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3994.T Tokyo Stock Exchange Software

Money Forward Inc

¥4 064,00
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Mcap
225,5B JPY
P/E
51,9x
EV / Rev
4,6x
Div yield
0,00 %
Op margin
-8,2 %
ROE
-4,6 %
Net margin
-12,4 %
Debt / equity
1,11
Beta
52w range
Volume
Day range
Prev close
Open
Next earnings
Ex-dividend
TR 1Y
About

Money Forward Inc provides software solutions, primarily in the financial and accounting domain, serving businesses through digital platforms that streamline financial management processes.

Business. Money Forward Inc (3994.T) is a software company operating within the Technology sector, specifically focused on Software & IT Services. The firm generates revenue through a subscription-based model, aligning with industry standards for SaaS businesses. Headquarters and specific operating segment details are not provided in the available data. The company is primarily listed under the ticker 3994.T.

Classification92 %
SectorTechnology
Business sectorSoftware & IT Services
IndustrySoftware
Generated · model-assisted
Sell-side consensus
HOLD9 analysts
2 buy7 hold0 sell
Avg 12m price target4 555,56

Analyst recommendations

9 analysts · consensus Hold
Buy2
Hold7
Sell0
12-month price target
4 555,56
Consensus of sell-side coverage.
Upcoming events
— missing data
See all catalysts →

At a glance

Score
15
composite score
Valuation
51,9x
P/E
Analysts
Hold
9 analysts · indicative
Ownership
not yet wired
Profitability
-4,6 %
return on equity
Quality
61
quality score (0-100)

What drives this business

The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.

— missing data

News & coverage

0
  • No recent newsroom coverage mentioning 3994.
  • Sector rotation

    Sector1D1Mvs mkt
    Materials+2,2 %+1,6 %+2,4 %
    Energy+1,2 %+5,3 %+1,4 %
    Real Estate+0,7 %+4,1 %+0,8 %
    Health Care+0,7 %−0,5 %+0,8 %
    Consumer Discretionary+0,3 %+8,7 %+0,5 %
    Information Technology · THIS SECTOR−0,3 %+6,6 %−0,1 %
    Financials−0,3 %−4,5 %−0,1 %
    Consumer Staples−1,0 %+3,0 %−0,8 %
    Utilities−1,5 %−21,2 %−1,3 %
    Industrials−1,7 %−2,3 %−1,6 %
    Communication Services

    Developing storylines

    No tracked sagas currently linked to 3994.T. Browse all sagas →

    Analysis

    AI analysis
    Generated · analysis pipeline · tier hybrid · as of 2026-07-07 ↑ At a glance

    Opportunity

    — missing data

    Upcoming catalysts

    Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.

    • Peers
    • EarningsQ2 2026 earnings (expected)2026-07-28 · estimated · ServiceNow (NOW)
    • EarningsQ2 2026 earnings (expected)2026-08-28 · estimated · Salesforce (CRM)
    • Macro
    • Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-08 · AU
    • Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-15 · CA
    • Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-16 · EU
    • Rate decisionBank of Japan rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-16 · JP
    • Rate decisionFederal Reserve rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-29 · US
    • Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
    • Macro & political
    • ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
    • ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
    • ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR

    Pre-earnings brief

    — missing data

    Signals & dispatch

    peak dispatch · —

    Composite-score breakdown

    Composite score15 / 100
    Composite score 0-100 · Data quality 0,61
    Data quality0,61 / 1.00

    Synthesis

    Business

    Money Forward Inc (3994.T) is a software company operating within the Technology sector, specifically focused on Software & IT Services. The firm generates revenue through a subscription-based model, aligning with industry standards for SaaS businesses. Headquarters and specific operating segment details are not provided in the available data. The company is primarily listed under the ticker 3994.T.

    Classification92 %
    SectorTechnology
    Business sectorSoftware & IT Services
    IndustrySoftware
    AI synthesis
    GENERATED

    Money Forward Inc has a market capitalization of ¥240.34 billion and a price-to-book ratio of 8.62, indicating a premium valuation relative to its book value. The company's liquidity position is characterized by ¥28.05 billion in cash and equivalents, but this is offset by ¥31.05 billion in long-term debt, resulting in a net cash position that is negative. The current ratio of 1.63 suggests the company has sufficient short-term assets to cover its short-term liabilities, but the debt-to-equity ratio of 1.11 indicates a moderate level of leverage.

    Profitability metrics show a challenging financial position for Money Forward Inc. The company reported a net loss of ¥1.28 billion and an operating loss of ¥845 million in the latest period. Return on equity (ROE) is negative at -4.58%, and return on assets (ROA) is also negative at -1.5%, both significantly below the industry median for software companies. These figures suggest the company is not generating returns that meet the cost of capital or industry benchmarks.

    The company's revenue is concentrated in a single business segment, with no disclosed geographic diversification in the provided data. This lack of segment or geographic diversification increases the company's exposure to market-specific risks and could limit its ability to grow through new markets or product lines.

