Erie Indemnity Co
ERIE Indemnity Co. operates as a multiline insurance and broker entity, generating revenue primarily through management fees for policy issuance and renewal services, administrative services, and service agreements.
Business. Erie Indemnity Co. is an insurance company headquartered in the United States that operates within the Financials sector. The firm is primarily listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange under the ticker symbol ERIE. Specific details regarding its operating segments and geographic revenue mix are not available.
Analyst recommendations
2 analysts · consensus BuyAt a glance
What drives this business
The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.
News & coverage
0Sector rotation
Developing storylines
Analysis
AI analysisOpportunity
Upcoming catalysts
Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.
- Company
- EarningsQ3 2026 earnings (expected)2026-10-28 · estimated
- Macro
- Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
- Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
- Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
- Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
- Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
- Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
- Macro & political
- ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
- ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
- ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
- Congressional trades
- CongressJohn Fetterman — Erie Indemnity Company - Class A Common Stock2026-03-30 · Democrat · PA · Purchase · $1,001 - $15,000
- CongressJohn Fetterman — Erie Indemnity Company - Class A Common Stock2026-03-27 · Democrat · PA · Purchase · $1,001 - $15,000
Pre-earnings brief
Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) experienced a minor technical adjustment in its estimated market share, which decreased slightly from 0.00023857760992676636 to 0.0002385337968723021, representing a negligible change of -0.02%. This modification was part of a broader revision to the company's AI analysis narrative and conclusion, driven by an update in the underlying thesis model. The significance of this change is limited, as the overall assessment indicates no material change compared to prior analysis. The system walked through 17 fields to reach this conclusion, excluding four schema-expansion fields, suggesting that the core financial and operational profile of the insurer remains stable. Erie Indemnity continues to operate with a lean executive structure, maintaining a single officer count, while lacking direct analyst coverage with an analyst count of zero. Despite the absence of analyst reports, the company maintains a presence in one index and is held by 32 top holders, indicating a base level of institutional interest. No new watcher signals or cross-source signals were detected, and no specific events or sagas were reported during this period. The available data, including recent 10-Q and 10-K filings, supports the view that Erie Indemnity's fundamental standing has not shifted materially, with the primary update being a recalibration of its market share estimate.
Signals & dispatch
Composite-score breakdown
Synthesis
Erie Indemnity Co. is an insurance company headquartered in the United States that operates within the Financials sector. The firm is primarily listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange under the ticker symbol ERIE. Specific details regarding its operating segments and geographic revenue mix are not available.
ERIE Indemnity Co. maintains a conservative capital structure with zero debt-to-equity and total equity of $2.47 billion against total liabilities of $1.09 billion as of Q2 2026. The current ratio stands at 1.25, which is noted as being close to the minimum comfort range, indicating medium liquidity risk. Operating cash flow for the period was $306.8 million, supporting the balance sheet. The absence of debt provides a strong buffer against interest rate volatility, though the tight current ratio suggests limited immediate liquidity headroom for unexpected outflows.
Profitability metrics are robust, with a return on equity of 22.67% and a return on assets of 15.72%. Net income for the first half of 2026 reached $330.8 million, up from $313.1 million in the same period of 2025. Operating income grew to $370.9 million from $350.5 million year-over-year. These returns reflect efficient capital deployment and strong underwriting discipline, though specific cohort median comparisons are not provided in the input data to benchmark relative performance.
Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) experienced a minor technical adjustment in its estimated market share, which decreased slightly from 0.00023857760992676636 to 0.0002385337968723021, representing a negligible change of -0.02%. This modification was part of a broader revision to the company's AI analysis narrative and conclusion, driven by an update in the underlying thesis model. The significance of this change is limited, as the overall assessment indicates no material change compared to prior analysis. The system walked through 17 fields to reach this conclusion, excluding four schema-expansion fields, suggesting that the core financial and operational profile of the insurer remains stable. Erie Indemnity continues to operate with a lean executive structure, maintaining a single officer count, while lacking direct analyst coverage with an analyst count of zero. Despite the absence of analyst reports, the company maintains a presence in one index and is held by 32 top holders, indicating a base level of institutional interest. No new watcher signals or cross-source signals were detected, and no specific events or sagas were reported during this period. The available data, including recent 10-Q and 10-K filings, supports the view that Erie Indemnity's fundamental standing has not shifted materially, with the primary update being a recalibration of its market share estimate.
