ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc is classified under Industrials / Marine Freight & Logistics and appears profitable on the latest normalized snapshot.
Business. ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (2057.HK) is a freight and logistics services company operating within the marine freight and logistics industry. The firm provides marine transportation services and is listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Specific details regarding its operating segments, headquarters location, and geographic revenue mix are not available in the provided data.
Analyst recommendations
14 analysts · consensus BuyAt a glance
What drives this business
The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.
News & coverage
0Sector rotation
Developing storylines
Analysis
AI analysisOpportunity
Upcoming catalysts
Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.
- Company
- EarningsQ3 2026 earnings (expected)2026-10-28 · estimated
- Peers
- EarningsQ3 2026 earnings (expected)2026-10-28 · estimated · Frontline (FRO)
- Macro
- Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
- Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
- Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
- Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
- Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
- Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
- Macro & political
- ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
- ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
- ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
Pre-earnings brief
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (2057.HK) has entered the scope of analysis, marking the first available data point for the ticker with no prior basis for delta computation. This initial coverage establishes a baseline for monitoring the company’s financial and operational metrics, providing a starting reference for future performance tracking and comparative analysis. The shareholder structure reveals notable activity, including the addition of a new holder (Investor ID 466) who acquired 19,350,000 shares valued at approximately $18.81 million as of June 30, 2024. This position represents a weight of 0.000427% in the company, indicating a fresh institutional or significant stake entry into the ownership roster. Concurrently, there have been major modifications to the holdings of Investor ID 587 as of March 31, 2026. The data reflects significant fluctuations in this investor's position, with share counts shifting between 1,009 shares (valued at $0.025 million) and 14,761 shares (valued at $0.372 million). These changes suggest active trading or reporting adjustments by this specific holder during the period. ZTO Express maintains a presence in one index and has 18 top holders, though current data shows zero officers and zero analysts covering the stock. The combination of new holder additions and significant position modifications by existing investors highlights evolving interest in the company, setting the stage for deeper scrutiny of its market dynamics and shareholder composition.
Signals & dispatch
Composite-score breakdown
Synthesis
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (2057.HK) is a freight and logistics services company operating within the marine freight and logistics industry. The firm provides marine transportation services and is listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Specific details regarding its operating segments, headquarters location, and geographic revenue mix are not available in the provided data.
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (2057.HK) is currently classified as Marine Transportation within Marine Freight & Logistics (Industrials). Classification confidence: 0.66 (rule-based classification). Capital structure on the latest snapshot: total assets 91,023,997,000 CNY, total equity 66,384,329,000, short-term debt 0, long-term debt 11,076,533,000. Net cash position is approximately -1,065,000,000 CNY. Self-calculated market cap is 142,739,588,482 CNY (market_price × shares_outstanding_diluted). Profitability profile: revenue 49,098,667,000, gross profit 12,271,441,000, operating income 10,427,464,000, net income 9,080,651,000. Return on equity ~13.7%. Return on assets ~10.0%. Operating-cash-flow to net-income ratio is 1.32. Risk profile from automated assessment: liquidity risk medium, dilution risk low. Flags: Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.. Comparable peers identified within the same class: Frontline, Okeanis Eco Tankers, Stolt-Nielsen, FRO.N, OET.
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (2057.HK) has entered the scope of analysis, marking the first available data point for the ticker with no prior basis for delta computation. This initial coverage establishes a baseline for monitoring the company’s financial and operational metrics, providing a starting reference for future performance tracking and comparative analysis. The shareholder structure reveals notable activity, including the addition of a new holder (Investor ID 466) who acquired 19,350,000 shares valued at approximately $18.81 million as of June 30, 2024. This position represents a weight of 0.000427% in the company, indicating a fresh institutional or significant stake entry into the ownership roster. Concurrently, there have been major modifications to the holdings of Investor ID 587 as of March 31, 2026. The data reflects significant fluctuations in this investor's position, with share counts shifting between 1,009 shares (valued at $0.025 million) and 14,761 shares (valued at $0.372 million). These changes suggest active trading or reporting adjustments by this specific holder during the period. ZTO Express maintains a presence in one index and has 18 top holders, though current data shows zero officers and zero analysts covering the stock. The combination of new holder additions and significant position modifications by existing investors highlights evolving interest in the company, setting the stage for deeper scrutiny of its market dynamics and shareholder composition.
