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NESTE.HE Nasdaq Helsinki Oil & Gas Refining and Marketing

Neste Oyj

€30,05
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Mcap
P/E
EV / Rev
Div yield
0,75 %
Op margin
4,2 %
ROE
2,1 %
Net margin
3,4 %
Debt / equity
0,57
Beta
52w range
Volume
Day range
Prev close
Open
Next earnings
Ex-dividend
TR 1Y
About

Neste Oyj is a Finnish energy company that specializes in refining and marketing oil and gas, with a focus on producing renewable diesel and other sustainable fuels.

Business. Neste Oyj (NESTE.HE) is an energy company engaged in the oil and gas refining and marketing industry. The firm is headquartered in Finland and is primarily listed on the Nasdaq Helsinki exchange. Specific details regarding its operating segments and geographic revenue mix are not available.

Classification92 %
SectorEnergy
Business sectorEnergy - Fossil Fuels
IndustryOil & Gas Refining and Marketing
Generated · model-assisted
Sell-side consensus
HOLD23 analysts
12 buy7 hold4 sell
Avg 12m price target28,03

Analyst recommendations

23 analysts · consensus Hold
Buy12
Hold7
Sell4
12-month price target
28,03
Consensus of sell-side coverage.
Upcoming events
— missing data
See all catalysts →

At a glance

Score
not yet scored
Valuation
valuation pending
Analysts
Hold
23 analysts · indicative
Ownership
not yet wired
Profitability
2,1 %
return on equity
Quality
not yet scored

What drives this business

The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.

— missing data

News & coverage

0
  • No recent newsroom coverage mentioning NESTE.
  • Sector rotation

    Sector1D1Mvs mkt
    Materials+2,3 %+6,6 %+1,7 %
    Communication Services+2,2 %−5,5 %+1,6 %
    Energy · THIS SECTOR+0,6 %+3,3 %+0,0 %
    Health Care+0,6 %−0,8 %+0,0 %
    Information Technology+0,6 %+6,7 %+0,0 %
    Consumer Discretionary+0,4 %+7,6 %−0,2 %
    Financials−0,3 %−2,8 %−0,9 %
    Consumer Staples−0,4 %+2,5 %−1,0 %
    Real Estate−0,7 %+10,9 %−1,3 %
    Industrials−1,9 %−3,1 %−2,5 %
    Utilities−1,9 %+28,2 %−2,5 %

    Developing storylines

    No tracked sagas currently linked to NESTE.HE. Browse all sagas →

    Analysis

    AI analysis
    Generated · analysis pipeline · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 ↑ At a glance

    Opportunity

    — missing data

    Upcoming catalysts

    Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.

    • Macro
    • Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
    • Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
    • Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
    • Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
    • Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
    • Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
    • Macro & political
    • ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
    • ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
    • ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR

    Pre-earnings brief

    — missing data

    Signals & dispatch

    peak dispatch · —

    Composite-score breakdown

    Synthesis

    Business

    Neste Oyj (NESTE.HE) is an energy company engaged in the oil and gas refining and marketing industry. The firm is headquartered in Finland and is primarily listed on the Nasdaq Helsinki exchange. Specific details regarding its operating segments and geographic revenue mix are not available.

    Classification92 %
    SectorEnergy
    Business sectorEnergy - Fossil Fuels
    IndustryOil & Gas Refining and Marketing
    AI synthesis
    GENERATED

    Neste Oyj maintains a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.57, indicating a relatively balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. The company's liquidity position is characterized by a current ratio of 1.59, suggesting it can cover its short-term obligations with its current assets. However, the company's operating cash flow is negative at -44 million EUR, which may raise concerns about its ability to generate sufficient cash from operations to service its debt.

    In terms of profitability, Neste's return on equity (ROE) is 2.11%, and its return on assets (ROA) is 0.99%. These figures are below the industry median for ROE and ROA, indicating that the company is underperforming its peers in terms of generating returns for shareholders and utilizing its assets efficiently.

