Commerce Bancshares Inc /mo/
Commerce Bancshares Inc operates as a commercial bank providing a broad offering of products and services through a super-community banking format that combines large bank product offerings with deep local market knowledge.
Business. Commerce Bancshares Inc /MO/ (CBSH) is a commercial bank headquartered in Missouri that operates within the Banking Services industry group. The company generates revenue primarily through interest income, consistent with standard commercial banking activities. It is listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange under the ticker symbol CBSH. Specific details regarding operating segments or geographic revenue mix are not provided.
Analyst recommendations
8 analysts · consensus HoldAt a glance
What drives this business
The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.
News & coverage
0Sector rotation
Developing storylines
Analysis
AI analysisOpportunity
Upcoming catalysts
Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.
- Company
- EarningsQ3 2026 earnings (expected)2026-10-28 · estimated
- Peers
- DividendDividend USD 1.75/sh2026-09-25 · Bank of America (BAC)
- EarningsQ3 2026 earnings (expected)2026-10-13 · estimated · JPMorgan Chase (JPM)
- EarningsQ3 2026 earnings (expected)2026-10-13 · estimated · Citigroup (C)
- Macro
- Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
- Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
- Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
- Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
- Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
- Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
- Macro & political
- ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
- ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
- ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
Pre-earnings brief
Commerce Bancshares Inc (CBSH) is undergoing its first formal analysis, establishing a baseline for future performance tracking without prior comparative data. The company’s current profile includes 14 officers, coverage by 7 analysts, and a shareholder base comprising 33 top holders, though it holds no index memberships. This initial snapshot provides the foundational context for evaluating subsequent market movements and corporate developments. A significant holder activity signal was detected involving investor ID 587, marked with major severity. On June 28, 2026, this investor’s position was recorded as increasing to 224,872 shares, valued at approximately $11.06 million, representing a portfolio weight of roughly 0.0064%. This substantial accumulation suggests a notable shift in institutional interest or portfolio rebalancing during the period ending March 31, 2026. However, a conflicting signal emerged just days earlier on June 24, 2026, where the same investor’s position was reported as decreasing to 241 shares, valued at roughly $0.01 million. This discrepancy between the two major severity signals—showing a massive increase in one instance and a near-total liquidation in another for the same reporting period—highlights potential data volatility or reporting adjustments that require careful interpretation. Given the absence of cross-source signals or prior material changes, these holder fluctuations stand out as the primary dynamic in CBSH’s recent data profile. Investors and analysts should monitor these holder changes closely, as they may indicate underlying shifts in sentiment or administrative corrections, while relying on the established company fundamentals of its officer and analyst coverage for broader context.
Signals & dispatch
Composite-score breakdown
Synthesis
Commerce Bancshares Inc /MO/ (CBSH) is a commercial bank headquartered in Missouri that operates within the Banking Services industry group. The company generates revenue primarily through interest income, consistent with standard commercial banking activities. It is listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange under the ticker symbol CBSH. Specific details regarding operating segments or geographic revenue mix are not provided.
Commerce Bancshares maintains a capital structure supported by total equity of $4.30 billion against total assets of $35.72 billion. The balance sheet shows total liabilities of $31.39 billion. The debt-to-equity ratio is reported as 0.0, indicating a capital structure heavily reliant on equity and deposit liabilities rather than traditional interest-bearing debt instruments in the reported metric. Liquidity risk is assessed as unknown due to the absence of specific balance-sheet inputs for current ratio analysis in the provided data. Operating cash flow stands at $684.80 million, while free cash flow is $678.42 million, reflecting minimal capital expenditure of $6.37 million.
Profitability metrics show a return on equity (ROE) of 3.29% and a return on assets (ROA) of 0.40% for the latest period. Net income for Q1 2026 is reported at $141.62 million. Revenue is reported as 0.0 in the financial snapshot, which may indicate a data reporting anomaly or specific accounting treatment for the period, preventing a direct gross margin analysis. Without cohort median data provided in the input, a direct comparison to sector peers for ROE and ROA is omitted, though the positive net income confirms operational profitability.
