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Companies Financials 3968.HK
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3968.HK HKEX Banks

China Merchants Bank Co Ltd

HK$49,76
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Mcap
228,4B HKD
P/E
1,4x
EV / Rev
4,4x
Div yield
4,70 %
Op margin
ROE
3,4 %
Net margin
73,2 %
Debt / equity
0,66
Beta
52w range
Volume
Day range
Prev close
Open
Next earnings
Ex-dividend
TR 1Y
About

China Merchants Bank Co Ltd provides a range of banking and financial services, including corporate and retail banking, investment banking, and asset management.

Business. China Merchants Bank Co Ltd (3968.HK) is a bank operating within the Financials sector, specifically in the Banking & Investment Services industry. The company generates revenue primarily through interest income and is listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Specific details regarding its operating segments and geographic mix are not provided.

Classification92 %
SectorFinancials
Business sectorBanking & Investment Services
IndustryBanks
Generated · model-assisted
Sell-side consensus
BUY18 analysts
15 buy2 hold1 sell
Avg 12m price target57,60

Analyst recommendations

18 analysts · consensus Buy
Buy15
Hold2
Sell1
12-month price target
57,60
Consensus of sell-side coverage.
Upcoming events
— missing data
See all catalysts →

At a glance

Score
not yet scored
Valuation
1,4x
P/E
Analysts
Buy
18 analysts · indicative
Ownership
not yet wired
Profitability
3,4 %
return on equity
Quality
not yet scored

What drives this business

The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.

— missing data

News & coverage

0
  • No recent newsroom coverage mentioning 3968.
  • Sector rotation

    Sector1D1Mvs mkt
    Materials+2,3 %+6,6 %+1,7 %
    Communication Services+2,2 %−5,5 %+1,6 %
    Energy+0,6 %+3,3 %+0,0 %
    Health Care+0,6 %−0,8 %+0,0 %
    Information Technology+0,6 %+6,7 %+0,0 %
    Consumer Discretionary+0,4 %+7,6 %−0,2 %
    Financials · THIS SECTOR−0,3 %−2,8 %−0,9 %
    Consumer Staples−0,4 %+2,5 %−1,0 %
    Real Estate−0,7 %+10,9 %−1,3 %
    Industrials−1,9 %−3,1 %−2,5 %
    Utilities−1,9 %+28,2 %−2,5 %

    Developing storylines

    No tracked sagas currently linked to 3968.HK. Browse all sagas →

    Analysis

    AI analysis
    Generated · analysis pipeline · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 ↑ At a glance

    Opportunity

    — missing data

    Upcoming catalysts

    Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.

    • Peers
    • DividendDividend USD 1.75/sh2026-09-25 · Bank of America (BAC)
    • EarningsQ3 2026 earnings (expected)2026-10-13 · estimated · JPMorgan Chase (JPM)
    • EarningsQ3 2026 earnings (expected)2026-10-13 · estimated · Citigroup (C)
    • Macro
    • Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
    • Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
    • Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
    • Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
    • Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
    • Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
    • Macro & political
    • ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
    • ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
    • ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR

    Pre-earnings brief

    — missing data

    Signals & dispatch

    peak dispatch · —

    Composite-score breakdown

    Synthesis

    Business

    China Merchants Bank Co Ltd (3968.HK) is a bank operating within the Financials sector, specifically in the Banking & Investment Services industry. The company generates revenue primarily through interest income and is listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Specific details regarding its operating segments and geographic mix are not provided.

    Classification92 %
    SectorFinancials
    Business sectorBanking & Investment Services
    IndustryBanks
    AI synthesis
    GENERATED

    China Merchants Bank Co Ltd maintains a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.66, indicating a relatively conservative capital structure. The company's liquidity position is assessed as medium, with a price-to-book ratio of 0.19 and a price-to-tangible-book ratio of 0.19, suggesting that the market values the company's equity at a significant discount to its book value. The company's return on equity is 3.4%, which is below the typical performance of banks in the industry.

    The company's profitability is reflected in a net income of 38.08 billion CNY and a return on assets of 0.33%. These figures suggest that the company is generating a modest return on its assets, which is in line with the industry's median performance. The company's operating cash flow is negative at -1.21 billion CNY, indicating that its operations are not currently generating positive cash flow.

    China Merchants Bank's revenue is not segmented by geographic region in the provided data, but the company's exposure to the Chinese market is significant given its domestic operations. The company's revenue concentration is primarily within the banking sector, with no specific segments disclosed.

    The company's growth trajectory is expected to remain stable, with no significant changes in revenue forecasted for the current fiscal year. The company's free cash flow of 31.32 billion CNY indicates that it has sufficient liquidity to fund operations and potentially return value to shareholders.

    The company's risk assessment indicates a low potential for dilution, with a dilution risk score of low. The company's liquidity risk is moderate, and its credit risk is not explicitly stated in the provided data. The company's key financial flags include a negative net cash position after subtracting total debt, which could impact its liquidity.

    Recent events and filings do not provide specific details on the company's recent activities, but the company's financial performance and risk profile suggest a stable and conservative approach to its operations.

