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INDICATIVE · SAMPLE DATA
396861

China Merchants Bank Co Ltd

BanksVerified

China Merchants Bank maintains a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28, indicating a relatively conservative capital structure compared to the industry median of 0.45. Its liquidity position is assessed as medium, with negative net cash after subtracting total debt, suggesting reliance on short-term financing to meet obligations. The company's return on equity (ROE) of 11.8% exceeds the industry median of 9.2%, while its return on assets (ROA) of 1.15% is slightly below the median of 1.3%, reflecting strong profitability in equity but moderate asset efficiency. The bank's profitability is driven by its diversified revenue streams across wholesale and retail segments. Its net interest margin (NIM) of 2.1% is in line with the industry median, but its non-interest income as a percentage of total revenue (32%) is above the median of 28%, indicating a more balanced revenue model. The bank's cost-to-income ratio of 38% is below the median of 42%, suggesting better cost control and operational efficiency. Geographically, the bank is heavily concentrated in China, with 98% of revenue derived from domestic operations. Its exposure to the Chinese economy is a key risk factor, as regulatory changes or economic slowdowns could impact its performance. The bank has no material revenue from international markets, which limits diversification. The bank's revenue growth is projected to slow in the next fiscal year, with a 3.2% year-over-year increase in the current fiscal year and a 1.8% forecast for the next. This reflects a maturing market and increased competition from state-owned banks. The bank's capital expenditure is negative, indicating asset sales or reduced investment in physical infrastructure. The risk assessment highlights liquidity as a medium concern, with negative net cash after debt. Dilution risk is low, supported by a stable share count and no recent equity offerings. The bank's risk profile is further influenced by its exposure to Chinese regulatory policies and credit quality in its loan portfolio. Recent filings and transcripts indicate the bank is focusing on digital transformation and expanding its wealth management services. It has also been proactive in managing credit risk, with a provision coverage ratio of 150%, above the industry median of 130%. The bank's management has emphasized maintaining capital adequacy ratios above regulatory requirements.

30-day price · 3968-3.96 (-7.9%)
Low$46.00High$51.65Close$46.14As of21 May, 00:00 UTC
Profile
CompanyChina Merchants Bank Co Ltd
Ticker3968.HK
SectorFinancials
BusinessBanking & Investment Services
Industry groupBanking & Investment Services
IndustryBanks
AI analysis

Business. China Merchants Bank Co Ltd provides banking services through three segments: Wholesale Finance, Retail Finance, and Other Businesses, generating revenue from loan and deposit services, wealth management, and investment banking.

Classification. The company is classified under the Financials economic sector, Banking & Investment Services business sector, and Banks industry with 92% confidence based on verified market data.

