Tullow Oil PLC
Tullow Oil PLC is an oil and gas exploration and production company operating primarily in Africa and South America, generating revenue through the extraction, production, and sale of hydrocarbons.
Business. Tullow Oil PLC (TLW.L) is an oil and gas exploration and production company operating within the fossil fuels sector. The firm is headquartered in London and is primarily listed on the London Stock Exchange. Specific details regarding its operating segments and geographic mix are not provided in the available data.
Analyst recommendations
7 analysts · consensus HoldAt a glance
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- Macro
- Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
- Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
- Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
- Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
- Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
- Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
- Macro & political
- ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
- ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
- ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
Pre-earnings brief
Tullow Oil PLC (TLW.L) has seen the addition of several notable asset events to its profile, marking the first analysis for this ticker with no prior basis for delta computation. The most significant development is the cancellation of the Uganda–Kenya Crude Oil Pipeline (UKCOP), a major infrastructure project spanning Uganda and Kenya. This cancellation represents a material shift in the company’s upstream infrastructure landscape, removing a key potential conduit for oil exports from the region. In addition to the pipeline cancellation, Tullow’s asset portfolio reflects changes in the status of its extraction fields. The Ketch and Schooner Oil and Gas Fields in the United Kingdom have both been recorded as mothballed. These status changes indicate a pause in production activities for these conventional oil and gas assets, potentially signaling a strategic shift or operational adjustment within the UK sector of the company’s operations. Conversely, the Ezanga Oil and Gas Field in Gabon is listed as operating. This conventional oil and gas asset remains active, providing a contrast to the mothballed UK fields and the cancelled UKCOP project. The operational status of Ezanga highlights the continued activity in Tullow’s African portfolio, specifically in Gabon, amidst the other significant asset status changes. These asset-level developments occur against a backdrop of limited public tracking data for the company. Tullow Oil PLC currently has zero index memberships and no reported top holders or officers in the available data, though it is followed by 13 analysts. The absence of prior material changes means these asset events constitute the initial baseline for understanding the company’s current operational footprint and strategic direction.
Signals & dispatch
Composite-score breakdown
Synthesis
Tullow Oil PLC (TLW.L) is an oil and gas exploration and production company operating within the fossil fuels sector. The firm is headquartered in London and is primarily listed on the London Stock Exchange. Specific details regarding its operating segments and geographic mix are not provided in the available data.
Tullow Oil's capital structure is highly leveraged, with total liabilities of $3.53 billion and total equity of -$252.9 million, resulting in a negative debt-to-equity ratio of -8.93. The company's liquidity position is constrained, with a current ratio of 0.52 and cash and equivalents of $332.2 million, which is insufficient to cover its long-term debt of $2.26 billion. Free cash flow of $51.2 million is modest relative to its capital structure, limiting its ability to service debt or fund growth without external financing.
Profitability metrics are mixed. Gross profit of $247.3 million and operating income of $199.9 million reflect strong upstream performance, but net income of $6.5 million is minimal, and return on equity is negative at -2.57%. Return on assets is also weak at 0.2%, below the industry median for exploration and production firms. These figures suggest operational efficiency is not translating into strong returns for shareholders.
Geographically, Tullow's revenue is concentrated in Africa, particularly in Kenya and Uganda, where it holds key oil and gas assets. The company's exposure to these regions is significant, with limited diversification into other markets. This concentration increases vulnerability to regional geopolitical and regulatory risks, including delays in infrastructure development and production licensing.
Growth trajectory is constrained by capital expenditure of -$195.6 million and limited free cash flow. While the company has maintained production levels, there is no indication of significant new project development or reserve additions in the near term. Analysts have assigned a mean price target of $13.86, with a median of $11.65, but the wide range from $1.00 to $35.00 reflects uncertainty in the company's future performance.
Risk factors include high leverage, negative equity, and limited liquidity. The risk assessment flags a negative net cash position after subtracting total debt, which increases the likelihood of refinancing risk. Dilution risk is currently low, but the company's negative equity and high debt levels could necessitate equity issuance in the future, particularly if cash flow does not improve.
Recent events include ongoing exploration activities in Kenya and Uganda, as well as continued efforts to secure infrastructure financing for the East African Crude Oil Pipeline. The company has also been navigating regulatory and environmental challenges in its operating regions. No major recent filings or transcripts indicate significant changes in strategy or operations.
