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RAIL3.SA B3 (São Paulo) Unclassified

Rumo SA

$13,40
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BRL
Set alert
LatestRumo shares rise on record Q2 rail volume driven by soybean exports
Last 30 days
1D5D1M3M6MYTD1Y5YMax
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Mcap
24,9B BRL
P/E
24,1x
EV / Rev
3,2x
Div yield
1,79 %
Op margin
34,2 %
ROE
7,5 %
Net margin
7,3 %
Debt / equity
1,97
Beta
52w range
Volume
Day range
Prev close
Open
Next earnings
Ex-dividend
TR 1Y
About

Rumo SA operates in the Ground Transportation industry within the Industrials sector, generating revenue through logistics and transportation services.

Business. Rumo SA operates in the Ground Transportation industry within the Industrials sector, generating revenue through logistics and transportation services.

Classification20 %
SectorUnclassified
Generated · model-assisted
Sell-side consensus
BUY12 analysts
7 buy4 hold1 sell
Avg 12m price target18,86

Analyst recommendations

12 analysts · consensus Buy
Buy7
Hold4
Sell1
12-month price target
18,86
Consensus of sell-side coverage.
Upcoming events
— missing data
See all catalysts →

At a glance

Score
not yet scored
Valuation
24,1x
P/E
Analysts
Buy
12 analysts · indicative
Ownership
not yet wired
Profitability
7,5 %
return on equity
Quality
not yet scored

What drives this business

The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.

— missing data

News & coverage

1
  • MARKETSRumo shares rise on record Q2 rail volume driven by soybean exports2026-07-20
  • Sector rotation

    Sector1D1Mvs mkt
    Materials+2,3 %+6,6 %+1,7 %
    Communication Services+2,2 %−5,5 %+1,6 %
    Energy+0,6 %+3,3 %+0,0 %
    Health Care+0,6 %−0,8 %+0,0 %
    Information Technology+0,6 %+6,7 %+0,0 %
    Consumer Discretionary+0,4 %+7,6 %−0,2 %
    Financials−0,3 %−2,8 %−0,9 %
    Consumer Staples−0,4 %+2,5 %−1,0 %
    Real Estate−0,7 %+10,9 %−1,3 %
    Industrials−1,9 %−3,1 %−2,5 %
    Utilities−1,9 %+28,2 %−2,5 %

    Developing storylines

    No tracked sagas currently linked to RAIL3.SA. Browse all sagas →

    Analysis

    AI analysis
    Generated · analysis pipeline · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 ↑ At a glance

    Opportunity

    — missing data

    Upcoming catalysts

    Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.

    • Macro
    • Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
    • Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
    • Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
    • Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
    • Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
    • Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
    • Macro & political
    • ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
    • ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
    • ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR

    Pre-earnings brief

    Briefing · model-assisted

    Rumo S.A. (RAIL3.SA) has experienced no material changes in its operational or financial profile relative to prior analysis. A comprehensive review of 17 key fields confirmed the absence of significant developments, with only four schema-expansion fields excluded from this assessment. Consequently, there are no new events, shifts in strategy, or alterations in performance metrics to report for the company at this time. Market sentiment and news activity surrounding Rumo S.A. have remained entirely dormant over the past month. Data from June 26, 2026, through July 16, 2026, shows zero daily dispatches, indicating a complete lack of public commentary or news flow regarding the stock during this period. This silence suggests that the company is not currently the subject of active market speculation or significant media coverage. The broader market structure for Rumo S.A. remains static, with no changes in analyst coverage, index membership, or major holder positions. The company continues to be followed by a single analyst, while maintaining zero index memberships and no recorded top holders. Additionally, the officer count remains at zero in the current dataset, reflecting no changes in the reported executive team composition. Given the absence of material changes, watcher signals, or cross-source news activity, there are no immediate catalysts or risks to highlight for investors. The stability in Rumo S.A.'s profile implies that any future investment decisions should rely on existing fundamentals rather than recent developments, as the company has not generated new information to alter its current market standing.

