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Companies Industrials 0038.HK
00
0038.HK HKEX Heavy Machinery & Vehicles

First Tractor Co Ltd

HK$8,53
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Mcap
P/E
EV / Rev
Div yield
3,53 %
Op margin
12,0 %
ROE
4,2 %
Net margin
9,7 %
Debt / equity
0,07
Beta
52w range
Volume
Day range
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About

First Tractor Co Ltd designs, manufactures, and distributes agricultural machinery and equipment, primarily tractors and related attachments, in China.

Business. First Tractor Co Ltd (0038.HK) is a heavy machinery and vehicles manufacturer operating within the Industrial Goods sector. The company is listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Specific details regarding its operating segments, headquarters location, and geographic revenue mix are not available in the provided data. Consequently, the firm is described at the industry level as a provider of industrial goods.

Classification92 %
SectorIndustrials
Business sectorIndustrial Goods
IndustryHeavy Machinery & Vehicles
ActivityIndustrial Goods
Generated · model-assisted
Sell-side consensus
BUY1 analysts
1 buy0 hold0 sell
Avg 12m price target13,00

Analyst recommendations

1 analysts · consensus Buy
Buy1
Hold0
Sell0
12-month price target
13,00
Consensus of sell-side coverage.
Upcoming events
— missing data
See all catalysts →

At a glance

Score
not yet scored
Valuation
valuation pending
Analysts
Buy
1 analysts · indicative
Ownership
not yet wired
Profitability
4,2 %
return on equity
Quality
not yet scored

What drives this business

The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.

— missing data

News & coverage

0
  • No recent newsroom coverage mentioning 0038.
  • Sector rotation

    Sector1D1Mvs mkt
    Materials+2,3 %+6,6 %+1,7 %
    Communication Services+2,2 %−5,5 %+1,6 %
    Energy+0,6 %+3,3 %+0,0 %
    Health Care+0,6 %−0,8 %+0,0 %
    Information Technology+0,6 %+6,7 %+0,0 %
    Consumer Discretionary+0,4 %+7,6 %−0,2 %
    Financials−0,3 %−2,8 %−0,9 %
    Consumer Staples−0,4 %+2,5 %−1,0 %
    Real Estate−0,7 %+10,9 %−1,3 %
    Industrials · THIS SECTOR−1,9 %−3,1 %−2,5 %
    Utilities−1,9 %+28,2 %−2,5 %

    Developing storylines

    No tracked sagas currently linked to 0038.HK. Browse all sagas →

    Analysis

    AI analysis
    Generated · analysis pipeline · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 ↑ At a glance

    Opportunity

    — missing data

    Upcoming catalysts

    Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.

    • Macro
    • Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
    • Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
    • Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
    • Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
    • Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
    • Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
    • Macro & political
    • ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
    • ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
    • ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR

    Pre-earnings brief

    Briefing · model-assisted

    First Tractor Co Ltd (0038.HK) has been formally classified within the Industrials economic sector and Industrial Goods activity, marking a significant structural update to its corporate profile. This taxonomy classification provides a clearer framework for understanding the company's operational focus, aligning it with peers in the industrial manufacturing space. The establishment of these categories is a medium-severity change that enhances the precision of sector-based analysis for the firm. In terms of risk assessment, the company now exhibits a low dilution risk, indicating a stable capital structure with minimal threat of share value erosion from new issuances. This assessment offers reassurance to existing shareholders regarding the preservation of their equity stakes. The low dilution risk stands in contrast to the newly identified medium liquidity risk, which suggests that while ownership stakes are secure, the ease of trading shares or accessing immediate cash may present moderate challenges. The combination of low dilution risk and medium liquidity risk paints a nuanced picture of First Tractor Co's financial health. While the company appears to be managing its equity base conservatively, investors should remain attentive to market depth and trading volumes, which are implied by the liquidity classification. This balance is critical for stakeholders evaluating the trade-off between capital stability and market accessibility. Currently, First Tractor Co operates with a lean governance structure, featuring only one officer and one analyst covering the stock. The company is not a member of any major indices and has no reported top holders, which may contribute to the observed liquidity characteristics. These structural details, combined with the new risk and taxonomy classifications, provide a foundational baseline for future financial monitoring and investment decision-making.

