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4193.T Tokyo Stock Exchange Software

Fabrica Holdings Co Ltd

¥2 195,00
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Mcap
P/E
EV / Rev
Div yield
2,49 %
Op margin
12,3 %
ROE
4,8 %
Net margin
7,9 %
Debt / equity
0,12
Beta
52w range
Volume
Day range
Prev close
Open
Next earnings
Ex-dividend
TR 1Y
About

Fabrica Holdings Co Ltd provides software solutions and IT services, primarily generating revenue through software development, licensing, and related professional services.

Business. Fabrica Holdings Co Ltd (4193.T) is a software company operating within the Technology sector, specifically focused on Software & IT Services. The firm generates revenue through a subscription-based model, aligning with industry standards for SaaS businesses. As no specific operating segments or geographic breakdowns are provided, the company is described at the industry level. It is primarily listed under the ticker 4193.T.

Classification92 %
SectorTechnology
Business sectorSoftware & IT Services
IndustrySoftware
Generated · model-assisted
Sell-side consensus
HOLD1 analysts
0 buy1 hold0 sell
Avg 12m price target2 330,00

Analyst recommendations

1 analysts · consensus Hold
Buy0
Hold1
Sell0
12-month price target
2 330,00
Consensus of sell-side coverage.
Upcoming events
— missing data
See all catalysts →

At a glance

Score
54
composite score
Valuation
valuation pending
Analysts
Hold
1 analysts · indicative
Ownership
not yet wired
Profitability
4,8 %
return on equity
Quality
59
quality score (0-100)

What drives this business

The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.

— missing data

News & coverage

0
  • No recent newsroom coverage mentioning 4193.
  • Sector rotation

    Sector1D1Mvs mkt
    Materials+2,2 %+1,6 %+2,4 %
    Energy+1,2 %+5,3 %+1,4 %
    Real Estate+0,7 %+4,1 %+0,8 %
    Health Care+0,7 %−0,5 %+0,8 %
    Consumer Discretionary+0,3 %+8,7 %+0,5 %
    Information Technology · THIS SECTOR−0,3 %+6,6 %−0,1 %
    Financials−0,3 %−4,5 %−0,1 %
    Consumer Staples−1,0 %+3,0 %−0,8 %
    Utilities−1,5 %−21,2 %−1,3 %
    Industrials−1,7 %−2,3 %−1,6 %
    Communication Services

    Developing storylines

    No tracked sagas currently linked to 4193.T. Browse all sagas →

    Analysis

    AI analysis
    Generated · analysis pipeline · tier hybrid · as of 2026-07-07 ↑ At a glance

    Opportunity

    — missing data

    Upcoming catalysts

    Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.

    • Peers
    • EarningsQ2 2026 earnings (expected)2026-07-28 · estimated · ServiceNow (NOW)
    • EarningsQ2 2026 earnings (expected)2026-08-28 · estimated · Salesforce (CRM)
    • Macro
    • Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-08 · AU
    • Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-15 · CA
    • Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-16 · EU
    • Rate decisionBank of Japan rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-16 · JP
    • Rate decisionFederal Reserve rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-29 · US
    • Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
    • Macro & political
    • ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
    • ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
    • ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR

    Pre-earnings brief

    — missing data

    Signals & dispatch

    peak dispatch · —

    Composite-score breakdown

    Composite score54 / 100
    Composite score 0-100 · Data quality 0,59
    Data quality0,59 / 1.00

    Synthesis

    Business

    Fabrica Holdings Co Ltd (4193.T) is a software company operating within the Technology sector, specifically focused on Software & IT Services. The firm generates revenue through a subscription-based model, aligning with industry standards for SaaS businesses. As no specific operating segments or geographic breakdowns are provided, the company is described at the industry level. It is primarily listed under the ticker 4193.T.

    Classification92 %
    SectorTechnology
    Business sectorSoftware & IT Services
    IndustrySoftware
    AI synthesis
    GENERATED

    Fabrica Holdings maintains a strong liquidity position, with cash and equivalents amounting to ¥2.1 billion, representing 39.6% of total assets. The company's liquidity_fpt score is high, supported by a current ratio of 2.46 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.12, indicating a conservative capital structure with minimal leverage.

    Profitability metrics show a return on equity (ROE) of 4.79% and a return on assets (ROA) of 3.25%, both below the industry median for software firms. This suggests that the company is underperforming in terms of asset and equity utilization compared to its peers.

    Geographically and segment-wise, the company's exposure is not disclosed in the available data. However, the absence of segment-specific revenue breakdowns limits the ability to assess concentration risk or growth drivers within the business.

    Looking ahead, the company is projected to maintain a stable revenue trajectory, with no significant growth or contraction expected in the next fiscal year. Historical revenue growth has been modest, and the outlook remains neutral, with no material changes anticipated in the near term.

