McMillan Shakespeare Ltd
McMillan Shakespeare Ltd provides banking and investment services, primarily focused on consumer lending.
Business. McMillan Shakespeare Ltd (MMS.AX) is an Australian consumer lending company headquartered in Australia and listed on the Australian Securities Exchange. The firm operates within the Banking & Investment Services industry, providing banking services primarily focused on consumer lending. Specific details regarding operating segments and geographic revenue mix are not available.
Analyst recommendations
6 analysts · consensus BuyAt a glance
What drives this business
The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.
News & coverage
0Sector rotation
Developing storylines
Analysis
AI analysisOpportunity
Upcoming catalysts
Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.
- Company
- EarningsFY 2026 earnings (expected)2026-11-09 · estimated
- Macro
- Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
- Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
- Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
- Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
- Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
- Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
- Macro & political
- ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
- ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
- ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
Pre-earnings brief
Signals & dispatch
Composite-score breakdown
Synthesis
McMillan Shakespeare Ltd (MMS.AX) is an Australian consumer lending company headquartered in Australia and listed on the Australian Securities Exchange. The firm operates within the Banking & Investment Services industry, providing banking services primarily focused on consumer lending. Specific details regarding operating segments and geographic revenue mix are not available.
McMillan Shakespeare Ltd operates with a highly leveraged capital structure, as evidenced by a debt-to-equity ratio of 6.72, significantly above the median for the Consumer Lending industry. The company's liquidity position is constrained, with a current ratio of 1.05 and negative net cash after subtracting total debt. Free cash flow of 54.34 million AUD is positive but insufficient to cover long-term debt of 758.36 million AUD.
Profitability metrics show a return on equity of 84.52%, which is strong compared to the industry median, but return on assets of 6.44% is below the typical range for a capital-intensive sector like consumer lending. Operating income of 173.64 million AUD and net income of 95.34 million AUD indicate a healthy margin, but the company's high leverage amplifies the risk of earnings volatility.
The company's revenue is concentrated in a single business segment, with no disclosed geographic diversification. This lack of diversification increases exposure to regional economic downturns and regulatory changes. The absence of segment-specific revenue data limits the ability to assess the resilience of different parts of the business.
Growth trajectory is mixed. Revenue of 563.48 million AUD in the latest period shows a stable but non-explosive trend. Analysts project a mean price target of 18.00 AUD, with a median of 17.95 AUD, suggesting limited upside potential. The company's capital expenditure of -19.29 million AUD indicates a focus on cost control rather than expansion.
Risk factors include medium liquidity risk due to the current ratio and negative net cash position. The risk assessment also flags dilution as low, but the company's high debt load and negative operating cash flow of -59.70 million AUD suggest potential refinancing challenges. No dilution sources are explicitly disclosed in the latest filings, but the company's capital structure leaves room for future equity issuance.
Recent events include a stable analyst recommendation with three "Buy" and three "Hold" ratings, and a mean recommendation of 2.50. No material events or earnings call transcripts are disclosed in the latest data, limiting insight into management's strategic direction.
- High debt-to-equity ratio (6.72) indicates significant leverage risk.
- Strong ROE (84.52%) but weak ROA (6.44%) suggests asset underutilization.
- Negative operating cash flow (-59.70 million AUD) raises liquidity concerns.
- Analysts project limited upside with a mean price target of 18.00 AUD.
- No geographic or segment diversification increases concentration risk.
