Handelsavisen
prelaunch
Companies Industrials 1861.T
18
1861.T Tokyo Stock Exchange Construction & Engineering

Kumagai Gumi Co Ltd

¥1 444,00
Open in Charts → Attach watcher ⌖
JPY
Set alert
Last 30 days
1D5D1M3M6MYTD1Y5YMax
Live price chart loads from the market-data widget.
Mcap
P/E
EV / Rev
Div yield
2,42 %
Op margin
2,7 %
ROE
5,1 %
Net margin
1,9 %
Debt / equity
0,23
Beta
52w range
Volume
Day range
Prev close
Open
Next earnings
Ex-dividend
TR 1Y
About

Kumagai Gumi Co Ltd is a construction and engineering company that provides infrastructure development and civil engineering services.

Business. Kumagai Gumi Co Ltd (1861.T) is a construction and engineering firm headquartered in Japan. The company operates within the Industrials sector, specifically providing industrial and commercial services. It is primarily listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. Specific details regarding operating segments and geographic revenue mix are not available.

Classification92 %
SectorIndustrials
Business sectorIndustrial & Commercial Services
IndustryConstruction & Engineering
ActivityIndustrial & Commercial Services
Generated · model-assisted
Sell-side consensus
BUY5 analysts
4 buy1 hold0 sell
Avg 12m price target2 006,00

Analyst recommendations

5 analysts · consensus Buy
Buy4
Hold1
Sell0
12-month price target
2 006,00
Consensus of sell-side coverage.
Upcoming events
— missing data
See all catalysts →

At a glance

Score
not yet scored
Valuation
valuation pending
Analysts
Buy
5 analysts · indicative
Ownership
not yet wired
Profitability
5,1 %
return on equity
Quality
not yet scored

What drives this business

The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.

— missing data

News & coverage

0
  • No recent newsroom coverage mentioning 1861.
  • Sector rotation

    Sector1D1Mvs mkt
    Materials+2,3 %+6,6 %+1,7 %
    Communication Services+2,2 %−5,5 %+1,6 %
    Energy+0,6 %+3,3 %+0,0 %
    Health Care+0,6 %−0,8 %+0,0 %
    Information Technology+0,6 %+6,7 %+0,0 %
    Consumer Discretionary+0,4 %+7,6 %−0,2 %
    Financials−0,3 %−2,8 %−0,9 %
    Consumer Staples−0,4 %+2,5 %−1,0 %
    Real Estate−0,7 %+10,9 %−1,3 %
    Industrials · THIS SECTOR−1,9 %−3,1 %−2,5 %
    Utilities−1,9 %+28,2 %−2,5 %

    Developing storylines

    No tracked sagas currently linked to 1861.T. Browse all sagas →

    Analysis

    AI analysis
    Generated · analysis pipeline · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 ↑ At a glance

    Opportunity

    — missing data

    Upcoming catalysts

    Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.

    • Macro
    • Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
    • Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
    • Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
    • Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
    • Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
    • Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
    • Macro & political
    • ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
    • ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
    • ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR

    Pre-earnings brief

    — missing data

    Signals & dispatch

    peak dispatch · —

    Composite-score breakdown

    Synthesis

    Business

    Kumagai Gumi Co Ltd (1861.T) is a construction and engineering firm headquartered in Japan. The company operates within the Industrials sector, specifically providing industrial and commercial services. It is primarily listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. Specific details regarding operating segments and geographic revenue mix are not available.

    Classification92 %
    SectorIndustrials
    Business sectorIndustrial & Commercial Services
    IndustryConstruction & Engineering
    ActivityIndustrial & Commercial Services
    AI synthesis
    GENERATED

    Kumagai Gumi maintains a strong liquidity position with JPY 50.16 billion in cash and equivalents, representing 10.8% of total assets. The company's liquidity FPT score of 0.84 indicates robust short-term financial flexibility, supported by a current ratio of 1.56 and free cash flow of JPY 1.73 billion. The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.23 suggests a conservative capital structure with long-term debt accounting for 12.2% of total liabilities.