    Looking ahead, Money Forward Inc is expected to face continued financial pressure. The company's operating cash flow is negative at ¥6.68 billion, and capital expenditures are also negative at ¥2.85 billion, indicating ongoing investment in growth despite current losses. Analysts have a mixed outlook, with a mean price target of ¥4,555.56 and a median of ¥4,300.00, suggesting a cautious but not bearish view. However, the company's current financial performance and liquidity position may constrain its ability to meet these targets.

    Risk factors for Money Forward Inc include its negative net cash position and the potential for further dilution if the company needs to raise additional capital. The company's liquidity risk is rated as medium, and while dilution risk is currently low, the need for capital could increase this risk in the near term. The company has not disclosed any recent events or filings that would indicate a significant change in its risk profile.

    Recent investor relations data shows that analysts have a range of price targets from ¥3,500 to ¥6,000, with a mean recommendation of 2.67, indicating a slight bias toward a hold or buy rating. The company has not issued any recent earnings transcripts or press releases that would provide additional insight into its strategic direction or operational performance.

    Key takeaways
    • Money Forward Inc is trading at a high price-to-book ratio of 8.62, suggesting a premium valuation despite current losses.
    • The company's financial performance is weak, with a net loss of ¥1.28 billion and negative returns on equity and assets.
    • The company's liquidity position is mixed, with significant cash reserves but also a large amount of long-term debt.
    • Analysts have a cautious outlook, with a mean price target of ¥4,555.56 and a median of ¥4,300.00.
    • The company's risk profile includes medium liquidity risk and potential dilution if it needs to raise additional capital.
    • The company's lack of geographic and segment diversification increases its exposure to market-specific risks.

    Bull / Bear case

    Generated · model-assisted
    BULL CASE · 3

    Operating income surged 189.5% year-over-year to 4.5 billion JPY in fiscal 2026.

    Analysts project 12.1% upside to a mean price target of 4,555.56 JPY.

    Cash conversion of 5.22 ranks best-in-class compared to the software cohort median.

    BEAR CASE · 3

    Long-term debt increased to 33.8 billion JPY in fiscal 2026, indicating high leverage.

    The company faces high credit risk according to internal risk flag assessments.

    Return on equity of -4.58% significantly underperforms the software cohort median.

    In focus — financials by report

    Quarterly
    Annual
    QUARTERLYFiled 2026-04-14
    Q1 2026 · Quarter highlights

    Revenue ¥14.67B, +25,3% YoY; Operating income +141,8% YoY.

    Revenue¥14.67B+25,3 % YoY
    Operating income¥224.2M+141,8 % YoY
    Net income¥1.83B+263,4 % YoY
    Free cash flow
    EPS
    Operating cash flow
    Financials
    Income statement
    Revenue¥14.67B
    Gross profit¥10.65B
    Operating income¥224.2M
    Net income¥1.83B
    Margins
    Gross margin72.6%
    Operating margin1.5%
    Net margin12.5%
    FCF margin
    Balance sheet
    Total assets¥160.26B
    Total liabilities¥115.32B
    Total equity¥44.94B
    Cash & equivalents¥69.32B
    Long-term debt¥41.27B
    P&L flow · revenue → net income
    Revenue ¥14.67BOperating costs ¥14.45BNet income ¥1.83B
    Highlights
    • Revenue ¥14.67B, +25,3% YoY
    • Operating income +141,8% YoY
    • Net income +263,4% YoY
    • Net margin 12.5%

    Valuation TTM

    Market price
    ¥4 064,00
    Market cap
    ¥240.34B
    Enterprise value
    ¥243.35B
    P/E
    51.9x
    Non-GAAP P/E
    EV / Revenue
    4.6x
    EV / Op income
    46.3x
    EV / OCF
    P / B
    8.6x
    P / Tangible book
    8.6x
    Tangible book
    ¥27.90B
    Net cash
    -¥3.01B
    Current ratio
    1.6
    Debt / equity
    1.1
    ROA
    -1.5%
    ROE
    -4.6%
    Cash conversion
    522.0%
    CapEx / revenue
    -27.6%
    SBC / revenue
    Dilution ratio
    0.0%

    Revenue by segment

    Financial Data Analytics Software
    low · llm_fanout_v2
    Payment Processing & Solutions
    low · llm_fanout_v2

    Market share

    — missing data

    Business relationships

    — missing data

    Supply chain

    — missing data

    Peer comparison

    — missing data

    Market position

    Stress test

    — missing data

    Predictor forecast

    Next quarternear-term
    Earnings · next quarterconf 45 %
    EPS
    Consensus EPS
    -10,18
    Predicted surprise
    +0,00
    Beat probability
    45 %
    Analysts
    9
    Other metrics
    Revenue
    no estimate
    Segment revenue
    no estimate
    Margin
    no estimate
    Segment margin
    no estimate
    as of 2026-05-24 · Earnings Surprise V1
    Period note: consensus is not fiscal-period-aligned at source — read as consensus vs the last reported actual, not a calibrated same-quarter surprise.
    Full fiscal year~1 year ahead
    Full fiscal year · our forecast vs guidance vs consensus
    MetricOur forecastGuidanceConsensus
    EPSno estimateno estimate-10,18
    Revenueno estimateno estimate57,8B JPY
    Operating incomeno estimateno estimateno estimate
    Full-year consensus mean (period as reported by source) · consensus in JPY. Company-level full-year forecast and management guidance are not yet modelled at scale — shown as "no estimate", never inferred.
    Probabilistic model output — not investment advice. · generated 2026-07-07

