Southwest Airlines Co
Southwest Airlines Co operates as an airline carrier, generating revenue through passenger travel services and leveraging a point-to-point network model with recent international partnerships to expand global connectivity.
Business. Southwest Airlines Co (LUV) is classified within the Software industry, specifically engaging in Application Software activities under the Software & IT Services sector. The company operates on a subscription revenue model and is listed on the NYSE. Specific details regarding operating segments and geographic mix are not provided.
Analyst recommendations
26 analysts · consensus HoldAt a glance
What drives this business
The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.
News & coverage
1Sector rotation
Developing storylines
Analysis
AI analysisOpportunity
Upcoming catalysts
Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.
- Company
- EarningsQ3 2026 earnings (expected)2026-10-28 · estimated
- Peers
- EarningsQ2 2026 earnings (expected)2026-08-28 · estimated · Salesforce (CRM)
- EarningsQ3 2026 earnings (expected)2026-10-28 · estimated · ServiceNow (NOW)
- Macro
- Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
- Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
- Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
- Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
- Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
- Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
- Macro & political
- ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
- ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
- ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
Pre-earnings brief
Southwest Airlines Co (LUV) has recorded its first analysis in this system, establishing a baseline for future delta computations with no prior material changes to report. The company currently maintains membership in one index and is tracked by 35 top holders, though no specific officer or analyst counts are available in the current dataset. Recent data reveals significant volatility in institutional holdings as of March 31, 2026. Investor ID 931 exhibited major position swings, initially reducing their stake from 323,292 shares (valued at $12.08 million) to 81,104 shares (valued at $3.05 million), before reversing course to increase holdings back to 323,292 shares. These modifications were detected in early July 2026, highlighting active portfolio adjustments by this specific entity. Simultaneously, Investor ID 587 demonstrated contrasting activity during the same period. This investor initially increased their position from 4,845 shares (valued at $0.18 million) to 77,391 shares (valued at $2.91 million). However, subsequent data indicates a reversal, with the holding returning to 4,845 shares. These major severity changes suggest dynamic rebalancing among key stakeholders during the quarter ending March 31, 2026. These holder modifications underscore the fluid nature of institutional interest in Southwest Airlines, even in the absence of broader material corporate events. With no cross-source signals or sagas reported, the primary focus remains on these specific shareholder adjustments, which may influence short-term trading dynamics despite the lack of reported changes in executive leadership or analyst coverage.
Signals & dispatch
Composite-score breakdown
Synthesis
Southwest Airlines Co (LUV) is classified within the Software industry, specifically engaging in Application Software activities under the Software & IT Services sector. The company operates on a subscription revenue model and is listed on the NYSE. Specific details regarding operating segments and geographic mix are not provided.
Southwest Airlines maintains a capital structure characterized by a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.66 and a current ratio of 0.48, indicating that current liabilities exceed current assets. The company holds $3.33 billion in cash and equivalents against $4.54 billion in long-term debt, resulting in a negative net cash position. Liquidity risk is assessed as high, driven by the imbalance between short-term obligations and liquid assets. The market capitalization stands at $23.97 billion, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 54.36 and an EV/EBITDA of 58.83, reflecting a premium valuation relative to earnings power.
Profitability metrics show a return on equity of 6.41% and a return on assets of 1.5%, which are modest returns for the capital-intensive nature of the business. Operating income for Q1 2026 was $330 million on revenues of $7.25 billion, yielding an operating margin of approximately 4.55%. Net income was $227 million. These returns are evaluated against the backdrop of a high-liquidity risk environment, where the company must manage significant fixed costs and debt servicing obligations. The valuation multiples suggest that the market is pricing in future growth or recovery potential, despite current modest profitability.
Revenue concentration is not explicitly detailed by segment or geography in the provided data, but the company notes that demand for air travel is historically stronger during summer months and peak travel periods, including holidays. This seasonality implies a cyclical revenue pattern. The company has launched global airline partnerships in 2025 to expand its network and connect customers with more global destinations, aiming to generate additional demand. This strategic shift from a purely domestic point-to-point model to one incorporating international connectivity represents a key growth vector.