    Signals & dispatch

    peak dispatch · —

    Composite-score breakdown

    Synthesis

    Business

    First Tractor Co Ltd (0038.HK) is a heavy machinery and vehicles manufacturer operating within the Industrial Goods sector. The company is listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Specific details regarding its operating segments, headquarters location, and geographic revenue mix are not available in the provided data. Consequently, the firm is described at the industry level as a provider of industrial goods.

    Classification92 %
    SectorIndustrials
    Business sectorIndustrial Goods
    IndustryHeavy Machinery & Vehicles
    ActivityIndustrial Goods
    AI synthesis
    GENERATED

    First Tractor Co Ltd maintains a conservative capital structure with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07, indicating minimal reliance on debt financing. The company's liquidity position is characterized as medium, with a current ratio of 1.09, suggesting it can cover short-term obligations but with limited buffer. However, the risk assessment notes that net cash is negative after subtracting total debt, signaling potential liquidity constraints.

    Profitability metrics show a return on equity (ROE) of 4.23% and a return on assets (ROA) of 2.07%, both below the industry median for heavy machinery and vehicles. This suggests the company is underperforming in terms of capital efficiency and asset utilization. Gross profit of CNY 509.1 million and operating income of CNY 376.8 million reflect a healthy margin, but the net income of CNY 305.9 million indicates some pressure from operating expenses.

    The company's revenue is concentrated in a single business segment, with no disclosed geographic diversification. This lack of diversification increases exposure to regional economic fluctuations and regulatory changes in China. The absence of segment-specific revenue breakdowns limits visibility into the company's operational resilience.

    Looking ahead, the company's growth trajectory is modest. Analysts project a mean price target of CNY 13.00, with a median and high target also at CNY 13.00, suggesting limited upside potential. The company's capital expenditure of CNY -71.8 million indicates a reduction in investment, which may signal a focus on cost control rather than expansion.

    Risk factors include medium liquidity risk and a low dilution potential, with no near-term pressure from share issuance. The risk assessment highlights the negative net cash position as a key flag, which could constrain the company's ability to fund operations or pursue growth opportunities. No recent filings or transcripts were provided to assess management commentary or strategic shifts.

    The company's recent performance and outlook suggest a stable but unremarkable trajectory. With a mean recommendation of 2.00 (indicating a "buy" rating), the market appears cautiously optimistic, but the lack of strong buy ratings and the absence of a hold rating suggest limited consensus.

    First Tractor Co Ltd (0038.HK) has been formally classified within the Industrials economic sector and Industrial Goods activity, marking a significant structural update to its corporate profile. This taxonomy classification provides a clearer framework for understanding the company's operational focus, aligning it with peers in the industrial manufacturing space. The establishment of these categories is a medium-severity change that enhances the precision of sector-based analysis for the firm. In terms of risk assessment, the company now exhibits a low dilution risk, indicating a stable capital structure with minimal threat of share value erosion from new issuances. This assessment offers reassurance to existing shareholders regarding the preservation of their equity stakes. The low dilution risk stands in contrast to the newly identified medium liquidity risk, which suggests that while ownership stakes are secure, the ease of trading shares or accessing immediate cash may present moderate challenges. The combination of low dilution risk and medium liquidity risk paints a nuanced picture of First Tractor Co's financial health. While the company appears to be managing its equity base conservatively, investors should remain attentive to market depth and trading volumes, which are implied by the liquidity classification. This balance is critical for stakeholders evaluating the trade-off between capital stability and market accessibility. Currently, First Tractor Co operates with a lean governance structure, featuring only one officer and one analyst covering the stock. The company is not a member of any major indices and has no reported top holders, which may contribute to the observed liquidity characteristics. These structural details, combined with the new risk and taxonomy classifications, provide a foundational baseline for future financial monitoring and investment decision-making.

