Erbud SA

Erbud's capital structure is characterized by a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.54, indicating a moderate reliance on debt financing. The company holds 289.85 million PLN in cash and equivalents, but its long-term debt of 293.32 million PLN suggests a net cash position that is slightly negative. The liquidity risk is assessed as medium, primarily due to the negative net cash position after subtracting total debt.

In terms of profitability, Erbud's return on equity (ROE) is 0.51%, and its return on assets (ROA) is 0.15%, both of which are below the industry median for construction and engineering firms. The company's operating margin is 2.39% (15.37 million PLN operating income on 644.27 million PLN revenue), and its net margin is 0.43% (2.76 million PLN net income on 644.27 million PLN revenue), which are also below the industry average.

Erbud's revenue is concentrated in a single business segment, as disclosed in its financial statements, with no geographic diversification provided in the available data. This lack of segmental and geographic diversification may expose the company to higher operational and market risks.

The company's growth trajectory appears modest, with the most recent actual revenue of 3.26 billion PLN compared to the mean analyst estimate of 3.39 billion PLN for the next reporting period. This suggests a potential for slight revenue growth, but the current operating cash flow is negative at -59.08 million PLN, which could limit the company's ability to fund expansion without external financing.

The risk assessment indicates a low potential for dilution, with no significant dilution sources identified in the available data. However, the company's liquidity risk remains a concern due to the negative net cash position. The risk of dilution is further mitigated by the fact that the number of shares outstanding has not changed between basic and diluted shares.

Recent events, including the latest financial filing, show a mixed performance with a negative operating cash flow but a positive free cash flow of 14.96 million PLN. The capital expenditure of -4.25 million PLN indicates some level of investment in the business, although it is relatively small in scale.

Free cash flow surged 98.6% year-over-year to near break-even, signaling improved operational efficiency and cash generation capabilities.

Operating income remained stable at approximately 21 million PLN in FY0, demonstrating resilience despite revenue fluctuations and net losses.

Gross profit increased to 263.3 million PLN in FY0, indicating potential for margin expansion if operating costs are controlled effectively.

The company maintains a low dilution risk profile, protecting existing shareholders from immediate equity value erosion through share issuance.

A single analyst recommendation of 'buy' suggests professional confidence in the stock's potential upside from the current market price.

Net income deteriorated significantly to a 35.8 million PLN loss in FY0, reflecting severe profitability challenges and bottom-line weakness.

Cash conversion ratio sits in the bottom quartile of the cohort at -21.42%, indicating poor ability to turn earnings into cash.

Long-term debt increased to 387.9 million PLN in FY0, raising leverage concerns alongside a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.54.

Return on equity of 0.51% is well below the cohort median of 4.75%, highlighting inefficient use of shareholder capital.

Revenue PLN 814.7M, −6,9% YoY; Operating income +142,9% YoY.

• ▍Revenue PLN 814.7M, −6,9% YoY
• ▍Operating income +142,9% YoY
• ▍Net income +44,6% YoY
• ▍Free cash flow +119,6% YoY
• ▍Net margin -1.9%

Revenue PLN 910.4M, +18,1% YoY; Operating income −44,9% YoY.

• ▍Revenue PLN 910.4M, +18,1% YoY
• ▍Operating income −44,9% YoY
• ▍Net income −268,0% YoY
• ▍Free cash flow −60,4% YoY
• ▍Net margin -0.9%

Revenue PLN 800.0M, +16,1% YoY; Operating income +442,8% YoY.

• ▍Revenue PLN 800.0M, +16,1% YoY
• ▍Operating income +442,8% YoY
• ▍Net income +118,9% YoY
• ▍Free cash flow +261,0% YoY
• ▍Net margin 0.2%

Revenue PLN 733.1M, +13,8% YoY; Operating income −159,3% YoY.

• ▍Revenue PLN 733.1M, +13,8% YoY
• ▍Operating income −159,3% YoY
• ▍Net income −576,9% YoY
• ▍Free cash flow −168,0% YoY
• ▍Net margin -1.8%

Revenue PLN 875.2M; Operating income -PLN 13.0M.

• ▍Revenue PLN 875.2M
• ▍Operating income -PLN 13.0M
• ▍Net margin -3.2%

Revenue PLN 771.1M; Operating income PLN 21.9M.

• ▍Revenue PLN 771.1M
• ▍Operating income PLN 21.9M
• ▍Net margin 0.7%

Revenue PLN 689.2M; Operating income -PLN 3.6M.

• ▍Revenue PLN 689.2M
• ▍Operating income -PLN 3.6M
• ▍Net margin -1.2%

Revenue PLN 644.3M; Operating income PLN 15.4M.

• ▍Revenue PLN 644.3M
• ▍Operating income PLN 15.4M
• ▍Net margin 0.4%

Revenue PLN 3.26B, +9,3% YoY; Operating income +1,9% YoY.

• ▍Revenue PLN 3.26B, +9,3% YoY
• ▍Operating income +1,9% YoY
• ▍Net income −23,9% YoY
• ▍Free cash flow +98,6% YoY
• ▍Net margin -1.1%

Revenue PLN 2.98B, −7,9% YoY; Operating income −2,6% YoY.

• ▍Revenue PLN 2.98B, −7,9% YoY
• ▍Operating income −2,6% YoY
• ▍Net income −388,5% YoY
• ▍Free cash flow −263,2% YoY
• ▍Net margin -1.0%

Revenue PLN 3.23B, −16,1% YoY; Operating income +9,2% YoY.

• ▍Revenue PLN 3.23B, −16,1% YoY
• ▍Operating income +9,2% YoY
• ▍Net income +20,6% YoY
• ▍Free cash flow +4 258,3% YoY
• ▍Net margin 0.3%

Revenue PLN 3.86B, +24,3% YoY; Operating income −78,6% YoY.

• ▍Revenue PLN 3.86B, +24,3% YoY
• ▍Operating income −78,6% YoY
• ▍Net income −5,7% YoY
• ▍Free cash flow +103,7% YoY
• ▍Net margin 0.2%