UBS Group AG
UBS Group AG provides investment management, fund operations, and banking services, generating revenue through asset management fees, trading commissions, and interest income from its lending and deposit-taking activities.
Business. UBS Group AG (UBSS.TO) is a financial services firm operating within the Banking & Investment Services sector, specifically classified under the Investment Management & Fund Operators industry. The company generates revenue primarily through a fee-income model, with key performance indicators including total assets under management, organic net flows, and average fee rates. While specific operating segments and geographic breakdowns are not provided, the firm is listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the ticker UBSS.TO.
Analyst recommendations
20 analysts · consensus BuyAt a glance
What drives this business
The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.
News & coverage
5Sector rotation
Developing storylines
Analysis
AI analysisOpportunity
Upcoming catalysts
Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.
- Macro
- Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
- Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
- Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
- Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
- Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
- Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
- Macro & political
- ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
- ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
- ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
Pre-earnings brief
This is the first analysis for UBS Group AG (UBSS.TO), meaning there is no prior basis for computing material changes or deltas in the company's recent performance. Consequently, no specific shifts in financial metrics, operational events, or strategic pivots can be asserted based on the available data. The cross-source signal data indicates a period of relative quiet in news dispatches, with zero reports recorded for most days between late June and mid-July 2026. The only activity occurred on July 2, with two dispatches, and July 3, with one dispatch, though no sentiment scores were attached to these entries. In terms of market structure, UBS Group AG is currently tracked by eight analysts and holds membership in one index. The company’s ownership is distributed among 29 top holders, providing a baseline for its institutional footprint, although no changes in holder composition or analyst ratings are documented in this initial snapshot. While a saga regarding Colombia fuel subsidy markets is noted in the broader data environment, it carries a peer weight of -6.2694 and zero posts, suggesting it does not directly impact UBS Group AG’s immediate narrative. Without specific financials or estimates linked to recent events, the significance of this initial data point remains limited to establishing a baseline for future monitoring.
Signals & dispatch
Composite-score breakdown
Synthesis
UBS Group AG (UBSS.TO) is a financial services firm operating within the Banking & Investment Services sector, specifically classified under the Investment Management & Fund Operators industry. The company generates revenue primarily through a fee-income model, with key performance indicators including total assets under management, organic net flows, and average fee rates. While specific operating segments and geographic breakdowns are not provided, the firm is listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the ticker UBSS.TO.
UBS Group AG maintains a capital structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.55, indicating a significant reliance on debt financing relative to equity. The company's liquidity position is assessed as medium, with free cash flow of $1.49 billion and operating cash flow of $11.86 billion, but its net cash position is negative after subtracting total debt. This suggests that UBS may need to manage its debt obligations carefully to maintain financial flexibility.
In terms of profitability, UBS Group AG reports a return on equity (ROE) of 1.36% and a return on assets (ROA) of 0.07%, both of which are below the typical performance metrics for the investment management and fund operators industry. These figures suggest that the company is not generating strong returns relative to its equity and asset base.
The company's revenue is primarily concentrated in its investment management and fund operations segments, with geographic exposure spread across global markets. However, the exact distribution of revenue by segment and region is not disclosed in the available data. This lack of transparency may limit the ability to assess the company's exposure to regional economic fluctuations.
Looking at the growth trajectory, UBS Group AG has reported a net income of $1.14 billion, but the outlook for the current and next fiscal years is not explicitly provided in the available data. The company's capital expenditure is negative at -$913 million, indicating a reduction in capital spending, which may reflect a strategic shift or cost-cutting measures.
The risk assessment for UBS Group AG highlights a medium liquidity risk and a low dilution risk. The company's key financial flags include a negative net cash position after subtracting total debt, which could impact its ability to meet short-term obligations without additional financing. The dilution risk is assessed as low, suggesting that the company is not expected to issue a significant number of new shares in the near term.
Recent events and filings do not provide specific details on UBS Group AG's strategic initiatives or regulatory changes. However, the company's financial performance and risk profile suggest that it is navigating a challenging environment, with a need to balance debt management and profitability.
This is the first analysis for UBS Group AG (UBSS.TO), meaning there is no prior basis for computing material changes or deltas in the company's recent performance. Consequently, no specific shifts in financial metrics, operational events, or strategic pivots can be asserted based on the available data. The cross-source signal data indicates a period of relative quiet in news dispatches, with zero reports recorded for most days between late June and mid-July 2026. The only activity occurred on July 2, with two dispatches, and July 3, with one dispatch, though no sentiment scores were attached to these entries. In terms of market structure, UBS Group AG is currently tracked by eight analysts and holds membership in one index. The company’s ownership is distributed among 29 top holders, providing a baseline for its institutional footprint, although no changes in holder composition or analyst ratings are documented in this initial snapshot. While a saga regarding Colombia fuel subsidy markets is noted in the broader data environment, it carries a peer weight of -6.2694 and zero posts, suggesting it does not directly impact UBS Group AG’s immediate narrative. Without specific financials or estimates linked to recent events, the significance of this initial data point remains limited to establishing a baseline for future monitoring.
- UBS Group AG has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 4.55, indicating a significant reliance on debt financing.
- The company's ROE of 1.36% and ROA of 0.07% are below industry norms, suggesting weak profitability.
- UBS Group AG has a negative net cash position after subtracting total debt, which could impact liquidity.
- The company's capital expenditure is negative, indicating a reduction in capital spending.
- The risk assessment indicates a medium liquidity risk and a low dilution risk.
Bull / Bear case
Generated · model-assistedUBS Group AG revenue grew 9.0% year-over-year to $7.75 billion in fiscal 2026, demonstrating strong top-line expansion.
