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INDICATIVE · SAMPLE DATA
AFGC$18.8758

American Financial Group Inc

Property & Casualty InsuranceVerified

American Financial Group Inc maintains a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35, indicating a relatively conservative capital structure with limited leverage. The company's liquidity position is assessed as medium, with $1.09 billion in cash and equivalents but $1.48 billion in long-term debt, resulting in negative net cash. Free cash flow is negative at -$44 million, driven by -$38 million in capital expenditures, suggesting reinvestment in operations or asset maintenance. Profitability metrics show a return on equity of 5.71% and return on assets of 0.81%, both below the industry median for property and casualty insurers. The operating margin of 8.73% (calculated from $262 million operating income on $3 billion in assets) lags behind peers, indicating potential underwriting or cost management challenges. The company's revenue concentration is not disclosed in available segments, but as a property and casualty insurer, it is likely exposed to geographic and product line concentration risks. No specific segment or geographic breakdown is provided in the financial snapshot. Outlook data is not available for the current or next fiscal year, but the company's operating income of $262 million and net income of $242 million suggest stable performance in the most recent period. Analysts have assigned a mean price target of $140.83, significantly higher than the current market price of $18.87, but the recommendation mean of 2.75 (on a 1-5 scale) indicates a cautious outlook with no strong buy ratings. Risk factors include medium liquidity risk due to negative net cash and an inability to assess dilution risk due to missing share count data. The company's capital structure appears stable, but the negative free cash flow and high price target dispersion suggest uncertainty in valuation and earnings potential. Recent events include the publication of the latest financial data (HA-latest), but no specific filings or transcripts are available in the source documents. Analyst estimates show a wide range of price targets ($127 to $155), with six "hold" ratings and two "buy" ratings, indicating a mixed but not strongly bearish sentiment.

30-day price · AFGC-0.38 (-2.0%)
Low$18.25High$19.21Close$18.50As of26 May, 00:00 UTC
Profile
CompanyAmerican Financial Group Inc
TickerAFGC.K
SectorFinancials
BusinessInsurance
Industry groupInsurance
IndustryProperty & Casualty Insurance
AI analysis

Business. American Financial Group Inc provides property and casualty insurance products and services, generating revenue primarily through underwriting and investment income.

Classification. The company is classified under the Financials economic sector, Insurance business sector, and Property & Casualty Insurance industry with 92% confidence based on verified market data.

