Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. is classified under Financials / Banks and appears profitable on the latest normalized snapshot.
Business. Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) is a financial services company operating within the banking and investment services sector, primarily engaged in commercial banking activities. The firm generates revenue through an interest-income model and is listed on the New York Stock Exchange. Specific details regarding its operating segments and geographic presence are not provided in the available data.
Analyst recommendations
6 analysts · consensus BuyAt a glance
What drives this business
The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.
News & coverage
0Sector rotation
Developing storylines
Analysis
AI analysisOpportunity
Upcoming catalysts
Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.
- Company
- EarningsQ3 2026 earnings (expected)2026-10-28 · estimated
- Peers
- DividendDividend USD 1.75/sh2026-09-25 · Bank of America (BAC)
- EarningsQ3 2026 earnings (expected)2026-10-13 · estimated · JPMorgan Chase (JPM)
- EarningsQ3 2026 earnings (expected)2026-10-13 · estimated · Citigroup (C)
- Macro
- Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
- Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
- Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
- Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
- Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
- Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
- Macro & political
- ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
- ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
- ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
Pre-earnings brief
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) has seen a notable influx of institutional interest, marked by several new holders adding positions in its shares. This activity represents the most significant recent development for the company, as there is no prior basis for delta computation in this initial analysis. The emergence of these new investors suggests a growing attention to the direct lending sector's opportunities, even as the company maintains a lean operational structure with no reported officers or analyst coverage. The most substantial addition came from an investor who acquired 1,662,050 shares valued at approximately $27.9 million as of December 31, 2024. This position represents a weight of roughly 0.79% in the investor's portfolio, indicating a meaningful commitment to NCDL. This large-scale entry underscores the potential appeal of the company's direct lending strategy to larger institutional players seeking yield in the current market environment. Additional notable additions were recorded as of March 31, 2026, further diversifying the shareholder base. One investor added 893,537 shares worth about $11.4 million, while another acquired 682,133 shares valued at approximately $8.7 million. Smaller but still significant positions were established by other investors, including holdings of 369,431 shares ($4.7 million), 311,270 shares ($4.0 million), 125,622 shares ($1.6 million), and 12,119 shares ($0.15 million). These varied entry points suggest a broadening interest across different investment sizes. This accumulation of new holders is particularly relevant given that NCDL currently has no index membership and no analyst coverage, making institutional investor actions a primary signal of market sentiment. With nine top holders now identified, the company's ownership structure is becoming more defined. The lack of prior comparative data means these additions represent a fresh baseline for tracking institutional confidence in Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.'s performance and strategy.
Signals & dispatch
Composite-score breakdown
Synthesis
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) is a financial services company operating within the banking and investment services sector, primarily engaged in commercial banking activities. The firm generates revenue through an interest-income model and is listed on the New York Stock Exchange. Specific details regarding its operating segments and geographic presence are not provided in the available data.
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) is currently classified as Commercial Banks within Banks (Financials). Classification confidence: 0.98 (rule-based classification). Capital structure on the latest snapshot: total assets 2,048,698,000 USD, total equity 864,112,000, short-term debt 0, long-term debt 0. Net cash position is approximately 44,008,000 USD. Self-calculated market cap is 646,476,681 USD (market_price × shares_outstanding_diluted). Profitability profile: revenue 0, gross profit 0, operating income 0, net income 8,687,000. Return on equity ~1.0%. Return on assets ~0.4%. Operating-cash-flow to net-income ratio is -1.58. Risk profile from automated assessment: liquidity risk low, dilution risk medium. Flags: Source documents mention dilution or offering risk.. Recent news context: [TRIGGER] 8-K: 8-K (sec_8k_material) on NCDL — filing_type=8-K; max_severity=high; ignored_items=['9.01']; material_items=['1.01', '2.03']; all_items_found=['1.01', '2.03', '9.01']; severity_per_code={'1.01': 'high', '2.03': 'medium'}; contributing_watchers=sec_8k_material (source=sec_8k_material; url=0001737924-26-000079). Additional context: 8-K: filing_type=8-K; max_severity=high; ignored_items=['9.01']; material_items=['1.01', '2.03']; all_items_found=['1.01', '2.03', '9.01']; severity_per_code={'1.01': 'high', '2.03': 'medium'}; contributing_watchers=sec_8k_material. Comparable peers identified within the same class: JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Citigroup.
