Gfr.To
Greenfire Resources Ltd (GFR.TO) operates in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry within the Energy sector, generating revenue through energy-related activities.
Business. Greenfire Resources Ltd (GFR.TO) operates in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry within the Energy sector, generating revenue through energy-related activities.
Analyst recommendations
2 analysts · consensus BuyAt a glance
What drives this business
The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.
News & coverage
0Sector rotation
Developing storylines
Analysis
AI analysisOpportunity
Upcoming catalysts
Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.
- Macro
- Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
- Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
- Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
- Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
- Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
- Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
- Macro & political
- ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
- ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
- ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
Pre-earnings brief
Signals & dispatch
Composite-score breakdown
Synthesis
Greenfire Resources Ltd (GFR.TO) operates in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry within the Energy sector, generating revenue through energy-related activities.
Greenfire Resources Ltd maintains a conservative capital structure characterized by minimal leverage and strong liquidity. The company reports total equity of CAD 1.17 billion against total liabilities of CAD 118.6 million, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01. Long-term debt stands at a negligible CAD 6.1 million, while cash and equivalents total CAD 41.9 million. The current ratio of 1.56 indicates adequate short-term liquidity to cover immediate obligations. With a market capitalization of CAD 1.09 billion and an enterprise value-to-revenue multiple of 1.37, the firm is valued at a discount to its book value, trading at a price-to-book ratio of 0.94.
Profitability metrics demonstrate efficient asset utilization and strong returns on capital. The company generated net income of CAD 47.5 million on revenue of CAD 584.4 million, yielding a net margin of approximately 8.1%. Return on equity (ROE) stands at 15.8%, while return on assets (ROA) is 14.4%, indicating that the company generates substantial profit relative to its asset base and shareholder equity. Operating income of CAD 78.7 million reflects a healthy operating margin, supported by a gross profit of CAD 455.4 million. The low debt load enhances these returns by minimizing interest expenses, allowing a larger portion of operating income to flow to the bottom line.
Revenue concentration and geographic exposure details are not explicitly provided in the available segment or geography data. However, the classification within the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry suggests revenue is derived from energy production or services. Without specific segment breakdowns, the analysis assumes a consolidated operational model where the reported financials represent the entirety of the company's business activities. The lack of disclosed segment data limits the ability to assess diversification risks or regional dependencies.
Growth trajectory analysis is constrained by the absence of historical period data in the input. The current financial snapshot provides a single-period view of performance, with revenue of CAD 584.4 million and net income of CAD 47.5 million. Without year-over-year or quarter-over-quarter comparisons, it is not possible to determine the momentum of revenue growth or earnings expansion. The company’s ability to sustain or grow these figures depends on future operational execution and market conditions in the energy sector.
Risk assessment indicates low liquidity risk and low dilution risk, with no immediate filing-based flags detected. The company’s strong balance sheet, evidenced by high cash reserves and minimal debt, mitigates financial distress risks. The dilution risk is further reduced by the fact that basic and diluted shares outstanding are identical at 125.4 million, suggesting no significant in-the-money options or convertible securities currently impacting share count. The primary risks likely stem from commodity price volatility inherent to the energy sector, though specific operational or regulatory risks are not detailed in the available data.
Recent events include analyst coverage updates with a mean price target of CAD 10.75, implying a potential upside from the current market price of CAD 8.71. The mean recommendation of 2.50 suggests a neutral-to-positive sentiment among analysts, with one buy and one hold rating. No significant news events, filing observations, or transcript insights were reported beyond the reconciler enqueue notifications, indicating a period of relative stability without major corporate actions or disclosures.
- **Strong Balance Sheet**: Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01 and current ratio of 1.56 indicate minimal financial leverage and robust liquidity.
- **Attractive Valuation**: Trading at a price-to-book ratio of 0.94 and EV/EBITDA of 6.88, the company is valued below book value with reasonable earnings multiples.
- **High Returns**: ROE of 15.8% and ROA of 14.4% reflect efficient capital deployment and strong profitability relative to assets and equity.
- **Low Dilution Risk**: Identical basic and diluted share counts (125.4 million) suggest no immediate pressure from equity-based compensation or conversions.
- **Analyst Upside**: Mean price target of CAD 10.75 implies a 23% upside from the current price of CAD 8.71, supported by a neutral-to-positive recommendation.
- **margin_outlook_rationale**: Margins are supported by low debt costs and high gross profit, though commodity price volatility may impact future operating income.
Bull / Bear case
analysis pipelineIn focus — financials by report
Revenue C$584.4M, −26,1% YoY; Operating income −48,1% YoY.
- ▍Revenue C$584.4M, −26,1% YoY
- ▍Operating income −48,1% YoY
- ▍Net income −60,9% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow −82,2% YoY
- ▍Net margin 8.1%
Revenue C$790.9M, +21,3% YoY; Operating income +585,9% YoY.
- ▍Revenue C$790.9M, +21,3% YoY
- ▍Operating income +585,9% YoY
- ▍Net income +189,5% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow +197,7% YoY
- ▍Net margin 15.4%
Valuation FY
Revenue by segment
Business relationships
Supply chain
Peer comparison
Market position
Stress test
Predictor forecast
| Metric | Our forecast | Guidance | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | —no estimate | —no estimate | -0,34 |
| Revenue | —no estimate | —no estimate | 531,0M CAD |
| Operating income | —no estimate | —no estimate | 41,0M CAD |
Options
Short squeeze
Earnings-call key lines
Consensus distribution
sell-side coverageEstimate revisions
consensus EPS · 26-week trendSell-side observations
Themes
ESG
Risk factors
- No immediate filing-based liquidity or dilution flags were detected.
Benchmarks vs cohort
Corporate actions / M&A
FX exposure
Comparable transactions
Derivatives & instruments
Actions
Ask Handelsavisen
- Market data
- Market data cache
- Issuer disclosures
- Public news
- Earnings transcripts
- Consensus estimates
- ESG data
- Reference data
- Cash Conversion Ratiooperating_cash_flow / net_income
- Market Priceinput from market-data provider (delayed close or quote-shim mid)
- Ev To Revenueenterprise_value / revenue
- Net Cashcash_and_equivalents + short_term_investments - short_term_debt - long_term_debt
- Return On Equitynet_income / total_equity
- Market Capmarket_price * shares_outstanding_diluted
- Greenfire Resources Ltd Market data — financials · 2026-07-29
- reconciler_enqueue (reconciler) on GFR.TO · 2026-07-29
- Greenfire Resources Ltd Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-07-29
Ownership & reference
Top holders
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$5M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
Leadership
- Robert B. LoganPresident, Chief Executive Officer, Director