Pagaya Technologies Ltd
Pagaya Technologies Ltd is a financial technology company that leverages artificial intelligence and machine learning to develop and manage alternative investment strategies, primarily in the mortgage-backed securities market.
Business. Pagaya Technologies Ltd (PGY.O) is a financial technology company operating within the fintech and infrastructure sector. The firm generates revenue primarily through a fee-income model, leveraging industry metrics such as total payment volume and take rates. Specific details regarding operating segments, headquarters location, and primary stock exchange listings are not provided in the available data.
Analyst recommendations
11 analysts · consensus BuyAt a glance
What drives this business
The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.
News & coverage
0Sector rotation
Developing storylines
Analysis
AI analysisOpportunity
Upcoming catalysts
Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.
- Company
- EarningsQ2 2026 earnings (expected)2026-07-28 · estimated
- Macro
- Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-08 · AU
- Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-15 · CA
- Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-16 · EU
- Rate decisionBank of Japan rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-16 · JP
- Rate decisionFederal Reserve rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-29 · US
- Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
- Macro & political
- ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
- ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
- ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
Pre-earnings brief
Signals & dispatch
Composite-score breakdown
Synthesis
Pagaya Technologies Ltd (PGY.O) is a financial technology company operating within the fintech and infrastructure sector. The firm generates revenue primarily through a fee-income model, leveraging industry metrics such as total payment volume and take rates. Specific details regarding operating segments, headquarters location, and primary stock exchange listings are not provided in the available data.
Pagaya's capital structure is characterized by a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.62, indicating a moderate reliance on debt financing. The company maintains a current ratio of 3.0, suggesting strong short-term liquidity. Its price-to-book ratio of 2.07 and price-to-tangible-book ratio of 2.07 reflect a market valuation that is above the book value of its tangible assets. The company's return on equity of 15.95% and return on assets of 5.26% indicate a relatively strong profitability relative to its equity base, though the ROA is modest.
In terms of profitability, Pagaya's gross profit margin is 42.43% (552.19 million / 1.30 billion), and its operating margin is 10.82% (140.75 million / 1.30 billion). These figures suggest a healthy gross margin but a more moderate operating margin. The company's net income margin is 6.25% (81.39 million / 1.30 billion), which is in line with the industry's median for fintech firms.
Pagaya's revenue is concentrated in a single business segment, as disclosed in its financial statements, with no geographic breakdown provided. This lack of diversification may expose the company to higher operational and market risks. The company's revenue growth trajectory is not explicitly provided, but its operating cash flow of 238.62 million and free cash flow of 92.77 million suggest a strong cash-generating capability.
The risk assessment for Pagaya indicates a medium liquidity risk and a low dilution risk. The company's net cash position is negative after accounting for total debt, which could affect its ability to meet short-term obligations without additional financing. The dilution risk is low, and no significant dilution sources are identified in the available documents.
Recent events and filings do not provide specific details on Pagaya's strategic initiatives or major corporate actions. The company's financial statements and analyst estimates suggest a positive outlook, with a mean price target of 27.09 USD and a median price target of 30.00 USD. The mean recommendation from analysts is 1.73, indicating a generally favorable sentiment towards the stock.
- Pagaya Technologies Ltd has a strong liquidity position with a current ratio of 3.0 and a healthy operating cash flow of 238.62 million.
- The company's return on equity of 15.95% is relatively high, indicating efficient use of shareholder equity.
- Pagaya's debt-to-equity ratio of 1.62 suggests a moderate level of financial leverage.
- Analysts have a generally positive outlook on Pagaya, with a mean price target of 27.09 USD and a median price target of 30.00 USD.
- **margin_outlook_rationale**: The company's gross margin of 42.43% is strong, but the operating margin of 10.82% suggests some pressure from operating expenses.
- **rd_outlook_rationale**: No specific R&D spending is disclosed, but the company's focus on AI and machine learning implies ongoing investment in innovation.
- **capex_outlook_rationale**: The company's capital expenditure of -13.90 million indicates a reduction in capital spending, which may be a strategic move to preserve cash.