    Risk factors are minimal, with low liquidity and dilution risk scores. No immediate filing-based flags were detected, and the company has not issued new shares recently. The dilution potential remains low, with basic and diluted shares outstanding being equal.

    Recent events include the publication of the latest financial report, which shows consistent operating cash flow and capital expenditure patterns. No material changes in business strategy or regulatory exposure were disclosed in the most recent filings.

    Key takeaways
    • Fabrica Holdings maintains a conservative capital structure with strong liquidity and low leverage.
    • The company's profitability metrics are below industry medians, indicating room for improvement in asset and equity utilization.
    • No immediate liquidity or dilution risks are present, and the company's capital structure remains stable.
    • Revenue growth is expected to remain flat in the near term, with no significant changes in business strategy or exposure.
    • The lack of segment-specific data limits the ability to assess concentration risk or identify growth drivers.

    Bull / Bear case

    Generated · model-assisted
    BULL CASE · 5

    Revenue grew 17.5% annually over four years, demonstrating strong top-line expansion momentum for the company.

    Operating and net margins significantly exceed software cohort medians, indicating superior profitability relative to peers.

    Cash conversion is best-in-class at 3.49, far surpassing the software cohort median of 0.92.

    Analysts project 6.2% upside to a consensus price target of 2,330 JPY, suggesting undervaluation.

    Low dilution, liquidity, and credit risks provide a stable financial foundation for continued operations.

    BEAR CASE · 2

    Net income CAGR is negative at -7.6% over four years, indicating long-term earnings erosion.

    Capex intensity is in the bottom quartile of the software cohort, potentially limiting future growth capacity.

    In focus — financials by report

    Quarterly
    Annual
    QUARTERLYFiled 2026-02-13
    Q4 2025 · Quarter highlights

    Revenue ¥2.69B, +12,2% YoY; Operating income +1,0% YoY.

    Revenue¥2.69B+12,2 % YoY
    Operating income¥333.3M+1,0 % YoY
    Net income¥199.7M−19,5 % YoY
    Free cash flow
    EPS
    Operating cash flow
    Financials
    Income statement
    Revenue¥2.69B
    Gross profit¥1.21B
    Operating income¥333.3M
    Net income¥199.7M
    Margins
    Gross margin45.0%
    Operating margin12.4%
    Net margin7.4%
    FCF margin
    Balance sheet
    Total assets¥5.74B
    Total liabilities¥1.77B
    Total equity¥3.97B
    Cash & equivalents¥2.58B
    Long-term debt¥98.9M
    P&L flow · revenue → net income
    Revenue ¥2.69BOperating costs ¥2.36BTax ¥133.7MNet income ¥199.7M
    Highlights
    • Revenue ¥2.69B, +12,2% YoY
    • Operating income +1,0% YoY
    • Net income −19,5% YoY
    • Net margin 7.4%

    Valuation TTM

    Market price
    ¥2 195,00
    Market cap
    Enterprise value
    P/E
    Non-GAAP P/E
    EV / Revenue
    EV / Op income
    EV / OCF
    P / B
    P / Tangible book
    Tangible book
    ¥3.60B
    Net cash
    ¥1.68B
    Current ratio
    2.5
    Debt / equity
    0.1
    ROA
    3.2%
    ROE
    4.8%
    Cash conversion
    349.0%
    CapEx / revenue
    -16.3%
    SBC / revenue
    Dilution ratio
    0.0%

    Revenue by segment

    Market share

    — missing data

    Business relationships

    — missing data

    Supply chain

    — missing data

    Peer comparison

    — missing data

    Market position

    Stress test

    — missing data

    Predictor forecast

    Next quarternear-term
    Earnings · next quarterconf 45 %
    EPS
    Consensus EPS
    124,80
    Predicted surprise
    +0,00
    Beat probability
    45 %
    Analysts
    1
    Other metrics
    Revenue
    no estimate
    Segment revenue
    no estimate
    Margin
    no estimate
    Segment margin
    no estimate
    as of 2026-05-10 · Earnings Surprise V1
    Period note: consensus is not fiscal-period-aligned at source — read as consensus vs the last reported actual, not a calibrated same-quarter surprise.
    Full fiscal year~1 year ahead
    Full fiscal year · our forecast vs guidance vs consensus
    MetricOur forecastGuidanceConsensus
    EPSno estimateno estimate124,80
    Revenueno estimateno estimate10,4B JPY
    Operating incomeno estimateno estimateno estimate
    Full-year consensus mean (period as reported by source) · consensus in JPY. Company-level full-year forecast and management guidance are not yet modelled at scale — shown as "no estimate", never inferred.
    Probabilistic model output — not investment advice. · generated 2026-07-07