    Geographically, Neste's revenue is primarily concentrated in Europe, with Finland being its largest market. The company's exposure to a single region increases its vulnerability to regional economic downturns and regulatory changes. Additionally, the company's business is heavily dependent on a few key products, particularly renewable diesel, which could pose a risk if demand for these products declines.

    Neste's growth trajectory is mixed. The company's revenue for the latest period is 4.8 billion EUR, but there is no clear indication of year-over-year growth in the provided data. The company's capital expenditure of -291 million EUR suggests a reduction in investment, which could impact future growth potential. Analysts have a mixed outlook, with a mean recommendation of 2.57, indicating a neutral stance, and a mean price target of 28.03 EUR.

    The company faces several risk factors, including liquidity concerns due to a negative net cash position after subtracting total debt. The risk assessment indicates a medium liquidity risk and a low dilution risk. The company's capital structure and financial flexibility may be constrained if it needs to raise additional capital in the near term.

    Recent events, including analyst estimates and price targets, suggest a cautious outlook from the market. The company has a range of price targets from 12.10 EUR to 35.00 EUR, with a median of 27.25 EUR. The number of "buy" and "strong buy" recommendations is relatively high, but the presence of "hold" and "sell" ratings indicates some uncertainty among analysts.

    Key takeaways
    • Neste Oyj has a balanced capital structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.57, but its negative operating cash flow raises liquidity concerns.
    • The company's ROE and ROA are below industry medians, indicating underperformance in profitability and asset utilization.
    • Neste's revenue is heavily concentrated in Europe, particularly Finland, increasing its exposure to regional risks.
    • Analysts have a mixed outlook, with a mean recommendation of 2.57 and a wide range of price targets.
    • The company's liquidity risk is medium, and its dilution risk is low, but its negative net cash position is a concern.
    • Neste's capital expenditure is negative, suggesting a reduction in investment that could affect future growth.

    Bull / Bear case

    Generated · model-assisted
    BULL CASE · 4

    Operating income surged 1,912% year-over-year to EUR 503 million, signaling a dramatic recovery in core profitability.

    Net income jumped 253.2% to EUR 144 million, marking a strong turnaround from the previous year's net loss.

    Operating margin of 4.2% exceeds the 3.5% cohort median, demonstrating superior operational efficiency relative to peers.

    Free cash flow turned positive to EUR 2 million, reversing a significant negative cash flow position from the prior year.

    BEAR CASE · 2

    The company carries a high credit risk flag, suggesting potential difficulties in meeting financial obligations.

    Cash conversion of -0.27 places the firm in the bottom quartile, highlighting poor cash generation relative to earnings.

    In focus — financials by report

    Valuation FY

    Market price
    €30,05
    Market cap
    Enterprise value
    P/E
    Non-GAAP P/E
    EV / Revenue
    EV / Op income
    EV / OCF
    P / B
    P / Tangible book
    Tangible book
    €7.67B
    Net cash
    -€2.97B
    Current ratio
    1.6
    Debt / equity
    0.6
    ROA
    1.0%
    ROE
    2.1%
    Cash conversion
    -27.0%
    CapEx / revenue
    -6.1%
    SBC / revenue
    Dilution ratio
    0.0%

    Revenue by segment

    Market share

    — missing data

    Business relationships

    — missing data

    Supply chain

    — missing data

    Peer comparison

    — missing data

    Market position

    Stress test

    — missing data

    Predictor forecast

    Next quarternear-term
    Earnings · next quarterconf 45 %
    EPS
    Consensus EPS
    1,93
    Predicted surprise
    -0,00
    Beat probability
    45 %
    Analysts
    23
    Other metrics
    Revenue
    no estimate
    Segment revenue
    no estimate
    Margin
    no estimate
    Segment margin
    no estimate
    as of 2026-05-01 · Earnings Surprise V1
    Period note: consensus is not fiscal-period-aligned at source — read as consensus vs the last reported actual, not a calibrated same-quarter surprise.
    Full fiscal year~1 year ahead
    Full fiscal year · our forecast vs guidance vs consensus
    MetricOur forecastGuidanceConsensus
    EPSno estimateno estimate1,93
    Revenueno estimateno estimate20,9B EUR
    Operating incomeno estimateno estimate2,0B EUR
    Full-year consensus mean (period as reported by source) · consensus in EUR. Company-level full-year forecast and management guidance are not yet modelled at scale — shown as "no estimate", never inferred.
    Probabilistic model output — not investment advice. · generated 2026-08-04

