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BTCT.O NASDAQ Investment Holding Companies

BTC Digital Ltd

$0,52
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LatestHandelsavisen revises BTC Digital Ltd thesis after sector classification audit
Last 30 days
1D5D1M3M6MYTD1Y5YMax
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Mcap
5,0M USD
P/E
EV / Rev
0,7x
Div yield
Op margin
-22,9 %
ROE
-5,3 %
Net margin
-17,0 %
Debt / equity
Beta
52w range
Volume
64
Day range
Prev close
$0,86
Open
Next earnings
2026-10-28
Ex-dividend
TR 1Y
About

BTC Digital Ltd operates in the Software industry within the Information Technology sector, generating revenue through software-related activities.

Business. BTC Digital Ltd (BTCT.O) is an investment holding company operating within the Financials sector. The company is headquartered in the United States and is primarily listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange. Specific details regarding its operating segments and geographic revenue mix are not disclosed.

Classification99 %
SectorFinancials
Industry groupInvestment Holding Companies
Generated · model-assisted
Sell-side consensus
BUY1 analysts
1 buy0 hold0 sell
Avg 12m price target7,41

Analyst recommendations

1 analysts · consensus Buy
Buy1
Hold0
Sell0
12-month price target
7,41
Consensus of sell-side coverage.
Upcoming events
  • EarningsQ3 2026 earnings (expected)2026-10-28 · estimated
See all catalysts →

At a glance

Score
not yet scored
Valuation
valuation pending
Analysts
Buy
1 analysts · indicative
Ownership
UBS Financial Services, Inc.
largest disclosed fund holder
Profitability
-5,3 %
return on equity
Quality
not yet scored

What drives this business

The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.

— missing data

News & coverage

1
  • MARKETSHandelsavisen revises BTC Digital Ltd thesis after sector classification audit2026-07-16
  • Sector rotation

    Sector1D1Mvs mkt
    Materials+2,3 %+6,6 %+1,7 %
    Communication Services+2,2 %−5,5 %+1,6 %
    Energy+0,6 %+3,3 %+0,0 %
    Health Care+0,6 %−0,8 %+0,0 %
    Information Technology+0,6 %+6,7 %+0,0 %
    Consumer Discretionary+0,4 %+7,6 %−0,2 %
    Financials · THIS SECTOR−0,3 %−2,8 %−0,9 %
    Consumer Staples−0,4 %+2,5 %−1,0 %
    Real Estate−0,7 %+10,9 %−1,3 %
    Industrials−1,9 %−3,1 %−2,5 %
    Utilities−1,9 %+28,2 %−2,5 %

    Developing storylines

    No tracked sagas currently linked to BTCT.O. Browse all sagas →

    Analysis

    AI analysis
    Generated · analysis pipeline · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 ↑ At a glance

    Opportunity

    — missing data

    Upcoming catalysts

    Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.

    • Company
    • EarningsQ3 2026 earnings (expected)2026-10-28 · estimated
    • Peers
    • EarningsQ2 2026 earnings (expected)2026-08-28 · estimated · Salesforce (CRM)
    • EarningsQ3 2026 earnings (expected)2026-10-28 · estimated · ServiceNow (NOW)
    • Macro
    • Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
    • Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
    • Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
    • Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
    • Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
    • Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
    • Macro & political
    • ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
    • ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
    • ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR

    Pre-earnings brief

    Briefing · model-assisted

    Btc Digital Ltd (BTCT.O) has undergone a significant recalibration in its internal analytical framework, marked by a substantial downward revision in its estimated market share. The company’s calculated market share percentage dropped by approximately 93.68%, falling from roughly 0.0011% to 0.00007%. This sharp contraction in perceived market presence is the most material change recorded in the recent data cycle, signaling a major shift in how the firm’s competitive position is currently modeled. This adjustment in market share metrics coincides with a comprehensive overhaul of the company’s AI-driven narrative and business summary. The analytical narrative was revised with a low similarity score of 0.141, indicating a near-total rewrite of the underlying thesis. Similarly, the business summary was updated with a similarity score of 0.539, suggesting a moderate but notable evolution in the description of the company’s operational focus. These changes reflect a fundamental reassessment of Btc Digital’s strategic positioning and operational context. The revision process also involved a complete turnover in the company’s key analytical takeaways, with seven new points added and seven removed. This exchange of insights, coupled with a revised conclusion that shares only 14.1% similarity with the previous version, underscores a distinct departure from prior assessments. The conclusion’s low similarity score further emphasizes that the current outlook for Btc Digital differs significantly from earlier projections, likely driven by the updated market share data and narrative shifts. Despite these internal analytical changes, external market engagement remains minimal. Cross-source signals indicate virtually no news dispatch activity over the past month, with only a single dispatch recorded on July 16, 2026. The company continues to operate without analyst coverage, index membership, or disclosed officers, relying on a single top holder. This lack of external visibility contrasts with the significant internal data revisions, suggesting that the changes in market share and narrative are currently driven by internal modeling updates rather than new public events or market developments.