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) has seen a notable influx of institutional interest, marked by several new holders adding positions in its shares. This activity represents the most significant recent development for the company, as there is no prior basis for delta computation in this initial analysis. The emergence of these new investors suggests a growing attention to the direct lending sector's opportunities, even as the company maintains a lean operational structure with no reported officers or analyst coverage. The most substantial addition came from an investor who acquired 1,662,050 shares valued at approximately $27.9 million as of December 31, 2024. This position represents a weight of roughly 0.79% in the investor's portfolio, indicating a meaningful commitment to NCDL. This large-scale entry underscores the potential appeal of the company's direct lending strategy to larger institutional players seeking yield in the current market environment. Additional notable additions were recorded as of March 31, 2026, further diversifying the shareholder base. One investor added 893,537 shares worth about $11.4 million, while another acquired 682,133 shares valued at approximately $8.7 million. Smaller but still significant positions were established by other investors, including holdings of 369,431 shares ($4.7 million), 311,270 shares ($4.0 million), 125,622 shares ($1.6 million), and 12,119 shares ($0.15 million). These varied entry points suggest a broadening interest across different investment sizes. This accumulation of new holders is particularly relevant given that NCDL currently has no index membership and no analyst coverage, making institutional investor actions a primary signal of market sentiment. With nine top holders now identified, the company's ownership structure is becoming more defined. The lack of prior comparative data means these additions represent a fresh baseline for tracking institutional confidence in Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.'s performance and strategy.
- Observed GAAP P/E is about 74.42x.
- Return on equity is about 1.0%.
- Debt to equity is about 0.0x.
- [TRIGGER] 8-K: 8-K (sec_8k_material) on NCDL — filing_type=8-K; max_severity=high; ignored_items=['9.01']; material_items=['1.01', '2.03']; all_items_found=['1.01', '2.03', '9.01']; severity_per_code={'1.01': 'high', '2.03': 'medium'}; contributing_watchers=sec_8k_material (source=sec_8k_material; url=0001737924-26-000079)
- Likely peers from the same classification include JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Citigroup.
- Companyfacts coverage was partial; recent filing facts backfilled cash_and_equivalents.
Bull / Bear case
Generated · model-assistedAnalysts project 15.5% upside to a mean price target of $15.125, reflecting a consensus buy recommendation from six analysts.
The stock trades at a 0.75 price-to-book ratio, indicating a significant discount to its tangible book value of $864.1 million.
Net income surged 77.3% year-over-year to $116.3 million in FY2025, demonstrating strong recent profitability growth.
Total assets grew 4.3% year-over-year to $2.14 billion in FY2025, showing steady balance sheet expansion.
Equity increased 10.9% year-over-year to $970.3 million in FY2025, supporting capital strength and potential distribution capacity.
Return on equity of 1.01% places the company in the bottom quartile compared to the 5.89% median for its bank cohort.
Cash conversion of -1.58 ranks in the bottom quartile versus the 1.13 median, signaling potential liquidity or working capital issues.
Return on assets of 0.42% is significantly lower than major peers like JPMorgan Chase, which reports a 4.53% ROE.
The company faces medium dilution risk, which could negatively impact per-share value and existing shareholder equity over time.
Leverage band is classified as medium with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.273, indicating moderate financial leverage exposure.
In focus — financials by report
Valuation FY
Revenue by segment
Business relationships
Supply chain
Peer comparison
Market position
Stress test
Predictor forecast
| Metric | Our forecast | Guidance | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | —no estimate | —no estimate | 1,57 |
| Revenue | —no estimate | —no estimate | 184,2M USD |
| Operating income | —no estimate | —no estimate | —no estimate |
Options
Short squeeze
Earnings-call key lines
Consensus distribution
sell-side coverageEstimate revisions
consensus EPS · 26-week trendSell-side observations
Themes
ESG
Risk factors
- Source documents mention dilution or offering risk.