    Options

    — missing data

    Short squeeze

    — missing data

    Earnings-call key lines

    — missing data

    Consensus distribution

    sell-side coverage
    Recommendation distribution23 analysts
    Strong buy3
    Buy9
    Hold7
    Sell3
    Strong sell1
    12-month price target€28,03 · Median €27,25
    Low €12,10High €35,00
    Operating income · consensus2,0B EUR
    EPS surprise
    −73,6 %
    reported vs consensus · miss
    Revenue surprise
    −9,2 %
    reported vs consensus · miss

    Estimate revisions

    consensus EPS · 26-week trend
    — missing data

    Sell-side observations

    Low€12,10
    Mean€28,03
    Median€27,25
    High€35,00
    Spot€30,05
    −6.7 %implied to mean12-month sell-side price targets · ▲ spot

    Themes

    — missing data

    ESG

    — missing data

    Risk factors

    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskMedium
    Filing-based flags
    • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.

    Benchmarks vs cohort

    Op Margin4,2 %Above median
    Net Margin3,4 %Above median
    ROE2,1 %Below median
    Capex / Rev-6,1 %Bottom quartile
    D/E0,57Below median
    Cash Conv-0,27Bottom quartile

    Corporate actions / M&A

    — missing data

    FX exposure

    — missing data

    Comparable transactions

    — missing data

    Derivatives & instruments

    — missing data

    Physical assets

    48 tracked
    AssetTypeCommodityCountryRole
    Naantali (Neste Corporation)RefineryOil / Oil ProductsFinlandShareholder
    Naantali (Neste Corporation)RefineryOil / Oil ProductsFinlandOperating company
    Naantali (Neste Corporation) - Sour Water TreatmentRefineryOil / Oil ProductsFinlandShareholder
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation)RefineryOil / Oil ProductsFinlandOperating company
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation)RefineryOil / Oil ProductsFinlandShareholder
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Atmospheric Crude DistillationRenewableOil / Oil ProductsFinlandOperating company
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - BitumenRenewableOil / Oil ProductsFinlandOperating company
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - BitumenRefineryOil / Oil ProductsFinlandOperating company
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - BitumenRefineryOil / Oil ProductsFinlandShareholder
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Continuous Catalytic ReformingRenewableOil / Oil ProductsFinlandOperating company
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Distillate Aromatic SaturationRefineryOil / Oil ProductsFinlandShareholder
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Distillate Aromatic SaturationRefineryOil / Oil ProductsFinlandOperating company
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Distillate Aromatic SaturationRenewableOil / Oil ProductsFinlandOperating company
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - ETBERenewableOil / Oil ProductsFinlandOperating company
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - HydrocrackerRefineryOil / Oil ProductsFinlandOperating company
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - HydrocrackerRefineryOil / Oil ProductsFinlandShareholder
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - IsomerizationRefineryOil / Oil ProductsFinlandShareholder
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - IsomerizationRefineryOil / Oil ProductsFinlandOperating company
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - LC Finer (Residual Hydrotreater Unit)RefineryOil / Oil ProductsFinlandShareholder
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - LC Finer (Residual Hydrotreater Unit)RefineryOil / Oil ProductsFinlandOperating company
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Light EndsRenewableOil / Oil ProductsFinlandOperating company
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - NEXBTL Unit 1RefineryOil / Oil ProductsFinlandShareholder
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - NEXBTL Unit 2RefineryOil / Oil ProductsFinlandShareholder
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - New Hydrogen PlantRefineryOil / Oil ProductsFinlandOperating company
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - New Hydrogen PlantRenewableOil / Oil ProductsFinlandOperating company
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - New Hydrogen PlantRefineryOil / Oil ProductsFinlandShareholder
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Porvoo 01RefineryOil / Oil ProductsFinlandOperating company
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Porvoo 01RefineryOil / Oil ProductsFinlandShareholder
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Porvoo 01RenewableOil / Oil ProductsFinlandOperating company
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Porvoo 02RefineryOil / Oil ProductsFinlandShareholder
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Porvoo 02RefineryOil / Oil ProductsFinlandOperating company
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Porvoo 02RenewableOil / Oil ProductsFinlandOperating company
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Porvoo 03RenewableOil / Oil ProductsFinlandOperating company
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Porvoo 04RenewableOil / Oil ProductsFinlandOperating company
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Sour Water Treatment 1RenewableOil / Oil ProductsFinlandOperating company
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Sour Water Treatment 2RefineryOil / Oil ProductsFinlandShareholder
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Sulfur Recovery UnitRefineryOil / Oil ProductsFinlandShareholder
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Sulfur Recovery UnitRenewableOil / Oil ProductsFinlandOperating company
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Sulfur Recovery UnitRefineryOil / Oil ProductsFinlandOperating company
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - TAMERenewableOil / Oil ProductsFinlandOperating company
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Vacuum Distillation Unit 1RefineryOil / Oil ProductsFinlandOperating company
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Vacuum Distillation Unit 1RefineryOil / Oil ProductsFinlandShareholder
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Vacuum Distillation Unit 1RenewableOil / Oil ProductsFinlandOperating company
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Vacuum Distillation Unit 2RefineryOil / Oil ProductsFinlandOperating company
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Vacuum Distillation Unit 2RefineryOil / Oil ProductsFinlandShareholder
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Vacuum Distillation Unit 2RenewableOil / Oil ProductsFinlandOperating company
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - VisbreakingRefineryOil / Oil ProductsFinlandShareholder
    Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - VisbreakingRefineryOil / Oil ProductsFinlandOperating company
    Tracked physical assets associated with this issuer (operated, managed, or owned).

