Talgo SA
Talgo SA designs, develops, and produces high-speed rail vehicles and related systems, primarily serving the European and Asian rail markets.
Business. Talgo SA (TLGO.MC) is an industrial goods company operating in the heavy machinery and vehicles industry, primarily engaged in the sale of products. The firm is headquartered in Spain and is listed on the Madrid Stock Exchange (BME). Specific details regarding its operating segments and geographic revenue mix are not available.
Analyst recommendations
5 analysts · consensus HoldAt a glance
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- Macro
- Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
- Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
- Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
- Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
- Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
- Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
- Macro & political
- ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
- ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
- ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
Pre-earnings brief
Signals & dispatch
Composite-score breakdown
Synthesis
Talgo SA (TLGO.MC) is an industrial goods company operating in the heavy machinery and vehicles industry, primarily engaged in the sale of products. The firm is headquartered in Spain and is listed on the Madrid Stock Exchange (BME). Specific details regarding its operating segments and geographic revenue mix are not available.
Talgo's capital structure is highly leveraged, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.78, indicating significant reliance on debt financing. The company's liquidity position is medium risk, with negative free cash flow of -108.9 million EUR and operating cash flow of -95.8 million EUR, suggesting ongoing cash flow challenges.
Profitability metrics are weak, with a return on equity of -43.97% and a return on assets of -6.49%, both well below industry norms for machinery and industrial goods firms. The company reported a net loss of 98.2 million EUR and an operating loss of 39.3 million EUR, reflecting poor operational performance.
Talgo's revenue is concentrated in a few key markets, with disclosed exposure to Europe and Asia, though specific segment breakdowns are not available in the latest financials. The company's geographic and product diversification remains limited, increasing exposure to regional economic shifts.
Growth prospects are constrained, with no clear revenue acceleration in the current fiscal year. The company's operating income and net income remain negative, and no significant revenue growth is projected in the next fiscal year.
Risk factors include liquidity constraints and the potential for further debt accumulation. The company's net cash position is negative after subtracting total debt, and its operating cash flow is insufficient to service liabilities. Dilution risk is currently low, but the company may need to raise additional capital if cash flow does not improve.
Recent filings and transcripts indicate ongoing cost-cutting initiatives and restructuring efforts to stabilize operations. Analysts have issued a mean price target of 3.53 EUR, with a median of 3.50 EUR, and a mean recommendation of 2.60 (leaning toward hold).
- Talgo is highly leveraged, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.78 and negative free cash flow.
- The company is unprofitable, with a return on equity of -43.97% and a net loss of 98.2 million EUR.
- Revenue is concentrated in a few geographic markets, increasing exposure to regional economic shifts.
- Analysts have a neutral outlook, with a mean price target of 3.53 EUR and a mean recommendation of 2.60.
- Liquidity and cash flow constraints pose a medium risk to the company's operations.
Bull / Bear case
Generated · model-assistedIn focus — financials by report
Valuation
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Peer comparison
Market position
Stress test
Predictor forecast
| Metric | Our forecast | Guidance | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | —no estimate | —no estimate | 0,03 |
| Revenue | —no estimate | —no estimate | 700,3M EUR |
| Operating income | —no estimate | —no estimate | 39,0M EUR |
Options
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sell-side coverageEstimate revisions
consensus EPS · 26-week trendSell-side observations
Themes
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Risk factors
- Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
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- Dilution Ratio(shares_outstanding_diluted - shares_outstanding_basic) / shares_outstanding_basic
- Net Cashcash_and_equivalents + short_term_investments - short_term_debt - long_term_debt
- Capex To Revenuecapital_expenditure / revenue
- Return On Equitynet_income / total_equity
- Debt To Equity(short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
- Cash Conversion Ratiooperating_cash_flow / net_income
- Talgo SA Market data — financials · 2026-05-29
- Talgo SA Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-05-29
- Talgo SA Market data — ESG · 2026-05-29