Benchmarks vs cohort
Corporate actions / M&A
FX exposure
Comparable transactions
Derivatives & instruments
Actions
Ask Handelsavisen
- Market data
- Regulatory filings
- Issuer disclosures
- Public news
- Earnings transcripts
- Consensus estimates
- ESG data
- Reference data
- Debt To Equity(short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
- Market Capmarket_price * shares_outstanding_diluted
- Return On Assetsnet_income / total_assets
- Price To Tangible Bookmarket_price / (tangible_book_value / shares_outstanding_diluted)
- Price To Earningsmarket_price / (net_income / shares_outstanding_diluted)
- Enterprise Valuemarket_cap - net_cash
- Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. company facts · 2026-07-11
- Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. 10-Q 2026-05-07 · 2026-07-11
- Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. 10-K 2026-02-26 · 2026-07-11
- Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. 10-Q 2025-11-04 · 2026-07-11
- Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. 10-Q 2025-08-06 · 2026-07-11
- 8-K (sec_8k_material) on NCDL · 2026-07-11
Ownership & reference
Top holders
- Investment Managers · as of 2024-12-310,01 %$28M
- Funds · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$11M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$9M
- Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$4M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$3M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$5M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$2M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
Insider activity
- Vice President & Secretary · Common StockBought 7 500 @ $13,27$100K · 2026-05-15
- Chief Financial Off./Treasurer · Common StockBought 5 000 @ $13,20$66K · 2026-05-14
- Chief Accounting Officer · Common StockBought 3 782 @ $13,21$50K · 2026-05-12
- Chief Financial Off./Treasurer · Common StockOther 386 @ $14,18$5K · 2026-04-27
- Chief Financial Off./Treasurer · Common StockBought 5 000 @ $13,13$66K · 2026-03-12
- Director · Common StockBought 17 857 @ $13,71$245K · 2026-03-10
- Senior Managing Director · Common StockBought 2 000 @ $13,05$26K · 2026-03-06
- Vice President & Secretary · Common StockBought 2 000 @ $13,30$27K · 2026-03-05
- Member-Sub-Adv's Joint Inv Com · Common StockBought 7 690 @ $13,40$103K · 2026-03-04
- Director, CEO & President · Common StockBought 10 000 @ $13,04$130K · 2026-03-03
- Director, CEO & President · Common StockBought 10 000 @ $13,04$130K · 2026-03-03
- Director · Common StockBought 3 000 @ $12,83$38K · 2026-03-03
- Director · Common StockBought 2 000 @ $14,10$28K · 2025-11-19
- Chief Financial Off./Treasurer · Common StockBought 5 000 @ $14,20$71K · 2025-11-17
- Director, CEO & President · Common StockBought 20 000 @ $14,22$284K · 2025-11-06
- Chief Financial Off./Treasurer · Common StockBought 5 000 @ $14,85$74K · 2025-09-16
Short positioning
Geographic breakdown
Intel & risk
Evidence & claims
From filings & derived data- Operating cash flow (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 165.3%Derived (calculated)
- Total assets (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -4.2%Derived (calculated)
- Total liabilities (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 0.5%Derived (calculated)
- Return on equity (FY 2025-12-31): 7.5%Derived (calculated)
- Return on assets (FY 2025-12-31): 3.2%Derived (calculated)
- Debt-to-equity (FY 2025-12-31): 1.35xDerived (calculated)
- EPS (basic) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -17.7%Derived (calculated)
- EPS (diluted) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -17.7%Derived (calculated)
- Long-term debt (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -0.1%Derived (calculated)
- Net income (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -43.6%Derived (calculated)
- Shareholders' equity (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -9.8%Derived (calculated)
- Total assets (annual): USD 2.05BSEC XBRL filing
- Operating cash flow (annual): USD 194.16MSEC XBRL filing
- EPS (diluted) (annual): USD-PER-SHARES 2SEC XBRL filing
- Net income (annual): USD 65.61MSEC XBRL filing
- Total liabilities (annual): USD 1.18BSEC XBRL filing
- Long-term debt (annual): USD 1.11BSEC XBRL filing
- Shareholders' equity (annual): USD 875.18MSEC XBRL filing
- EPS (basic) (annual): USD-PER-SHARES 2SEC XBRL filing
- Shares outstanding (annual): 49.39MSEC XBRL filing
- Return on assets (FY 2024-12-31): 5.4%Derived (calculated)
- Return on equity (FY 2024-12-31): 12.0%Derived (calculated)
- Debt-to-equity (FY 2024-12-31): 1.21xDerived (calculated)
- Net income (annual): USD 116.32MSEC XBRL filing