    Signals & dispatch

    peak dispatch · 2026-07-20

    Composite-score breakdown

    Synthesis

    Business

    Rumo SA operates in the Ground Transportation industry within the Industrials sector, generating revenue through logistics and transportation services.

    Classification20 %
    SectorUnclassified
    AI synthesis
    GENERATED

    Rumo S.A. (RAIL3.SA) has experienced no material changes in its operational or financial profile relative to prior analysis. A comprehensive review of 17 key fields confirmed the absence of significant developments, with only four schema-expansion fields excluded from this assessment. Consequently, there are no new events, shifts in strategy, or alterations in performance metrics to report for the company at this time. Market sentiment and news activity surrounding Rumo S.A. have remained entirely dormant over the past month. Data from June 26, 2026, through July 16, 2026, shows zero daily dispatches, indicating a complete lack of public commentary or news flow regarding the stock during this period. This silence suggests that the company is not currently the subject of active market speculation or significant media coverage. The broader market structure for Rumo S.A. remains static, with no changes in analyst coverage, index membership, or major holder positions. The company continues to be followed by a single analyst, while maintaining zero index memberships and no recorded top holders. Additionally, the officer count remains at zero in the current dataset, reflecting no changes in the reported executive team composition. Given the absence of material changes, watcher signals, or cross-source news activity, there are no immediate catalysts or risks to highlight for investors. The stability in Rumo S.A.'s profile implies that any future investment decisions should rely on existing fundamentals rather than recent developments, as the company has not generated new information to alter its current market standing.

    Key takeaways
    • High leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.97 and negative net cash position poses medium liquidity risk.
    • Strong operating cash flow of BRL 7.14 billion is offset by heavy capital expenditures, resulting in negative free cash flow.
    • Modest profitability with ROE of 7.51% and ROA of 1.93% reflects the capital-intensive nature of the business.
    • Analyst sentiment is cautiously positive with a mean price target of BRL 18.86, implying upside from the current price of BRL 13.50.
    • Lack of historical data and segment details limits the ability to assess growth trends and revenue concentration risks.

    Bull / Bear case

    Generated · model-assisted
    BULL CASE · 4

    Analysts project 40.8% upside to a mean price target of BRL 18.86, reflecting strong market confidence.

    Revenue grew at a 16.8% CAGR over four years, demonstrating consistent top-line expansion capabilities.

    Net income surged 188.3% year-over-year to BRL 847 million, highlighting significant recent earnings recovery.

    Cash conversion ratio of 6.87 ranks as best-in-class compared to the cohort median of 1.2.

    BEAR CASE · 3

    Free cash flow deteriorated to negative BRL 4.5 billion in FY2026, signaling severe cash generation challenges.

    Debt-to-equity ratio of 1.97 places the company in the bottom quartile, indicating excessive leverage risk.

    High credit risk flags suggest potential difficulties in meeting financial obligations or securing favorable financing terms.

    In focus — financials by report

    Quarterly
    Annual
    QUARTERLYFiled 2026-05-07
    Q1 2026 · Quarter highlights

    Revenue BRL 3.28B, +10,6% YoY; Operating income +33,8% YoY.

