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Companies Industrials MMS.AX
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MMS.AX ASX Business Support Services

McMillan Shakespeare Ltd

A$19,42
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AUD
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Mcap
P/E
EV / Rev
Div yield
12,50 %
Op margin
30,8 %
ROE
84,5 %
Net margin
16,9 %
Debt / equity
6,72
Beta
52w range
Volume
Day range
Prev close
Open
Next earnings
2026-11-09
Ex-dividend
TR 1Y
About

McMillan Shakespeare Ltd provides banking and investment services, primarily focused on consumer lending.

Business. McMillan Shakespeare Ltd (MMS.AX) is an Australian consumer lending company headquartered in Australia and listed on the Australian Securities Exchange. The firm operates within the Banking & Investment Services industry, providing banking services primarily focused on consumer lending. Specific details regarding operating segments and geographic revenue mix are not available.

Classification99 %
SectorIndustrials
Industry groupBusiness Support Services
Generated · model-assisted
Sell-side consensus
BUY6 analysts
3 buy3 hold0 sell
Avg 12m price target18,00

Analyst recommendations

6 analysts · consensus Buy
Buy3
Hold3
Sell0
12-month price target
18,00
Consensus of sell-side coverage.
Upcoming events
  • EarningsFY 2026 earnings (expected)2026-11-09 · estimated
See all catalysts →

At a glance

Score
not yet scored
Valuation
valuation pending
Analysts
Buy
6 analysts · indicative
Ownership
not yet wired
Profitability
84,5 %
return on equity
Quality
not yet scored

What drives this business

The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.

— missing data

News & coverage

0
  • No recent newsroom coverage mentioning MMS.
  • Sector rotation

    Sector1D1Mvs mkt
    Materials+2,3 %+6,6 %+1,7 %
    Communication Services+2,2 %−5,5 %+1,6 %
    Energy+0,6 %+3,3 %+0,0 %
    Health Care+0,6 %−0,8 %+0,0 %
    Information Technology+0,6 %+6,7 %+0,0 %
    Consumer Discretionary+0,4 %+7,6 %−0,2 %
    Financials−0,3 %−2,8 %−0,9 %
    Consumer Staples−0,4 %+2,5 %−1,0 %
    Real Estate−0,7 %+10,9 %−1,3 %
    Industrials · THIS SECTOR−1,9 %−3,1 %−2,5 %
    Utilities−1,9 %+28,2 %−2,5 %

    Developing storylines

    No tracked sagas currently linked to MMS.AX. Browse all sagas →

    Analysis

    AI analysis
    Generated · analysis pipeline · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 ↑ At a glance

    Opportunity

    — missing data

    Upcoming catalysts

    Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.

    • Company
    • EarningsFY 2026 earnings (expected)2026-11-09 · estimated
    • Macro
    • Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
    • Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
    • Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
    • Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
    • Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
    • Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
    • Macro & political
    • ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
    • ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
    • ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR

    Pre-earnings brief

    — missing data

    Signals & dispatch

    peak dispatch · —

    Composite-score breakdown

    Synthesis

    Business

    McMillan Shakespeare Ltd (MMS.AX) is an Australian consumer lending company headquartered in Australia and listed on the Australian Securities Exchange. The firm operates within the Banking & Investment Services industry, providing banking services primarily focused on consumer lending. Specific details regarding operating segments and geographic revenue mix are not available.

    Classification99 %
    SectorIndustrials
    Industry groupBusiness Support Services
    AI synthesis
    GENERATED

    McMillan Shakespeare Ltd operates with a highly leveraged capital structure, as evidenced by a debt-to-equity ratio of 6.72, significantly above the median for the Consumer Lending industry. The company's liquidity position is constrained, with a current ratio of 1.05 and negative net cash after subtracting total debt. Free cash flow of 54.34 million AUD is positive but insufficient to cover long-term debt of 758.36 million AUD.