- Observed GAAP P/E is about 15.72x.
- Return on equity is about 13.7%.
- Debt to equity is about 0.17x.
- Likely peers from the same classification include Frontline, Okeanis Eco Tankers, Stolt-Nielsen.
Bull / Bear case
Generated · model-assistedRevenue grew 12.7% CAGR from 2022 to 2026, demonstrating strong top-line expansion in the logistics sector.
Net income CAGR of 17.6% outpaces revenue growth, indicating improving profitability efficiency over the four-year period.
Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.17 is well below the 0.32 cohort median, suggesting a conservative capital structure.
Operating income declined 3.8% year-over-year in 2026, signaling potential margin compression or cost pressures.
Net income growth slowed to just 3.0% year-over-year in 2026, indicating diminishing returns on revenue expansion.
Cash conversion ratio of 1.32 trails the 1.71 cohort median, suggesting weaker cash generation relative to peers.
Long-term debt increased to CNY 16.8 billion in 2025, up from CNY 3.6 billion in 2022.
The company faces a medium level of liquidity risk according to internal risk flag assessments.
In focus — financials by report
Revenue ¥14.51B, +12,3% YoY; Operating income +0,6% YoY.
- ▍Revenue ¥14.51B, +12,3% YoY
- ▍Operating income +0,6% YoY
- ▍Net income +10,2% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow +11,0% YoY
- ▍Net margin 18.1%
Revenue ¥11.86B, +11,1% YoY; Operating income −14,1% YoY.
- ▍Revenue ¥11.86B, +11,1% YoY
- ▍Operating income −14,1% YoY
- ▍Net income +5,3% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow +9,6% YoY
- ▍Net margin 21.3%
Revenue ¥11.83B, +10,3% YoY; Operating income −21,2% YoY.
- ▍Revenue ¥11.83B, +10,3% YoY
- ▍Operating income −21,2% YoY
- ▍Net income −25,8% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow −18,4% YoY
- ▍Net margin 16.4%
Revenue ¥10.89B; Operating income ¥2.41B.
- ▍Revenue ¥10.89B
- ▍Operating income ¥2.41B
- ▍Net margin 18.3%
Revenue ¥12.92B; Operating income ¥3.17B.
- ▍Revenue ¥12.92B
- ▍Operating income ¥3.17B
- ▍Net margin 18.4%
Revenue ¥10.68B; Operating income ¥2.84B.
- ▍Revenue ¥10.68B
- ▍Operating income ¥2.84B
- ▍Net margin 22.4%
Revenue ¥10.73B; Operating income ¥3.03B.
- ▍Revenue ¥10.73B
- ▍Operating income ¥3.03B
- ▍Net margin 24.4%
Revenue ¥49.10B, +10,9% YoY; Operating income −3,8% YoY.
- ▍Revenue ¥49.10B, +10,9% YoY
- ▍Operating income −3,8% YoY
- ▍Net income +3,0% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow +679,7% YoY
- ▍Net margin 18.5%
Revenue ¥44.28B, +15,3% YoY; Operating income +8,2% YoY.
- ▍Revenue ¥44.28B, +15,3% YoY
- ▍Operating income +8,2% YoY
- ▍Net income +0,8% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow −88,0% YoY
- ▍Net margin 19.9%
Revenue ¥38.42B, +8,6% YoY; Operating income +28,7% YoY.
