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1828.HK HKEX Unclassified

FWD Group Holdings Ltd

HK$30,10
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Mcap
38,5B HKD
P/E
19,5x
EV / Rev
28,5x
Div yield
Op margin
127,0 %
ROE
27,9 %
Net margin
134,2 %
Debt / equity
0,49
Beta
52w range
Volume
Day range
Prev close
Open
Next earnings
Ex-dividend
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About

FWD Group Holdings Ltd operates as an insurance provider within the Financials sector, generating revenue through insurance premiums and investment income.

Business. FWD Group Holdings Ltd operates as an insurance provider within the Financials sector, generating revenue through insurance premiums and investment income.

Classification20 %
SectorUnclassified
Generated · model-assisted
Sell-side consensus
BUY5 analysts
5 buy0 hold0 sell
Avg 12m price target44,17

Analyst recommendations

5 analysts · consensus Buy
Buy5
Hold0
Sell0
12-month price target
44,17
Consensus of sell-side coverage.
Upcoming events
— missing data
See all catalysts →

At a glance

Score
not yet scored
Valuation
19,5x
P/E
Analysts
Buy
5 analysts · indicative
Ownership
not yet wired
Profitability
27,9 %
return on equity
Quality
not yet scored

What drives this business

The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.

— missing data

News & coverage

0
  • No recent newsroom coverage mentioning 1828.
  • Sector rotation

    Sector1D1Mvs mkt
    Materials+2,3 %+6,6 %+1,7 %
    Communication Services+2,2 %−5,5 %+1,6 %
    Energy+0,6 %+3,3 %+0,0 %
    Health Care+0,6 %−0,8 %+0,0 %
    Information Technology+0,6 %+6,7 %+0,0 %
    Consumer Discretionary+0,4 %+7,6 %−0,2 %
    Financials−0,3 %−2,8 %−0,9 %
    Consumer Staples−0,4 %+2,5 %−1,0 %
    Real Estate−0,7 %+10,9 %−1,3 %
    Industrials−1,9 %−3,1 %−2,5 %
    Utilities−1,9 %+28,2 %−2,5 %

    Developing storylines

    No tracked sagas currently linked to 1828.HK. Browse all sagas →

    Analysis

    AI analysis
    Generated · analysis pipeline · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 ↑ At a glance

    Opportunity

    — missing data

    Upcoming catalysts

    Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.

    • Macro
    • Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
    • Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
    • Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
    • Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
    • Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
    • Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
    • Macro & political
    • ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
    • ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
    • ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR

    Pre-earnings brief

    — missing data

    Signals & dispatch

    peak dispatch · —

    Composite-score breakdown

    Synthesis

    Business

    FWD Group Holdings Ltd operates as an insurance provider within the Financials sector, generating revenue through insurance premiums and investment income.

    Classification20 %
    SectorUnclassified
    AI synthesis
    GENERATED

    FWD Group Holdings Ltd maintains a capital structure characterized by significant leverage relative to equity, with total liabilities of $55.55 billion against total equity of $6.82 billion. The company holds $3.37 billion in long-term debt and only $142 million in cash and equivalents, resulting in a negative net cash position. Despite this, the debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.49, which is manageable for an insurance entity where liabilities are primarily policyholder reserves rather than traditional debt. The current ratio is not explicitly provided, but the liquidity risk is assessed as medium, reflecting the tight cash buffer relative to total obligations.

    Profitability metrics indicate strong returns on equity, with an ROE of 27.89% and an ROA of 3.05%. The company reports net income of $1.90 billion on revenue of $1.42 billion, suggesting that a significant portion of its earnings derives from investment income or other comprehensive income items typical of insurers, rather than pure underwriting revenue. The price-to-earnings ratio of 19.52 and price-to-book ratio of 5.44 suggest the market values these high returns, though the EV/EBITDA of 22.42 indicates a premium valuation relative to operating cash flows.