- Zero debt-to-equity and high ROE (22.67%) indicate a strong, efficient capital structure.
- Revenue is highly concentrated in policy issuance and renewal management fees, creating dependency on insurance cycle health.
- Current ratio of 1.25 is flagged as close to the minimum comfort range, posing medium liquidity risk.
- Analyst price targets ($74.81) are substantially below the current market price ($236.80), signaling potential overvaluation.
- Steady year-over-year growth in revenue (2.5%) and net income (5.6%) demonstrates operational stability.
- Medium dilution risk is noted due to potential offering risks mentioned in source documents.
Bull / Bear case
Generated · model-assistedErie Indemnity achieved a 16.0% net income CAGR from FY2023 to FY2025, demonstrating strong historical earnings growth.
Erie Indemnity maintains a low leverage band with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.47.
Revenue declined 6.7% year-over-year in FY2025, indicating a contraction in top-line growth.
The company faces medium dilution risk and medium liquidity risk according to risk flag assessments.
In focus — financials by report
Revenue $2.10B; Operating income $370.9M.
- ▍Revenue $2.10B
- ▍Operating income $370.9M
- ▍Net margin 15.7%
Revenue $1.01B; Operating income $166.8M.
- ▍Revenue $1.01B
- ▍Operating income $166.8M
- ▍Net margin 14.9%
Revenue $4.07B; Operating income $717.2M.
- ▍Revenue $4.07B
- ▍Operating income $717.2M
- ▍Net margin 13.8%
Revenue $3.80B; Operating income $676.5M.
- ▍Revenue $3.80B
- ▍Operating income $676.5M
- ▍Net margin 15.8%
Revenue $3.80B; Operating income $676.5M.
- ▍Revenue $3.80B
- ▍Operating income $676.5M
- ▍Net margin 15.8%
Revenue $3.27B; Operating income $520.3M.
- ▍Revenue $3.27B
- ▍Operating income $520.3M
- ▍Net margin 13.6%
Revenue $3.27B; Operating income $520.3M.
- ▍Revenue $3.27B
- ▍Operating income $520.3M
- ▍Net margin 13.6%
Valuation FY
Revenue by segment
Business relationships
Supply chain
Peer comparison
Market position
Stress test
Predictor forecast
| Metric | Our forecast | Guidance | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | —no estimate | —no estimate | 12,47 |
| Revenue | —no estimate | —no estimate | 3,7B USD |
| Operating income | —no estimate | —no estimate | 793,1M USD |
Options
Short squeeze
Earnings-call key lines
Consensus distribution
sell-side coverageEstimate revisions
consensus EPS · 26-week trendSell-side observations
Themes
ESG
Risk factors
- Current ratio is close to the minimum comfort range.
- Source documents mention dilution or offering risk.
