NEXTDC Ltd
NEXTDC Ltd provides data center infrastructure and IT services, generating revenue primarily through colocation services, cloud hosting, and managed IT solutions.
Business. NEXTDC Ltd (NXT.AX) is an IT services and consulting company headquartered in Australia, primarily listed on the Australian Securities Exchange. The firm operates within the Software & IT Services sector, generating service-based revenue through its IT services activities. While specific operating segments are not disclosed, the company’s geographic revenue mix is predominantly concentrated in North America, which accounts for approximately 76.7% of total revenue, with the remaining 23.3% derived from the Rest of the World.
Analyst recommendations
13 analysts · consensus BuyAt a glance
What drives this business
The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.
News & coverage
1Sector rotation
Developing storylines
Analysis
AI analysisOpportunity
Upcoming catalysts
Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.
- Company
- EarningsQ2 2026 earnings (expected)2026-10-28 · estimated
- Macro
- Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
- Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
- Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
- Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
- Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
- Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
- Macro & political
- ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
- ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
- ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
Pre-earnings brief
There are no material changes, watcher signals, or cross-source dispatches recorded for Nextdc Ltd (NXT.AX) in the provided data. The system indicates this is the first analysis for this ticker, meaning there is no prior basis for computing deltas or identifying specific shifts in company fundamentals or market sentiment. Consequently, no specific events, financial updates, or strategic developments can be synthesized from the available facts. The absence of data in the MATERIAL_CHANGES and WATCHER_SIGNALS fields precludes any assertion regarding recent operational or financial performance changes. The COMPANY_360 profile shows that Nextdc Ltd is covered by 7 analysts and holds membership in 1 index. However, the data does not provide details on officer counts or top holders, limiting the scope of the structural overview. While citations exist for financials, estimates, and ESG data, the specific content within these documents is not included in the facts provided. Therefore, no conclusions can be drawn regarding the company's financial health, analyst consensus, or ESG standing based strictly on the supplied information.
Signals & dispatch
Composite-score breakdown
Synthesis
NEXTDC Ltd (NXT.AX) is an IT services and consulting company headquartered in Australia, primarily listed on the Australian Securities Exchange. The firm operates within the Software & IT Services sector, generating service-based revenue through its IT services activities. While specific operating segments are not disclosed, the company’s geographic revenue mix is predominantly concentrated in North America, which accounts for approximately 76.7% of total revenue, with the remaining 23.3% derived from the Rest of the World.
NEXTDC's capital structure shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29, indicating a relatively conservative leverage position. However, the company's free cash flow is negative at -1.45 billion AUD, driven by a capital expenditure of -1.59 billion AUD, which suggests significant reinvestment in its infrastructure. The liquidity position is characterized as medium risk, with a current ratio of 1.24, and the company holds 243.69 million AUD in cash and equivalents.
Profitability metrics reveal a challenging operating environment for NEXTDC. The company reported a net loss of 60.54 million AUD, with a return on equity of -1.46% and a return on assets of -1.06%. These figures are below the industry median for IT Services & Consulting, which typically shows positive returns, indicating a need for operational improvements or cost management.
Geographically, NEXTDC's revenue is concentrated in Australia, with no disclosed international segments. The company's exposure to a single market increases its vulnerability to local economic and regulatory changes. There is no detailed breakdown of revenue by business segment, but the primary sources are colocation services and cloud hosting.
The company's growth trajectory is mixed. While revenue for the latest period was 460.72 million AUD, the outlook for the current fiscal year is uncertain due to the negative net income and high capital expenditures. Analysts have provided a mean price target of 20.57 AUD, with a median of 20.30 AUD, suggesting a cautious but not bearish view on the stock.
Risk factors include the company's negative free cash flow and the potential for dilution, although the risk of dilution is currently assessed as low. The company's liquidity risk is moderate, with a current ratio of 1.24, and the risk of credit issues is low given the company's strong equity position.
Recent events include the publication of the latest financial results, which show a net loss despite positive operating cash flow. There are no recent filings or transcripts indicating significant changes in strategy or operations, but the company's capital expenditure suggests ongoing investment in its infrastructure.