Bull / Bear case
Generated · model-assistedIn focus — financials by report
Valuation
Revenue by segment
Business relationships
Supply chain
Peer comparison
Market position
Stress test
Predictor forecast
| Metric | Our forecast | Guidance | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | —no estimate | —no estimate | 1,50 |
| Revenue | —no estimate | —no estimate | 594,3M AUD |
| Operating income | —no estimate | —no estimate | 152,8M AUD |
Options
Short squeeze
Earnings-call key lines
Consensus distribution
sell-side coverageEstimate revisions
consensus EPS · 26-week trendSell-side observations
Themes
ESG
Risk factors
- Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Benchmarks vs cohort
Corporate actions / M&A
FX exposure
Comparable transactions
Derivatives & instruments
Actions
Ask Handelsavisen
- Market data
- Market data cache
- Issuer disclosures
- Public news
- Earnings transcripts
- Consensus estimates
- ESG data
- Dilution Ratio(shares_outstanding_diluted - shares_outstanding_basic) / shares_outstanding_basic
- Net Cashcash_and_equivalents + short_term_investments - short_term_debt - long_term_debt
- Capex To Revenuecapital_expenditure / revenue
- Return On Equitynet_income / total_equity
- Debt To Equity(short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
- Cash Conversion Ratiooperating_cash_flow / net_income
- McMillan Shakespeare Ltd Market data — financials · 2026-05-28
- McMillan Shakespeare Ltd Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-05-28
Ownership & reference
Insider activity
- Director · Common StockSold 742 @ $72,25$54K · 2026-03-17
- Director · Common StockOther 7 009 · 2026-03-10
- Director · Common StockOther 3 062 · 2026-03-10
- Director · Common StockOther 2 246 · 2026-03-10
- Director · Common StockOther 2 246 · 2026-03-10
- Director · Common StockOther 3 215 · 2026-03-10
- Director · Common StockOther 7 000 · 2026-02-27
- Director · Common StockOther 3 000 · 2026-02-24
- Director · Common StockOther 32 764 · 2026-02-18
- Director, CEO & President · Common StockBought 152 @ $76,92$12K · 2026-02-10
- Director, CEO & President · Common StockBought 1 332 @ $78,22$104K · 2026-02-10
- Director, CEO & President · Common StockBought 1 691 @ $78,77$133K · 2026-02-10
- Director · Common StockOther 32 764 · 2026-02-10
- Chief Financial Officer · Common StockBought 1 000 @ $75,62$76K · 2026-02-09
- Chief of Human Resources · Common StockSold 4 039 @ $86,84$351K · 2025-12-03
- Principal Accounting Officer · Common StockOther 1 201 · 2025-12-02
- Director, CEO & President · Common StockOther 13 391 · 2025-12-02
- Director, CEO & President · Common StockOther 39 037 @ $86,51$3,4M · 2025-12-02
- Chief Financial Officer · Common StockOther 13 391 · 2025-12-02
- Chief Financial Officer · Common StockOther 6 040 @ $86,51$522K · 2025-12-02
- General Mgr - Health & Human · Common StockOther 7 647 · 2025-12-02
- General Mgr - Health & Human · Common StockOther 3 831 @ $86,51$331K · 2025-12-02
- Principal Accounting Officer · Common StockOther 542 @ $86,51$47K · 2025-12-02
- Chief of Human Resources · Common StockOther 7 358 · 2025-12-02
- Chief of Human Resources · Common StockOther 3 319 @ $86,51$287K · 2025-12-02
Short positioning
Geographic breakdown
Intel & risk
Evidence & claims
From filings & derived data- Total assets (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 3.7%Derived (calculated)
- Cash & equivalents (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 89.4%Derived (calculated)
- Total liabilities (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 3.2%Derived (calculated)
- Long-term debt (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 11.5%Derived (calculated)
- Current ratio (FY 2025-12-31): 2.34xDerived (calculated)
- Debt-to-equity (FY 2025-12-31): 1.45xDerived (calculated)
- Shareholders' equity (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 4.4%Derived (calculated)
- Current liabilities (annual): USD 608.05MSEC XBRL filing
- Current assets (annual): USD 1.42BSEC XBRL filing
- Long-term debt (annual): USD 1.51BSEC XBRL filing
- Total liabilities (annual): USD 2.49BSEC XBRL filing
- Shareholders' equity (annual): USD 1.72BSEC XBRL filing
- Shares outstanding (annual): 54.55MSEC XBRL filing
- Total assets (annual): USD 4.21BSEC XBRL filing
- Cash & equivalents (annual): USD 137.59MSEC XBRL filing
- Operating income (YoY) (2025-09-30 vs 2024-09-30): 8.1%Derived (calculated)
- Cost of revenue (YoY) (2025-09-30 vs 2024-09-30): 1.1%Derived (calculated)
- EPS (basic) (YoY) (2025-09-30 vs 2024-09-30): 10.5%Derived (calculated)
- Gross margin (FY 2025-09-30): 24.6%Derived (calculated)
- Revenue (YoY) (2025-09-30 vs 2024-09-30): 2.4%Derived (calculated)
- Net income (YoY) (2025-09-30 vs 2024-09-30): 3.9%Derived (calculated)
- Operating cash flow (YoY) (2025-09-30 vs 2024-09-30): -16.7%Derived (calculated)
- Gross profit (YoY) (2025-09-30 vs 2024-09-30): 6.5%Derived (calculated)
- Net margin (FY 2025-09-30): 5.9%Derived (calculated)