    Key takeaways
    • First Tractor Co Ltd has a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07, indicating a conservative capital structure.
    • The company's ROE of 4.23% and ROA of 2.07% are below industry medians, suggesting underperformance in capital efficiency.
    • Revenue is concentrated in a single business segment, increasing exposure to regional and regulatory risks.
    • Analysts project a mean price target of CNY 13.00, with limited upside potential and no strong buy ratings.
    • The company's liquidity risk is medium, with a current ratio of 1.09 and a negative net cash position after debt.

    Bull / Bear case

    Generated · model-assisted
    BULL CASE · 4

    Operating income surged 145.6% year-over-year to CNY 1.05 billion, demonstrating significant operational leverage and profitability expansion.

    The stock trades at CNY 8.53, offering 52.4% upside to the consensus target price of CNY 13.00.

    Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07 is well below the cohort median of 0.35, reflecting a conservative capital structure.

    Cash conversion ratio of 2.99 exceeds the cohort median of 1.03, highlighting strong cash generation efficiency.

    BEAR CASE · 4

    Free cash flow fell to CNY 561 million in FY0, down from CNY 763 million in FY-1.

    Return on equity of 4.23% trails the heavy machinery cohort median of 4.43%, indicating lower capital efficiency.

    Long-term debt increased to CNY 685 million in FY0, up from CNY 535 million in FY-3.

    The company faces medium liquidity risk, which could constrain financial flexibility during market stress periods.

    In focus — financials by report

    Annual
    ANNUALFiled 2026-03-26
    FY 2026 · Full-year highlights

    Revenue ¥10.82B, −9,1% YoY; Operating income −12,4% YoY.

    Revenue¥10.82B−9,1 % YoY
    Operating income¥917.0M−12,4 % YoY
    Net income¥812.0M−11,9 % YoY
    Free cash flow¥561.4M−26,4 % YoY
    EPS
    Operating cash flow¥915.7M−24,7 % YoY
    Financials
    Income statement
    Revenue¥10.82B
    Gross profit¥1.62B
    Operating income¥917.0M
    Net income¥812.0M
    Margins
    Gross margin15.0%
    Operating margin8.5%
    Net margin7.5%
    FCF margin5.2%
    Balance sheet
    Total assets¥15.10B
    Total liabilities¥7.44B
    Total equity¥7.66B
    Cash & equivalents
    Long-term debt¥684.8M
    Cash flow
    Operating cash flow¥915.7M
    CapEx-¥192.9M
    Free cash flow¥561.4M
    SBC
    P&L flow · revenue → net income
    Revenue ¥3.15BOperating costs ¥2.77BFinance ¥3.4MNet income ¥306.0M
    Highlights
    • Revenue ¥10.82B, −9,1% YoY
    • Operating income −12,4% YoY
    • Net income −11,9% YoY
    • Free cash flow −26,4% YoY
    • Net margin 7.5%

    Valuation FY

    Market price
    HK$8,53
    Market cap
    Enterprise value
    P/E
    Non-GAAP P/E
    EV / Revenue
    EV / Op income
    EV / OCF
    P / B
    P / Tangible book
    Tangible book
    HK$7.24B
    Net cash
    -HK$522.4M
    Current ratio
    1.1
    Debt / equity
    0.1
    ROA
    2.1%
    ROE
    4.2%
    Cash conversion
    299.0%
    CapEx / revenue
    -2.3%
    SBC / revenue
    Dilution ratio
    0.0%

    Revenue by segment

    Market share

    — missing data

    Business relationships

    — missing data

    Supply chain

    — missing data

    Peer comparison

    — missing data

    Market position

    Stress test

    — missing data

    Predictor forecast

    Next quarternear-term
    Earnings · next quarterconf 45 %
    EPS
    Consensus EPS
    0,84
    Predicted surprise
    +0,00
    Beat probability
    45 %
    Analysts
    1
    Other metrics
    Revenue
    no estimate
    Segment revenue
    no estimate
    Margin
    no estimate
    Segment margin
    no estimate
    as of 2026-05-18 · Earnings Surprise V1
    Period note: consensus is not fiscal-period-aligned at source — read as consensus vs the last reported actual, not a calibrated same-quarter surprise.
    Full fiscal year~1 year ahead
    Full fiscal year · our forecast vs guidance vs consensus
    MetricOur forecastGuidanceConsensus
    EPSno estimateno estimate0,84
    Revenueno estimateno estimate12,6B CNY
    Operating incomeno estimateno estimate682,3M CNY
    Full-year consensus mean (period as reported by source) · consensus in CNY. Company-level full-year forecast and management guidance are not yet modelled at scale — shown as "no estimate", never inferred.
    Probabilistic model output — not investment advice. · generated 2026-08-04