Commerce Bancshares Inc (CBSH) is undergoing its first formal analysis, establishing a baseline for future performance tracking without prior comparative data. The company’s current profile includes 14 officers, coverage by 7 analysts, and a shareholder base comprising 33 top holders, though it holds no index memberships. This initial snapshot provides the foundational context for evaluating subsequent market movements and corporate developments. A significant holder activity signal was detected involving investor ID 587, marked with major severity. On June 28, 2026, this investor’s position was recorded as increasing to 224,872 shares, valued at approximately $11.06 million, representing a portfolio weight of roughly 0.0064%. This substantial accumulation suggests a notable shift in institutional interest or portfolio rebalancing during the period ending March 31, 2026. However, a conflicting signal emerged just days earlier on June 24, 2026, where the same investor’s position was reported as decreasing to 241 shares, valued at roughly $0.01 million. This discrepancy between the two major severity signals—showing a massive increase in one instance and a near-total liquidation in another for the same reporting period—highlights potential data volatility or reporting adjustments that require careful interpretation. Given the absence of cross-source signals or prior material changes, these holder fluctuations stand out as the primary dynamic in CBSH’s recent data profile. Investors and analysts should monitor these holder changes closely, as they may indicate underlying shifts in sentiment or administrative corrections, while relying on the established company fundamentals of its officer and analyst coverage for broader context.
- Commerce Bancshares reports Q1 2026 net income of $141.62 million with total assets of $35.72 billion.
- Return on equity is 3.29% and return on assets is 0.40%, with a reported debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0.
- Dilution risk is assessed as medium, with source documents citing potential offering risks.
- Liquidity risk is unknown due to insufficient balance-sheet inputs for current ratio calculation.
- Recent filings indicate significant accounting changes for acquired seasoned loans under the CECL model.
- Analyst consensus is neutral with a mean recommendation of 2.88 and a mean price target of $58.56.
Bull / Bear case
Generated · model-assistedNet income grew at a 5.0% CAGR from FY2023 to FY2025, demonstrating consistent profitability expansion over the period.
Free cash flow reached $592.4 million in FY2025, reflecting strong cash generation capabilities for the bank.
Analysts project 11.9% upside to a mean price target of $58.56, indicating positive market sentiment.
Cash conversion of 4.84 is best-in-class compared to the bank cohort median of 1.13.
Total assets grew at a 0.5% CAGR over five years, showing stable balance sheet maintenance.
Net income declined 7.0% year-over-year in FY2025, signaling a recent deterioration in profitability trends.
The company faces medium dilution risk, which could negatively impact per-share value for existing investors.
In focus — financials by report
Revenue $0.00.
- ▍Revenue $0.00
Revenue $0.00.
- ▍Revenue $0.00
Revenue $0.00.
- ▍Revenue $0.00
Valuation
Revenue by segment
Business relationships
Supply chain
Peer comparison
Market position
Stress test
Predictor forecast
| Metric | Our forecast | Guidance | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | —no estimate | —no estimate | 4,09 |
| Revenue | —no estimate | —no estimate | 2,0B USD |
| Operating income | —no estimate | —no estimate | 841,1M USD |
Options
Short squeeze
Earnings-call key lines
Consensus distribution
sell-side coverageEstimate revisions
consensus EPS · 26-week trendSell-side observations
Themes
ESG
Risk factors
- Source documents mention dilution or offering risk.
Benchmarks vs cohort
Corporate actions / M&A
FX exposure
Comparable transactions
Derivatives & instruments
Actions
Ask Handelsavisen
- Market data
- Regulatory filings
- Issuer disclosures
- Public news
- Earnings transcripts
- Consensus estimates
- ESG data
- Reference data
- Debt To Equity(short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
- Cash Conversion Ratiooperating_cash_flow / net_income
- Market Priceinput from market-data provider (delayed close or quote-shim mid)
- Return On Assetsnet_income / total_assets
- Return On Equitynet_income / total_equity
- COMMERCE BANCSHARES INC /MO/ company facts · 2026-07-12
- COMMERCE BANCSHARES INC /MO/ 10-Q 2026-05-07 · 2026-07-12
- COMMERCE BANCSHARES INC /MO/ 10-K 2026-02-24 · 2026-07-12
- COMMERCE BANCSHARES INC /MO/ 10-Q 2025-11-10 · 2026-07-12
- COMMERCE BANCSHARES INC /MO/ 10-Q 2025-08-06 · 2026-07-12
- allocator_boost (allocator) on CBSH · 2026-07-12
- Commerce Bancshares Inc Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-07-12
- COMMERCE BANCSHARES INC /MO/ HA canonical relationships · 2026-07-12
Ownership & reference
Top holders
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,16 %$306M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2022-09-300,14 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,09 %$128M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,04 %$91M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,04 %$194M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,04 %$62M
- Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,02 %$102M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,02 %$30M
- Investment Managers · as of 2024-06-300,01 %$605M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$348M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$64M
- Investment Managers · as of 2025-12-310,01 %$769M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$146M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$49M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$59M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$15M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$61M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$113M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$11M
- Investment Managers · as of 2024-12-310,01 %$20M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$16M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$37M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$20M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$13M
- Funds · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$18M
- Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$7M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$3M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$6M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$4M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$3M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
Leadership
- David L. RollerSenior Vice President
- David W. KemperExecutive Chairman of the Board
- Derrick R. BrooksSenior Vice President
- Douglas D. NeffSenior Vice President
- Jeffrey M. BurikSenior Vice President
- John K. HandyExecutive Vice President
- John W. KemperPresident, Chief Executive Officer, Director
- Kevin G. BarthExecutive Vice President
- Kim L. JakovichSenior Vice President
- Patricia R. KellerhalsSenior Vice President
- Paula S. PetersenExecutive Vice President
- Richard W. HeiseSenior Vice President
- Robert S. HolmesExecutive Vice President
- Thomas J NoackSenior Vice President
Insider activity
- Director, Executive Chairman · Common StockOther 131 @ $55,29$7K · 2026-06-23
- Executive Vice President · Common StockOther 120 @ $55,29$7K · 2026-06-23
- Director · Common StockSold 200 @ $55,03$11K · 2026-06-16
- Director · Common StockOther 646 @ $52,22$34K · 2026-05-29
- Director · Common StockOther 790 @ $52,22$41K · 2026-05-29
- Director · Common StockOther 646 @ $52,22$34K · 2026-05-29
- Director · Common StockOther 646 @ $52,22$34K · 2026-05-29
- Director · Common StockOther 718 @ $52,22$37K · 2026-05-29
- Director · Common StockOther 886 @ $52,22$46K · 2026-05-29
- Director · Common StockOther 646 @ $52,22$34K · 2026-05-29
- Director · Common StockOther 718 @ $52,22$37K · 2026-05-29
- Director · Common StockOther 718 @ $52,22$37K · 2026-05-29
- Director, Executive Chairman · Common StockOther 150 @ $48,09$7K · 2026-03-24
- Executive Vice President · Common StockOther 137 @ $48,09$7K · 2026-03-24
- Director · Common StockBought 2 500 @ $47,71$119K · 2026-03-13
- Senior Vice President · Common StockOther 250 · 2026-03-10
- Senior Vice President · Common StockSold 949 @ $51,45$49K · 2026-03-05
- Senior Vice President · Common StockSold 861 @ $51,69$45K · 2026-03-05
- Senior Vice President · Common StockOther 176 @ $52,25$9K · 2026-03-04
- Senior Vice President · Common StockOther 181 @ $52,25$9K · 2026-03-04
- Senior Vice President · Common StockOther 301 @ $51,61$16K · 2026-03-03
- Senior Vice President · Common StockOther 701 @ $51,61$36K · 2026-03-03
- Controller · Common StockOther 203 @ $51,61$10K · 2026-03-03
- Senior Vice President · Common StockOther 322 @ $51,61$17K · 2026-03-03
- Controller · Common StockOther 2 415 · 2026-03-02
Short positioning
Geographic breakdown
Intel & risk
Evidence & claims
From filings & derived data- Total assets (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 2.9%Derived (calculated)
- Shareholders' equity (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 14.5%Derived (calculated)
- Total liabilities (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 1.5%Derived (calculated)
- Return on equity (FY 2025-12-31): 14.9%Derived (calculated)
- Return on assets (FY 2025-12-31): 1.7%Derived (calculated)
- Debt-to-equity (FY 2025-12-31): 7.68xDerived (calculated)
- Capex (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 14.3%Derived (calculated)
- EPS (basic) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 9.5%Derived (calculated)
- EPS (diluted) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 9.5%Derived (calculated)
- Net income (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 7.6%Derived (calculated)
- Operating cash flow (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 11.6%Derived (calculated)
- Capex (annual): USD 52.75MSEC XBRL filing
- EPS (basic) (annual): USD-PER-SHARES 4SEC XBRL filing
- Total assets (annual): USD 32.92BSEC XBRL filing
- Operating cash flow (annual): USD 645.14MSEC XBRL filing
- Net income (annual): USD 566.25MSEC XBRL filing
- Pre-tax income (annual): USD 731.84MSEC XBRL filing
- EPS (diluted) (annual): USD-PER-SHARES 4SEC XBRL filing
- Shareholders' equity (annual): USD 3.79BSEC XBRL filing
- Total liabilities (annual): USD 29.1BSEC XBRL filing
- Return on equity (FY 2024-12-31): 15.9%Derived (calculated)
- Return on assets (FY 2024-12-31): 1.6%Derived (calculated)
- Debt-to-equity (FY 2024-12-31): 8.66xDerived (calculated)
- Capex (annual): USD 46.13MSEC XBRL filing