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Erste Bank Polska SA

$687,20
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PLN
Set alert
LatestErste Bank Polska Q2 profit beats estimates by 11% despite rate headwinds
Last 30 days
1D5D1M3M6MYTD1Y5YMax
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Mcap
70,2B PLN
P/E
12,2x
EV / Rev
7,1x
Div yield
7,27 %
Op margin
ROE
16,3 %
Net margin
45,9 %
Debt / equity
0,54
Beta
52w range
Volume
Day range
Prev close
Open
Next earnings
Ex-dividend
TR 1Y
About

Erste Bank Polska SA operates as a commercial bank within the Polish financial sector, generating revenue through interest income and fee-based banking services.

Business. Erste Bank Polska SA (EBP.WA) is a commercial bank headquartered in Poland, operating within the Banking Services industry group. The company generates revenue primarily through interest income, consistent with standard commercial banking activities. It is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol EBP.WA. Specific details regarding operating segments or geographic revenue breakdowns are not available.

Classification74 %
SectorFinancials
Business sectorBanking & Investment Services
Industry groupBanking Services
IndustryBanks
ActivityCommercial Banks
Generated · model-assisted
Sell-side consensus
HOLD9 analysts
3 buy5 hold1 sell
Avg 12m price target647,13

Analyst recommendations

9 analysts · consensus Hold
Buy3
Hold5
Sell1
12-month price target
647,13
Consensus of sell-side coverage.
Upcoming events
— missing data
See all catalysts →

At a glance

Score
not yet scored
Valuation
12,2x
P/E
Analysts
Hold
9 analysts · indicative
Ownership
not yet wired
Profitability
16,3 %
return on equity
Quality
not yet scored

What drives this business

The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.

— missing data

News & coverage

1
  • MARKETSErste Bank Polska Q2 profit beats estimates by 11% despite rate headwinds2026-07-30
  • Sector rotation

    Sector1D1Mvs mkt
    Materials+2,3 %+6,6 %+1,7 %
    Communication Services+2,2 %−5,5 %+1,6 %
    Energy+0,6 %+3,3 %+0,0 %
    Health Care+0,6 %−0,8 %+0,0 %
    Information Technology+0,6 %+6,7 %+0,0 %
    Consumer Discretionary+0,4 %+7,6 %−0,2 %
    Financials · THIS SECTOR−0,3 %−2,8 %−0,9 %
    Consumer Staples−0,4 %+2,5 %−1,0 %
    Real Estate−0,7 %+10,9 %−1,3 %
    Industrials−1,9 %−3,1 %−2,5 %
    Utilities−1,9 %+28,2 %−2,5 %

    Developing storylines

    No tracked sagas currently linked to EBP.WA. Browse all sagas →

    Analysis

    AI analysis
    Generated · analysis pipeline · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 ↑ At a glance

    Opportunity

    — missing data

    Upcoming catalysts

    Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.

    • Peers
    • DividendDividend USD 1.75/sh2026-09-25 · Bank of America (BAC)
    • EarningsQ3 2026 earnings (expected)2026-10-13 · estimated · JPMorgan Chase (JPM)
    • EarningsQ3 2026 earnings (expected)2026-10-13 · estimated · Citigroup (C)
    • Macro
    • Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
    • Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
    • Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
    • Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
    • Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
    • Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
    • Macro & political
    • ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
    • ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
    • ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR

    Pre-earnings brief

    — missing data

    Signals & dispatch

    peak dispatch · 2026-07-30

    Composite-score breakdown

    Synthesis

    Business

    Erste Bank Polska SA (EBP.WA) is a commercial bank headquartered in Poland, operating within the Banking Services industry group. The company generates revenue primarily through interest income, consistent with standard commercial banking activities. It is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol EBP.WA. Specific details regarding operating segments or geographic revenue breakdowns are not available.

    Classification74 %
    SectorFinancials
    Business sectorBanking & Investment Services
    Industry groupBanking Services
    IndustryBanks
    ActivityCommercial Banks
    AI synthesis
    GENERATED

    Erste Bank Polska SA maintains a capital structure characterized by a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.54, indicating moderate leverage relative to its equity base of 35.4 billion PLN. The bank holds total assets of 308.2 billion PLN against total liabilities of 272.7 billion PLN. Liquidity is assessed as medium risk, with a key flag noting that net cash is negative after subtracting total debt, which stands at 19.1 billion PLN in long-term obligations. The current market capitalization is 70.2 billion PLN, trading at a price-to-book ratio of 1.98 and a price-to-tangible book ratio of 1.98.

    Profitability metrics show a return on equity (ROE) of 16.3% and a return on assets (ROA) of 1.87% for the latest normalized period. The bank reported net income of 6.48 billion PLN on revenue of 12.7 billion PLN, resulting in a net margin of approximately 51%. While specific cohort medians are not provided in the input data for direct comparison, the ROE of 16.3% suggests strong capital efficiency typical of established commercial banks. The valuation snapshot indicates a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.16, reflecting the market's pricing of these earnings.