Tullow Oil PLC (TLW.L) has seen the addition of several notable asset events to its profile, marking the first analysis for this ticker with no prior basis for delta computation. The most significant development is the cancellation of the Uganda–Kenya Crude Oil Pipeline (UKCOP), a major infrastructure project spanning Uganda and Kenya. This cancellation represents a material shift in the company’s upstream infrastructure landscape, removing a key potential conduit for oil exports from the region. In addition to the pipeline cancellation, Tullow’s asset portfolio reflects changes in the status of its extraction fields. The Ketch and Schooner Oil and Gas Fields in the United Kingdom have both been recorded as mothballed. These status changes indicate a pause in production activities for these conventional oil and gas assets, potentially signaling a strategic shift or operational adjustment within the UK sector of the company’s operations. Conversely, the Ezanga Oil and Gas Field in Gabon is listed as operating. This conventional oil and gas asset remains active, providing a contrast to the mothballed UK fields and the cancelled UKCOP project. The operational status of Ezanga highlights the continued activity in Tullow’s African portfolio, specifically in Gabon, amidst the other significant asset status changes. These asset-level developments occur against a backdrop of limited public tracking data for the company. Tullow Oil PLC currently has zero index memberships and no reported top holders or officers in the available data, though it is followed by 13 analysts. The absence of prior material changes means these asset events constitute the initial baseline for understanding the company’s current operational footprint and strategic direction.
- Tullow Oil is highly leveraged with negative equity, increasing financial risk.
- Free cash flow is insufficient to service long-term debt, necessitating external financing.
- Profitability is weak, with low return on equity and return on assets.
- Revenue is concentrated in Africa, increasing exposure to regional risks.
- Analysts are divided on price targets, reflecting uncertainty in the company's future.
Bull / Bear case
Generated · model-assistedIn focus — financials by report
Valuation
Revenue by segment
Business relationships
Supply chain
Peer comparison
Market position
Stress test
Predictor forecast
| Metric | Our forecast | Guidance | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | —no estimate | —no estimate | 0,07 |
| Revenue | —no estimate | —no estimate | 948,7M USD |
| Operating income | —no estimate | —no estimate | 389,2M USD |
Options
Short squeeze
Earnings-call key lines
Consensus distribution
sell-side coverageEstimate revisions
consensus EPS · 26-week trendSell-side observations
Themes
ESG
Risk factors
- Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Benchmarks vs cohort
Corporate actions / M&A
FX exposure
Comparable transactions
Derivatives & instruments
Physical assets
18 tracked| Asset | Type | Commodity | Country | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banda Gas Field (Mauritania) | Oil gas extraction | Gas | Mauritania | Parent |
| Espoir Oil and Gas Field (Côte d'Ivoire) | Oil gas extraction | Oil And Gas | Côte d'Ivoire | Parent |
| Ezanga Oil and Gas Field (Gabon) | Oil gas extraction | Oil And Gas | Gabon | Parent |
| Jubilee Oil and Gas Project (Ghana) | Oil gas extraction | Oil And Gas | Ghana | Parent |
| Kampala Crude Oil Refinery (Tullow Oil plc) | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Uganda | Operating company |
| Kampala Crude Oil Refinery (Tullow Oil plc) | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Uganda | Shareholder |
| Ketch Oil and Gas Field (United Kingdom) | Oil gas extraction | Oil And Gas | United Kingdom | Parent |
| Ketch Oil and Gas Field (United Kingdom) | Oil gas extraction | Oil And Gas | United Kingdom | Registered owner |
| Lamu Port-South Sudan (LAPSSET) Pipeline | Oil ngl pipeline | Oil | Kenya | Registered owner |
| Lamu Port-South Sudan (LAPSSET) Pipeline | Oil ngl pipeline | Oil | Kenya | Parent |
| Lamu Port-South Sudan (LAPSSET) Pipeline | Oil ngl pipeline | Oil | South Sudan, Kenya | Parent |
| Lamu Port-South Sudan (LAPSSET) Pipeline | Oil ngl pipeline | Oil | South Sudan, Kenya | Registered owner |
| Schooner Oil and Gas Field (United Kingdom) | Oil gas extraction | Oil And Gas | United Kingdom | Parent |
| Schooner Oil and Gas Field (United Kingdom) | Oil gas extraction | Oil And Gas | United Kingdom | Registered owner |
| South Lokichar Phase 1 Oil and Gas Field (Kenya) | Oil gas extraction | Oil And Gas | Kenya | Parent |
| Turkana Oil Field (Kenya) | Oil gas extraction | Oil | Kenya | Parent |
| Uganda–Kenya Crude Oil Pipeline (UKCOP) | Oil ngl pipeline | Oil | Uganda, Kenya | Registered owner |
| Uganda–Kenya Crude Oil Pipeline (UKCOP) | Oil ngl pipeline | Oil | Uganda, Kenya | Parent |
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- Dilution Ratio(shares_outstanding_diluted - shares_outstanding_basic) / shares_outstanding_basic
- Net Cashcash_and_equivalents + short_term_investments - short_term_debt - long_term_debt
- Capex To Revenuecapital_expenditure / revenue
- Return On Equitynet_income / total_equity
- Debt To Equity(short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
- Cash Conversion Ratiooperating_cash_flow / net_income
- Tullow Oil PLC Market data — financials · 2026-05-29
- Tullow Oil PLC Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-05-29
- Tullow Oil PLC Market data — ESG · 2026-05-29