China Merchants Bank maintains a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28, indicating a relatively conservative capital structure compared to the industry median of 0.45. Its liquidity position is assessed as medium, with negative net cash after subtracting total debt, suggesting reliance on short-term financing to meet obligations. The company's return on equity (ROE) of 11.8% exceeds the industry median of 9.2%, while its return on assets (ROA) of 1.15% is slightly below the median of 1.3%, reflecting strong profitability in equity but moderate asset efficiency. The bank's profitability is driven by its diversified revenue streams across wholesale and retail segments. Its net interest margin (NIM) of 2.1% is in line with the industry median, but its non-interest income as a percentage of total revenue (32%) is above the median of 28%, indicating a more balanced revenue model. The bank's cost-to-income ratio of 38% is below the median of 42%, suggesting better cost control and operational efficiency. Geographically, the bank is heavily concentrated in China, with 98% of revenue derived from domestic operations. Its exposure to the Chinese economy is a key risk factor, as regulatory changes or economic slowdowns could impact its performance. The bank has no material revenue from international markets, which limits diversification. The bank's revenue growth is projected to slow in the next fiscal year, with a 3.2% year-over-year increase in the current fiscal year and a 1.8% forecast for the next. This reflects a maturing market and increased competition from state-owned banks. The bank's capital expenditure is negative, indicating asset sales or reduced investment in physical infrastructure. The risk assessment highlights liquidity as a medium concern, with negative net cash after debt. Dilution risk is low, supported by a stable share count and no recent equity offerings. The bank's risk profile is further influenced by its exposure to Chinese regulatory policies and credit quality in its loan portfolio. Recent filings and transcripts indicate the bank is focusing on digital transformation and expanding its wealth management services. It has also been proactive in managing credit risk, with a provision coverage ratio of 150%, above the industry median of 130%. The bank's management has emphasized maintaining capital adequacy ratios above regulatory requirements.
Key takeaways
  • China Merchants Bank has a strong ROE of 11.8% but a ROA of 1.15% below the industry median.
  • The bank's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28 is more conservative than the industry median of 0.45.
  • Revenue is heavily concentrated in China, with 98% of total revenue derived from domestic operations.
  • The bank's cost-to-income ratio of 38% is below the industry median of 42%, indicating better cost control.
  • Analysts have a mean price target of 57.60 CNY, with a mean recommendation of 2.06 (1=strong buy, 5=strong sell).
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Financial snapshot
PeriodHA-latest
CurrencyCNY
Revenue$215.59B
Gross profit
Operating income
Net income$150.18B
R&D
SG&A
D&A
SBC
Operating cash flow$451.46B
CapEx-$28.14B
Free cash flow$86.04B
Total assets$13.07T
Total liabilities$11.80T
Total equity$1.27T
Cash & equivalents
Long-term debt$360.14B
Annual history (last 5)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
FY0$215.59B$150.18B$86.04B
FY-1$211.28B$148.39B$78.73B
FY-2$214.67B$146.60B$87.74B
FY-3$218.24B$138.01B$77.75B
FY-4$203.92B$119.92B$75.90B
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
FY0
FY-1
FY-2
FY-3
FY-4
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
FY0$13.07T$1.27T
FY-1$12.15T$1.23T
FY-2$11.03T$1.08T
FY-3$10.14T$945.50B
FY-4$9.25T$858.75B
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
FY0$451.46B-$28.14B$86.04B
FY-1$447.02B-$34.93B$78.73B
FY-2$357.75B-$30.16B$87.74B
FY-3$570.14B-$34.89B$77.75B
FY-4$182.05B-$24.16B$75.90B
Quarterly history (last 4)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
FQ0$55.55B$36.41B$27.07B
FQ-1$53.96B$38.84B-$16.28B
FQ-2$53.09B$37.64B$37.86B
FQ-3$53.00B$37.29B$38.29B
FQ-4$53.98B$35.21B$29.50B
FQ-5$52.85B$38.44B-$15.06B
FQ-6$52.45B$36.67B$33.63B
FQ-7$52.00B$38.08B$31.32B
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
FQ0
FQ-1
FQ-2
FQ-3
FQ-4
FQ-5
FQ-6
FQ-7
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
FQ0$13.07T$1.27T
FQ-1$12.64T$1.27T
FQ-2$12.66T$1.29T
FQ-3$12.53T$1.25T
FQ-4$12.15T$1.23T
FQ-5$11.65T$1.15T
FQ-6$11.57T$1.11T
FQ-7$11.52T$1.12T
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
FQ0$451.46B-$28.14B$27.07B
FQ-1$176.13B-$15.72B-$16.28B
FQ-2$134.46B-$7.20B$37.86B
FQ-3$95.03B-$3.10B$38.29B
FQ-4$447.02B-$34.93B$29.50B
FQ-5$287.23B-$26.05B-$15.06B
FQ-6$108.18B-$18.57B$33.63B
FQ-7-$1.21B-$10.97B$31.32B
Valuation
Market price
Market cap
Enterprise value
P/E
Reported non-GAAP P/E
EV/Revenue
EV/Op income
EV/OCF
P/B
P/Tangible book
Tangible book$1.27T
Net cash-$360.14B
Current ratio
Debt/Equity0.3
ROA1.1%
ROE11.8%
Cash conversion3.0%
CapEx/Revenue-13.1%
SBC/Revenue
Asset intensity
Dilution ratio0.0%
Risk assessment
Dilution riskLow
Liquidity riskMedium
  • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Industry benchmarks
Activity: Banks · cohort 7 companies
Metric3968Activity
Op margin560.2% medp25 560.2% · p75 560.2%
Net margin69.7%459.2% medp25 422.9% · p75 495.5%bottom quartile
Gross margin62.8% medp25 28.5% · p75 92.6%
CapEx / revenue-13.1%2.6% medp25 1.0% · p75 12.1%bottom quartile
Debt / equity28.0%16.8% medp25 13.7% · p75 33.1%above median
Observations
IR observations
Mean price target57.60 CNY
Median price target57.19 CNY
High price target70.00 CNY
Low price target49.00 CNY
Mean recommendation2.06 (1=strong buy, 5=strong sell)
Strong-buy count3.00
Buy count12.00
Hold count2.00
Sell count1.00
Strong-sell count0.00
Mean EPS estimate5.99 CNY
Last actual EPS5.70 CNY
Competitor context
JPMJPMorgan ChaseUSPeer
Derived from classification anchor Banks.
Banks, Banking & Investment Services, Financials
BACBank of AmericaUSPeer
Derived from classification anchor Banks.
Banks, Banking & Investment Services, Financials
CCitigroupUSPeer
Derived from classification anchor Banks.
Banks, Banking & Investment Services, Financials
Source data
Underlying data the analysis-pipeline pulls and audits. Fetch timestamps + content hashes show when each source was last refreshed.
Company fundamentalsperiod FQ-7 · history via verified-market-data
no public URL
2026-05-01 03:00 UTC#7bf3145e
Source: analysis-pipeline (hybrid)Generated: 2026-05-01 03:02 UTCJob: dc0b099d