    Actions

    Ask Handelsavisen

    — missing data
    Data sources
    • Market data
    • Market data cache
    • Issuer disclosures
    • Public news
    • Earnings transcripts
    • Consensus estimates
    • ESG data
    How metrics are computed
    • Dilution Ratio
      (shares_outstanding_diluted - shares_outstanding_basic) / shares_outstanding_basic
    • Net Cash
      cash_and_equivalents + short_term_investments - short_term_debt - long_term_debt
    • Capex To Revenue
      capital_expenditure / revenue
    • Return On Equity
      net_income / total_equity
    • Debt To Equity
      (short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
    • Cash Conversion Ratio
      operating_cash_flow / net_income
    Source documents
    • Neste Oyj Market data — financials · 2026-05-28
    • Neste Oyj Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-05-28

    Ownership & reference

    Leadership

    • Heikki MalinenPresident, Chief Executive Officer

    Insider activity

    — missing data

    Short positioning

    — missing data
    Index membership
    OMX Helsinki 25Finland

    Geographic breakdown

    — missing data
    Listings · one canonical issuer all listings resolve to the canonical
    NESTE.HECanonical
    Nasdaq Helsinki · EUR

    Intel & risk

    PredictorBeat prob45 %Surprise-0,00Full forecast →
    peak dispatch · —
    OSINT findings
    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskMedium
    Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.

    Evidence & claims

    From filings & derived data
    — missing data

    The Thread

    Everything we know, in order
    2026-06-30 03:38 UTCEARNINGSUpcomingForecast: earnings_forecast (90d)
    2026-06-20 12:34 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-06-20 12:34 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-06-20 12:34 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-06-20 12:34 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-06-20 12:34 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-06-20 12:34 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-06-20 12:34 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-06-20 12:34 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    The entity's full life in the product — typed, chronological, joined across Newspaper, Platform and Data. Our memory, made visible.
    Sources filings · IR · transcripts · market data · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 Market data · Issuer disclosures · Public news · Earnings transcripts · Consensus estimates · ESG data Premium coverage