    Revenue concentration and segment details are not explicitly broken down in the available data, but the company operates primarily within the Polish banking market. The geographic exposure is implicitly concentrated in Poland, given the company name and PLN currency denomination. Without specific segment revenue mixes, the analysis relies on the aggregate financial performance of the commercial banking activity.

    Growth trajectory analysis is limited by the absence of historical period data in the input. The current revenue of 12.7 billion PLN and net income of 6.48 billion PLN represent the latest normalized period's performance. Without prior year or quarterly trend data, year-over-year growth rates cannot be calculated from the provided information.

    Risk assessment highlights medium liquidity risk and low dilution risk. The primary financial flag is the negative net cash position after debt subtraction, which requires monitoring of cash flow generation. The bank generated operating cash flow of 10.65 billion PLN and free cash flow of 1.71 billion PLN, with capital expenditures of -640.5 million PLN. The dilution risk is low, supported by the fact that basic and diluted shares outstanding are identical at 102.2 million shares.

    Recent observations include analyst estimates with a mean price target of 647.13 PLN and a median target of 669.39 PLN, against a current market price of 687.2 PLN. The mean recommendation is 2.56, with 2 strong buys, 1 buy, and 5 holds. Competitor context lists major global banks such as JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America, though specific comparative metrics are not provided.

    Key takeaways
    • The bank trades at a P/E of 12.16 and P/B of 1.98, with an ROE of 16.3%.
    • Net cash is negative after debt subtraction, posing a medium liquidity risk.
    • Dilution risk is low, with no difference between basic and diluted share counts.
    • Analyst sentiment is mixed, with a mean recommendation of 2.56 and a mean price target below the current market price.
    • Operating cash flow of 10.65 billion PLN supports the bank's liquidity needs despite negative net cash.

    Bull / Bear case

    Generated · model-assisted
    — missing data

    In focus — financials by report

    Quarterly
    Annual
    QUARTERLYFiled 2026-04-30
    Q1 2026 · Quarter highlights

    Revenue PLN 3.06B, −14,9% YoY; Net income −40,7% YoY.

    RevenuePLN 3.06B−14,9 % YoY
    Operating income
    Net incomePLN 1.03B−40,7 % YoY
    Free cash flowPLN 1.10B−41,1 % YoY
    EPS
    Operating cash flow-PLN 2.76B−143,2 % YoY
    Financials
    Income statement
    RevenuePLN 3.06B
    Gross profit
    Operating income
    Net incomePLN 1.03B
    Margins
    Gross margin
    Operating margin
    Net margin33.6%
    FCF margin35.9%
    Balance sheet
    Total assetsPLN 304.42B
    Total liabilitiesPLN 268.72B
    Total equityPLN 35.69B
    Cash & equivalents
    Long-term debtPLN 19.68B
    Cash flow
    Operating cash flow-PLN 2.76B
    CapEx-PLN 78.3M
    Free cash flowPLN 1.10B
    SBC
    Highlights
    • Revenue PLN 3.06B, −14,9% YoY
    • Net income −40,7% YoY
    • Free cash flow −41,1% YoY
    • Net margin 33.6%

    Valuation TTM

    Market price
    $687,20
    Market cap
    $70.22B
    Enterprise value
    $89.31B
    P/E
    12.2x
    Non-GAAP P/E
    EV / Revenue
    7.1x
    EV / Op income
    EV / OCF
    8.4x
    P / B
    2.0x
    P / Tangible book
    2.0x
    Tangible book
    $35.43B
    Net cash
    -$19.09B
    Current ratio
    Debt / equity
    0.5
    ROA
    1.9%
    ROE
    16.3%
    Cash conversion
    185.0%
    CapEx / revenue
    -5.1%
    SBC / revenue
    Dilution ratio
    0.0%

    Revenue by segment

    Market share

    — missing data

    Business relationships

    Business relationships3 disclosed relationships · 1 type · extracted from filings & disclosures
    Competitors3
    Bank Of America CorpBAC.OCompetitor50%
    CITIGROUP INC.C.NCompetitor50%
    JPMORGAN CHASE & CO.JPM.NCompetitor50%

    Supply chain

    — missing data

    Peer comparison

    — missing data

    Market position

    Stress test

    — missing data

    Predictor forecast

    Next quarternear-term
    Earnings · next quarterconf 45 %
    EPS
    Consensus EPS
    52,09
    Predicted surprise
    +0,00
    Beat probability
    45 %
    Analysts
    9
    Other metrics
    Revenue
    no estimate
    Segment revenue
    no estimate
    Margin
    no estimate
    Segment margin
    no estimate
    as of 2026-07-13 · Earnings Surprise V1
    Period note: consensus is not fiscal-period-aligned at source — read as consensus vs the last reported actual, not a calibrated same-quarter surprise.
    Full fiscal year~1 year ahead
    Full fiscal year · our forecast vs guidance vs consensus
    MetricOur forecastGuidanceConsensus
    EPSno estimateno estimate52,09
    Revenueno estimateno estimate15,9B PLN
    Operating incomeno estimateno estimate10,6B PLN
    Full-year consensus mean (period as reported by source) · consensus in PLN. Company-level full-year forecast and management guidance are not yet modelled at scale — shown as "no estimate", never inferred.
    Probabilistic model output — not investment advice. · generated 2026-08-04