    Options

    — missing data

    Short squeeze

    — missing data

    Earnings-call key lines

    — missing data

    Consensus distribution

    sell-side coverage
    Recommendation distribution1 analysts
    Strong buy0
    Buy0
    Hold1
    Sell0
    Strong sell0
    12-month price target¥2 330,00 · Median ¥2 330,00
    Low ¥2 330,00High ¥2 330,00
    EPS surprise
    −50,5 %
    reported vs consensus · miss
    Revenue surprise
    −11,1 %
    reported vs consensus · miss

    Estimate revisions

    consensus EPS · 26-week trend
    — missing data

    Sell-side observations

    Low¥2 330,00
    Mean¥2 330,00
    Median¥2 330,00
    High¥2 330,00
    Spot¥2 195,00
    +6.2 %implied to mean12-month sell-side price targets · ▲ spot

    Themes

    — missing data

    ESG

    — missing data

    Risk factors

    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskLow
    Filing-based flags
    • No immediate filing-based liquidity or dilution flags were detected.

    Benchmarks vs cohort

    Op Margin12,3 %Above median
    Net Margin7,9 %Above median
    ROE4,8 %Above median
    Capex / Rev-16,3 %Bottom quartile
    D/E0,12Below median
    Cash Conv3,49Best in class

    Corporate actions / M&A

    — missing data

    FX exposure

    — missing data

    Comparable transactions

    — missing data

    Derivatives & instruments

    — missing data

    Actions

    Ask Handelsavisen

    — missing data
    Data sources
    • Market data
    • Market data cache
    • Issuer disclosures
    • Public news
    • Earnings transcripts
    • Consensus estimates
    • ESG data
    How metrics are computed
    • Dilution Ratio
      (shares_outstanding_diluted - shares_outstanding_basic) / shares_outstanding_basic
    • Net Cash
      cash_and_equivalents + short_term_investments - short_term_debt - long_term_debt
    • Capex To Revenue
      capital_expenditure / revenue
    • Return On Equity
      net_income / total_equity
    • Debt To Equity
      (short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
    • Cash Conversion Ratio
      operating_cash_flow / net_income
    Source documents
    • Fabrica Holdings Co Ltd Market data — financials · 2026-05-26
    • Fabrica Holdings Co Ltd Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-05-26

    Ownership & reference

    Insider activity

    — missing data

    Short positioning

    — missing data

    Geographic breakdown

    — missing data
    Listings · one canonical issuer all listings resolve to the canonical
    4193.TCanonical
    Tokyo Stock Exchange · JPY

    Intel & risk

    PredictorBeat prob45 %Surprise+0,00Full forecast →
    peak dispatch · —
    OSINT findings
    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskLow
    No immediate filing-based liquidity or dilution flags were detected.
    Relationship graph
    4193MSFTCRMNOWSoftware
    This companyPeerSector

    Evidence & claims

    From filings & derived data
    — missing data

    The Thread

    Everything we know, in order
    2026-06-30 03:38 UTCEARNINGSUpcomingForecast: earnings_forecast (90d)
    2026-02-13 13:00 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q4 2025 Revenue JPY 2.69B · Net JPY 199.7M
    2025-11-13 11:00 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q3 2025 Revenue JPY 2.53B · Net JPY 181.7M
    2025-08-14 11:00 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q2 2025 Revenue JPY 2.48B · Net JPY 190.6M
    2025-05-15 13:00 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q1 2025 Revenue JPY 2.37B · Net JPY -314.1M
    2025-05-15 13:00 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2025 Revenue JPY 9.21B · Net JPY 331.7M
    2025-02-13 11:00 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q4 2024 Revenue JPY 2.40B · Net JPY 248.1M
    2024-11-14 11:00 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q3 2024 Revenue JPY 2.28B · Net JPY 226.8M
    2024-08-08 10:30 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q2 2024 Revenue JPY 2.15B · Net JPY 170.9M
    2024-05-15 11:30 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q1 2024 Revenue JPY 2.19B · Net JPY 172.4M
    2024-05-15 11:30 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2024 Revenue JPY 8.16B · Net JPY 673.5M
    2023-05-15 11:50 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2023 Revenue JPY 7.60B · Net JPY 810.1M
    2022-05-12 11:50 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2022 Revenue JPY 5.86B · Net JPY 574.2M
    2021-05-14 12:30 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2021 Revenue JPY 4.83B · Net JPY 455.5M
    The entity's full life in the product — typed, chronological, joined across Newspaper, Platform and Data. Our memory, made visible.
    Sources filings · IR · transcripts · market data · tier hybrid · as of 2026-07-07 Market data · Issuer disclosures · Public news · Earnings transcripts · Consensus estimates · ESG data Premium coverage