    Profitability metrics show a return on equity of 84.52%, which is strong compared to the industry median, but return on assets of 6.44% is below the typical range for a capital-intensive sector like consumer lending. Operating income of 173.64 million AUD and net income of 95.34 million AUD indicate a healthy margin, but the company's high leverage amplifies the risk of earnings volatility.

    The company's revenue is concentrated in a single business segment, with no disclosed geographic diversification. This lack of diversification increases exposure to regional economic downturns and regulatory changes. The absence of segment-specific revenue data limits the ability to assess the resilience of different parts of the business.

    Growth trajectory is mixed. Revenue of 563.48 million AUD in the latest period shows a stable but non-explosive trend. Analysts project a mean price target of 18.00 AUD, with a median of 17.95 AUD, suggesting limited upside potential. The company's capital expenditure of -19.29 million AUD indicates a focus on cost control rather than expansion.

    Risk factors include medium liquidity risk due to the current ratio and negative net cash position. The risk assessment also flags dilution as low, but the company's high debt load and negative operating cash flow of -59.70 million AUD suggest potential refinancing challenges. No dilution sources are explicitly disclosed in the latest filings, but the company's capital structure leaves room for future equity issuance.

    Recent events include a stable analyst recommendation with three "Buy" and three "Hold" ratings, and a mean recommendation of 2.50. No material events or earnings call transcripts are disclosed in the latest data, limiting insight into management's strategic direction.

    Key takeaways
    • High debt-to-equity ratio (6.72) indicates significant leverage risk.
    • Strong ROE (84.52%) but weak ROA (6.44%) suggests asset underutilization.
    • Negative operating cash flow (-59.70 million AUD) raises liquidity concerns.
    • Analysts project limited upside with a mean price target of 18.00 AUD.
    • No geographic or segment diversification increases concentration risk.

    Bull / Bear case

    Generated · model-assisted
    — missing data

    In focus — financials by report

    Valuation

    Market price
    A$19,42
    Market cap
    Enterprise value
    P/E
    Non-GAAP P/E
    EV / Revenue
    EV / Op income
    EV / OCF
    P / B
    P / Tangible book
    Tangible book
    A$112.8M
    Net cash
    -A$758.1M
    Current ratio
    1.1
    Debt / equity
    6.7
    ROA
    6.4%
    ROE
    84.5%
    Cash conversion
    -63.0%
    CapEx / revenue
    -3.4%
    SBC / revenue
    Dilution ratio
    0.0%

    Revenue by segment

    Market share

    — missing data

    Business relationships

    Business relationships23 disclosed relationships · 1 type · extracted from filings & disclosures
    Subsidiaries23
    EX21:14b9d968f7fdEX21:14b9d968f7fdSubsidiarie97%
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    EX21:f210b80352e8EX21:f210b80352e8Subsidiarie97%

    Supply chain

    — missing data

    Peer comparison

    — missing data

    Market position

    Stress test

    — missing data

    Predictor forecast

    Next quarternear-term
    Earnings · next quarterconf 45 %
    EPS
    Consensus EPS
    1,50
    Predicted surprise
    +0,00
    Beat probability
    45 %
    Analysts
    6
    Other metrics
    Revenue
    no estimate
    Segment revenue
    no estimate
    Margin
    no estimate
    Segment margin
    no estimate
    as of 2026-05-16 · Earnings Surprise V1
    Period note: consensus is not fiscal-period-aligned at source — read as consensus vs the last reported actual, not a calibrated same-quarter surprise.
    Full fiscal year~1 year ahead
    Full fiscal year · our forecast vs guidance vs consensus
    MetricOur forecastGuidanceConsensus
    EPSno estimateno estimate1,50
    Revenueno estimateno estimate594,3M AUD
    Operating incomeno estimateno estimate152,8M AUD
    Full-year consensus mean (period as reported by source) · consensus in AUD. Company-level full-year forecast and management guidance are not yet modelled at scale — shown as "no estimate", never inferred.
    Probabilistic model output — not investment advice. · generated 2026-08-04

