New Hope Corporation Ltd
New Hope Corporation Ltd operates in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry within the Energy sector, generating revenue through fuel-related activities.
Business. New Hope Corporation Ltd operates in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry within the Energy sector, generating revenue through fuel-related activities.
Analyst recommendations
6 analysts · consensus HoldAt a glance
What drives this business
The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.
News & coverage
0Sector rotation
Developing storylines
Analysis
AI analysisOpportunity
Upcoming catalysts
Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.
- Company
- EarningsQ3 2026 earnings (expected)2026-10-28 · estimated
- Macro
- Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
- Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
- Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
- Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
- Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
- Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
- Macro & political
- ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
- ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
- ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
Pre-earnings brief
Signals & dispatch
Composite-score breakdown
Synthesis
New Hope Corporation Ltd operates in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry within the Energy sector, generating revenue through fuel-related activities.
New Hope Corporation Ltd maintains a conservative capital structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.14 and a current ratio of 2.08, indicating strong short-term liquidity coverage. The company holds total assets of 3.54 billion AUD against total liabilities of 911 million AUD, resulting in a tangible book value that supports a price-to-tangible-book multiple of 1.69. Despite positive operating cash flow of 571 million AUD, free cash flow is negative at -26.9 million AUD due to capital expenditures of 311 million AUD, reflecting ongoing investment in assets. The net cash position is negative after subtracting total debt, as flagged in the risk assessment.
Profitability metrics show a return on equity of 16.72% and a return on assets of 12.42%, demonstrating efficient use of capital. The company generated a net income of 439 million AUD on revenue of 1.80 billion AUD, resulting in a net margin of approximately 24.5%. The price-to-earnings ratio of 10.1 and EV/EBITDA of 7.49 suggest the stock is valued at a moderate multiple relative to its earnings power. Without cohort median data for direct comparison, these returns appear robust for the energy sector, particularly given the low leverage.
Segment and geographic revenue breakdowns are not provided in the available data, preventing analysis of revenue concentration or regional exposure. The company’s activity is broadly classified under Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels, but specific product lines or customer bases are not detailed in the input.
Growth trajectory cannot be assessed due to the absence of historical period data. The financial snapshot provides only the latest normalized period figures, with no year-over-year or quarterly trend data available to evaluate revenue or earnings momentum.
Risk factors include medium liquidity risk and low dilution risk. The key flag notes that net cash is negative after subtracting total debt, which may constrain financial flexibility. The low dilution risk is supported by the fact that basic and diluted shares outstanding are identical at 843.8 million, indicating no significant options or convertible securities impacting share count.
Recent events include analyst estimates with a mean price target of 5.22 AUD and a median of 5.12 AUD, suggesting the current market price of 5.26 AUD is in line with consensus. The mean recommendation is 3.00 (Hold), with one Buy and four Hold ratings, indicating neutral sentiment among analysts. No specific filing, news, or transcript observations are provided in the input.
- Strong profitability with 16.72% ROE and 12.42% ROA, supported by low debt-to-equity of 0.14.
- Negative free cash flow of -26.9 million AUD due to 311 million AUD in capital expenditures.
- Valuation multiples of 10.1x P/E and 7.49x EV/EBITDA suggest moderate pricing relative to earnings.
- Analyst consensus is neutral with a mean recommendation of 3.00 and price targets near current levels.
- No historical data available to assess growth trends or segment performance.
- Low dilution risk with no difference between basic and diluted shares outstanding.
Bull / Bear case
Generated · model-assistedLow leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04 provides financial flexibility and reduces risk compared to the cohort median.
Four-year revenue CAGR of 14.6% demonstrates historical growth momentum despite recent year-over-year revenue stagnation in FY2025.
Free cash flow turned negative to -26.9 million AUD in FY2025, signaling potential liquidity pressures or increased capital requirements.
Revenue declined 0.3% year-over-year to 1.8 billion AUD in FY2025, showing stagnation after years of significant growth.
Medium liquidity risk flag indicates potential challenges in meeting short-term obligations despite strong historical cash generation.
In focus — financials by report
Revenue A$1.80B, −0,3% YoY; Operating income −10,1% YoY.
- ▍Revenue A$1.80B, −0,3% YoY
- ▍Operating income −10,1% YoY
- ▍Net income −7,7% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow −7,1% YoY
- ▍Net margin 24.5%
Revenue A$1.80B, −34,6% YoY; Operating income −53,4% YoY.
- ▍Revenue A$1.80B, −34,6% YoY
- ▍Operating income −53,4% YoY
- ▍Net income −56,2% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow −112,4% YoY
- ▍Net margin 26.4%
Revenue A$2.75B, +7,9% YoY; Operating income +7,6% YoY.