    RevenueBRL 3.28B+10,6 % YoY
    Operating incomeBRL 1.06B+33,8 % YoY
    Net incomeBRL 93.3M+193,4 % YoY
    Free cash flow-BRL 1.16B+11,1 % YoY
    EPS
    Operating cash flowBRL 1.27B+4,0 % YoY
    Financials
    Income statement
    RevenueBRL 3.28B
    Gross profitBRL 1.45B
    Operating incomeBRL 1.06B
    Net incomeBRL 93.3M
    Margins
    Gross margin44.2%
    Operating margin32.3%
    Net margin2.8%
    FCF margin-35.3%
    Balance sheet
    Total assetsBRL 53.72B
    Total liabilitiesBRL 39.82B
    Total equityBRL 13.90B
    Cash & equivalentsBRL 5.40B
    Long-term debtBRL 27.07B
    Cash flow
    Operating cash flowBRL 1.27B
    CapEx-BRL 1.77B
    Free cash flow-BRL 1.16B
    SBC
    P&L flow · revenue → net income
    Revenue BRL 3.28BOperating costs BRL 2.22BTax BRL 967.3MNet income BRL 93.3M
    Highlights
    • Revenue BRL 3.28B, +10,6% YoY
    • Operating income +33,8% YoY
    • Net income +193,4% YoY
    • Free cash flow +11,1% YoY
    • Net margin 2.8%

    Valuation TTM

    Market price
    $13,40
    Market cap
    $25.05B
    Enterprise value
    $45.45B
    P/E
    24.1x
    Non-GAAP P/E
    EV / Revenue
    3.2x
    EV / Op income
    9.4x
    EV / OCF
    6.4x
    P / B
    1.8x
    P / Tangible book
    1.8x
    Tangible book
    $13.84B
    Net cash
    -$20.40B
    Current ratio
    1.6
    Debt / equity
    2.0
    ROA
    1.9%
    ROE
    7.5%
    Cash conversion
    687.0%
    CapEx / revenue
    -43.0%
    SBC / revenue
    Dilution ratio
    0.0%

    Revenue by segment

    Freight Brokerage
    low · llm_fanout_v2
    Merchandise Rail Freight
    low · llm_fanout_v2

    Market share

    — missing data

    Business relationships

    — missing data

    Supply chain

    — missing data

    Peer comparison

    — missing data

    Market position

    Stress test

    — missing data

    Predictor forecast

    Next quarternear-term
    Earnings · next quarterconf 44 %
    EPS
    Consensus EPS
    1,06
    Predicted surprise
    +0,02
    Beat probability
    44 %
    Analysts
    12
    Other metrics
    Revenue
    no estimate
    Segment revenue
    no estimate
    Margin
    no estimate
    Segment margin
    no estimate
    revision ratio -0,02 · as of 2026-07-07 · Earnings Surprise V1
    Period note: consensus is not fiscal-period-aligned at source — read as consensus vs the last reported actual, not a calibrated same-quarter surprise.
    Full fiscal year~1 year ahead
    Full fiscal year · our forecast vs guidance vs consensus
    MetricOur forecastGuidanceConsensus
    EPSno estimateno estimate1,06
    Revenueno estimateno estimate14,7B BRL
    Operating incomeno estimateno estimate5,8B BRL
    Full-year consensus mean (period as reported by source) · consensus in BRL. Company-level full-year forecast and management guidance are not yet modelled at scale — shown as "no estimate", never inferred.
    Probabilistic model output — not investment advice. · generated 2026-08-04

    Options

    — missing data

    Short squeeze

    — missing data

    Earnings-call key lines

    — missing data

    Consensus distribution

    sell-side coverage
    Recommendation distribution12 analysts
    Strong buy1
    Buy6
    Hold4
    Sell0
    Strong sell1
    12-month price target$18,86 · Median $19,00
    Low $12,00High $23,00
    Operating income · consensus5,8B BRL
    EPS surprise
    +6,2 %
    reported vs consensus · beat
    Revenue surprise
    −6,1 %
    reported vs consensus · miss

    Estimate revisions

    consensus EPS · 26-week trend
    — missing data

    Sell-side observations

    Low$12,00
    Mean$18,86
    Median$19,00
    High$23,00
    Spot$13,40
    +40.8 %implied to mean12-month sell-side price targets · ▲ spot

    Themes

    — missing data

    ESG

    — missing data

    Risk factors

    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskMedium
    Filing-based flags
    • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.

