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4431.T Tokyo Stock Exchange Software

4431.T

¥2 510,00
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JPY
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1D5D1M3M6MYTD1Y5YMax
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Mcap
48,3B JPY
P/E
EV / Rev
Div yield
0,62 %
Op margin
21,1 %
ROE
21,4 %
Net margin
14,8 %
Debt / equity
0,01
Beta
52w range
Volume
Day range
Prev close
Open
Next earnings
Ex-dividend
TR 1Y
About

The company provides software solutions and related services, generating revenue primarily through the sale and licensing of its software products.

Business. 4431.T is a software company operating within the Technology sector, specifically focused on software development and services. The firm utilizes a subscription-based revenue model, aligning with industry standards for tracking metrics such as annual recurring revenue and net revenue retention. Specific details regarding operating segments, headquarters location, and primary stock exchange listings are not provided in the available data. Consequently, the company is described at the industry level without geographic or segment-specific breakdowns.

Classification92 %
SectorTechnology
Business sectorSoftware & IT Services
IndustrySoftware
Generated · model-assisted
Sell-side consensus
BUY2 analysts
2 buy0 hold0 sell
Avg 12m price target3 300,00

Analyst recommendations

2 analysts · consensus Buy
Buy2
Hold0
Sell0
12-month price target
3 300,00
Consensus of sell-side coverage.
Upcoming events
— missing data
See all catalysts →

At a glance

Score
77
composite score
Valuation
valuation pending
Analysts
Buy
2 analysts · indicative
Ownership
not yet wired
Profitability
21,4 %
return on equity
Quality
60
quality score (0-100)

What drives this business

The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.

— missing data

News & coverage

0
  • No recent newsroom coverage mentioning 4431.
  • Sector rotation

    Sector1D1Mvs mkt
    Materials+2,2 %+1,6 %+2,4 %
    Energy+1,2 %+5,3 %+1,4 %
    Real Estate+0,7 %+4,1 %+0,8 %
    Health Care+0,7 %−0,5 %+0,8 %
    Consumer Discretionary+0,3 %+8,7 %+0,5 %
    Information Technology · THIS SECTOR−0,3 %+6,6 %−0,1 %
    Financials−0,3 %−4,5 %−0,1 %
    Consumer Staples−1,0 %+3,0 %−0,8 %
    Utilities−1,5 %−21,2 %−1,3 %
    Industrials−1,7 %−2,3 %−1,6 %
    Communication Services

    Developing storylines

    No tracked sagas currently linked to 4431.T. Browse all sagas →

    Analysis

    AI analysis
    Generated · analysis pipeline · tier hybrid · as of 2026-07-07 ↑ At a glance

    Opportunity

    — missing data

    Upcoming catalysts

    Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.

    • Peers
    • EarningsQ2 2026 earnings (expected)2026-07-28 · estimated · ServiceNow (NOW)
    • EarningsQ2 2026 earnings (expected)2026-08-28 · estimated · Salesforce (CRM)
    • Macro
    • Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-08 · AU
    • Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-15 · CA
    • Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-16 · EU
    • Rate decisionBank of Japan rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-16 · JP
    • Rate decisionFederal Reserve rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-29 · US
    • Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
    • Macro & political
    • ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
    • ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
    • ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR

    Pre-earnings brief

    — missing data

    Signals & dispatch

    peak dispatch · —

    Composite-score breakdown

    Composite score77 / 100
    Composite score 0-100 · Data quality 0,60
    Data quality0,60 / 1.00

    Synthesis

    Business

    4431.T is a software company operating within the Technology sector, specifically focused on software development and services. The firm utilizes a subscription-based revenue model, aligning with industry standards for tracking metrics such as annual recurring revenue and net revenue retention. Specific details regarding operating segments, headquarters location, and primary stock exchange listings are not provided in the available data. Consequently, the company is described at the industry level without geographic or segment-specific breakdowns.