- ▍Revenue A$2.75B, +7,9% YoY
- ▍Operating income +7,6% YoY
- ▍Net income +10,6% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow −72,5% YoY
- ▍Net margin 39.5%
Revenue A$2.55B, +144,9% YoY; Operating income +934,5% YoY.
- ▍Revenue A$2.55B, +144,9% YoY
- ▍Operating income +934,5% YoY
- ▍Net income +1 138,8% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow +448,0% YoY
- ▍Net margin 38.5%
Revenue A$1.04B; Operating income A$137.4M.
- ▍Revenue A$1.04B
- ▍Operating income A$137.4M
- ▍Net margin 7.6%
Valuation FY
Revenue by segment
Business relationships
Supply chain
Peer comparison
Market position
Stress test
Predictor forecast
| Metric | Our forecast | Guidance | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | —no estimate | —no estimate | 0,21 |
| Revenue | —no estimate | —no estimate | 1,8B AUD |
| Operating income | —no estimate | —no estimate | 299,6M AUD |
Options
Short squeeze
Earnings-call key lines
Consensus distribution
sell-side coverageEstimate revisions
consensus EPS · 26-week trendSell-side observations
Themes
ESG
Risk factors
- Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Benchmarks vs cohort
Corporate actions / M&A
FX exposure
Comparable transactions
Derivatives & instruments
Derivative transactions
- Director · Option to Purchase Common Stock [2022 Grant] → Common StockDisposed 7 500 @ $69,19exercise · 2026-06-08
- Senior VP & CIO · Option to Purchase Common Stock → Common StockDisposed 8 000 @ $94,10exercise · 2026-05-22
- Director, CEO · Option to Purchase Common Stock → Common StockDisposed 13 000 @ $90,62exercise · 2026-05-14
- SVP, CFO · Option to Purchase Common Stock → Common StockDisposed 9 500 @ $90,62exercise · 2026-05-14
- SVP, CFO · Option to Purchase Common Stock → Common StockDisposed 8 000 @ $94,10exercise · 2026-05-14
- Director, CEO · Option to Purchase Common Stock → Common StockDisposed 10 000 @ $94,10exercise · 2026-05-14
- Director · Option to Purchase Common Stock [2026 Grant] → Common StockAcquired 7 500 @ $171,42grant · 2026-05-07
- Director · Option to Purchase Common Stock [2026 Grant] → Common StockAcquired 7 500 @ $171,42grant · 2026-05-07
- Director · Option to Purchase Common Stock [2026 Grant] → Common StockAcquired 7 500 @ $171,42grant · 2026-05-07
- Director · Option to Purchase Common Stock [2026 Grant] → Common StockAcquired 7 500grant · 2026-05-07
- Director · Option to Purchase Common Stock [2026 Grant] → Common StockAcquired 7 500 @ $171,42grant · 2026-05-07
- Director · Option to Purchase Common Stock [2026 Grant] → Common StockAcquired 7 500 @ $171,42grant · 2026-05-07
- Director · Option to Purchase Common Stock [2026 Grant] → Common StockAcquired 7 500 @ $171,42grant · 2026-05-07
- Director · Option to Purchase Common Stock [2026 Grant] → Common StockAcquired 7 500 @ $171,42grant · 2026-05-07
- Director · Option to Purchase Common Stock [2023 Grant] → Common StockDisposed 7 500 @ $55,75exercise · 2026-05-06
- Director · Option to Purchase Common Stock [2021 Grant] → Common StockDisposed 7 500 @ $71,64exercise · 2026-05-05
- Director · Option to Purchase Common Stock [2021 Grant] → Common StockDisposed 7 500 @ $71,64exercise · 2026-04-30
- Sr.VP Patient Srvcs · Option to Purchase Common Stock → Common StockDisposed 8 000 @ $94,10exercise · 2026-04-22
- Senior VP & CIO · Option to Purchase Common Stock → Common StockDisposed 3 734 @ $53,94exercise · 2026-04-09
- Sr.VP Patient Srvcs · Option to Purchase Common Stock → Common StockDisposed 3 734 @ $53,94exercise · 2026-03-16
Physical assets
7 tracked| Asset | Type | Commodity | Country | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bengalla Coal Mine | Coal mine | Coal | Australia | Parent |
| Elimatta Coal Mine | Coal mine | Coal | Australia | Parent |
| Maxwell Coal Mine | Coal mine | Coal | Australia | Parent |
| New Acland Coal Mine | Coal mine | Coal | Australia | Parent |
| Spur Hill Coal Mine | Coal mine | Coal | Australia | Parent |
| Woori Coal Mine | Coal mine | Coal | Australia | Parent |
| Woori Coal Mine | Coal mine | Coal | Australia | Registered owner |
Actions
Ask Handelsavisen
- Market data
- Market data cache
- Issuer disclosures
- Public news
- Earnings transcripts
- Consensus estimates
- ESG data
- Reference data
- Debt To Equity(short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