Bull / Bear case
Generated · model-assistedIn focus — financials by report
Valuation
Revenue by segment
Business relationships
Supply chain
Peer comparison
Market position
Stress test
Predictor forecast
| Metric | Our forecast | Guidance | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | —no estimate | —no estimate | 1,37 |
| Revenue | —no estimate | —no estimate | 1,5B USD |
| Operating income | —no estimate | —no estimate | 355,0M USD |
Options
Short squeeze
Earnings-call key lines
Consensus distribution
sell-side coverageEstimate revisions
consensus EPS · 26-week trendSell-side observations
Themes
ESG
Risk factors
- Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Benchmarks vs cohort
Corporate actions / M&A
FX exposure
Comparable transactions
Derivatives & instruments
Derivative transactions
- Former Officer · Restricted Stock Unit → Class A Ordinary ShareDisposed 20 625exercise · 2026-06-12
- President · Restricted Stock Unit → Class A Ordinary ShareDisposed 23 750exercise · 2026-06-12
- Director · Restricted Stock Unit → Class A Ordinary ShareDisposed 15 625exercise · 2026-06-12
- Chief Accounting Officer · Restricted Stock Unit → Class A Ordinary ShareDisposed 5 208exercise · 2026-06-02
- Chief Accounting Officer · Restricted Stock Unit → Class A Ordinary ShareAcquired 28 571grant · 2026-04-01
- Director, Deputy Chief Executive Officer · Restricted Stock Unit → Class A Ordinary ShareAcquired 185 000grant · 2026-04-01
- President · Restricted Stock Unit → Class A Ordinary ShareAcquired 200 000grant · 2026-04-01
- Director, Chief Executive Officer · Restricted Stock Unit → Class A Ordinary ShareAcquired 185 000grant · 2026-04-01
- Chief Financial Officer · Restricted Stock Unit → Class A Ordinary ShareAcquired 175 000grant · 2026-04-01
- Director, Deputy Chief Executive Officer · Restricted Stock Unit → Class A Ordinary ShareAcquired 185 000grant · 2026-04-01
- Chief Financial Officer · Restricted Stock Unit → Class A Ordinary ShareDisposed 22 766exercise · 2026-04-01
- President · Restricted Stock Unit → Class A Ordinary ShareDisposed 23 750exercise · 2026-03-12
- Chief Financial Officer · Restricted Stock Unit → Class A Ordinary ShareDisposed 20 625exercise · 2026-03-12
- Director, Chief Development Officer · Restricted Stock Unit → Class A Ordinary ShareDisposed 15 625exercise · 2026-03-12
- Chief Accounting Officer · Restricted Stock Unit → Class A Ordinary ShareDisposed 5 209exercise · 2026-03-02
- Chief Financial Officer · Restricted Stock Unit → Class A Ordinary ShareDisposed 22 766exercise · 2026-01-01
- President · Restricted Stock Unit → Class A Ordinary ShareDisposed 8 538exercise · 2026-01-01
- President · Restricted Stock Unit → Class A Ordinary ShareDisposed 23 750exercise · 2025-12-12
- Chief Financial Officer · Restricted Stock Unit → Class A Ordinary ShareDisposed 20 625exercise · 2025-12-12
Actions
Ask Handelsavisen
- Market data
- Market data cache
- Issuer disclosures
- Public news
- Earnings transcripts
- Consensus estimates
- ESG data
- Ev To Operating Cash Flowenterprise_value / operating_cash_flow
- Return On Equitynet_income / total_equity
- Price To Earningsmarket_price / (net_income / shares_outstanding_diluted)
- Price To Bookmarket_price / (adjusted_book_value / shares_outstanding_diluted)
- Dilution Ratio(shares_outstanding_diluted - shares_outstanding_basic) / shares_outstanding_basic
- Market Priceinput from market-data provider (delayed close or quote-shim mid)
- Pagaya Technologies Ltd Market data — financials · 2026-05-28
- Pagaya Technologies Ltd Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-05-28
- Pagaya Technologies Ltd Market data — ESG · 2026-05-28
Ownership & reference
Top holders
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$20M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$4M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$4M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$9M
- Investment Managers · as of 2024-12-310,00 %$6M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$16M
- Investment Managers · as of 2024-06-300,00 %$43M