    Key takeaways
    • High ROE of 27.89% driven by net income exceeding reported revenue, typical of insurance investment income models.
    • Negative net cash position and medium liquidity risk require monitoring of cash flow against policyholder liabilities.
    • Low dilution risk with no difference between basic and diluted share counts.
    • Analyst consensus suggests substantial upside, with a mean price target of $44.17 vs current price of $29.00.
    • Valuation multiples (P/E 19.52, P/B 5.44) reflect premium pricing for high returns.

    Bull / Bear case

    Generated · model-assisted
    BULL CASE · 2

    Analysts project 46.8% upside to a mean price target of $44.18, reflecting strong consensus buy ratings.

    Free cash flow surged to $1.94 billion in FY0, demonstrating strong cash generation capabilities.

    BEAR CASE · 4

    Cash conversion ratio of 0.13 places the company in the bottom quartile of its peer cohort.

    The company faces a medium level of liquidity risk according to internal risk flag assessments.

    Long-term debt increased to $3.37 billion in FY0, rising from $3.13 billion in the prior year.

    Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.49 is below the cohort median of 0.40, indicating higher relative leverage.

    In focus — financials by report

    Annual
    ANNUALFiled 2026-04-16
    FY 2026 · Full-year highlights

    Revenue $1.42B, +37,2% YoY; Operating income +49,5% YoY.

    Revenue$1.42B+37,2 % YoY
    Operating income$1.80B+49,5 % YoY
    Net income$1.90B+75,0 % YoY
    Free cash flow$1.94B+83,3 % YoY
    EPS
    Operating cash flow$247.0M−53,0 % YoY
    Financials
    Income statement
    Revenue$1.42B
    Gross profit
    Operating income$1.80B
    Net income$1.90B
    Margins
    Gross margin
    Operating margin127.0%
    Net margin134.2%
    FCF margin136.8%
    Balance sheet
    Total assets$62.36B
    Total liabilities$55.55B
    Total equity$6.82B
    Cash & equivalents$142.0M
    Long-term debt$3.37B
    Cash flow
    Operating cash flow$247.0M
    CapEx-$89.0M
    Free cash flow$1.94B
    SBC
    P&L flow · revenue → net income
    Revenue $1.42BOperating costs $382.0MFinance $250.0MNet income $1.90B
    Highlights
    • Revenue $1.42B, +37,2% YoY
    • Operating income +49,5% YoY
    • Net income +75,0% YoY
    • Free cash flow +83,3% YoY
    • Net margin 134.2%

    Valuation FY

    Market price
    HK$30,10
    Market cap
    HK$37.11B
    Enterprise value
    HK$40.34B
    P/E
    19.5x
    Non-GAAP P/E
    EV / Revenue
    28.5x
    EV / Op income
    22.4x
    EV / OCF
    163.3x
    P / B
    5.4x
    P / Tangible book
    5.4x
    Tangible book
    HK$6.82B
    Net cash
    -HK$3.23B
    Current ratio
    Debt / equity
    0.5
    ROA
    3.0%
    ROE
    27.9%
    Cash conversion
    13.0%
    CapEx / revenue
    -6.3%
    SBC / revenue
    Dilution ratio
    0.0%

