Sps Commerce Inc
SPS Commerce provides cloud-based supply chain software that automates business-to-business transactions and data exchange for retailers, manufacturers, and distributors, generating revenue primarily through subscription and transaction-based fees.
Business. SPS Commerce Inc. (Nasdaq: SPSC) is a technology company that develops and provides application software, primarily operating on a subscription-based revenue model. The firm is classified within the Software & IT Services sector, specifically focusing on application software solutions. As no specific operating segments or geographic breakdowns are provided, the company is described at the industry level. It is publicly listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange.
Analyst recommendations
13 analysts · consensus HoldAt a glance
What drives this business
The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.
News & coverage
0Sector rotation
Developing storylines
Analysis
AI analysisOpportunity
Upcoming catalysts
Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.
- Company
- EarningsQ2 2026 earnings (expected)2026-07-28 · estimated
- Peers
- EarningsQ2 2026 earnings (expected)2026-07-28 · estimated · ServiceNow (NOW)
- EarningsQ2 2026 earnings (expected)2026-08-28 · estimated · Salesforce (CRM)
- Macro
- Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-08 · AU
- Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-15 · CA
- Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-16 · EU
- Rate decisionBank of Japan rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-16 · JP
- Rate decisionFederal Reserve rate decision (press conf.)2026-07-29 · US
- Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
- Macro & political
- ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
- ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
- ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
Pre-earnings brief
Sps Commerce Inc (SPSC) has seen a notable influx of new institutional holders, signaling growing interest in the company’s equity. Recent data reveals multiple new positions established as of late 2024 and early 2026, including a significant stake of approximately 5.8 million shares valued at nearly $1.1 billion reported as of June 30, 2024. Additional new holders emerged by March 31, 2026, with positions ranging from roughly 219,000 to 1.5 million shares. This accumulation of new ownership suggests that investors are increasingly allocating capital to SPSC, potentially reflecting confidence in its market position or future growth trajectory. Concurrently, the company’s risk profile has been formally updated, with dilution risk now classified as "medium" and liquidity risk assessed as "low." These new risk assessments provide a clearer framework for evaluating the financial stability and capital structure of Sps Commerce. The "medium" dilution risk indicates potential future share issuance or options that could impact per-share value, while the "low" liquidity risk suggests the company maintains sufficient access to cash or credit to meet its short-term obligations. These classifications help investors gauge the balance between growth financing needs and financial resilience. In terms of business classification, Sps Commerce has been explicitly categorized under the "Application Software" activity within the broader "Technology" economic sector. This taxonomy update aligns the company with its core operational focus, providing clarity for sector-based analysis and benchmarking. By defining SPSC as an application software provider, the classification underscores its role in delivering technology solutions, which is central to its value proposition and competitive landscape. This categorization aids in comparing its performance and risks against peers in the software industry. The company continues to be followed by five analysts and has a top holder count of 31, indicating a moderate level of institutional engagement and market scrutiny. While the officer count is listed as zero in the current data, the presence of multiple analysts and a diverse set of top holders suggests ongoing professional oversight and investor interest. The combination of new institutional inflows, updated risk metrics, and clear sector classification provides a more comprehensive view of Sps Commerce’s current standing, highlighting both the opportunities and risks associated with its position in the technology sector.
Signals & dispatch
Composite-score breakdown
Synthesis
SPS Commerce Inc. (Nasdaq: SPSC) is a technology company that develops and provides application software, primarily operating on a subscription-based revenue model. The firm is classified within the Software & IT Services sector, specifically focusing on application software solutions. As no specific operating segments or geographic breakdowns are provided, the company is described at the industry level. It is publicly listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange.
SPS Commerce maintains a conservative capital structure with zero debt and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0. The company holds $154.3 million in cash and equivalents against total liabilities of $199.0 million, resulting in a current ratio of 2.12. Liquidity risk is assessed as low, supported by strong operating cash flow of $55.6 million and free cash flow of $48.5 million in Q1 2026. The balance sheet is equity-heavy, with total equity of $962.2 million representing the majority of total assets of $1.16 billion.