There are no material changes, watcher signals, or cross-source dispatches recorded for Nextdc Ltd (NXT.AX) in the provided data. The system indicates this is the first analysis for this ticker, meaning there is no prior basis for computing deltas or identifying specific shifts in company fundamentals or market sentiment. Consequently, no specific events, financial updates, or strategic developments can be synthesized from the available facts. The absence of data in the MATERIAL_CHANGES and WATCHER_SIGNALS fields precludes any assertion regarding recent operational or financial performance changes. The COMPANY_360 profile shows that Nextdc Ltd is covered by 7 analysts and holds membership in 1 index. However, the data does not provide details on officer counts or top holders, limiting the scope of the structural overview. While citations exist for financials, estimates, and ESG data, the specific content within these documents is not included in the facts provided. Therefore, no conclusions can be drawn regarding the company's financial health, analyst consensus, or ESG standing based strictly on the supplied information.
- NEXTDC operates in the IT Services & Consulting industry with a focus on data center infrastructure and managed IT solutions.
- The company's capital structure is relatively conservative, but its free cash flow is negative due to high capital expenditures.
- NEXTDC's profitability metrics are below industry medians, indicating operational challenges.
- The company's revenue is concentrated in Australia, increasing its exposure to local market risks.
- Analysts have a cautiously optimistic outlook, with a mean price target of 20.57 AUD.
- The risk of dilution is currently low, but the company's liquidity risk is moderate.
Bull / Bear case
Generated · model-assistedIn focus — financials by report
Valuation
Revenue by segment
Business relationships
Supply chain
Peer comparison
Market position
Stress test
Predictor forecast
| Metric | Our forecast | Guidance | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | —no estimate | —no estimate | -0,20 |
| Revenue | —no estimate | —no estimate | 491,8M AUD |
| Operating income | —no estimate | —no estimate | -35,3M AUD |
Options
Short squeeze
Earnings-call key lines
Consensus distribution
sell-side coverageEstimate revisions
consensus EPS · 26-week trendSell-side observations
Themes
ESG
Risk factors
- Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Benchmarks vs cohort
Corporate actions / M&A
FX exposure
Comparable transactions
Derivatives & instruments
Derivative transactions
- Director, Chief Executive Officer · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 57 165exercise · 2026-06-18
- Chief Legal & Compliance Ofc · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 20 326exercise · 2026-06-18
- Director, President · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 30 488exercise · 2026-06-18
- Chief Accounting Officer · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 25 407exercise · 2026-06-18
- Director, Chief Executive Officer · Stock Option (Right to Buy) → Common StockDisposed 21 402 @ $21,00exercise · 2026-06-04
- Director, Chief Executive Officer · Stock Option (Right to Buy) → Common StockDisposed 55 000 @ $21,00exercise · 2026-05-29
- Director, Chief Executive Officer · Stock Option (Right to Buy) → Common StockDisposed 55 000 @ $21,00exercise · 2026-05-26
- Chief Operating Officer · Stock Option (Right to Buy) → Common StockDisposed 63 470 @ $21,00exercise · 2026-05-22
- Director, President · Stock Option (Right to Buy) → Common StockDisposed 124 497 @ $21,00exercise · 2026-05-20
Actions
Ask Handelsavisen
- Market data
- Market data cache
- Issuer disclosures
- Public news
- Earnings transcripts
- Consensus estimates
- ESG data
- Dilution Ratio(shares_outstanding_diluted - shares_outstanding_basic) / shares_outstanding_basic
- Net Cashcash_and_equivalents + short_term_investments - short_term_debt - long_term_debt
- Capex To Revenuecapital_expenditure / revenue