- ▍Revenue ¥38.42B, +8,6% YoY
- ▍Operating income +28,7% YoY
- ▍Net income +28,5% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow +390,5% YoY
- ▍Net margin 22.8%
Revenue ¥35.38B, +16,4% YoY; Operating income +41,3% YoY.
- ▍Revenue ¥35.38B, +16,4% YoY
- ▍Operating income +41,3% YoY
- ▍Net income +43,2% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow +115,8% YoY
- ▍Net margin 19.2%
Revenue ¥30.41B; Operating income ¥5.51B.
- ▍Revenue ¥30.41B
- ▍Operating income ¥5.51B
- ▍Net margin 15.6%
Valuation TTM
Revenue by segment
Business relationships
Supply chain
Peer comparison
Market position
Stress test
Predictor forecast
| Metric | Our forecast | Guidance | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | —no estimate | —no estimate | 13,29 |
| Revenue | —no estimate | —no estimate | 56,6B CNY |
| Operating income | —no estimate | —no estimate | 12,5B CNY |
Options
Short squeeze
Earnings-call key lines
Consensus distribution
sell-side coverageEstimate revisions
consensus EPS · 26-week trendSell-side observations
Themes
ESG
Risk factors
- Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Benchmarks vs cohort
Corporate actions / M&A
FX exposure
Comparable transactions
Derivatives & instruments
Actions
Ask Handelsavisen
- Market data
- Market data cache
- Issuer disclosures
- Public news
- Earnings transcripts
- Consensus estimates
- ESG data
- Reference data
- Price To Earningsmarket_price / (net_income / shares_outstanding_diluted)
- Return On Equitynet_income / total_equity
- Capex To Revenuecapital_expenditure / revenue
- Market Capmarket_price * shares_outstanding_diluted
- Enterprise Valuemarket_cap - net_cash
- Return On Assetsnet_income / total_assets
- ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc Market data — financials · 2026-07-13
- ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-07-13
- ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc Market data — ESG · 2026-07-13
- ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc HA canonical relationships · 2026-07-13
- ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc — company reference export (2026-07-05) · 2026-07-13
Ownership & reference
Top holders
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,03 %$91M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,02 %$139M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$23M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$23M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$42M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$93M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$17M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$25M
- Funds · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$3M
- Investment Managers · as of 2024-06-300,00 %$19M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$2M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
- Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
Insider activity
Short positioning
Geographic breakdown
Intel & risk
Evidence & claims
From filings & derived data- Total assets (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 2.9%Derived (calculated)
- Gross profit (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -6.6%Derived (calculated)
- EPS (diluted) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 8.8%Derived (calculated)
- EPS (basic) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 8.7%Derived (calculated)
- Return on equity (FY 2025-12-31): 13.7%Derived (calculated)
- Return on assets (FY 2025-12-31): 10.0%Derived (calculated)
- Current ratio (FY 2025-12-31): 1.49xDerived (calculated)
- Debt-to-equity (FY 2025-12-31): 0.36xDerived (calculated)
- Total liabilities (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -16.0%Derived (calculated)
- Cost of revenue (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 25.8%Derived (calculated)
- Capex (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 4.5%Derived (calculated)
- Cash & equivalents (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -22.4%Derived (calculated)
- Shareholders' equity (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 11.6%Derived (calculated)
- Operating income (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -7.2%Derived (calculated)
- Operating cash flow (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 9.3%Derived (calculated)
- Net income (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 7.5%Derived (calculated)
- Capex (annual): USD 745.63MSEC XBRL filing
- Cash & equivalents (annual): USD 1.43BSEC XBRL filing
- Operating income (annual): USD 1.5BSEC XBRL filing
- Total assets (annual): USD 13.02BSEC XBRL filing
- Total liabilities (annual): USD 3.42BSEC XBRL filing
- Cost of revenue (annual): USD 5.27BSEC XBRL filing
- EPS (diluted) (annual): USD-PER-SHARES 2SEC XBRL filing
- Current liabilities (annual): USD 3.27BSEC XBRL filing