    Signals & dispatch

    peak dispatch · 2026-07-16

    Composite-score breakdown

    Synthesis

    Business

    BTC Digital Ltd (BTCT.O) is an investment holding company operating within the Financials sector. The company is headquartered in the United States and is primarily listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange. Specific details regarding its operating segments and geographic revenue mix are not disclosed.

    Classification99 %
    SectorFinancials
    Industry groupInvestment Holding Companies
    AI synthesis
    GENERATED

    BTC Digital Ltd maintains a conservative capital structure with zero debt, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0. The company holds total assets of $39.9 million against total liabilities of $2.8 million, yielding a strong equity base of $37.2 million. However, liquidity is constrained, with cash and equivalents standing at only $350,000. The market capitalization is $9.1 million, trading at a price-to-book ratio of 0.24, indicating the market values the company at a significant discount to its tangible book value.

    Profitability metrics are negative across all key measures. The company reported a net loss of $9.1 million on revenue of $14.0 million, resulting in a return on equity of -5.35% and a return on assets of -4.98%. Gross profit was negative at -$3.2 million, suggesting that the cost of goods sold exceeded revenue, a critical inefficiency for a software business. Operating income was -$8.8 million, and operating cash flow was -$5.3 million, highlighting a cash-burn model that is not yet self-sustaining.

    Segment and geographic data are not provided in the available input, preventing a detailed analysis of revenue concentration or regional exposure. The company’s activity is broadly classified as Software, but specific product lines or customer bases are not disclosed in the current dataset.

    Growth trajectory analysis is limited by the absence of historical period data in the input. The current financial snapshot shows a revenue base of $14.0 million, but without prior period comparisons, year-over-year growth rates cannot be calculated. The capital expenditure of $8.5 million exceeds the operating cash flow, indicating significant investment in assets or infrastructure that is not yet generating positive returns.

    Risk assessment indicates low liquidity risk and low dilution risk, with no immediate filing-based flags detected. The primary risk stems from the negative cash flow and gross margin, which require external capital or operational turnaround to sustain. The company’s small market cap of $9.1 million makes it susceptible to volatility, although the absence of debt provides a buffer against interest rate risks.

    Recent observations include a sector re-analysis due to sector contamination, audited on 2026-07-13, which confirmed the company’s classification in the Software industry. Analyst estimates suggest a mean price target of $7.41, significantly higher than the current market price of $0.95, with a mean recommendation of 2.00 (Buy). This discrepancy suggests that analysts expect a substantial improvement in the company’s fundamentals or a re-rating of its valuation multiples.

    Btc Digital Ltd (BTCT.O) has undergone a significant recalibration in its internal analytical framework, marked by a substantial downward revision in its estimated market share. The company’s calculated market share percentage dropped by approximately 93.68%, falling from roughly 0.0011% to 0.00007%. This sharp contraction in perceived market presence is the most material change recorded in the recent data cycle, signaling a major shift in how the firm’s competitive position is currently modeled. This adjustment in market share metrics coincides with a comprehensive overhaul of the company’s AI-driven narrative and business summary. The analytical narrative was revised with a low similarity score of 0.141, indicating a near-total rewrite of the underlying thesis. Similarly, the business summary was updated with a similarity score of 0.539, suggesting a moderate but notable evolution in the description of the company’s operational focus. These changes reflect a fundamental reassessment of Btc Digital’s strategic positioning and operational context. The revision process also involved a complete turnover in the company’s key analytical takeaways, with seven new points added and seven removed. This exchange of insights, coupled with a revised conclusion that shares only 14.1% similarity with the previous version, underscores a distinct departure from prior assessments. The conclusion’s low similarity score further emphasizes that the current outlook for Btc Digital differs significantly from earlier projections, likely driven by the updated market share data and narrative shifts. Despite these internal analytical changes, external market engagement remains minimal. Cross-source signals indicate virtually no news dispatch activity over the past month, with only a single dispatch recorded on July 16, 2026. The company continues to operate without analyst coverage, index membership, or disclosed officers, relying on a single top holder. This lack of external visibility contrasts with the significant internal data revisions, suggesting that the changes in market share and narrative are currently driven by internal modeling updates rather than new public events or market developments.