    Options

    — missing data

    Short squeeze

    — missing data

    Earnings-call key lines

    — missing data

    Consensus distribution

    sell-side coverage
    Recommendation distribution6 analysts
    Strong buy0
    Buy3
    Hold3
    Sell0
    Strong sell0
    12-month price targetA$18,00 · Median A$17,95
    Low A$16,40High A$19,90
    Operating income · consensus152,8M AUD
    EPS surprise
    −1,7 %
    reported vs consensus · miss
    Revenue surprise
    −5,2 %
    reported vs consensus · miss

    Estimate revisions

    consensus EPS · 26-week trend
    — missing data

    Sell-side observations

    LowA$16,40
    MeanA$18,00
    MedianA$17,95
    HighA$19,90
    SpotA$19,42
    −7.3 %implied to mean12-month sell-side price targets · ▲ spot

    Themes

    — missing data

    ESG

    — missing data

    Risk factors

    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskMedium
    Filing-based flags
    • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.

    Benchmarks vs cohort

    Op Margin30,8 %Best in class
    Net Margin16,9 %Above P75
    ROE84,5 %Best in class
    Capex / Rev-3,4 %Below median
    D/E6,72Bottom quartile
    Cash Conv-0,63Bottom quartile

    Corporate actions / M&A

    — missing data

    FX exposure

    — missing data

    Comparable transactions

    — missing data

    Derivatives & instruments

    — missing data

    Actions

    Ask Handelsavisen

    — missing data
    Data sources
    • Market data
    • Market data cache
    • Issuer disclosures
    • Public news
    • Earnings transcripts
    • Consensus estimates
    • ESG data
    How metrics are computed
    • Dilution Ratio
      (shares_outstanding_diluted - shares_outstanding_basic) / shares_outstanding_basic
    • Net Cash
      cash_and_equivalents + short_term_investments - short_term_debt - long_term_debt
    • Capex To Revenue
      capital_expenditure / revenue
    • Return On Equity
      net_income / total_equity
    • Debt To Equity
      (short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
    • Cash Conversion Ratio
      operating_cash_flow / net_income
    Source documents
    • McMillan Shakespeare Ltd Market data — financials · 2026-05-28
    • McMillan Shakespeare Ltd Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-05-28

    Ownership & reference

    Insider activity

    Net selling5 buys · 2 sellsnet -$76K12 insiders · last 365d
    • Madsen JanDirector · Common StockSold 742 @ $72,25$54K · 2026-03-17
    • HALEY JOHN JDirector · Common StockOther 7 009 · 2026-03-10
    • Altman Anne K.Director · Common StockOther 3 062 · 2026-03-10
    • Warren Michael J.Director · Common StockOther 2 246 · 2026-03-10
    • RAJAN GAYATHRIDirector · Common StockOther 2 246 · 2026-03-10
    • Madsen JanDirector · Common StockOther 3 215 · 2026-03-10
    • MONTONI RICHARD ADirector · Common StockOther 7 000 · 2026-02-27
    • MONTONI RICHARD ADirector · Common StockOther 3 000 · 2026-02-24
    • HALEY JOHN JDirector · Common StockOther 32 764 · 2026-02-18
    • Caswell BruceDirector, CEO & President · Common StockBought 152 @ $76,92$12K · 2026-02-10
    • Caswell BruceDirector, CEO & President · Common StockBought 1 332 @ $78,22$104K · 2026-02-10
    • Caswell BruceDirector, CEO & President · Common StockBought 1 691 @ $78,77$133K · 2026-02-10
    • HALEY JOHN JDirector · Common StockOther 32 764 · 2026-02-10
    • Mutryn DavidChief Financial Officer · Common StockBought 1 000 @ $75,62$76K · 2026-02-09
    • Link Michelle F.Chief of Human Resources · Common StockSold 4 039 @ $86,84$351K · 2025-12-03
    • GOLINVAUX THERESA DPrincipal Accounting Officer · Common StockOther 1 201 · 2025-12-02
    • Caswell BruceDirector, CEO & President · Common StockOther 13 391 · 2025-12-02
    • Caswell BruceDirector, CEO & President · Common StockOther 39 037 @ $86,51$3,4M · 2025-12-02
    • Mutryn DavidChief Financial Officer · Common StockOther 13 391 · 2025-12-02
    • Mutryn DavidChief Financial Officer · Common StockOther 6 040 @ $86,51$522K · 2025-12-02
    • Baylinson Ilene R.General Mgr - Health & Human · Common StockOther 7 647 · 2025-12-02
    • Baylinson Ilene R.General Mgr - Health & Human · Common StockOther 3 831 @ $86,51$331K · 2025-12-02
    • GOLINVAUX THERESA DPrincipal Accounting Officer · Common StockOther 542 @ $86,51$47K · 2025-12-02
    • Link Michelle F.Chief of Human Resources · Common StockOther 7 358 · 2025-12-02
    • Link Michelle F.Chief of Human Resources · Common StockOther 3 319 @ $86,51$287K · 2025-12-02