    Benchmarks vs cohort

    Op Margin34,2 %Best in class
    Net Margin7,3 %Above median
    ROE7,5 %Below median
    Capex / Rev-43,0 %Bottom quartile
    D/E1,97Bottom quartile
    Cash Conv6,87Best in class

    Corporate actions / M&A

    — missing data

    FX exposure

    — missing data

    Comparable transactions

    — missing data

    Derivatives & instruments

    — missing data

    Physical assets

    2 tracked
    AssetTypeCommodityCountryRole
    Vetria Laís MineIron ore mineIron OreBrazilParent
    Vetria Monjolinho MineIron ore mineIron OreBrazilParent
    Tracked physical assets associated with this issuer (operated, managed, or owned).

    Actions

    Ask Handelsavisen

    — missing data
    Data sources
    • Market data
    • Market data cache
    • Issuer disclosures
    • Public news
    • Earnings transcripts
    • Consensus estimates
    • ESG data
    • Reference data
    How metrics are computed
    • Price To Earnings
      market_price / (net_income / shares_outstanding_diluted)
    • Net Cash
      cash_and_equivalents + short_term_investments - short_term_debt - long_term_debt
    • Enterprise Value
      market_cap - net_cash
    • Return On Assets
      net_income / total_assets
    • Market Price
      input from market-data provider (delayed close or quote-shim mid)
    • Market Cap
      market_price * shares_outstanding_diluted
    Source documents
    • Rumo SA Market data — financials · 2026-07-07
    • Rumo SA Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-07-07
    • Rumo SA Market data — ESG · 2026-07-07

    Ownership & reference

    Insider activity

    — missing data

    Short positioning

    — missing data

    Geographic breakdown

    — missing data
    Listings · one canonical issuer all listings resolve to the canonical
    RAIL3.SACanonical
    B3 (São Paulo) · BRL

    Intel & risk

    PredictorBeat prob44 %Surprise+0,02Full forecast →
    peak dispatch · 2026-07-20
    OSINT findings
    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskMedium
    Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.

    Evidence & claims

    From filings & derived data
    — missing data

    The Thread

    Everything we know, in order
    2026-06-30 03:38 UTCEARNINGSUpcomingForecast: earnings_forecast (90d)
    2026-06-20 12:34 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-05-07 19:38 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q1 2026 Revenue BRL 3.28B · Net BRL 93.3M
    2026-03-03 19:00 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q4 2025 Revenue BRL 3.35B · Net BRL 208.7M
    2026-03-03 19:00 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2026 Revenue BRL 13.85B · Net BRL 847.1M
    2025-11-14 16:13 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q3 2025 Revenue BRL 3.82B · Net BRL 409.4M
    2025-08-07 18:52 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q2 2025 Revenue BRL 3.71B · Net BRL 328.8M
    2025-05-08 18:39 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q1 2025 Revenue BRL 2.97B · Net BRL -99.9M
    2025-02-20 16:59 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q4 2024 Revenue BRL 3.46B · Net BRL -264.7M
    2025-02-20 16:59 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2025 Revenue BRL 13.94B · Net BRL -959.2M
    2024-11-08 05:20 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q3 2024 Revenue BRL 3.75B · Net BRL 680.8M
    2024-08-14 17:13 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q2 2024 Revenue BRL 3.57B · Net BRL -1.74B
    2024-03-27 21:27 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2024 Revenue BRL 10.94B · Net BRL 719.7M
    2023-02-15 18:33 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2023 Revenue BRL 9.84B · Net BRL 514.9M
    2022-02-17 20:52 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2022 Revenue BRL 7.44B · Net BRL 150.5M
    The entity's full life in the product — typed, chronological, joined across Newspaper, Platform and Data. Our memory, made visible.
    Sources filings · IR · transcripts · market data · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 Market data · Issuer disclosures · Public news · Earnings transcripts · Consensus estimates · ESG data · Reference data Premium coverage