    Revenue by segment

    Market share

    — missing data

    Business relationships

    — missing data

    Supply chain

    — missing data

    Peer comparison

    — missing data

    Market position

    Stress test

    — missing data

    Predictor forecast

    Next quarternear-term
    Earnings · next quarterconf 48 %
    EPS
    Consensus EPS
    0,21
    Predicted surprise
    -0,08
    Beat probability
    47 %
    Analysts
    5
    Other metrics
    Revenue
    no estimate
    Segment revenue
    no estimate
    Margin
    no estimate
    Segment margin
    no estimate
    revision ratio 0,05 · as of 2026-07-11 · Earnings Surprise V1
    Period note: consensus is not fiscal-period-aligned at source — read as consensus vs the last reported actual, not a calibrated same-quarter surprise.
    Full fiscal year~1 year ahead
    Full fiscal year · our forecast vs guidance vs consensus
    MetricOur forecastGuidanceConsensus
    EPSno estimateno estimate0,21
    Revenueno estimateno estimate4,7B USD
    Operating incomeno estimateno estimate733,3M USD
    Full-year consensus mean (period as reported by source) · consensus in USD. Company-level full-year forecast and management guidance are not yet modelled at scale — shown as "no estimate", never inferred.
    Probabilistic model output — not investment advice. · generated 2026-08-04

    Options

    — missing data

    Short squeeze

    — missing data

    Earnings-call key lines

    — missing data

    Consensus distribution

    sell-side coverage
    Recommendation distribution5 analysts
    Strong buy1
    Buy4
    Hold0
    Sell0
    Strong sell0
    12-month price targetHK$44,17 · Median HK$43,10
    Low HK$42,50High HK$48,00
    Operating income · consensus733,3M USD
    EPS surprise
    −39,5 %
    reported vs consensus · miss
    Revenue surprise
    −37,8 %
    reported vs consensus · miss

    Estimate revisions

    consensus EPS · 26-week trend
    — missing data

    Sell-side observations

    LowHK$42,50
    MeanHK$44,17
    MedianHK$43,10
    HighHK$48,00
    SpotHK$30,10
    +46.8 %implied to mean12-month sell-side price targets · ▲ spot

    Themes

    — missing data

    ESG

    — missing data

    Risk factors

    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskMedium
    Filing-based flags
    • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.

    Benchmarks vs cohort

    Op Margin127,0 %Best in class
    Net Margin134,2 %Best in class
    ROE27,9 %Best in class
    Capex / Rev-6,3 %Below median
    D/E0,49Below median
    Cash Conv0,13Bottom quartile

    Corporate actions / M&A

    — missing data

    FX exposure

    — missing data

    Comparable transactions

    — missing data

    Derivatives & instruments

    — missing data

    Actions

    Ask Handelsavisen

    — missing data
    Data sources
    • Market data
    • Market data cache
    • Issuer disclosures
    • Public news
    • Earnings transcripts
    • Consensus estimates
    • ESG data
    • Reference data
    How metrics are computed
    • Debt To Equity
      (short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
    • Market Cap
      market_price * shares_outstanding_diluted
    • Ev To Revenue
      enterprise_value / revenue
    • Return On Assets
      net_income / total_assets
    • Price To Tangible Book
      market_price / (tangible_book_value / shares_outstanding_diluted)
    • Price To Earnings
      market_price / (net_income / shares_outstanding_diluted)
    Source documents
    • FWD Group Holdings Ltd Market data — financials · 2026-07-11
    • FWD Group Holdings Ltd Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-07-11
    • FWD Group Holdings Ltd Market data — ESG · 2026-07-11

    Ownership & reference

    Insider activity

    — missing data

    Short positioning

    — missing data

    Geographic breakdown

    — missing data
    Listings · one canonical issuer all listings resolve to the canonical
    1828.HKCanonical
    HKEX · HKD

    Intel & risk

    PredictorBeat prob47 %Surprise-0,08Full forecast →
    peak dispatch · —
    OSINT findings
    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskMedium
    Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.

    Evidence & claims

    From filings & derived data
    — missing data

    The Thread

    Everything we know, in order
    2026-06-30 03:38 UTCEARNINGSUpcomingForecast: earnings_forecast (90d)
    2026-04-16 05:01 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2026 Revenue USD 1.42B · Net USD 1.90B
    The entity's full life in the product — typed, chronological, joined across Newspaper, Platform and Data. Our memory, made visible.
    Sources filings · IR · transcripts · market data · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 Market data · Issuer disclosures · Public news · Earnings transcripts · Consensus estimates · ESG data · Reference data Premium coverage