    Key takeaways
    • The company trades at a deep discount to book value (P/B 0.24) with zero debt, but negative gross margins and operating cash flows signal fundamental operational challenges.
    • Analyst consensus targets a price of $7.41, implying a potential upside of over 600% from the current $0.95 price, driven by expectations of a turnaround or reclassification.
    • Cash reserves are critically low at $350,000 against a $5.3 million operating cash burn, raising sustainability concerns despite the low dilution risk flag.
    • The recent sector re-analysis confirms the Software classification, aligning the company with peers like Microsoft and Salesforce, though its financial profile is vastly different.
    • Capital expenditures of $8.5 million exceed operating cash flow, indicating heavy investment in growth or infrastructure that has not yet yielded positive returns.

    Bull / Bear case

    Generated · model-assisted
    BULL CASE · 5

    Analysts project 1,040% upside to a mean price target of $7.41, signaling strong potential for significant share price appreciation.

    The company maintains a low leverage band with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07, indicating a conservative capital structure.

    Cash conversion metrics rank best-in-class within the investment holding cohort, outperforming the median of 0.11 with a score of 2.64.

    Liquidity risk is assessed as low, supported by a robust current ratio of 7.79 as of the end of 2025.

    Dilution risk is rated low, suggesting limited immediate threat to existing shareholder equity value from share issuance.

    BEAR CASE · 2

    Credit risk is flagged as high, indicating significant potential for financial loss due to borrower defaults or counterparty failure.

    The company reported a net loss of $9.06 million in fiscal year 2026, demonstrating an inability to generate profitability.

    In focus — financials by report

    Quarterly
    Annual
    QUARTERLYFiled 2025-04-30
    Q1 2025 · Quarter highlights

    Revenue $4.1M; Operating income -$439.0k.

    Revenue$4.1M
    Operating income-$439.0k
    Net income$17.0k
    Free cash flow$2.3M
    EPS
    Operating cash flow$1.6M
    Financials
    Income statement
    Revenue$4.1M
    Gross profit$718.0k
    Operating income-$439.0k
    Net income$17.0k
    Margins
    Gross margin17.4%
    Operating margin-10.6%
    Net margin0.4%
    FCF margin55.1%
    Balance sheet
    Total assets$41.1M
    Total liabilities$1.2M
    Total equity$39.9M
    Cash & equivalents$14.9M
    Long-term debt$484.0k
    Cash flow
    Operating cash flow$1.6M
    CapEx-$2.7M
    Free cash flow$2.3M
    SBC
    P&L flow · revenue → net income
    Revenue $4.1MOperating costs $4.6MNet income $17.0k
    Highlights
    • Revenue $4.1M
    • Operating income -$439.0k
    • Net margin 0.4%

    Valuation TTM

    Market price
    $0,52
    Market cap
    $9.1M
    Enterprise value
    $8.7M
    P/E
    Non-GAAP P/E
    EV / Revenue
    0.7x
    EV / Op income
    EV / OCF
    P / B
    0.2x
    P / Tangible book
    0.2x
    Tangible book
    $37.2M
    Net cash
    $350.0k
    Current ratio
    Debt / equity
    ROA
    -5.0%
    ROE
    -5.3%
    Cash conversion
    264.0%
    CapEx / revenue
    -73.0%
    SBC / revenue
    Dilution ratio
    0.0%

    Revenue by segment

    Market share

    INDUSTRYSEGMENTCOMPANYFinancialsIndustryInvestment Holding Companies0,6B node revenueLIVE 76,0%IPCX 17,1%FSTJ 3,2%BTCT 2,4%MMCP 0,7%NRDE 0,4%HLLK 0,1%TIPT 0,1%
    Source: company disclosures · own-taxonomy revenue-covered set · attribution: collision-suspect (indicative)BTCT 2,4% · rank #4 of 10

    Business relationships

    Business relationships4 disclosed relationships · 2 types · extracted from filings & disclosures
    Customers1
    ANON:CUST:BTCT.O:DDACELTDANON:CUST:BTCT.O:DDACELTDCustomer88%Source ↗
    Competitors3
    MICROSOFT CORPORATIONMSFT.OCompetitor50%
    Salesforce IncCRM.OCompetitor50%
    Servicenow IncNOW.OCompetitor50%

    Supply chain

    Vendors → BTCT ↔ Partners → Customers · click any node to drill
    VENDORSPARTNERSCUSTOMERSBTCTBTCTBTC Digital Ltd1 entityANON:CUST:BTCT.O:DDACE
    1 mention in 10-K0 from corporate websites0 from news dispatches
    Updated 2026-07-04