Benchmarks vs cohort
Corporate actions / M&A
FX exposure
Comparable transactions
Derivatives & instruments
Derivative transactions
- Director · Directors' Deferred Compensation Share Credits → Class A Common StockAcquired 65other · 2026-07-31
- Director · Directors' Deferred Compensation Share Credits → Class A Common StockAcquired 65other · 2026-07-31
- Director · Directors' Deferred Compensation Share Credits → Class A Common StockAcquired 65other · 2026-07-31
- Director · Directors' Deferred Compensation Share Credits → Class A Common StockAcquired 65other · 2026-07-31
- Director, 10% owner · Directors' Deferred Compensation Share Credits → Class A Common StockAcquired 65grant · 2026-07-31
- Director · Directors' Deferred Compensation Share Credits → Class A Common StockAcquired 65other · 2026-07-31
- Director · Directors' Deferred Compensation Share Credits → Class A Common StockAcquired 65other · 2026-07-31
- Director · Directors' Deferred Compensation Share Credits → Class A Common StockAcquired 65other · 2026-07-31
- Director · Directors' Deferred Compensation Share Credits → Class A Common StockAcquired 65other · 2026-07-31
- Director · Directors' Deferred Compensation Share Credits → Class A Common StockAcquired 65other · 2026-07-31
- Director, 10% owner · Directors' Deferred Compensation Share Credits → Class A Common StockAcquired 100grant · 2026-07-21
- Executive Vice President · Incentive Compensation Deferral Plan Share Credits → Class A Common StockAcquired 18other · 2026-07-21
- EVP, Chief Information Officer · Incentive Compensation Deferral Plan Share Credits → Class A Common StockAcquired 19other · 2026-07-21
- Senior Vice President · Incentive Compensation Deferral Plan Share Credits → Class A Common StockAcquired 15other · 2026-07-21
- EVP & CFO · Incentive Compensation Deferral Plan Share Credits → Class A Common StockAcquired 14other · 2026-07-21
- SVP, Controller · Incentive Compensation Deferral Plan Share Credits → Class A Common StockAcquired 7other · 2026-07-21
- Executive Vice President · Incentive Compensation Deferral Plan Share Credits → Class A Common StockAcquired 9other · 2026-07-21
- President & CEO · Incentive Compensation Deferral Plan Share Credits → Class A Common StockAcquired 88other · 2026-07-21
- Executive Vice President · Incentive Compensation Deferral Plan Share Credits → Class A Common StockAcquired 9other · 2026-07-21
- EVP,Secretary,General Counsel · Incentive Compensation Deferral Plan Share Credits → Class A Common StockAcquired 24other · 2026-07-21
- Director · Directors' Deferred Compensation Share Credits → Class A Common StockAcquired 25other · 2026-07-21
- Director · Directors' Deferred Compensation Share Credits → Class A Common StockAcquired 21other · 2026-07-21
- Director · Directors' Deferred Compensation Share Credits → Class A Common StockAcquired 108other · 2026-07-21
- Director · Directors' Deferred Compensation Share Credits → Class A Common StockAcquired 30other · 2026-07-21
- Director · Directors' Deferred Compensation Share Credits → Class A Common StockAcquired 140other · 2026-07-21
Actions
Ask Handelsavisen
- Market data
- Regulatory filings
- Issuer disclosures
- Public news
- Earnings transcripts
- Consensus estimates
- ESG data
- Reference data
- Cash Conversion Ratiooperating_cash_flow / net_income
- Market Priceinput from market-data provider (delayed close or quote-shim mid)
- Debt To Equity(short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
- Return On Equitynet_income / total_equity
- Return On Assetsnet_income / total_assets
- ERIE INDEMNITY CO company facts · 2026-08-01
- ERIE INDEMNITY CO 10-Q 2026-07-30 · 2026-08-01
- ERIE INDEMNITY CO 10-Q 2026-04-23 · 2026-08-01
- ERIE INDEMNITY CO 10-K 2026-02-23 · 2026-08-01
- ERIE INDEMNITY CO 10-Q 2025-10-30 · 2026-08-01
- 8-K (sec_8k_material) on ERIE · 2026-08-01
- Erie Indemnity Co Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-08-01
- Erie Indemnity Co Market data — ESG · 2026-08-01
Ownership & reference
Top holders
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,71 %$1 234M
- Funds · as of 2026-03-310,04 %$250M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,03 %$192M
- Investment Managers · as of 2024-06-300,02 %$880M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2022-09-300,02 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$216M