Net income surged 52.7% year-over-year to $7.77 billion in fiscal 2026, indicating significant profitability improvement.
Analysts project 27.2% upside to a mean price target of $38.41, reflecting strong market confidence in future performance.
Free cash flow increased 29.3% year-over-year to $6.05 billion in fiscal 2026, supporting robust capital generation capabilities.
Total assets grew 3.3% year-over-year to $1.62 trillion in fiscal 2026, showing steady balance sheet expansion.
Return on equity of 1.36% is significantly below the 4.26% median for the investment management cohort, indicating poor capital efficiency.
Debt-to-equity ratio of 4.55 places UBS in the bottom quartile of its cohort, signaling elevated financial leverage risk.
Return on assets of 0.07% remains extremely low, suggesting minimal profitability relative to the company's massive asset base.
Long-term debt increased to $413.19 billion in fiscal 2024, highlighting a significant rise in leverage obligations.
The company faces medium liquidity risk, which could constrain operational flexibility during periods of market stress.
In focus — financials by report
Net income +79,7% YoY.
- ▍Net income +79,7% YoY
Revenue $2.17B, +18,1% YoY; Net income +55,5% YoY.
- ▍Revenue $2.17B, +18,1% YoY
- ▍Net income +55,5% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow +30,3% YoY
- ▍Net margin 55.2%
Revenue $1.98B, +10,4% YoY; Net income +74,2% YoY.
- ▍Revenue $1.98B, +10,4% YoY
- ▍Net income +74,2% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow +53,4% YoY
- ▍Net margin 125.2%
Revenue $1.97B, +28,1% YoY; Net income +110,8% YoY.
- ▍Revenue $1.97B, +28,1% YoY
- ▍Net income +110,8% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow +78,7% YoY
- ▍Net margin 121.8%
Revenue $1.63B; Net margin 103.8%.
- ▍Revenue $1.63B
- ▍Net margin 103.8%
Revenue $1.84B; Net margin 41.9%.
- ▍Revenue $1.84B
- ▍Net margin 41.9%
Revenue $1.79B; Net margin 79.3%.
- ▍Revenue $1.79B
- ▍Net margin 79.3%
Revenue $1.53B; Net margin 74.0%.
- ▍Revenue $1.53B
- ▍Net margin 74.0%
Revenue $7.75B, +9,0% YoY; Net income +52,7% YoY.
- ▍Revenue $7.75B, +9,0% YoY
- ▍Net income +52,7% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow +29,3% YoY
- ▍Net margin 100.3%
Revenue $7.11B, −2,6% YoY; Net income −81,4% YoY.
- ▍Revenue $7.11B, −2,6% YoY
- ▍Net income −81,4% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow −82,8% YoY
- ▍Net margin 71.6%
Revenue $7.30B, +10,2% YoY; Net income +258,7% YoY.
- ▍Revenue $7.30B, +10,2% YoY
- ▍Net income +258,7% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow +323,9% YoY
- ▍Net margin 375.0%
Revenue $6.62B, −1,2% YoY; Net income +2,3% YoY.
- ▍Revenue $6.62B, −1,2% YoY
- ▍Net income +2,3% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow −0,7% YoY
- ▍Net margin 115.2%
Valuation TTM
Revenue by segment
Business relationships
Supply chain
Peer comparison
Market position
Stress test
Predictor forecast
| Metric | Our forecast | Guidance | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | —no estimate | —no estimate | 3,32 |
| Revenue | —no estimate | —no estimate | 52,4B USD |
| Operating income | —no estimate | —no estimate | 16,4B USD |
Options
Short squeeze
Earnings-call key lines
Consensus distribution
sell-side coverageEstimate revisions
consensus EPS · 26-week trendSell-side observations
Themes
ESG
Risk factors
- Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Benchmarks vs cohort
Corporate actions / M&A
FX exposure
Comparable transactions
Derivatives & instruments
Physical assets
2 tracked| Asset | Type | Commodity | Country | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mulberry cogeneration Facility | Power | Oil & Gas | United States | Parent |
| Mulberry cogeneration Facility | Power | Power | United States | Parent |
Actions
Ask Handelsavisen
- Market data
- Market data cache
- Issuer disclosures
- Public news
- Earnings transcripts
- Consensus estimates
- ESG data
- Dilution Ratio(shares_outstanding_diluted - shares_outstanding_basic) / shares_outstanding_basic
- Net Cashcash_and_equivalents + short_term_investments - short_term_debt - long_term_debt
- Return On Equitynet_income / total_equity
- Debt To Equity(short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
- Cash Conversion Ratiooperating_cash_flow / net_income
- Return On Assetsnet_income / total_assets
- UBS Group AG Market data — financials · 2026-05-29
- UBS Group AG Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-05-29
Ownership & reference
Top holders
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,88 %$2 582M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,87 %$2 601M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,74 %$4 176M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,72 %$1 309M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,39 %$728M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,36 %$1 909M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,12 %$913M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,11 %$2 101M
- Investment Managers · as of 2024-12-310,10 %$363M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,10 %$199M
- Investment Managers · as of 2025-12-310,09 %$6 423M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,08 %$181M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,08 %$600M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,06 %$128M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,05 %$199M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,04 %$79M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,02 %$170M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,02 %$303M
- Funds · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$95M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2022-09-300,01 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$29M
- Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$27M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$9M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$7M
- Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$26M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$21M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$12M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$5M
- Investment Managers · as of 2024-06-300,00 %$112M