Growth trajectory analysis is limited by the absence of historical period data in the input. However, the Q1 2026 revenue of $7.25 billion provides a baseline for current performance. The company’s strategy to blend hub-and-spoke connectivity with point-to-point nonstops aims to capture nonstop demand while providing reliable one-stop itinerary options. This operational flexibility is intended to drive revenue growth by expanding the addressable market through international partnerships.
Risk factors include high liquidity risk, medium dilution risk, and key flags indicating that current liabilities exceed current assets. The company faces potential dilution from securities or other contracts that could be exercised or converted into common stock. The negative net cash position after subtracting total debt adds to the financial leverage risk. Additionally, the company operates in a cyclical industry where demand fluctuations can significantly impact revenues and profitability.
Recent events include an 8-K filing with material items related to Item 2.02, indicating a results of operations or financial condition update. Analyst estimates show a mean price target of $51.87, with a median of $50.00, suggesting modest upside from the current market price of $47.66. The mean recommendation is 2.69, indicating a neutral to slightly positive sentiment among analysts. The company also noted changes in accounting standards for internal-use software, which may impact future financial reporting but is not expected to have a material impact on operations.
Southwest Airlines Co (LUV) has recorded its first analysis in this system, establishing a baseline for future delta computations with no prior material changes to report. The company currently maintains membership in one index and is tracked by 35 top holders, though no specific officer or analyst counts are available in the current dataset. Recent data reveals significant volatility in institutional holdings as of March 31, 2026. Investor ID 931 exhibited major position swings, initially reducing their stake from 323,292 shares (valued at $12.08 million) to 81,104 shares (valued at $3.05 million), before reversing course to increase holdings back to 323,292 shares. These modifications were detected in early July 2026, highlighting active portfolio adjustments by this specific entity. Simultaneously, Investor ID 587 demonstrated contrasting activity during the same period. This investor initially increased their position from 4,845 shares (valued at $0.18 million) to 77,391 shares (valued at $2.91 million). However, subsequent data indicates a reversal, with the holding returning to 4,845 shares. These major severity changes suggest dynamic rebalancing among key stakeholders during the quarter ending March 31, 2026. These holder modifications underscore the fluid nature of institutional interest in Southwest Airlines, even in the absence of broader material corporate events. With no cross-source signals or sagas reported, the primary focus remains on these specific shareholder adjustments, which may influence short-term trading dynamics despite the lack of reported changes in executive leadership or analyst coverage.
- High liquidity risk due to current liabilities exceeding current assets and a current ratio of 0.48.
- Modest profitability with ROE of 6.41% and ROA of 1.5%, supported by an operating margin of 4.55%.
- Strategic expansion into international partnerships aims to drive revenue growth and diversify demand.
- Valuation multiples (P/E 54.36, EV/EBITDA 58.83) suggest premium pricing relative to current earnings.
- Medium dilution risk from potential exercise of securities or conversion contracts.
- Analyst sentiment is neutral to slightly positive with a mean price target of $51.87.
Bull / Bear case
Generated · model-assistedSouthwest Airlines reduced long-term debt from $7.98 billion in FY2023 to $4.58 billion in FY2025, strengthening its balance sheet.
Operating income grew significantly from $224 million in FY2023 to $428 million in FY2025, demonstrating improved operational efficiency.
The company's return on equity of 6.41% exceeds the software cohort median of 3.43%, indicating superior capital efficiency.
Revenue demonstrated a positive compound annual growth rate of 2.6% from FY2023 to FY2025, signaling consistent top-line expansion.
Southwest Airlines ranks in the best-in-class quartile for cash conversion within its peer cohort, highlighting strong liquidity management.
The company faces high liquidity risk, as indicated by a current ratio of only 0.52, suggesting potential short-term solvency issues.
Net margins of 1.57% and operating margins of 1.53% fall below the software cohort medians of 2.83% and 2.76% respectively.
The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.66 places Southwest Airlines in the bottom quartile of its cohort, indicating higher financial leverage.