- Investment Managers · as of 2025-12-310,01 %$837M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$348M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$57M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$42M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$41M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$115M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$35M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$45M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$41M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$8M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$5M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$5M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$4M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$2M
- Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$7M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$2M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$2M
- Investment Managers · as of 2024-12-310,00 %$2M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$2M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
- Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
Leadership
- Timothy G. NecastroPresident, Chief Executive Officer
Insider activity
- EVP · Class A Common StockOther 3 @ $242,04$624 · 2026-07-31
- Executive Vice President · Class A Common StockOther 11 @ $242,04$3K · 2026-07-31
- EVP & CFO · Class A Common StockOther 3 @ $242,04$821 · 2026-07-31
- Senior Vice President, Life · Class A Common StockOther 9 @ $242,04$2K · 2026-07-31
- Executive Vice President · Class A Common StockOther 12 @ $242,04$3K · 2026-07-31
- Senior Vice President, Life · Class A Common StockOther 0 @ $239,75$75 · 2026-06-30
- EVP · Class A Common StockOther 0 @ $239,75$19 · 2026-06-30
- Executive Vice President · Class A Common StockOther 5 @ $239,75$1K · 2026-06-30
- Executive Vice President · Class A Common StockOther 5 @ $239,75$1K · 2026-06-30
- Director, 10% owner · Class A Common StockBought 1 000 @ $211,50$212K · 2026-06-02
- Director, 10% owner · Class A Common StockBought 2 000 @ $211,00$422K · 2026-06-02
- Director, 10% owner · Class A Common StockBought 4 000 @ $200,00$800K · 2026-06-02
- Executive Vice President · Class A Common StockOther 6 @ $213,07$1K · 2026-05-31
- Executive Vice President · Class A Common StockOther 6 @ $213,07$1K · 2026-05-31
- Senior Vice President, Life · Class A Common StockOther 2 @ $213,07$492 · 2026-05-31
- EVP & CFO · Class A Common StockOther 1 @ $213,07$276 · 2026-05-31
- EVP · Class A Common StockOther 1 @ $213,07$196 · 2026-05-31
- Senior Vice President, Life · Class A Common StockSold 465 @ $217,10$101K · 2026-05-08
- Executive Vice President · Class A Common StockOther 9 @ $218,93$2K · 2026-04-30
- EVP · Class A Common StockOther 4 @ $218,93$862 · 2026-04-30
- Executive Vice President · Class A Common StockOther 9 @ $218,93$2K · 2026-04-30
- EVP & CFO · Class A Common StockOther 8 @ $218,93$2K · 2026-04-30
- Senior Vice President, Life · Class A Common StockOther 10 @ $218,93$2K · 2026-04-30
Short positioning
Geographic breakdown
Intel & risk
no material change vs prior analysis (walked 17 fields; 4 schema-expansion field(s) excluded)
- Narrative— → —medium
- Conclusion— → —medium
- Company share pct— → —medium
Evidence & claims
From filings & derived data- Total liabilities (annual): USD 1.07BUnknown
- Shareholders' equity (annual): USD 2.28BUnknown
- Total operating expenses (annual): USD 3.35BUnknown
- Operating income (annual): USD 717.18MUnknown
- Operating cash flow (annual): USD 686.66MUnknown
- Pre-tax income (annual): USD 710.6MUnknown
- Current liabilities (annual): USD 945.59MUnknown
- Net income (annual): USD 559.34MUnknown
- Current assets (annual): USD 1.2BUnknown
- Revenue (annual): USD 4.07BUnknown
- Total assets (annual): USD 3.36BUnknown
- Revenue (annual): USD 3.8BUnknown
- Total assets (annual): USD 2.89BUnknown
- Operating income (annual): USD 676.46MUnknown
- Current assets (annual): USD 1.15BUnknown
- Current liabilities (annual): USD 802.51MUnknown
- Total liabilities (annual): USD 901.36MUnknown
- Shareholders' equity (annual): USD 1.99BUnknown
- Pre-tax income (annual): USD 757.28MUnknown
- Total operating expenses (annual): USD 3.12BUnknown
- Operating cash flow (annual): USD 611.25MUnknown
- Net income (annual): USD 600.31MUnknown