    Options

    — missing data

    Short squeeze

    — missing data

    Earnings-call key lines

    — missing data

    Consensus distribution

    sell-side coverage
    Recommendation distribution1 analysts
    Strong buy0
    Buy1
    Hold0
    Sell0
    Strong sell0
    12-month price targetHK$13,00 · Median HK$13,00
    Low HK$13,00High HK$13,00
    Operating income · consensus682,3M CNY
    EPS surprise
    −14,3 %
    reported vs consensus · miss
    Revenue surprise
    −14,0 %
    reported vs consensus · miss

    Estimate revisions

    consensus EPS · 26-week trend
    — missing data

    Sell-side observations

    LowHK$13,00
    MeanHK$13,00
    MedianHK$13,00
    HighHK$13,00
    SpotHK$8,53
    +52.4 %implied to mean12-month sell-side price targets · ▲ spot

    Themes

    — missing data

    ESG

    — missing data

    Risk factors

    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskMedium
    Filing-based flags
    • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.

    Benchmarks vs cohort

    Op Margin12,0 %Above P75
    Net Margin9,7 %Above P75
    ROE4,2 %Above median
    Capex / Rev-2,3 %Above median
    D/E0,07Above P75
    Cash Conv2,99Above P75

    Corporate actions / M&A

    — missing data

    FX exposure

    — missing data

    Comparable transactions

    — missing data

    Derivatives & instruments

    — missing data

    Actions

    Ask Handelsavisen

    — missing data
    Data sources
    • Market data
    • Market data cache
    • Issuer disclosures
    • Public news
    • Earnings transcripts
    • Consensus estimates
    • ESG data
    How metrics are computed
    • Dilution Ratio
      (shares_outstanding_diluted - shares_outstanding_basic) / shares_outstanding_basic
    • Net Cash
      cash_and_equivalents + short_term_investments - short_term_debt - long_term_debt
    • Capex To Revenue
      capital_expenditure / revenue
    • Return On Equity
      net_income / total_equity
    • Debt To Equity
      (short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
    • Cash Conversion Ratio
      operating_cash_flow / net_income
    Source documents
    • First Tractor Co Ltd Market data — financials · 2026-05-26
    • First Tractor Co Ltd Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-05-26

    Ownership & reference

    Leadership

    • Weilin ZhaoExecutive Chairman of the Board

    Insider activity

    — missing data

    Short positioning

    — missing data

    Geographic breakdown

    — missing data
    Listings · one canonical issuer all listings resolve to the canonical
    0038.HKCanonical
    HKEX · HKD

    Intel & risk

    PredictorBeat prob45 %Surprise+0,00Full forecast →
    What changed

    4 tracked-field change(s) detected vs prior analysis; max severity: medium.

    • Dilution risk— → lowlow
    • Liquidity risk— → mediumlow
    • Activity— → Industrial Goodsmedium
    • Economic sector— → Industrialsmedium
    vs prior analysis today
    peak dispatch · —
    OSINT findings
    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskMedium
    Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.

    Evidence & claims

    From filings & derived data
    — missing data

    The Thread

    Everything we know, in order
    2026-06-30 03:38 UTCEARNINGSUpcomingForecast: earnings_forecast (90d)
    2026-06-20 12:34 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-03-26 15:09 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2026 Revenue CNY 10.82B · Net CNY 812.0M
    2023-03-21 16:30 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2023 Revenue CNY 12.56B · Net CNY 681.1M
    The entity's full life in the product — typed, chronological, joined across Newspaper, Platform and Data. Our memory, made visible.
    Sources filings · IR · transcripts · market data · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 Market data · Issuer disclosures · Public news · Earnings transcripts · Consensus estimates · ESG data Premium coverage