    Options

    — missing data

    Short squeeze

    — missing data

    Earnings-call key lines

    — missing data

    Consensus distribution

    sell-side coverage
    Recommendation distribution9 analysts
    Strong buy1
    Buy1
    Hold7
    Sell0
    Strong sell0
    12-month price target¥4 555,56 · Median ¥4 300,00
    Low ¥3 500,00High ¥6 000,00
    EPS surprise
    +382,7 %
    reported vs consensus · beat
    Revenue surprise
    −12,9 %
    reported vs consensus · miss

    Estimate revisions

    consensus EPS · 26-week trend
    — missing data

    Sell-side observations

    Low¥3 500,00
    Mean¥4 555,56
    Median¥4 300,00
    High¥6 000,00
    Spot¥4 064,00
    +12.1 %implied to mean12-month sell-side price targets · ▲ spot

    Themes

    — missing data

    ESG

    — missing data

    Risk factors

    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskMedium
    Filing-based flags
    • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.

    Benchmarks vs cohort

    Op Margin-8,2 %Below median
    Net Margin-12,4 %Below median
    ROE-4,6 %Below median
    Capex / Rev-27,6 %Bottom quartile
    D/E1,11Bottom quartile
    Cash Conv5,22Best in class

    Corporate actions / M&A

    — missing data

    FX exposure

    — missing data

    Comparable transactions

    — missing data

    Derivatives & instruments

    — missing data

    Actions

    Ask Handelsavisen

    — missing data
    Data sources
    • Market data
    • Market data cache
    • Issuer disclosures
    • Public news
    • Earnings transcripts
    • Consensus estimates
    • ESG data
    How metrics are computed
    • Return On Equity
      net_income / total_equity
    • Price To Book
      market_price / (adjusted_book_value / shares_outstanding_diluted)
    • Dilution Ratio
      (shares_outstanding_diluted - shares_outstanding_basic) / shares_outstanding_basic
    • Market Price
      input from market-data provider (delayed close or quote-shim mid)
    • Market Cap
      market_price * shares_outstanding_diluted
    • Ev To Revenue
      enterprise_value / revenue
    Source documents
    • Money Forward Inc Market data — financials · 2026-05-26
    • Money Forward Inc Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-05-26
    • Money Forward Inc Market data — ESG · 2026-05-26

    Ownership & reference

    Insider activity

    — missing data

    Short positioning

    — missing data

    Geographic breakdown

    — missing data
    Listings · one canonical issuer all listings resolve to the canonical
    3994.TCanonical
    Tokyo Stock Exchange · JPY

    Intel & risk

    PredictorBeat prob45 %Surprise+0,00Full forecast →
    peak dispatch · —
    OSINT findings
    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskMedium
    Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
    Relationship graph
    3994MSFTCRMNOWSoftware
    This companyPeerSector

    Evidence & claims

    From filings & derived data
    — missing data

    The Thread

    Everything we know, in order
    2026-06-30 03:38 UTCEARNINGSUpcomingForecast: earnings_forecast (90d)
    2026-04-14 12:14 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q1 2026 Revenue JPY 14.67B · Net JPY 1.83B
    2026-01-14 12:00 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q4 2025 Revenue JPY 15.04B · Net JPY 5.07B
    2026-01-14 12:00 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2026 Revenue JPY 50.35B · Net JPY 1.68B
    2025-10-15 12:00 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q3 2025 Revenue JPY 12.07B · Net JPY -1.19B
    2025-07-15 12:00 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q2 2025 Revenue JPY 11.53B · Net JPY -1.08B
    2025-04-14 12:00 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q1 2025 Revenue JPY 11.71B · Net JPY -1.12B
    2025-01-14 12:00 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q4 2024 Revenue JPY 10.69B · Net JPY -2.62B
    2025-01-14 12:00 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2025 Revenue JPY 40.36B · Net JPY -6.33B
    2024-10-15 11:30 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q3 2024 Revenue JPY 9.81B · Net JPY -1.11B
    2024-07-12 11:30 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q2 2024 Revenue JPY 10.32B · Net JPY -1.28B
    2024-01-12 11:30 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2024 Revenue JPY 30.38B · Net JPY -6.32B
    2023-01-16 11:32 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2023 Revenue JPY 21.48B · Net JPY -9.45B
    2022-01-14 12:00 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2022 Revenue JPY 15.63B · Net JPY -1.48B
    The entity's full life in the product — typed, chronological, joined across Newspaper, Platform and Data. Our memory, made visible.
    Sources filings · IR · transcripts · market data · tier hybrid · as of 2026-07-07 Market data · Issuer disclosures · Public news · Earnings transcripts · Consensus estimates · ESG data Premium coverage