    Profitability metrics show Kumagai Gumi generating a return on equity of 5.14% and return on assets of 2.02%, both below the industry median for construction and engineering firms. Operating income of JPY 13.63 billion represents 2.74% of revenue, indicating moderate operating margins. The company's gross profit margin of 7.7% is in line with industry norms but leaves room for improvement in cost management.

    Geographically, Kumagai Gumi's revenue is concentrated in Japan, with no disclosed international segments in the latest financials. The company's exposure to domestic infrastructure projects makes it sensitive to government spending cycles and regulatory changes in the Japanese construction sector. No material revenue diversification is evident in the current financial snapshot.

    The company's growth trajectory shows a stable revenue base of JPY 498.58 billion, with no significant YoY changes reported. Analysts project a mean price target of JPY 2,006, suggesting a potential upside of 10.3% from the current market price. The capital expenditure of JPY 4.07 billion indicates ongoing investment in infrastructure projects, though the negative value suggests a net outflow. The company's free cash flow generation supports both operational needs and potential shareholder returns.

    Risk assessment indicates low liquidity and dilution risks, with no immediate filing-based flags detected. The company's debt structure is conservative, and there are no signs of near-term equity dilution. However, the construction industry's cyclical nature and regulatory environment remain key risk factors. The absence of dilution pressure is supported by equal basic and diluted share counts.

    Recent events include no material filings or transcripts in the latest data. Analysts maintain a cautiously optimistic outlook with a mean recommendation of 2.00 (Hold), reflecting balanced expectations for the company's performance in the near term. The price target range of JPY 1,650 to JPY 2,300 indicates a wide dispersion of analyst views, suggesting uncertainty about the company's near-term valuation.

    Key takeaways
    • Kumagai Gumi maintains a conservative capital structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.23 and strong liquidity.
    • The company's profitability metrics are below industry medians, with a return on equity of 5.14% and operating margin of 2.74%.
    • Revenue is concentrated in Japan, exposing the company to domestic regulatory and economic cycles.
    • Analysts project a mean price target of JPY 2,006, indicating a potential 10.3% upside from current levels.
    • Low liquidity and dilution risks are supported by strong cash reserves and no immediate equity issuance plans.

    Bull / Bear case

    Generated · model-assisted
    — missing data

    In focus — financials by report

    Valuation

    Market price
    ¥1 444,00
    Market cap
    Enterprise value
    P/E
    Non-GAAP P/E
    EV / Revenue
    EV / Op income
    EV / OCF
    P / B
    P / Tangible book
    Tangible book
    ¥181.83B
    Net cash
    ¥7.75B
    Current ratio
    1.6
    Debt / equity
    0.2
    ROA
    2.0%
    ROE
    5.1%
    Cash conversion
    88.0%
    CapEx / revenue
    -0.8%
    SBC / revenue
    Dilution ratio
    0.0%

    Revenue by segment

    Civil Infrastructure Construction
    low · llm_fanout_v2
    Infrastructure Construction
    low · llm_fanout_v2
    Utility Infrastructure Construction & Maintenance
    low · llm_fanout_v2