    Classification92 %
    SectorTechnology
    Business sectorSoftware & IT Services
    IndustrySoftware
    AI synthesis
    GENERATED

    The company maintains a strong liquidity position, with a current ratio of 2.79 and cash and equivalents amounting to ¥5.91 billion, which significantly exceeds its total liabilities of ¥3.00 billion. The low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01 indicates a conservative capital structure, with minimal reliance on long-term debt. The price-to-book ratio of 5.63 suggests that the market values the company at a premium relative to its book value, reflecting investor confidence in its intangible assets and future earnings potential.

    Profitability metrics show the company is performing well relative to industry norms. The return on equity (ROE) of 21.38% and return on assets (ROA) of 15.36% are strong indicators of efficient capital utilization and asset management. The operating margin, calculated as operating income of ¥2.34 billion on revenue of ¥11.07 billion, is 21.13%, which is robust and suggests effective cost control and pricing power.

    The company's revenue is concentrated in a single business segment, as disclosed in its financial statements, with no geographic breakdown provided in the available data. This lack of geographic diversification could pose a concentration risk if the company's primary market experiences economic downturns or regulatory changes.

    The company's growth trajectory appears stable, with a current revenue of ¥11.07 billion. While no specific growth rate is provided, the company's strong cash flow generation, including an operating cash flow of ¥2.47 billion and free cash flow of ¥1.33 billion, supports reinvestment and potential expansion. Analysts have set a mean price target of ¥3,300, indicating a 47.3% upside from the current market price of ¥2,240.

    The company's risk profile is low, with no immediate liquidity or dilution flags detected. The low dilution risk is supported by the absence of significant share issuance activity and the alignment of basic and diluted shares outstanding. The company's conservative capital structure and strong liquidity position further mitigate financial risk.

    Recent events, including analyst price targets and recommendations, suggest a positive outlook from the investment community. The mean recommendation of 1.50, with one strong-buy and one buy rating, indicates a favorable sentiment toward the company's future performance. However, the absence of detailed segment or geographic data limits the ability to assess specific operational risks or growth opportunities.

    Key takeaways
    • The company has a strong liquidity position with a current ratio of 2.79 and significant cash reserves.
    • Profitability metrics, including ROE of 21.38% and ROA of 15.36%, indicate efficient capital and asset utilization.
    • The company's revenue is concentrated in a single segment, which may increase exposure to market-specific risks.
    • Analysts have a positive outlook, with a mean price target of ¥3,300, suggesting a 47.3% upside from the current market price.
    • The company's low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01 and strong cash flow generation support a conservative capital structure.

    Bull / Bear case

    Generated · model-assisted
    — missing data

    In focus — financials by report

    Valuation

    Market price
    ¥2 510,00
    Market cap
    ¥43.15B
    Enterprise value
    ¥37.33B
    P/E
    Non-GAAP P/E
    EV / Revenue
    EV / Op income
    EV / OCF
    15.1x
    P / B
    5.6x
    P / Tangible book
    5.6x
    Tangible book
    ¥7.67B
    Net cash
    ¥5.81B
    Current ratio
    2.8
    Debt / equity
    0.0
    ROA
    15.4%
    ROE
    21.4%
    Cash conversion
    150.0%
    CapEx / revenue
    -6.1%
    SBC / revenue
    Dilution ratio
    0.0%

    Revenue by segment

    Market share

    — missing data

    Business relationships

    — missing data

    Supply chain

    — missing data

    Peer comparison

    — missing data

    Market position

    Stress test

    — missing data

    Predictor forecast

    Next quarternear-term
    Earnings · next quarterconf 45 %
    EPS
    Consensus EPS
    106,73
    Predicted surprise
    +0,00
    Beat probability
    45 %
    Analysts
    2
    Other metrics
    Revenue
    no estimate
    Segment revenue
    no estimate
    Margin
    no estimate
    Segment margin
    no estimate
    as of 2026-05-04 · Earnings Surprise V1
    Period note: consensus is not fiscal-period-aligned at source — read as consensus vs the last reported actual, not a calibrated same-quarter surprise.
    Full fiscal year~1 year ahead
    Full fiscal year · our forecast vs guidance vs consensus
    MetricOur forecastGuidanceConsensus
    EPSno estimateno estimate106,73
    Revenueno estimateno estimate13,8B JPY
    Operating incomeno estimateno estimateno estimate
    Full-year consensus mean (period as reported by source) · consensus in JPY. Company-level full-year forecast and management guidance are not yet modelled at scale — shown as "no estimate", never inferred.
    Probabilistic model output — not investment advice. · generated 2026-07-07