    Key takeaways
    • China Merchants Bank Co Ltd has a conservative capital structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.66.
    • The company's return on equity is 3.4%, which is below the typical performance of banks in the industry.
    • The company's liquidity position is assessed as medium, with a price-to-book ratio of 0.19.
    • The company's free cash flow of 31.32 billion CNY indicates sufficient liquidity to fund operations.
    • The company's risk assessment indicates a low potential for dilution.

    Bull / Bear case

    Generated · model-assisted
    BULL CASE · 4

    Analysts project 15.8% upside to a mean price target of 57.60, reflecting strong market confidence in the bank's future performance.

    The stock trades at a deep 0.19x price-to-book ratio, suggesting significant undervaluation relative to its tangible book value of 1.12 trillion CNY.

    Net income demonstrated robust growth with a 5.8% CAGR over four years, reaching 150.2 billion CNY in the latest fiscal period.

    Total assets expanded at a 9.0% CAGR over five years, indicating consistent balance sheet growth and scale expansion for the institution.

    BEAR CASE · 5

    Return on equity stands at a weak 3.4%, falling well below the 6.3% median for the banking cohort and indicating poor capital efficiency.

    Revenue growth has slowed to a mere 1.4% CAGR over five years, signaling limited top-line expansion potential in the current environment.

    Return on assets is critically low at 0.33%, suggesting the bank generates minimal profit from its massive 13.07 trillion CNY asset base.

    The company faces medium liquidity risk, which could constrain its ability to meet short-term obligations or fund rapid asset growth.

    Cash conversion is negative at -3.0%, performing worse than the 1.14 cohort median and indicating potential issues with cash flow generation.

    In focus — financials by report

    Quarterly
    Annual
    QUARTERLYFiled 2026-03-27
    Q4 2025 · Quarter highlights

    Revenue ¥55.55B, +2,9% YoY; Net income +3,4% YoY.

    Revenue¥55.55B+2,9 % YoY
    Operating income
    Net income¥36.41B+3,4 % YoY
    Free cash flow¥27.07B−8,2 % YoY
    EPS
    Operating cash flow¥451.46B+1,0 % YoY
    Financials
    Income statement
    Revenue¥55.55B
    Gross profit
    Operating income
    Net income¥36.41B
    Margins
    Gross margin
    Operating margin
    Net margin65.5%
    FCF margin48.7%
    Balance sheet
    Total assets¥13.07T
    Total liabilities¥11.80T
    Total equity¥1.27T
    Cash & equivalents
    Long-term debt¥361.23B
    Cash flow
    Operating cash flow¥451.46B
    CapEx-¥28.14B
    Free cash flow¥27.07B
    SBC
    Highlights
    • Revenue ¥55.55B, +2,9% YoY
    • Net income +3,4% YoY
    • Free cash flow −8,2% YoY
    • Net margin 65.5%

    Valuation TTM

    Market price
    HK$49,76
    Market cap
    HK$211.09B
    Enterprise value
    HK$952.51B
    P/E
    1.4x
    Non-GAAP P/E
    EV / Revenue
    4.4x
    EV / Op income
    EV / OCF
    P / B
    0.2x
    P / Tangible book
    0.2x
    Tangible book
    HK$1.12T
    Net cash
    -HK$741.42B
    Current ratio
    Debt / equity
    0.7
    ROA
    0.3%
    ROE
    3.4%
    Cash conversion
    -3.0%
    CapEx / revenue
    -21.1%
    SBC / revenue
    Dilution ratio
    0.0%

    Revenue by segment

    Market share

    — missing data

    Business relationships

    — missing data

    Supply chain

    — missing data

    Peer comparison

    — missing data

    Market position

    Stress test

    — missing data

    Predictor forecast

    Next quarternear-term
    Earnings · next quarterconf 45 %
    EPS
    Consensus EPS
    5,99
    Predicted surprise
    -0,00
    Beat probability
    45 %
    Analysts
    18
    Other metrics
    Revenue
    no estimate
    Segment revenue
    no estimate
    Margin
    no estimate
    Segment margin
    no estimate
    as of 2026-05-01 · Earnings Surprise V1
    Period note: consensus is not fiscal-period-aligned at source — read as consensus vs the last reported actual, not a calibrated same-quarter surprise.
    Full fiscal year~1 year ahead
    Full fiscal year · our forecast vs guidance vs consensus
    MetricOur forecastGuidanceConsensus
    EPSno estimateno estimate5,99
    Revenueno estimateno estimate351,5B CNY
    Operating incomeno estimateno estimate223,1B CNY
    Full-year consensus mean (period as reported by source) · consensus in CNY. Company-level full-year forecast and management guidance are not yet modelled at scale — shown as "no estimate", never inferred.
    Probabilistic model output — not investment advice. · generated 2026-08-04