    Options

    — missing data

    Short squeeze

    — missing data

    Earnings-call key lines

    — missing data

    Consensus distribution

    sell-side coverage
    Recommendation distribution9 analysts
    Strong buy2
    Buy1
    Hold5
    Sell1
    Strong sell0
    12-month price target$647,13 · Median $669,39
    Low $490,00High $713,00
    Operating income · consensus10,6B PLN
    EPS surprise
    +21,4 %
    reported vs consensus · beat
    Revenue surprise
    −20,0 %
    reported vs consensus · miss

    Estimate revisions

    consensus EPS · 26-week trend
    — missing data

    Sell-side observations

    Low$490,00
    Mean$647,13
    Median$669,39
    High$713,00
    Spot$687,20
    −5.8 %implied to mean12-month sell-side price targets · ▲ spot

    Themes

    — missing data

    ESG

    — missing data

    Risk factors

    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskMedium
    Filing-based flags
    • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.

    Benchmarks vs cohort

    Net Margin45,9 %Above median
    ROE16,3 %Best in class
    Capex / Rev-5,1 %Below median
    D/E0,54Below median
    Cash Conv1,85Above median

    Corporate actions / M&A

    — missing data

    FX exposure

    — missing data

    Comparable transactions

    — missing data

    Derivatives & instruments

    — missing data

    Actions

    Ask Handelsavisen

    — missing data
    Data sources
    • Market data
    • Market data cache
    • Issuer disclosures
    • Public news
    • Earnings transcripts
    • Consensus estimates
    • ESG data
    • Reference data
    How metrics are computed
    • Price To Earnings
      market_price / (net_income / shares_outstanding_diluted)
    • Return On Equity
      net_income / total_equity
    • Capex To Revenue
      capital_expenditure / revenue
    • Market Cap
      market_price * shares_outstanding_diluted
    • Enterprise Value
      market_cap - net_cash
    • Return On Assets
      net_income / total_assets
    Source documents
    • Erste Bank Polska SA Market data — financials · 2026-07-13
    • Erste Bank Polska SA Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-07-13
    • Erste Bank Polska SA Market data — ESG · 2026-07-13
    • Erste Bank Polska SA HA canonical relationships · 2026-07-13
    • Erste Bank Polska SA — company reference export (2026-07-05) · 2026-07-13

    Ownership & reference

    Leadership

    • Antonio Escaemez TorresChairman of the Supervisory Board

    Insider activity

    — missing data

    Short positioning

    — missing data

    Geographic breakdown

    — missing data
    Listings · one canonical issuer all listings resolve to the canonical
    EBP.WACanonical
    Warsaw Stock Exchange · PLN

    Intel & risk

    PredictorBeat prob45 %Surprise+0,00Full forecast →
    peak dispatch · 2026-07-30
    OSINT findings
    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskMedium
    Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
    Relationship graph
    EBPJPMBACCJPM.NBAC.OBanks
    This companyPeerSector

    Evidence & claims

    From filings & derived data
    — missing data

    The Thread

    Everything we know, in order
    2026-04-30 08:53 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q1 2026 Revenue PLN 3.06B · Net PLN 1.03B
    2026-02-03 22:34 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q4 2025 Revenue PLN 3.15B · Net PLN 1.84B
    2026-02-03 22:34 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2026 Revenue PLN 12.70B · Net PLN 6.48B
    2025-10-29 09:11 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q3 2025 Revenue PLN 3.20B · Net PLN 1.89B
    2025-07-30 09:28 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q2 2025 Revenue PLN 3.18B · Net PLN 1.02B
    2025-04-30 08:05 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q1 2025 Revenue PLN 3.60B · Net PLN 1.73B
    2025-02-05 07:01 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q4 2024 Revenue PLN 3.20B · Net PLN 913.4M
    2025-02-05 07:01 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2025 Revenue PLN 12.27B · Net PLN 5.21B
    2024-10-29 08:15 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q3 2024 Revenue PLN 3.16B · Net PLN 1.94B
    2024-07-24 10:25 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q2 2024 Revenue PLN 2.90B · Net PLN 794.9M
    2024-01-31 07:38 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2024 Revenue PLN 13.12B · Net PLN 4.83B
    2023-02-02 08:34 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2023 Revenue PLN 9.65B · Net PLN 2.80B
    2022-02-02 14:59 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2022 Revenue PLN 5.96B · Net PLN 1.11B
    The entity's full life in the product — typed, chronological, joined across Newspaper, Platform and Data. Our memory, made visible.
    Sources filings · IR · transcripts · market data · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 Market data · Issuer disclosures · Public news · Earnings transcripts · Consensus estimates · ESG data · Reference data Premium coverage