    Peer comparison

    Peer comparison7 peers · vs BTCT · multiples and returns
    LI
    LIVE
    Live Ventures Inc
    $9,74
    29,9M USD
    P/E
    vs self
    Div yield
    vs self
    ROE
    -3,4 %
    +6,4 vs self
    IP
    IPCX
    Inflection Point Acquisiti
    $10,40
    358,5M USD
    P/E
    vs self
    Div yield
    vs self
    ROE
    vs self
    FS
    FSTJ
    First America Resources Corp
    P/E
    vs self
    Div yield
    vs self
    ROE
    vs self
    MM
    MMCP
    Mag Mile Capital Inc
    P/E
    vs self
    Div yield
    vs self
    ROE
    vs self
    NR
    NRDE
    Nu Ride Inc
    P/E
    vs self
    Div yield
    vs self
    ROE
    vs self
    HL
    HLLK
    Hallmark Venture Group Inc
    P/E
    vs self
    Div yield
    vs self
    ROE
    vs self
    TI
    TIPT
    Tiptree Inc.
    $17,67
    663,9M USD
    P/E
    18,2x
    vs self
    Div yield
    1,4 %
    vs self
    ROE
    6,9 %
    +16,7 vs self

    Market position

    Stress test

    — missing data

    Predictor forecast

    Next quarternear-term
    Earnings · next quarterconf 45 %
    EPS
    Consensus EPS
    -0,81
    Predicted surprise
    -0,08
    Beat probability
    45 %
    Analysts
    1
    Other metrics
    Revenue
    no estimate
    Segment revenue
    no estimate
    Margin
    no estimate
    Segment margin
    no estimate
    as of 2026-07-13 · Earnings Surprise V1
    Period note: consensus is not fiscal-period-aligned at source — read as consensus vs the last reported actual, not a calibrated same-quarter surprise.
    Full fiscal year~1 year ahead
    Full fiscal year · our forecast vs guidance vs consensus
    MetricOur forecastGuidanceConsensus
    EPSno estimateno estimate-0,81
    Revenueno estimateno estimate15,2M USD
    Operating incomeno estimateno estimate-7,5M USD
    Full-year consensus mean (period as reported by source) · consensus in USD. Company-level full-year forecast and management guidance are not yet modelled at scale — shown as "no estimate", never inferred.
    Probabilistic model output — not investment advice. · generated 2026-08-04

    Options

    — missing data

    Short squeeze

    — missing data

    Earnings-call key lines

    — missing data

    Consensus distribution

    sell-side coverage
    Recommendation distribution1 analysts
    Strong buy0
    Buy1
    Hold0
    Sell0
    Strong sell0
    12-month price target$7,41 · Median $7,41
    Low $5,00High $9,82
    Operating income · consensus-7,5M USD
    EPS surprise
    −35,8 %
    reported vs consensus · miss
    Revenue surprise
    −7,6 %
    reported vs consensus · miss

    Estimate revisions

    consensus EPS · 26-week trend
    — missing data

    Sell-side observations

    Low$5,00
    Mean$7,41
    Median$7,41
    High$9,82
    Spot$0,52
    +1321.9 %implied to mean12-month sell-side price targets · ▲ spot

    Themes

    — missing data

    ESG

    — missing data

    Risk factors

    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskLow
    Filing-based flags
    • No immediate filing-based liquidity or dilution flags were detected.

    Benchmarks vs cohort

    Op Margin-22,9 %Bottom quartile
    Net Margin-17,0 %Bottom quartile
    ROE-5,3 %Bottom quartile
    Capex / Rev-73,0 %Bottom quartile
    D/E0,00Above median
    Cash Conv2,64Best in class

    Corporate actions / M&A

    — missing data

    FX exposure

    — missing data

    Comparable transactions

    — missing data

    Derivatives & instruments

    — missing data

    Actions

    Ask Handelsavisen

    — missing data
    Data sources
    • Market data
    • Market data cache
    • Issuer disclosures
    • Public news
    • Earnings transcripts
    • Consensus estimates
    • ESG data
    • Reference data
    How metrics are computed
    • Debt To Equity
      (short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
    • Market Price
      input from market-data provider (delayed close or quote-shim mid)
    • Enterprise Value
      market_cap - net_cash
    • Return On Equity
      net_income / total_equity
    • Dilution Ratio
      (shares_outstanding_diluted - shares_outstanding_basic) / shares_outstanding_basic
    • Capex To Revenue
      capital_expenditure / revenue
    Source documents
    • BTC Digital Ltd. Market data — financials · 2026-07-13
    • sector_fix_batch (sector_fix_batch) on BTCT.O · 2026-07-13
    • BTC Digital Ltd Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-07-13
    • BTC Digital Ltd HA canonical relationships · 2026-07-13

