Deutsche Post AG

Deutsche Post AG maintains a capital structure characterized by significant leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.14 and long-term debt totaling 25.45 billion EUR against total equity of 22.23 billion EUR. The balance sheet shows total assets of 71.02 billion EUR and total liabilities of 48.79 billion EUR. Liquidity is constrained, evidenced by a current ratio of 0.98 and cash and equivalents of only 445 million EUR, resulting in a negative net cash position after subtracting total debt. Operating cash flow stands at 9.12 billion EUR, while free cash flow is 3.65 billion EUR, indicating that capital expenditures of 2.80 billion EUR consume a substantial portion of operating cash generation.

Profitability metrics show a return on equity of 15.87% and a return on assets of 4.97%. The company generated revenue of 82.86 billion EUR, with a gross profit of 43.02 billion EUR and operating income of 6.10 billion EUR. Net income for the period was 3.50 billion EUR. While specific cohort median comparisons are not provided in the input data, the ROE suggests efficient use of equity capital despite the high leverage profile. The gross margin, derived from the gross profit and revenue figures, indicates a healthy spread between revenue and direct costs of goods sold.

Segment and geographic revenue mix data is not present in the provided input, preventing a detailed analysis of revenue concentration by business unit or region. The company's activity is primarily defined as Marine Transportation within the Freight & Logistics Services business sector. Without segment breakdowns, the analysis relies on consolidated financial figures to assess overall performance and risk exposure.

Historical period data for revenue and net income trends is absent from the input, limiting the ability to assess growth trajectory over the past five years or eight quarters. The current financial snapshot provides a static view of performance, with no year-over-year or quarter-over-quarter growth rates available to contextualize the current revenue and profit levels.

Risk assessment indicates medium liquidity risk and low dilution risk. A key flag is the negative net cash position, which highlights reliance on debt financing and potential vulnerability to interest rate fluctuations or credit market tightening. The current ratio below 1.0 further underscores short-term liquidity pressures. Dilution risk is assessed as low, with basic and diluted shares outstanding being identical at 1.12 billion shares, suggesting no significant pending equity issuances or convertible instruments impacting share count.

Recent events include analyst estimates with a mean price target of 52.03 EUR and a median of 53.00 EUR, ranging from a low of 34.00 EUR to a high of 61.00 EUR. The mean recommendation is 2.43, with 5 strong buys, 5 buys, and 11 holds. Competitor context lists Frontline, Okeanis Eco Tankers, and Stolt-Nielsen, though no specific comparative metrics are provided. No filing, news, or transcript observations are present in the input data.

Deutsche Post AG (DHLN.DE) experienced a major holder change involving investor ID 587, whose stake in the company was significantly adjusted. The investor's shareholding was modified from 1,466 shares to 49,796 shares, representing a substantial increase in position size. This change was detected on June 24, 2026, and reflects a notable shift in the investor's allocation to the logistics giant. The value of the investor's holding increased from $0.038 million to $1.483 million as a result of the share increase. The weight of the investment in the investor's portfolio also rose from 0.000022% to 0.000856%. These figures highlight the magnitude of the adjustment and the growing interest of this particular investor in Deutsche Post AG. Despite this significant holder change, there were no other material changes reported for Deutsche Post AG compared to prior analysis. The company's profile remains consistent with 14 analysts covering the stock and 22 top holders identified. The absence of additional material changes suggests that the holder adjustment is an isolated event rather than part of a broader trend affecting the company's fundamentals. The significance of this holder change lies in its potential impact on market sentiment and trading activity. While the overall weight of the investment remains small, the substantial increase in shares could signal confidence in Deutsche Post AG's future performance. Investors and analysts will likely monitor this development to gauge any broader implications for the company's stock price and market position.

Free cash flow is projected to grow 14.7% year-over-year to EUR 3.65 billion in fiscal 2026.

Cash conversion ratio of 2.58 is well above the 1.65 median for the logistics peer group.

Analyst consensus recommends a buy with a mean price target of EUR 52.03 based on 23 estimates.

Net income is expected to increase 5.1% year-over-year to EUR 3.5 billion in fiscal 2026.

Debt-to-equity ratio of 1.14 places the company in the bottom quartile of its logistics peer cohort.

The company carries a high credit risk flag, indicating significant potential for financial distress or default.

Revenue growth has stagnated with a four-year CAGR of only 0.3% from fiscal 2022 to 2026.

Revenue €20.42B, −1,9% YoY; Operating income +8,2% YoY.

• ▍Revenue €20.42B, −1,9% YoY
• ▍Operating income +8,2% YoY
• ▍Net income +3,2% YoY
• ▍Free cash flow +4,2% YoY
• ▍Net margin 4.0%

Revenue €22.09B, −2,7% YoY; Operating income −1,3% YoY.

• ▍Revenue €22.09B, −2,7% YoY
• ▍Operating income −1,3% YoY
• ▍Net income −3,4% YoY
• ▍Free cash flow +2,4% YoY
• ▍Net margin 4.8%

Revenue €20.13B, −2,2% YoY; Operating income +7,6% YoY.

• ▍Revenue €20.13B, −2,2% YoY
• ▍Operating income +7,6% YoY
• ▍Net income +12,0% YoY
• ▍Free cash flow +10,8% YoY
• ▍Net margin 4.2%

Revenue €19.82B, −3,9% YoY; Operating income +5,8% YoY.

• ▍Revenue €19.82B, −3,9% YoY
• ▍Operating income +5,8% YoY
• ▍Net income +9,5% YoY
• ▍Free cash flow +6,2% YoY
• ▍Net margin 4.1%

Revenue €20.81B; Operating income €1.37B.

• ▍Revenue €20.81B
• ▍Operating income €1.37B
• ▍Net margin 3.8%

Revenue €22.70B; Operating income €1.85B.

• ▍Revenue €22.70B
• ▍Operating income €1.85B
• ▍Net margin 4.8%

Revenue €20.59B; Operating income €1.37B.

• ▍Revenue €20.59B
• ▍Operating income €1.37B
• ▍Net margin 3.6%

Revenue €20.64B; Operating income €1.35B.

• ▍Revenue €20.64B
• ▍Operating income €1.35B
• ▍Net margin 3.6%

Revenue €82.86B, −1,6% YoY; Operating income +3,7% YoY.

• ▍Revenue €82.86B, −1,6% YoY
• ▍Operating income +3,7% YoY
• ▍Net income +5,1% YoY
• ▍Free cash flow +14,7% YoY
• ▍Net margin 4.2%

Revenue €84.19B, +3,0% YoY; Operating income −7,2% YoY.

• ▍Revenue €84.19B, +3,0% YoY
• ▍Operating income −7,2% YoY
• ▍Net income −9,4% YoY
• ▍Free cash flow +13,8% YoY
• ▍Net margin 4.0%

Revenue €81.76B, −13,4% YoY; Operating income −24,8% YoY.

• ▍Revenue €81.76B, −13,4% YoY
• ▍Operating income −24,8% YoY
• ▍Net income −31,4% YoY
• ▍Free cash flow −25,1% YoY
• ▍Net margin 4.5%

Revenue €94.44B, +15,5% YoY; Operating income +5,7% YoY.

• ▍Revenue €94.44B, +15,5% YoY
• ▍Operating income +5,7% YoY
• ▍Net income +6,1% YoY
• ▍Free cash flow −1,2% YoY
• ▍Net margin 5.7%