    Options

    — missing data

    Short squeeze

    — missing data

    Earnings-call key lines

    — missing data

    Consensus distribution

    sell-side coverage
    Recommendation distribution18 analysts
    Strong buy3
    Buy12
    Hold2
    Sell1
    Strong sell0
    12-month price targetHK$57,60 · Median HK$57,19
    Low HK$49,00High HK$70,00
    Operating income · consensus223,1B CNY
    EPS surprise
    −4,9 %
    reported vs consensus · miss
    Revenue surprise
    −4,0 %
    reported vs consensus · miss

    Estimate revisions

    consensus EPS · 26-week trend
    — missing data

    Sell-side observations

    LowHK$49,00
    MeanHK$57,60
    MedianHK$57,19
    HighHK$70,00
    SpotHK$49,76
    +15.8 %implied to mean12-month sell-side price targets · ▲ spot

    Themes

    — missing data

    ESG

    — missing data

    Risk factors

    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskMedium
    Filing-based flags
    • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.

    Benchmarks vs cohort

    Net Margin73,2 %Best in class
    ROE3,4 %Below median
    Capex / Rev-21,1 %Bottom quartile
    D/E0,66Below median
    Cash Conv-0,03Below median

    Corporate actions / M&A

    — missing data

    FX exposure

    — missing data

    Comparable transactions

    — missing data

    Derivatives & instruments

    — missing data

    Physical assets

    2 tracked
    AssetTypeCommodityCountryRole
    GREEN AANEKOSKIVesselRed Sea Bulker Zone, Red SeaManager
    GREEN HELSINKIVesselJiangsu, Far East Bulker Zone, Yangtze River, China (Mainland)Manager
    Tracked physical assets associated with this issuer (operated, managed, or owned).

    Actions

    Ask Handelsavisen

    — missing data
    Data sources
    • Market data
    • Market data cache
    • Issuer disclosures
    • Public news
    • Earnings transcripts
    • Consensus estimates
    • ESG data
    How metrics are computed
    • Return On Equity
      net_income / total_equity
    • Price To Earnings
      market_price / (net_income / shares_outstanding_diluted)
    • Price To Book
      market_price / (adjusted_book_value / shares_outstanding_diluted)
    • Dilution Ratio
      (shares_outstanding_diluted - shares_outstanding_basic) / shares_outstanding_basic
    • Market Price
      input from market-data provider (delayed close or quote-shim mid)
    • Market Cap
      market_price * shares_outstanding_diluted
    Source documents
    • China Merchants Bank Co Ltd Market data — financials · 2026-05-26
    • China Merchants Bank Co Ltd Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-05-26

    Ownership & reference

    Insider activity

    — missing data

    Short positioning

    — missing data
    Index membership
    Hang Seng

    Geographic breakdown

    — missing data
    Listings · one canonical issuer all listings resolve to the canonical
    3968.HKCanonical
    HKEX · HKD

    Intel & risk

    PredictorBeat prob45 %Surprise-0,00Full forecast →
    peak dispatch · —
    OSINT findings
    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskMedium
    Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
    Relationship graph
    3968JPMBACCBanks
    This companyPeerSector

    Evidence & claims

    From filings & derived data
    — missing data

    The Thread

    Everything we know, in order
    2026-06-30 03:38 UTCEARNINGSUpcomingForecast: earnings_forecast (90d)
    2026-06-20 00:43 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-06-20 00:43 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-06-20 00:43 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-06-20 00:43 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-06-20 00:43 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-06-20 00:43 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-06-20 00:43 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-06-20 00:43 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-03-27 18:42 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q4 2025 Revenue CNY 55.55B · Net CNY 36.41B
    2026-03-27 18:42 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2026 Revenue CNY 215.59B · Net CNY 150.18B
    2025-10-29 16:34 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q3 2025 Revenue CNY 53.96B · Net CNY 38.84B
    2025-08-29 16:02 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q2 2025 Revenue CNY 53.09B · Net CNY 37.64B
    2025-04-29 15:13 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q1 2025 Revenue CNY 53.00B · Net CNY 37.29B
    2025-01-14 15:07 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q4 2024 Revenue CNY 53.98B · Net CNY 35.21B
    2025-01-14 15:07 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2025 Revenue CNY 211.28B · Net CNY 148.39B
    2024-10-29 15:05 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q3 2024 Revenue CNY 52.85B · Net CNY 38.44B
    2024-08-29 15:20 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q2 2024 Revenue CNY 52.45B · Net CNY 36.67B
    2024-04-29 14:56 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q1 2024 Revenue CNY 52.00B · Net CNY 38.08B
    2024-01-19 14:54 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2024 Revenue CNY 214.67B · Net CNY 146.60B
    2023-01-13 14:14 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2023 Revenue CNY 218.24B · Net CNY 138.01B
    2022-01-14 14:57 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2022 Revenue CNY 203.92B · Net CNY 119.92B
    The entity's full life in the product — typed, chronological, joined across Newspaper, Platform and Data. Our memory, made visible.
    Sources filings · IR · transcripts · market data · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 Market data · Issuer disclosures · Public news · Earnings transcripts · Consensus estimates · ESG data Premium coverage