    Options

    — missing data

    Short squeeze

    — missing data

    Earnings-call key lines

    — missing data

    Consensus distribution

    sell-side coverage
    Recommendation distribution2 analysts
    Strong buy1
    Buy1
    Hold0
    Sell0
    Strong sell0
    12-month price target¥3 300,00 · Median ¥3 300,00
    Low ¥3 000,00High ¥3 600,00
    EPS surprise
    −20,2 %
    reported vs consensus · miss
    Revenue surprise
    −19,7 %
    reported vs consensus · miss

    Estimate revisions

    consensus EPS · 26-week trend
    — missing data

    Sell-side observations

    Low¥3 000,00
    Mean¥3 300,00
    Median¥3 300,00
    High¥3 600,00
    Spot¥2 510,00
    +31.5 %implied to mean12-month sell-side price targets · ▲ spot

    Themes

    — missing data

    ESG

    — missing data

    Risk factors

    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskLow
    Filing-based flags
    • No immediate filing-based liquidity or dilution flags were detected.

    Benchmarks vs cohort

    Op Margin21,1 %Above P75
    Net Margin14,8 %Above P75
    ROE21,4 %Above P75
    Capex / Rev-6,1 %Below median
    D/E0,01Above median
    Cash Conv1,50Above median

    Corporate actions / M&A

    — missing data

    FX exposure

    — missing data

    Comparable transactions

    — missing data

    Derivatives & instruments

    — missing data

    Actions

    Ask Handelsavisen

    — missing data
    Data sources
    • Market data
    • Market data cache
    • Issuer disclosures
    • Public news
    • Earnings transcripts
    • Consensus estimates
    • ESG data
    How metrics are computed
    • Ev To Operating Cash Flow
      enterprise_value / operating_cash_flow
    • Return On Equity
      net_income / total_equity
    • Price To Earnings
      market_price / (net_income / shares_outstanding_diluted)
    • Price To Book
      market_price / (adjusted_book_value / shares_outstanding_diluted)
    • Dilution Ratio
      (shares_outstanding_diluted - shares_outstanding_basic) / shares_outstanding_basic
    • Market Price
      input from market-data provider (delayed close or quote-shim mid)
    Source documents
    • 4431.T Market data — financials · 2026-05-26
    • Smaregi Inc Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-05-26

    Ownership & reference

    Insider activity

    — missing data

    Short positioning

    — missing data

    Geographic breakdown

    — missing data
    Listings · one canonical issuer all listings resolve to the canonical
    4431.TCanonical
    Tokyo Stock Exchange · JPY

    Intel & risk

    PredictorBeat prob45 %Surprise+0,00Full forecast →
    peak dispatch · —
    OSINT findings
    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskLow
    No immediate filing-based liquidity or dilution flags were detected.
    Relationship graph
    4431MSFTCRMNOWSoftware
    This companyPeerSector

    Evidence & claims

    From filings & derived data
    — missing data

    The Thread

    Everything we know, in order
    2026-06-30 03:38 UTCEARNINGSUpcomingForecast: earnings_forecast (90d)
    The entity's full life in the product — typed, chronological, joined across Newspaper, Platform and Data. Our memory, made visible.
    Sources filings · IR · transcripts · market data · tier hybrid · as of 2026-07-07 Market data · Issuer disclosures · Public news · Earnings transcripts · Consensus estimates · ESG data Premium coverage