    Short positioning

    3.1Mshares short-9.3% vs prior
    5.04days to cover
    71.9%short of daily vol
    70fails-to-deliver
    as of 2026-07-15 · short-interest report (free)

    Geographic breakdown

    — missing data
    Listings · one canonical issuer all listings resolve to the canonical
    MMS.AXCanonical
    ASX · AUD

    Intel & risk

    PredictorBeat prob45 %Surprise+0,00Full forecast →
    peak dispatch · —
    OSINT findings
    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskMedium
    Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
    Relationship graph
    MMSEX21:14bEX21:15dEX21:170EX21:25dEX21:2f9EX21:336EX21:35fEX21:3f1EX21:493EX21:4adBusiness Suppo
    This companySectorSubsidiaries

    Evidence & claims

    From filings & derived data
    • Total assets (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 3.7%Derived (calculated)
    • Cash & equivalents (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 89.4%Derived (calculated)
    • Total liabilities (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 3.2%Derived (calculated)
    • Long-term debt (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 11.5%Derived (calculated)
    • Current ratio (FY 2025-12-31): 2.34xDerived (calculated)
    • Debt-to-equity (FY 2025-12-31): 1.45xDerived (calculated)
    • Shareholders' equity (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 4.4%Derived (calculated)
    • Current liabilities (annual): USD 608.05MSEC XBRL filing
    • Current assets (annual): USD 1.42BSEC XBRL filing
    • Long-term debt (annual): USD 1.51BSEC XBRL filing
    • Total liabilities (annual): USD 2.49BSEC XBRL filing
    • Shareholders' equity (annual): USD 1.72BSEC XBRL filing
    • Shares outstanding (annual): 54.55MSEC XBRL filing
    • Total assets (annual): USD 4.21BSEC XBRL filing
    • Cash & equivalents (annual): USD 137.59MSEC XBRL filing
    • Operating income (YoY) (2025-09-30 vs 2024-09-30): 8.1%Derived (calculated)
    • Cost of revenue (YoY) (2025-09-30 vs 2024-09-30): 1.1%Derived (calculated)
    • EPS (basic) (YoY) (2025-09-30 vs 2024-09-30): 10.5%Derived (calculated)
    • Gross margin (FY 2025-09-30): 24.6%Derived (calculated)
    • Revenue (YoY) (2025-09-30 vs 2024-09-30): 2.4%Derived (calculated)
    • Net income (YoY) (2025-09-30 vs 2024-09-30): 3.9%Derived (calculated)
    • Operating cash flow (YoY) (2025-09-30 vs 2024-09-30): -16.7%Derived (calculated)
    • Gross profit (YoY) (2025-09-30 vs 2024-09-30): 6.5%Derived (calculated)
    • Net margin (FY 2025-09-30): 5.9%Derived (calculated)
    Showing 24 of 60 surfaced claims.
    Atomic claims from regulatory filings and derived calculations. Provenance shown as source kind only.