Profitability metrics show a gross profit of $132.9 million on revenue of $192.1 million, yielding a gross margin of approximately 69.2%. Operating income stands at $24.6 million, translating to an operating margin of 12.8%, while net income is $19.7 million, resulting in a net margin of 10.3%. Return on equity is 2.05% and return on assets is 1.7%, reflecting the large equity base relative to current earnings. The company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 100.28 and an EV-to-EBITDA of 60.02, indicating high valuation multiples relative to current earnings power.
Sps Commerce Inc (SPSC) has seen a notable influx of new institutional holders, signaling growing interest in the company’s equity. Recent data reveals multiple new positions established as of late 2024 and early 2026, including a significant stake of approximately 5.8 million shares valued at nearly $1.1 billion reported as of June 30, 2024. Additional new holders emerged by March 31, 2026, with positions ranging from roughly 219,000 to 1.5 million shares. This accumulation of new ownership suggests that investors are increasingly allocating capital to SPSC, potentially reflecting confidence in its market position or future growth trajectory. Concurrently, the company’s risk profile has been formally updated, with dilution risk now classified as "medium" and liquidity risk assessed as "low." These new risk assessments provide a clearer framework for evaluating the financial stability and capital structure of Sps Commerce. The "medium" dilution risk indicates potential future share issuance or options that could impact per-share value, while the "low" liquidity risk suggests the company maintains sufficient access to cash or credit to meet its short-term obligations. These classifications help investors gauge the balance between growth financing needs and financial resilience. In terms of business classification, Sps Commerce has been explicitly categorized under the "Application Software" activity within the broader "Technology" economic sector. This taxonomy update aligns the company with its core operational focus, providing clarity for sector-based analysis and benchmarking. By defining SPSC as an application software provider, the classification underscores its role in delivering technology solutions, which is central to its value proposition and competitive landscape. This categorization aids in comparing its performance and risks against peers in the software industry. The company continues to be followed by five analysts and has a top holder count of 31, indicating a moderate level of institutional engagement and market scrutiny. While the officer count is listed as zero in the current data, the presence of multiple analysts and a diverse set of top holders suggests ongoing professional oversight and investor interest. The combination of new institutional inflows, updated risk metrics, and clear sector classification provides a more comprehensive view of Sps Commerce’s current standing, highlighting both the opportunities and risks associated with its position in the technology sector.
- SPS Commerce operates with a debt-free balance sheet and strong liquidity, holding $154.3 million in cash against $199.0 million in liabilities.
- Valuation multiples are high, with a P/E of 100.28 and EV/EBITDA of 60.02, reflecting growth expectations rather than current earnings yield.
- The acquisition of Carbon6 expands the company’s footprint in the Amazon seller ecosystem, targeting revenue recovery tools for 1P and 3P suppliers.
- Dilution risk is rated medium, with diluted shares exceeding basic shares by approximately 0.5 million, and source documents flagging offering risks.
- Analyst consensus is neutral-to-positive, with a mean price target of $73.93 versus the current price of $52.84, but a mean recommendation of 2.67 suggests caution.
Bull / Bear case
Generated · model-assistedRevenue grew at a 9.0% CAGR from FY2023 to FY2025, demonstrating consistent top-line expansion over the two-year period.
Operating margin of 12.8% significantly exceeds the 1.8% software cohort median, indicating superior profitability relative to peers.
Cash conversion ratio of 2.82 is best-in-class compared to the 0.92 software cohort median, highlighting efficient cash generation.
Analysts project 38.5% upside to a mean price target of $73.93, suggesting significant undervaluation relative to current market price.
The company maintains a low leverage band with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.20, reducing financial risk.
Return on equity of 2.05% trails the 2.8% software cohort median, indicating less efficient use of shareholder capital.
The company faces medium dilution risk, which could negatively impact existing shareholder value and earnings per share.
In focus — financials by report
Revenue $192.1M; Operating income $24.6M.