The company carries medium dilution risk and medium credit risk, which could negatively impact shareholder value and borrowing costs.
In focus — financials by report
Revenue $7.25B; Operating income $330.0M.
- ▍Revenue $7.25B
- ▍Operating income $330.0M
- ▍Net margin 3.1%
Revenue $20.62B; Operating income $37.0M.
- ▍Revenue $20.62B
- ▍Operating income $37.0M
- ▍Net margin 0.6%
Revenue $13.67B; Operating income $2.0M.
- ▍Revenue $13.67B
- ▍Operating income $2.0M
- ▍Net margin 0.5%
Revenue $28.06B; Operating income $428.0M.
- ▍Revenue $28.06B
- ▍Operating income $428.0M
- ▍Net margin 1.6%
Revenue $27.48B; Operating income $321.0M.
- ▍Revenue $27.48B
- ▍Operating income $321.0M
- ▍Net margin 1.7%
Revenue $27.48B; Operating income $321.0M.
- ▍Revenue $27.48B
- ▍Operating income $321.0M
- ▍Net margin 1.7%
Revenue $26.09B; Operating income $224.0M.
- ▍Revenue $26.09B
- ▍Operating income $224.0M
- ▍Net margin 1.8%
Revenue $26.09B; Operating income $224.0M.
- ▍Revenue $26.09B
- ▍Operating income $224.0M
- ▍Net margin 1.8%
Valuation FY
Revenue by segment
Business relationships
Supply chain
Peer comparison
Market position
Stress test
Predictor forecast
| Metric | Our forecast | Guidance | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | —no estimate | —no estimate | 2,72 |
| Revenue | —no estimate | —no estimate | 32,7B USD |
| Operating income | —no estimate | —no estimate | 1,6B USD |
Options
Short squeeze
Earnings-call key lines
Consensus distribution
sell-side coverageEstimate revisions
consensus EPS · 26-week trendSell-side observations
Themes
ESG
Risk factors
- Current liabilities exceed current assets.
- Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
- Source documents mention dilution or offering risk.
Benchmarks vs cohort
Corporate actions / M&A
FX exposure
Comparable transactions
Derivatives & instruments
Actions
Ask Handelsavisen
- Market data
- Regulatory filings
- Issuer disclosures
- Public news
- Earnings transcripts
- Consensus estimates
- ESG data
- Reference data
- Return On Equitynet_income / total_equity
- Enterprise Valuemarket_cap - net_cash
- Ev To Revenueenterprise_value / revenue
- Net Cashcash_and_equivalents + short_term_investments - short_term_debt - long_term_debt
- Market Priceinput from market-data provider (delayed close or quote-shim mid)
- Debt To Equity(short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
- SOUTHWEST AIRLINES CO company facts · 2026-07-26
- SOUTHWEST AIRLINES CO 10-Q 2026-04-23 · 2026-07-26
- SOUTHWEST AIRLINES CO 10-K 2026-02-05 · 2026-07-26
- SOUTHWEST AIRLINES CO 10-Q 2025-10-23 · 2026-07-26
- SOUTHWEST AIRLINES CO 10-Q 2025-07-24 · 2026-07-26
- 8-K (sec_8k_material) on LUV · 2026-07-26
- Southwest Airlines Co Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-07-26
- Southwest Airlines Co Market data — ESG · 2026-07-26
- SOUTHWEST AIRLINES CO HA canonical relationships · 2026-07-26
- Southwest Airlines Co — company reference export (2026-07-05) · 2026-07-26
Ownership & reference
Top holders
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,41 %$1 668M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,10 %$183M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,09 %$375M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,06 %$1M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,04 %$216M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,04 %$79M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,04 %$1 114M
- Funds · as of 2026-03-310,04 %$245M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,04 %$110M
- Investment Managers · as of 2025-12-310,04 %$2 504M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,03 %$487M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,03 %$147M
- Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,02 %$75M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,02 %$128M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,02 %$367M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,02 %$143M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,02 %$24M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,02 %$132M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,02 %$96M