    The Thread

    Everything we know, in order
    2026-11-09EVENTUpcomingFY 2026 earnings (expected) estimated date
    2026-06-30 03:38 UTCEARNINGSUpcomingForecast: earnings_forecast (90d)
    2026-06-20 12:34 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-06-20 12:34 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-05-28FILING8-K filing →
    2026-05-07FILING10-Q filing →
    2026-05-07FILING8-K filing →
    2026-05-01 14:58 UTCFILINGRegulatory filing →
    2026-03-17 00:00 UTCINSIDER6 insider transactions — 2026-03
    2026-03-17INSIDERMadsen Jan sold 742 sh — Director ~$54k
    2026-03-11FILING8-K filing →
    2026-03-10INSIDERHALEY JOHN J transacted 7.0k sh — Director
    2026-03-10INSIDERAltman Anne K. transacted 3.1k sh — Director
    2026-03-10INSIDERWarren Michael J. transacted 2.2k sh — Director
    2026-03-10INSIDERRAJAN GAYATHRI transacted 2.2k sh — Director
    2026-03-10INSIDERMadsen Jan transacted 3.2k sh — Director
    2026-02-27 00:00 UTCINSIDER8 insider transactions — 2026-02 · net buy $325k
    2026-02-27INSIDERMONTONI RICHARD A transacted 7.0k sh — Director
    2026-02-24INSIDERMONTONI RICHARD A transacted 3.0k sh — Director
    2026-02-18INSIDERHALEY JOHN J transacted 32.8k sh — Director
    2026-02-10INSIDERCaswell Bruce bought 152 sh — Director, CEO & President ~$12k
    2026-02-10INSIDERCaswell Bruce bought 1.3k sh — Director, CEO & President ~$104k
    2026-02-10INSIDERCaswell Bruce bought 1.7k sh — Director, CEO & President ~$133k
    2026-02-10INSIDERHALEY JOHN J transacted 32.8k sh — Director
    2026-02-09INSIDERMutryn David bought 1.0k sh — Chief Financial Officer ~$76k
    2026-02-05FILING10-Q filing →
    2026-02-05FILING8-K filing →
    2026-01-22FILINGDEF 14A filing →
    2025-12-18FILING8-K filing →
    2025-12-03 00:00 UTCINSIDER18 insider transactions — 2025-12 · net sell $4.9M
    2025-12-03INSIDERLink Michelle F. sold 4.0k sh — Chief of Human Resources ~$351k
    2025-12-02INSIDERGOLINVAUX THERESA D transacted 1.2k sh — Principal Accounting Officer
    2025-12-02INSIDERCaswell Bruce transacted 13.4k sh — Director, CEO & President
    2025-12-02INSIDERCaswell Bruce transacted 39.0k sh — Director, CEO & President ~$3.38M
    2025-12-02INSIDERMutryn David transacted 13.4k sh — Chief Financial Officer
    2025-12-02INSIDERMutryn David transacted 6.0k sh — Chief Financial Officer ~$522k
    2025-12-02INSIDERBaylinson Ilene R. transacted 7.6k sh — General Mgr - Health & Human
    2025-12-02INSIDERBaylinson Ilene R. transacted 3.8k sh — General Mgr - Health & Human ~$331k
    2025-12-02INSIDERGOLINVAUX THERESA D transacted 542 sh — Principal Accounting Officer ~$47k
    2025-12-02INSIDERLink Michelle F. transacted 7.4k sh — Chief of Human Resources
    Showing the 40 most recent of 46 entries.
    The entity's full life in the product — typed, chronological, joined across Newspaper, Platform and Data. Our memory, made visible.
    Sources filings · IR · transcripts · market data · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 Market data · Issuer disclosures · Public news · Earnings transcripts · Consensus estimates · ESG data Premium coverage