    Ownership & reference

    Top holders

    • UBS Financial Services, Inc.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M

    Insider activity

    — missing data

    Short positioning

    1.7Mshares short-33.3% vs prior
    1.61days to cover
    59.5%short of daily vol
    7fails-to-deliver
    as of 2026-07-15 · short-interest report (free)

    Geographic breakdown

    — missing data
    Listings · one canonical issuer all listings resolve to the canonical
    BTCT.OCanonical
    NASDAQ · USD

    Intel & risk

    PredictorBeat prob45 %Surprise-0,08Full forecast →
    What changed

    no material change vs prior analysis (walked 17 fields; 4 schema-expansion field(s) excluded)

    • Narrative— → —medium
    • Business summary— → —medium
    • Conclusion— → —medium
    • Key takeaways— → —medium
    • Company share pct— → —medium
    vs prior analysis 47 days ago
    peak dispatch · 2026-07-16
    OSINT findings
    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskLow
    No immediate filing-based liquidity or dilution flags were detected.
    Relationship graph
    BTCTMSFTCRMNOWANON:CUSInvestment Hol
    This companyPeerSectorCustomers

    Evidence & claims

    From filings & derived data
    • Operating income (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -228.9%Derived (calculated)
    • Current ratio (FY 2025-12-31): 7.79xDerived (calculated)
    • Total liabilities (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 127.7%Derived (calculated)
    • EPS (diluted) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -66.7%Derived (calculated)
    • Total assets (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -2.9%Derived (calculated)
    • EPS (basic) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -66.7%Derived (calculated)
    • Shareholders' equity (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -6.9%Derived (calculated)
    • Return on assets (FY 2025-12-31): -22.7%Derived (calculated)
    • Cost of revenue (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 48.8%Derived (calculated)
    • Revenue (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 20.3%Derived (calculated)
    • Operating cash flow (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -437.7%Derived (calculated)
    • Capex (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 210.5%Derived (calculated)
    • Net income (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -355.6%Derived (calculated)
    • Gross profit (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -2,847.0%Derived (calculated)
    • Return on equity (FY 2025-12-31): -24.4%Derived (calculated)
    • Net margin (FY 2025-12-31): -64.5%Derived (calculated)
    • Gross margin (FY 2025-12-31): -22.5%Derived (calculated)
    • Cash & equivalents (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -97.7%Derived (calculated)
    • Debt-to-equity (FY 2025-12-31): 0.07xDerived (calculated)
    • Total liabilities (annual): USD 2.76MSEC XBRL filing
    • Current assets (annual): USD 19.3MSEC XBRL filing
    • Pre-tax income (annual): USD -9.06MSEC XBRL filing
    • EPS (diluted) (annual): USD-PER-SHARES -1SEC XBRL filing
    • EPS (basic) (annual): USD-PER-SHARES -1SEC XBRL filing
    Showing 24 of 60 surfaced claims.
    Atomic claims from regulatory filings and derived calculations. Provenance shown as source kind only.

    The Thread

    Everything we know, in order
    2026-10-28EVENTUpcomingQ3 2026 earnings (expected) estimated date
    2026-07-10 21:47 UTCEVENTHa Price Listing BTCT price below 1 ($0.9259) — US continued-listing minimum-bid threshold
    2026-05-11 18:00 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2026 Revenue USD 14.0M · Net USD -9.1M
    2026-05-11FILINGANNUAL REPORT →
    2025-10-17FILINGFORM 6-K →
    2025-07-21FILINGCURRENT REPORT →
    2025-07-21FILINGFORM 6-K →
    2025-04-30 17:05 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q1 2025 Revenue USD 4.1M · Net USD 0.0M
    2025-04-30 17:05 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2025 Revenue USD 11.7M · Net USD -2.0M
    2024-11-14 16:03 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q3 2024 Revenue USD 2.6M · Net USD -0.6M
    2024-08-14 16:00 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q2 2024 Revenue USD 2.3M · Net USD -0.7M
    2024-05-15 16:23 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q1 2024 Revenue USD 2.6M · Net USD -0.7M
    2022-05-16 08:30 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2022 Revenue USD 0.0M · Net USD -59.6M
    The entity's full life in the product — typed, chronological, joined across Newspaper, Platform and Data. Our memory, made visible.
    Sources filings · IR · transcripts · market data · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 Market data · Issuer disclosures · Public news · Earnings transcripts · Consensus estimates · ESG data · Reference data Premium coverage