    Market share

    — missing data

    Business relationships

    — missing data

    Supply chain

    — missing data

    Peer comparison

    — missing data

    Market position

    Stress test

    — missing data

    Predictor forecast

    Next quarternear-term
    Earnings · next quarterconf 45 %
    EPS
    Consensus EPS
    121,22
    Predicted surprise
    +0,00
    Beat probability
    45 %
    Analysts
    5
    Other metrics
    Revenue
    no estimate
    Segment revenue
    no estimate
    Margin
    no estimate
    Segment margin
    no estimate
    as of 2026-05-20 · Earnings Surprise V1
    Period note: consensus is not fiscal-period-aligned at source — read as consensus vs the last reported actual, not a calibrated same-quarter surprise.
    Full fiscal year~1 year ahead
    Full fiscal year · our forecast vs guidance vs consensus
    MetricOur forecastGuidanceConsensus
    EPSno estimateno estimate121,22
    Revenueno estimateno estimate497,5B JPY
    Operating incomeno estimateno estimateno estimate
    Full-year consensus mean (period as reported by source) · consensus in JPY. Company-level full-year forecast and management guidance are not yet modelled at scale — shown as "no estimate", never inferred.
    Probabilistic model output — not investment advice. · generated 2026-08-04

    Options

    — missing data

    Short squeeze

    — missing data

    Earnings-call key lines

    — missing data

    Consensus distribution

    sell-side coverage
    Recommendation distribution5 analysts
    Strong buy1
    Buy3
    Hold1
    Sell0
    Strong sell0
    12-month price target¥2 006,00 · Median ¥1 950,00
    Low ¥1 650,00High ¥2 300,00
    EPS surprise
    +79,6 %
    reported vs consensus · beat
    Revenue surprise
    +0,2 %
    reported vs consensus · beat

    Estimate revisions

    consensus EPS · 26-week trend
    — missing data

    Sell-side observations

    Low¥1 650,00
    Mean¥2 006,00
    Median¥1 950,00
    High¥2 300,00
    Spot¥1 444,00
    +38.9 %implied to mean12-month sell-side price targets · ▲ spot

    Themes

    — missing data

    ESG

    — missing data

    Risk factors

    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskLow
    Filing-based flags
    • No immediate filing-based liquidity or dilution flags were detected.

    Benchmarks vs cohort

    Op Margin2,7 %Below median
    Net Margin1,9 %Below median
    ROE5,1 %Above median
    Capex / Rev-0,8 %Above median
    D/E0,23Above median
    Cash Conv0,88Above median

    Corporate actions / M&A

    — missing data

    FX exposure

    — missing data

    Comparable transactions

    — missing data

    Derivatives & instruments

    — missing data

    Actions

    Ask Handelsavisen

    — missing data
    Data sources
    • Market data
    • Market data cache
    • Issuer disclosures
    • Public news
    • Earnings transcripts
    • Consensus estimates
    • ESG data
    How metrics are computed
    • Dilution Ratio
      (shares_outstanding_diluted - shares_outstanding_basic) / shares_outstanding_basic
    • Net Cash
      cash_and_equivalents + short_term_investments - short_term_debt - long_term_debt
    • Capex To Revenue
      capital_expenditure / revenue
    • Return On Equity
      net_income / total_equity
    • Debt To Equity
      (short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
    • Cash Conversion Ratio
      operating_cash_flow / net_income
    Source documents
    • Kumagai Gumi Co Ltd Market data — financials · 2026-05-26
    • Kumagai Gumi Co Ltd Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-05-26

    Ownership & reference

    Insider activity

    — missing data

    Short positioning

    — missing data

    Geographic breakdown

    — missing data
    Listings · one canonical issuer all listings resolve to the canonical
    1861.TCanonical
    Tokyo Stock Exchange · JPY

    Intel & risk

    PredictorBeat prob45 %Surprise+0,00Full forecast →
    peak dispatch · —
    OSINT findings
    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskLow
    No immediate filing-based liquidity or dilution flags were detected.

    Evidence & claims

    From filings & derived data
    — missing data

    The Thread

    Everything we know, in order
    2026-06-30 03:38 UTCEARNINGSUpcomingForecast: earnings_forecast (90d)
    2026-06-20 12:34 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-06-20 12:34 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-06-20 12:34 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    The entity's full life in the product — typed, chronological, joined across Newspaper, Platform and Data. Our memory, made visible.
    Sources filings · IR · transcripts · market data · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 Market data · Issuer disclosures · Public news · Earnings transcripts · Consensus estimates · ESG data Premium coverage