- Investment Managers · as of 2025-12-310,00 %$43M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$4M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$9M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$12M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$2M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$2M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Funds · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
- Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
Insider activity
- Director, Chief Executive Officer · Class A Ordinary ShareBought 16 230 @ $15,43$250K · 2026-06-24
- Director · Class A Ordinary ShareSold 9 944 @ $15,20$151K · 2026-06-22
- President · Class A Ordinary ShareOther 23 750 · 2026-06-12
- Former Officer · Class A Ordinary ShareOther 20 625 · 2026-06-12
- Former Officer · Class A Ordinary ShareSold 11 558 @ $16,23$188K · 2026-06-12
- President · Class A Ordinary ShareSold 13 309 @ $16,23$216K · 2026-06-12
- Director · Class A Ordinary ShareOther 15 625 · 2026-06-12
- Director · Class A Ordinary ShareSold 5 681 @ $16,23$92K · 2026-06-12
- Chief Accounting Officer · Class A Ordinary ShareSold 2 140 @ $15,01$32K · 2026-06-02
- Director, Chief Executive Officer · Class A Ordinary ShareBought 16 600 @ $15,09$251K · 2026-06-02
- Chief Accounting Officer · Class A Ordinary ShareOther 5 208 · 2026-06-02
- Director · Class A Ordinary ShareSold 9 720 @ $15,14$147K · 2026-04-17
- Chief Financial Officer · Class A Ordinary ShareOther 22 766 · 2026-04-01
- Chief Financial Officer · Class A Ordinary ShareSold 13 004 @ $11,34$147K · 2026-04-01
- Director, Chief Development Officer · Class A Ordinary ShareSold 5 905 @ $10,99$65K · 2026-03-12
- President · Class A Ordinary ShareOther 23 750 · 2026-03-12
- President · Class A Ordinary ShareSold 9 702 @ $10,99$107K · 2026-03-12
- Chief Financial Officer · Class A Ordinary ShareOther 20 625 · 2026-03-12
- Chief Financial Officer · Class A Ordinary ShareSold 8 425 @ $10,99$93K · 2026-03-12
- Director, Chief Development Officer · Class A Ordinary ShareOther 15 625 · 2026-03-12
- Chief Accounting Officer · Class A Ordinary ShareOther 5 209 · 2026-03-02
- Chief Accounting Officer · Class A Ordinary ShareSold 2 490 @ $10,92$27K · 2026-03-02
- President · Class A Ordinary ShareSold 3 945 @ $22,99$91K · 2026-01-05
- Chief Financial Officer · Class A Ordinary ShareSold 9 750 @ $22,99$224K · 2026-01-05
- President · Class A Ordinary ShareOther 9 · 2026-01-01
Short positioning
Geographic breakdown
Intel & risk
Evidence & claims
From filings & derived data- Shareholders' equity (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 47.0%Derived (calculated)
- Net margin (FY 2025-12-31): 6.3%Derived (calculated)
- Return on equity (FY 2025-12-31): 17.0%Derived (calculated)
- Return on assets (FY 2025-12-31): 5.3%Derived (calculated)
- Debt-to-equity (FY 2025-12-31): 2.00xDerived (calculated)
- Capex (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -21.6%Derived (calculated)
- Cash & equivalents (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 25.2%Derived (calculated)
- Cost of revenue (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 25.4%Derived (calculated)
- EPS (basic) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 117.5%Derived (calculated)
- EPS (diluted) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 116.4%Derived (calculated)
- Net income (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 120.3%Derived (calculated)
- Operating cash flow (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 399.7%Derived (calculated)
- Operating income (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 294.7%Derived (calculated)
- R&D expense (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -1.8%Derived (calculated)
- Revenue (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 26.1%Derived (calculated)
- Total assets (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 19.7%Derived (calculated)
- Total liabilities (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 23.9%Derived (calculated)
- Cost of revenue (annual): USD 749.17MSEC XBRL filing
- Revenue (annual): USD 1.3BSEC XBRL filing
- Shareholders' equity (annual): USD 480.02MSEC XBRL filing
- R&D expense (annual): USD 75.21MSEC XBRL filing
- Cash & equivalents (annual): USD 235.33MSEC XBRL filing
- EPS (basic) (annual): USD-PER-SHARES 1SEC XBRL filing
- Capex (annual): USD 13.9MSEC XBRL filing