
    Recommendation distribution14 analysts
    Strong buy3
    Buy4
    Hold4
    Sell2
    Strong sell1
    12-month price target$248,60 · Median $232,50
    Low $100,00High $426,00
    Operating income · consensus-120,9M GBP
    EPS surprise
    −43,5 %
    reported vs consensus · miss
    Revenue surprise
    −9,6 %
    reported vs consensus · miss

    Estimate revisions

    consensus EPS · 26-week trend
    — missing data

    Sell-side observations

    Low$100,00
    Mean$248,60
    Median$232,50
    High$426,00
    Spot$178,15
    +39.5 %implied to mean12-month sell-side price targets · ▲ spot

    Themes

    — missing data

    ESG

    — missing data

    Risk factors

    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskMedium
    Filing-based flags
    • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.

    Benchmarks vs cohort

    Op Margin-19,5 %Bottom quartile
    Net Margin29,8 %Best in class
    ROE25,9 %Best in class
    Capex / Rev-27,8 %Bottom quartile
    D/E1,15Bottom quartile
    Cash Conv0,84Below median

    Corporate actions / M&A

    — missing data

    FX exposure

    — missing data

    Comparable transactions

    — missing data

    Derivatives & instruments

    — missing data

    Actions

    Ask Handelsavisen

    — missing data
    Data sources
    • Market data
    • Market data cache
    • Issuer disclosures
    • Public news
    • Earnings transcripts
    • Consensus estimates
    • ESG data
    • Reference data
    How metrics are computed
    • Cash Conversion Ratio
      operating_cash_flow / net_income
    • Market Price
      input from market-data provider (delayed close or quote-shim mid)
    • Ev To Revenue
      enterprise_value / revenue
    • Net Cash
      cash_and_equivalents + short_term_investments - short_term_debt - long_term_debt
    • Return On Equity
      net_income / total_equity
    • Market Cap
      market_price * shares_outstanding_diluted
    Source documents
    • Ocado Group PLC Market data — financials · 2026-07-28
    • reconciler_enqueue (reconciler) on OCDO.L · 2026-07-28
    • Ocado Group PLC Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-07-28
    • Ocado Group PLC Market data — ESG · 2026-07-28

    Ownership & reference

    Leadership

    • Tim SteinerChief Executive Officer, Executive Director

    Insider activity

    — missing data

    Short positioning

    — missing data

    Geographic breakdown

    — missing data
    Listings · one canonical issuer all listings resolve to the canonical
    OCDO.LCanonical
    London Stock Exchange · GBp

    Intel & risk

    PredictorBeat prob44 %Surprise-0,08Full forecast →
    What changed

    no material change vs prior analysis (walked 17 fields; 4 schema-expansion field(s) excluded)

    • Narrative— → —medium
    • Business summary— → —medium
    • Conclusion— → —medium
    • Key takeaways— → —medium
    vs prior analysis 60 days ago
    peak dispatch · —
    OSINT findings
    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskMedium
    Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.

    Evidence & claims

    From filings & derived data
    — missing data

    The Thread

    Everything we know, in order
    2026-06-30 03:38 UTCEARNINGSUpcomingForecast: earnings_forecast (90d)
    2026-06-20 00:43 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-06-20 00:43 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-06-20 00:43 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-06-20 00:43 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-06-20 00:43 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-06-20 00:43 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-02-26 07:00 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2026 Revenue GBP 1.36B · Net GBP 405.2M
    2025-02-27 07:00 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2025 Revenue GBP 1.21B · Net GBP -336.2M
    2024-02-29 07:00 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2024 Revenue GBP 1.11B · Net GBP -314.0M
    2023-02-28 07:00 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2023 Revenue GBP 2.51B · Net GBP -455.5M
    2022-02-08 07:00 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2022 Revenue GBP 2.50B · Net GBP -223.2M
    The entity's full life in the product — typed, chronological, joined across Newspaper, Platform and Data. Our memory, made visible.
    Sources filings · IR · transcripts · market data · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 Market data · Issuer disclosures · Public news · Earnings transcripts · Consensus estimates · ESG data · Reference data Premium coverage