Trace Group Hold AD

Trace Group Hold AD maintains a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.41, indicating a relatively conservative capital structure. However, the company's liquidity position is rated as medium, with a current ratio of 1.22 and only BGN 44,000 in cash and equivalents, which is significantly lower than its total liabilities of BGN 310.6 million. The negative operating cash flow of BGN -68.17 million suggests ongoing cash flow challenges, which could pressure liquidity in the near term.

Profitability metrics show a return on equity of 3.13% and a return on assets of 1.02%, both below the industry median for construction and engineering firms. The company's net income of BGN 4.71 million is derived from a gross profit of BGN 17.92 million, with operating income at BGN 6.26 million. These figures suggest a relatively narrow margin structure compared to industry peers.

The company's revenue is concentrated in a single business segment, with no disclosed geographic diversification. This lack of diversification increases exposure to regional economic fluctuations and project-specific risks. The absence of segment or geographic breakdown in the financial data limits the ability to assess risk distribution.

Looking ahead, the company's revenue is projected to grow by a modest amount in the current fiscal year, though the exact percentage is not disclosed. The capital expenditure of BGN -1.49 million indicates a small investment in long-term assets, which may limit future growth potential. The company's free cash flow of BGN 4.5 million is positive but insufficient to cover its debt obligations.

The risk assessment highlights a key flag: net cash is negative after subtracting total debt. This suggests that the company's cash reserves are not sufficient to cover its debt, increasing financial risk. The dilution risk is rated as low, with no immediate pressure from share issuance or dilution events.

Recent filings and transcripts do not indicate any major strategic shifts or significant events that would alter the company's financial trajectory. The company's financial position remains stable but constrained by liquidity and profitability challenges.

Revenue surged 180% year-over-year to 455.6 million BGN, demonstrating significant top-line growth momentum.

Net income increased 87% to 11.9 million BGN, reflecting strong profitability expansion in the latest period.

Net margin of 4.2% outperforms the 3.8% median net margin of comparable industry peers.

Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.41 is below the 0.29 cohort median, indicating relatively lower leverage risk.

Cash conversion of -14.48 places the company in the bottom quartile of its peer cohort.

The company faces a high credit risk flag, signaling potential issues with debt servicing or default.

Liquidity risk is assessed as medium, suggesting potential challenges in meeting short-term obligations.

Return on assets of 1.0% indicates inefficient utilization of assets compared to broader market standards.

Revenue BGN 666.5M, +66,2% YoY; Operating income +99,8% YoY.

• ▍Revenue BGN 666.5M, +66,2% YoY
• ▍Operating income +99,8% YoY
• ▍Net income +104,0% YoY
• ▍Free cash flow +141,9% YoY
• ▍Net margin 4.9%

Revenue BGN 401.0M, +83,1% YoY; Operating income +745,6% YoY.

• ▍Revenue BGN 401.0M, +83,1% YoY
• ▍Operating income +745,6% YoY
• ▍Net income +8 320,9% YoY
• ▍Free cash flow +773,4% YoY
• ▍Net margin 4.0%

Revenue BGN 219.0M, +34,6% YoY; Operating income −73,2% YoY.

• ▍Revenue BGN 219.0M, +34,6% YoY
• ▍Operating income −73,2% YoY
• ▍Net income −103,1% YoY
• ▍Free cash flow −70,0% YoY
• ▍Net margin -0.1%