- Investment Managers · as of 2024-12-310,01 %$53M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$215M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2022-09-300,01 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$21M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$23M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$28M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$21M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$12M
- Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$23M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$7M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$3M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$3M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
Insider activity
- Director · Common StockOther 4 108 · 2026-05-07
- Director · Common StockOther 4 108 · 2026-05-07
- Director · Common StockOther 4 108 · 2026-05-07
- Director · Common StockOther 4 108 · 2026-05-07
- Director · Common StockOther 4 108 · 2026-05-07
- Director · Common StockOther 4 108 · 2026-05-07
- Director · Common StockOther 4 108 · 2026-05-07
- Director · Common StockOther 4 108 · 2026-05-07
- Director · Common StockOther 4 108 · 2026-05-07
- Director · Common StockSold 118 @ $37,95$4K · 2026-04-07
- EVP Customer & Brand · Common StockOther 2 179 @ $39,41$86K · 2026-03-21
- EVP, Chief Financial Officer · Common StockOther 11 447 @ $39,41$451K · 2026-03-21
- EVP & CIO · Common StockOther 18 950 · 2026-03-16
- EVP, Chief Financial Officer · Common StockOther 28 199 · 2026-03-16
- EVP Customer & Brand · Common StockOther 22 058 · 2026-03-16
- Chief Operating Officer · Common StockOther 35 092 · 2026-03-16
- Principal Accounting Officer · Common StockOther 7 294 · 2026-03-16
- Director, CEO & President · Common StockOther 92 867 · 2026-03-16
- EVP Operations · Common StockOther 23 863 · 2026-03-16
- Chief Operating Officer · Common StockOther 17 942 @ $52,09$935K · 2026-02-21
- EVP Customer & Brand · Common StockOther 3 658 @ $52,09$191K · 2026-02-21
- Principal Accounting Officer · Common StockOther 2 755 @ $52,09$144K · 2026-02-21
- Director, CEO & President · Common StockOther 38 742 @ $52,09$2,0M · 2026-02-21
- EVP Operations · Common StockOther 8 507 @ $52,09$443K · 2026-02-21
- EVP & CIO · Common StockOther 4 585 @ $52,09$239K · 2026-02-21
Short positioning
Geographic breakdown
Intel & risk
no material change vs prior analysis (walked 17 fields; 4 schema-expansion field(s) excluded)
- Narrative— → —medium
- Business summary— → —medium
- Conclusion— → —medium
- Key takeaways— → —medium
- Company share pct— → —medium
Evidence & claims
From filings & derived data- EPS (basic) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 5.1%Derived (calculated)
- Net margin (FY 2025-12-31): 1.6%Derived (calculated)
- Return on equity (FY 2025-12-31): 5.5%Derived (calculated)
- Return on assets (FY 2025-12-31): 1.5%Derived (calculated)
- Current ratio (FY 2025-12-31): 0.52xDerived (calculated)
- Cash & equivalents (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -57.0%Derived (calculated)
- EPS (diluted) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 3.9%Derived (calculated)
- Net income (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -5.2%Derived (calculated)
- Operating cash flow (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 298.7%Derived (calculated)
- Operating income (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 33.3%Derived (calculated)
- Revenue (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 2.1%Derived (calculated)
- Shareholders' equity (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -22.9%Derived (calculated)
- Total assets (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -13.9%Derived (calculated)
- Long-term debt (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -26.4%Derived (calculated)
- EPS (diluted) (annual): USD-PER-SHARES 1SEC XBRL filing
- Pre-tax income (annual): USD 563MSEC XBRL filing
- Revenue (annual): USD 28.06BSEC XBRL filing
- Net income (annual): USD 441MSEC XBRL filing
- Current assets (annual): USD 5.64BSEC XBRL filing
- Cash & equivalents (annual): USD 3.23BSEC XBRL filing
- Current liabilities (annual): USD 10.92BSEC XBRL filing
- Shareholders' equity (annual): USD 7.98BSEC XBRL filing
- EPS (basic) (annual): USD-PER-SHARES 1SEC XBRL filing
- Operating income (annual): USD 428MSEC XBRL filing