- Market Capmarket_price * shares_outstanding_diluted
- Ev To Revenueenterprise_value / revenue
- Return On Assetsnet_income / total_assets
- Price To Tangible Bookmarket_price / (tangible_book_value / shares_outstanding_diluted)
- Price To Earningsmarket_price / (net_income / shares_outstanding_diluted)
- New Hope Corporation Ltd Market data — financials · 2026-07-11
- New Hope Corporation Ltd Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-07-11
- New Hope Corporation Ltd Market data — ESG · 2026-07-11
Ownership & reference
Insider activity
- Director · Shares of Common StockSold 5 937 @ $200,00$1,2M · 2026-06-22
- SVP, CFO · Common StockOther 500 · 2026-06-16
- Director · Shares of Common StockSold 1 563 @ $199,97$313K · 2026-06-16
- Director · Shares of Common Stock - Trust IOther 4 000 @ $69,19$277K · 2026-06-08
- Director · Shares of Common Stock - Trust IOther 4 000 · 2026-06-08
- Director · Common StockBought 949 @ $184,26$175K · 2026-06-01
- Senior VP & CIO · Common StockOther 4 000 @ $94,10$376K · 2026-05-22
- Senior VP & CIO · Common StockOther 2 739 @ $196,00$537K · 2026-05-22
- Director · Common Stock - Held in my name or my wife's nameSold 7 500 @ $195,14$1,5M · 2026-05-21
- Director, CEO · Common StockOther 26 · 2026-05-20
- Sr.VP Operations · Common StockSold 1 853 @ $197,22$365K · 2026-05-19
- Director, CEO · Common StockOther 5 000 @ $94,10$470K · 2026-05-14
- Director, CEO · Common StockOther 1 000 @ $90,62$91K · 2026-05-14
- Director, CEO · Common StockOther 4 492 @ $197,96$889K · 2026-05-14
- SVP, CFO · Common StockOther 4 000 @ $94,10$376K · 2026-05-14
- SVP, CFO · Common StockOther 500 @ $90,62$45K · 2026-05-14
- SVP, CFO · Common StockOther 3 134 @ $197,96$620K · 2026-05-14
- Director · Shares of Common StockOther 3 140 @ $55,75$175K · 2026-05-06
- Director · Common Stock - Held in my name or my wife's nameOther 7 500 @ $71,64$537K · 2026-05-05
- Director · Shares of Common StockOther 7 500 @ $71,64$537K · 2026-04-30
- Sr.VP Patient Srvcs · Shares of Common Stock held in my nameOther 4 000 @ $94,10$376K · 2026-04-22
- Sr.VP Patient Srvcs · Shares of Common Stock held in my nameOther 2 853 @ $173,63$495K · 2026-04-22
- Senior VP & CIO · Common StockOther 3 734 @ $53,94$201K · 2026-04-09
- Senior VP & CIO · Common StockOther 1 909 @ $176,81$338K · 2026-04-09
- Sr.VP Patient Srvcs · Shares of Common Stock held in my nameOther 3 734 @ $53,94$201K · 2026-03-16
Short positioning
Geographic breakdown
Intel & risk
Evidence & claims
From filings & derived data- Return on equity (FY 2025-12-31): 11.2%Derived (calculated)
- Return on assets (FY 2025-12-31): 7.9%Derived (calculated)
- Total assets (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 0.1%Derived (calculated)
- Current ratio (FY 2025-12-31): 1.82xDerived (calculated)
- Shareholders' equity (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 9.0%Derived (calculated)
- Revenue (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 16.1%Derived (calculated)
- Operating income (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 42.8%Derived (calculated)
- Operating cash flow (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 72.5%Derived (calculated)
- Net income (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 17.7%Derived (calculated)
- EPS (diluted) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 17.5%Derived (calculated)
- EPS (basic) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 17.2%Derived (calculated)
- Cash & equivalents (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 21.9%Derived (calculated)
- Debt-to-equity (FY 2025-12-31): 0.42xDerived (calculated)
- Capex (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 32.1%Derived (calculated)
- Long-term debt (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -70.8%Derived (calculated)
- Total liabilities (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -16.5%Derived (calculated)
- Net margin (FY 2025-12-31): 7.9%Derived (calculated)
- Total liabilities (annual): USD 451.9MSEC XBRL filing
- Current liabilities (annual): USD 253.63MSEC XBRL filing
- Shares outstanding (annual): 15.54MSEC XBRL filing
- Current assets (annual): USD 461.82MSEC XBRL filing
- Capex (annual): USD 36.45MSEC XBRL filing
- EPS (diluted) (annual): USD-PER-SHARES 8SEC XBRL filing
- Operating income (annual): USD 128.35MSEC XBRL filing