- Return On Equitynet_income / total_equity
- Debt To Equity(short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
- Cash Conversion Ratiooperating_cash_flow / net_income
- NEXTDC Ltd Market data — financials · 2026-05-28
- NEXTDC Ltd Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-05-28
- NEXTDC Ltd Market data — ESG · 2026-05-28
Ownership & reference
Insider activity
- Chief Legal & Compliance Off. · Common StockOther 13 898 · 2026-07-20
- Chief Legal & Compliance Ofc · Common StockOther 10 436 @ $128,38$1,3M · 2026-06-22
- Chief Accounting Officer · Common StockOther 13 368 @ $128,38$1,7M · 2026-06-22
- Director, Chief Executive Officer · Common StockOther 30 077 @ $128,38$3,9M · 2026-06-22
- Director, President · Common StockOther 16 041 @ $128,38$2,1M · 2026-06-22
- Chief Legal & Compliance Ofc · Common StockOther 20 326 · 2026-06-18
- Director, President · Common StockOther 30 488 · 2026-06-18
- Director, Chief Executive Officer · Common StockOther 57 165 · 2026-06-18
- Chief Accounting Officer · Common StockOther 25 407 · 2026-06-18
- Chief Operating Officer · Common StockOther 15 262 · 2026-06-15
- Director, Chief Executive Officer · Common StockOther 21 402 @ $144,73$3,1M · 2026-06-05
- Director, Chief Executive Officer · Common StockOther 21 402 @ $21,00$449K · 2026-06-04
- Director, Chief Executive Officer · Common StockOther 700 @ $151,47$106K · 2026-06-01
- Director, Chief Executive Officer · Common StockOther 1 360 @ $150,67$205K · 2026-06-01
- Director, Chief Executive Officer · Common StockOther 200 @ $152,09$30K · 2026-06-01
- Chief Financial Officer · Common StockSold 4 500 @ $151,79$683K · 2026-06-01
- Director, Chief Executive Officer · Common StockOther 7 435 @ $142,45$1,1M · 2026-06-01
- Director, Chief Executive Officer · Common StockOther 10 502 @ $143,13$1,5M · 2026-06-01
- Director, Chief Executive Officer · Common StockOther 10 067 @ $144,28$1,5M · 2026-06-01
- Director, Chief Executive Officer · Common StockOther 11 598 @ $145,44$1,7M · 2026-06-01
- Director, Chief Executive Officer · Common StockOther 7 131 @ $146,19$1,0M · 2026-06-01
- Director, Chief Executive Officer · Common StockOther 3 807 @ $147,33$561K · 2026-06-01
- Director, Chief Executive Officer · Common StockOther 1 500 @ $148,19$222K · 2026-06-01
- Director, Chief Executive Officer · Common StockOther 700 @ $149,36$105K · 2026-06-01
- Chief Operating Officer · Common StockSold 22 427 @ $156,00$3,5M · 2026-05-29
Short positioning
Intel & risk
Evidence & claims
From filings & derived data- EPS (basic) (YoY) (2026-03-31 vs 2025-03-31): 11.5%Derived (calculated)
- Capex (YoY) (2026-03-31 vs 2025-03-31): 45.3%Derived (calculated)
- Cost of revenue (YoY) (2026-03-31 vs 2025-03-31): 23.0%Derived (calculated)
- EPS (diluted) (YoY) (2026-03-31 vs 2025-03-31): 10.7%Derived (calculated)
- Gross profit (YoY) (2026-03-31 vs 2025-03-31): 15.0%Derived (calculated)
- Net income (YoY) (2026-03-31 vs 2025-03-31): 15.1%Derived (calculated)
- Operating cash flow (YoY) (2026-03-31 vs 2025-03-31): -14.2%Derived (calculated)
- Operating income (YoY) (2026-03-31 vs 2025-03-31): 9.1%Derived (calculated)
- R&D expense (YoY) (2026-03-31 vs 2025-03-31): 52.3%Derived (calculated)
- Revenue (YoY) (2026-03-31 vs 2025-03-31): 20.3%Derived (calculated)
- Gross margin (FY 2026-03-31): 32.6%Derived (calculated)
- Net margin (FY 2026-03-31): 16.5%Derived (calculated)
- Gross profit (annual): USD 1.16BSEC XBRL filing
- Operating cash flow (annual): USD 562.91MSEC XBRL filing
- Cost of revenue (annual): USD 2.4BSEC XBRL filing
- EPS (diluted) (annual): USD-PER-SHARES 4SEC XBRL filing
- Pre-tax income (annual): USD 713.83MSEC XBRL filing
- Capex (annual): USD 49.28MSEC XBRL filing
- Revenue (annual): USD 3.56BSEC XBRL filing
- R&D expense (annual): USD 120.91MSEC XBRL filing
- Operating income (annual): USD 697.27MSEC XBRL filing
- Net income (annual): USD 585.88MSEC XBRL filing
- EPS (basic) (annual): USD-PER-SHARES 4SEC XBRL filing
- Cash & equivalents (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 37.4%Derived (calculated)