- ▍Revenue $192.1M
- ▍Operating income $24.6M
- ▍Net margin 10.3%
Revenue $558.9M; Operating income $83.6M.
- ▍Revenue $558.9M
- ▍Operating income $83.6M
- ▍Net margin 12.1%
Revenue $368.9M; Operating income $52.4M.
- ▍Revenue $368.9M
- ▍Operating income $52.4M
- ▍Net margin 11.4%
Revenue $751.5M; Operating income $118.3M.
- ▍Revenue $751.5M
- ▍Operating income $118.3M
- ▍Net margin 12.4%
Revenue $637.8M; Operating income $88.9M.
- ▍Revenue $637.8M
- ▍Operating income $88.9M
- ▍Net margin 12.1%
Revenue $637.8M; Operating income $88.9M.
- ▍Revenue $637.8M
- ▍Operating income $88.9M
- ▍Net margin 12.1%
Revenue $536.9M; Operating income $77.2M.
- ▍Revenue $536.9M
- ▍Operating income $77.2M
- ▍Net margin 12.3%
Revenue $536.9M; Operating income $77.2M.
- ▍Revenue $536.9M
- ▍Operating income $77.2M
- ▍Net margin 12.3%
Valuation FY
Revenue by segment
Business relationships
Supply chain
Peer comparison
Market position
Stress test
Predictor forecast
| Metric | Our forecast | Guidance | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | —no estimate | —no estimate | 4,73 |
| Revenue | —no estimate | —no estimate | 795,5M USD |
| Operating income | —no estimate | —no estimate | 237,0M USD |
Options
Short squeeze
Earnings-call key lines
Consensus distribution
sell-side coverageEstimate revisions
consensus EPS · 26-week trendSell-side observations
Themes
ESG
Risk factors
- Source documents mention dilution or offering risk.
Benchmarks vs cohort
Corporate actions / M&A
FX exposure
Comparable transactions
Derivatives & instruments
Derivative transactions
- Director · Stock Option (right to buy) → Common StockDisposed 1 000 @ $51,80exercise · 2026-05-07
- Director · Stock Option (right to buy) → Common StockDisposed 1 000 @ $51,80exercise · 2026-04-07
- Director · Stock Option (right to buy) → Common StockDisposed 5 732 @ $51,80exercise · 2026-03-13
- Director · Stock Option (right to buy) → Common StockDisposed 1 000 @ $51,80exercise · 2026-03-09
- Director · Stock Option (right to buy) → Common StockDisposed 1 000 @ $51,80exercise · 2026-02-09
- Director · Stock Option (right to buy) → Common StockDisposed 1 732 @ $51,80exercise · 2026-01-07
Actions
Ask Handelsavisen
- Market data
- Regulatory filings
- Issuer disclosures
- Public news
- Earnings transcripts
- Consensus estimates
- ESG data
- Capex To Revenuecapital_expenditure / revenue
- Ev To Operating Incomeenterprise_value / operating_income
- Return On Assetsnet_income / total_assets
- Return On Equitynet_income / total_equity
- Market Capmarket_price * shares_outstanding_diluted
- Enterprise Valuemarket_cap - net_cash
- SPS COMMERCE INC company facts · 2026-06-22
- SPS COMMERCE INC 10-Q 2026-04-30 · 2026-06-22
- SPS COMMERCE INC 10-K 2026-02-19 · 2026-06-22
- SPS COMMERCE INC 10-Q 2025-10-30 · 2026-06-22
- SPS COMMERCE INC 10-Q 2025-07-30 · 2026-06-22
- SPS Commerce Inc Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-06-22
- SPS Commerce Inc Market data — ESG · 2026-06-22
Ownership & reference
Top holders
- Institutional Investor · as of 2022-09-300,08 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2024-06-300,02 %$1 096M
- Investment Managers · as of 2024-12-310,02 %$55M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$20M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$17M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$15M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$60M
- Investment Managers · as of 2025-12-310,01 %$439M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$28M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$28M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$56M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$25M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$53M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$16M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$6M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$83M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$7M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$3M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Funds · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$9M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$5M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$5M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$4M
- Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$4M
- Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
Insider activity
- Director · Common StockOther 3 736 · 2026-05-28
- Director · Common StockOther 3 736 · 2026-05-28
- Director · Common StockOther 3 736 · 2026-05-28
- Director · Common StockOther 3 736 · 2026-05-28
- Director · Common StockOther 3 736 · 2026-05-28
- Director · Common StockOther 3 736 · 2026-05-28
- Director · Common StockOther 3 736 · 2026-05-28
- Director · Common StockOther 3 736 · 2026-05-28
- EVP, Chief Technology Officer · Common StockOther 39 433 · 2026-05-08
- Director · Common StockOther 1 000 @ $51,80$52K · 2026-05-07
- EXECUTIVE VP AND CFO · Common StockOther 108 467 · 2026-05-07
- EXECUTIVE VP AND CFO · Common StockOther 33 240 · 2026-05-07
- Director · Common StockSold 1 000 @ $57,03$57K · 2026-05-07
- Director · Common StockSold 1 000 @ $57,90$58K · 2026-04-07
- Director · Common StockOther 1 000 @ $51,80$52K · 2026-04-07
- Director · Common StockOther 5 732 @ $51,80$297K · 2026-03-13
- Director · Common StockSold 1 000 @ $62,73$63K · 2026-03-09
- Director · Common StockOther 1 000 @ $51,80$52K · 2026-03-09
- EVP, Chief Technology Officer · Common StockSold 1 900 @ $54,80$104K · 2026-02-24
- EVP, Chief Technology Officer · Common StockSold 518 @ $55,47$29K · 2026-02-24
- EVP & CFO · Common StockSold 1 400 @ $59,70$84K · 2026-02-20
- EVP, Chief Commercial Officer · Common StockOther 29 335 · 2026-02-20
- Director · Common StockOther 3 451 · 2026-02-20
- Director · Common StockOther 3 451 · 2026-02-20
- EVP, Chief Technology Officer · Common StockOther 23 295 · 2026-02-20
Short positioning
Geographic breakdown
Intel & risk
4 tracked-field change(s) detected vs prior analysis; max severity: medium.
- Dilution risk— → mediumlow
- Liquidity risk— → lowlow
- Activity— → Application Softwaremedium
- Economic sector— → Technologymedium
Evidence & claims
From filings & derived data- Total liabilities (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 11.0%Derived (calculated)
- Net margin (FY 2025-12-31): 12.4%Derived (calculated)
- Gross margin (FY 2025-12-31): 69.2%Derived (calculated)
- Return on equity (FY 2025-12-31): 9.6%Derived (calculated)
- Return on assets (FY 2025-12-31): 8.0%Derived (calculated)
- Current ratio (FY 2025-12-31): 2.17xDerived (calculated)
- Debt-to-equity (FY 2025-12-31): 0.20xDerived (calculated)
- Capex (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 32.3%Derived (calculated)
- Cash & equivalents (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -37.2%Derived (calculated)
- Cost of revenue (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 9.9%Derived (calculated)
- EPS (basic) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 18.8%Derived (calculated)
- EPS (diluted) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 20.6%Derived (calculated)
- Gross profit (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 21.7%Derived (calculated)
- Net income (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 21.1%Derived (calculated)
- Operating cash flow (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 13.6%Derived (calculated)
- Operating income (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 33.1%Derived (calculated)
- R&D expense (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 9.3%Derived (calculated)
- Revenue (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 17.8%Derived (calculated)
- Shareholders' equity (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 13.9%Derived (calculated)
- Total assets (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 13.4%Derived (calculated)
- EPS (basic) (annual): USD-PER-SHARES 2SEC XBRL filing
- Total operating expenses (annual): USD 401.57MSEC XBRL filing
- Current assets (annual): USD 335.3MSEC XBRL filing
- Pre-tax income (annual): USD 123.83MSEC XBRL filing