American Financial Group Inc maintains a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35, indicating a relatively conservative capital structure with limited leverage. The company's liquidity position is assessed as medium, with $1.09 billion in cash and equivalents but $1.48 billion in long-term debt, resulting in negative net cash. Free cash flow is negative at -$44 million, driven by -$38 million in capital expenditures, suggesting reinvestment in operations or asset maintenance. Profitability metrics show a return on equity of 5.71% and return on assets of 0.81%, both below the industry median for property and casualty insurers. The operating margin of 8.73% (calculated from $262 million operating income on $3 billion in assets) lags behind peers, indicating potential underwriting or cost management challenges. The company's revenue concentration is not disclosed in available segments, but as a property and casualty insurer, it is likely exposed to geographic and product line concentration risks. No specific segment or geographic breakdown is provided in the financial snapshot. Outlook data is not available for the current or next fiscal year, but the company's operating income of $262 million and net income of $242 million suggest stable performance in the most recent period. Analysts have assigned a mean price target of $140.83, significantly higher than the current market price of $18.87, but the recommendation mean of 2.75 (on a 1-5 scale) indicates a cautious outlook with no strong buy ratings. Risk factors include medium liquidity risk due to negative net cash and an inability to assess dilution risk due to missing share count data. The company's capital structure appears stable, but the negative free cash flow and high price target dispersion suggest uncertainty in valuation and earnings potential. Recent events include the publication of the latest financial data (HA-latest), but no specific filings or transcripts are available in the source documents. Analyst estimates show a wide range of price targets ($127 to $155), with six "hold" ratings and two "buy" ratings, indicating a mixed but not strongly bearish sentiment.
Key takeaways
  • The company maintains a conservative capital structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35.
  • Return on equity of 5.71% and return on assets of 0.81% lag behind industry medians.
  • Negative free cash flow of -$44 million suggests reinvestment or operational constraints.
  • Analysts have assigned a wide range of price targets ($127 to $155), with a mean of $140.83.
  • Liquidity risk is assessed as medium due to negative net cash after subtracting total debt.
  • Dilution risk cannot be assessed due to missing share count data.
  • --
  • # RATIONALES
Financial snapshot
PeriodHA-latest
CurrencyUSD
Revenue
Gross profit
Operating income$262.0M
Net income$242.0M
R&D
SG&A
D&A
SBC
Operating cash flow$107.0M
CapEx-$38.0M
Free cash flow-$44.0M
Total assets$30.00B
Total liabilities$25.76B
Total equity$4.24B
Cash & equivalents$1.09B
Long-term debt$1.48B
Annual history (last 5)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
FY-4$1.43B$2.00B-$1.17B
FY-3$1.04B$898.0M-$301.0M
FY-2$1.01B$852.0M$174.0M
FY-1$1.05B$887.0M$47.0M
FY0$1.07B$842.0M$187.0M
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
FY-4
FY-3
FY-2
FY-1
FY0
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
FY-4$28.93B$5.01B$2.13B
FY-3$28.83B$4.05B$872.0M
FY-2$29.79B$4.26B$1.23B
FY-1$30.84B$4.47B$1.41B
FY0$32.64B$4.82B$1.73B
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
FY-4$1.71B-$62.0M-$1.17B
FY-3$1.15B-$86.0M-$301.0M
FY-2$1.97B-$72.0M$174.0M
FY-1$1.15B-$133.0M$47.0M
FY0$1.53B-$135.0M$187.0M
Quarterly history (last 4)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
FQ-7$262.0M$242.0M-$44.0M
FQ-6$268.0M$209.0M$136.0M
FQ-5$212.0M$181.0M$115.0M
FQ-4$306.0M$255.0M-$160.0M
FQ-3$194.0M$154.0M-$82.0M
FQ-2$240.0M$174.0M$95.0M
FQ-1$253.0M$215.0M$128.0M
FQ0$387.0M$299.0M$46.0M
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
FQ-7
FQ-6
FQ-5
FQ-4
FQ-3
FQ-2
FQ-1
FQ0
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
FQ-7$30.00B$4.24B$1.09B
FQ-6$29.91B$4.38B$1.12B
FQ-5$32.59B$4.71B$1.32B
FQ-4$30.84B$4.47B$1.41B
FQ-3$30.29B$4.39B$1.28B
FQ-2$30.67B$4.52B$1.27B
FQ-1$33.83B$4.73B$1.84B
FQ0$32.64B$4.82B$1.73B
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
FQ-7$107.0M-$38.0M-$44.0M
FQ-6$19.0M-$71.0M$136.0M
FQ-5$478.0M-$100.0M$115.0M
FQ-4$1.15B-$133.0M-$160.0M
FQ-3$342.0M-$25.0M-$82.0M
FQ-2$533.0M-$58.0M$95.0M
FQ-1$749.0M-$99.0M$128.0M
FQ0$1.53B-$135.0M$46.0M
Valuation
Market price$18.87
Market cap
Enterprise value
P/E
Reported non-GAAP P/E
EV/Revenue
EV/Op income
EV/OCF
P/B
P/Tangible book
Tangible book$4.24B
Net cash-$388.0M
Current ratio
Debt/Equity0.3
ROA0.8%
ROE5.7%
Cash conversion44.0%
CapEx/Revenue
SBC/Revenue
Asset intensity
Dilution ratio
Risk assessment
Dilution riskUnknown
Liquidity riskMedium
  • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
  • Dilution risk could not be assessed (basic + diluted share counts missing).
Industry benchmarks
Activity: Insurance · cohort 5 companies
MetricAFGCActivity
Op margin19.9% medp25 18.5% · p75 33.1%
Net margin13.0% medp25 12.2% · p75 21.2%
Gross margin63.2% medp25 34.2% · p75 67.3%
CapEx / revenue-1.6% medp25 -2.7% · p75 -0.1%
Debt / equity35.0%4.8% medp25 0.3% · p75 25.4%top quartile
Observations
IR observations
Mean price target140.83 USD
Median price target140.00 USD
High price target155.00 USD
Low price target127.00 USD
Mean recommendation2.75 (1=strong buy, 5=strong sell)
Strong-buy count0.00
Buy count2.00
Hold count6.00
Sell count0.00
Strong-sell count0.00
Mean EPS estimate11.07 USD
Last actual EPS10.29 USD
Source data
Underlying data the analysis-pipeline pulls and audits. Fetch timestamps + content hashes show when each source was last refreshed.
Company fundamentalsperiod FQ-7 · history via verified-market-data
no public URL
2026-04-30 02:03 UTC#203bf8ff
Market quoteclose USD 18.87
no public URL
2026-04-30 02:03 UTC#f0263a61
Source: analysis-pipeline (hybrid)Generated: 2026-05-27 06:56 UTCJob: b5665fbc