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2788.HK HKEX Unclassified

Chuangxin Industries Holdings Ltd

HK$21,62
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Mcap
44,9B HKD
P/E
11,5x
EV / Rev
2,2x
Div yield
5,10 %
Op margin
22,4 %
ROE
28,4 %
Net margin
14,6 %
Debt / equity
1,52
Beta
52w range
Volume
Day range
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About

Chuangxin Industries Holdings Ltd operates in the Metals & Mining sector, generating revenue through industrial activities consistent with its sector classification classification.

Business. Chuangxin Industries Holdings Ltd operates in the Metals & Mining sector, generating revenue through industrial activities consistent with its sector classification classification.

Classification20 %
SectorUnclassified
Generated · model-assisted
Sell-side consensus
BUY4 analysts
4 buy0 hold0 sell
Avg 12m price target30,49

Analyst recommendations

4 analysts · consensus Buy
Buy4
Hold0
Sell0
12-month price target
30,49
Consensus of sell-side coverage.
Upcoming events
— missing data
See all catalysts →

At a glance

Score
not yet scored
Valuation
11,5x
P/E
Analysts
Buy
4 analysts · indicative
Ownership
not yet wired
Profitability
28,4 %
return on equity
Quality
not yet scored

What drives this business

The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.

— missing data

News & coverage

0
  • No recent newsroom coverage mentioning 2788.
  • Sector rotation

    Sector1D1Mvs mkt
    Materials+2,3 %+6,6 %+1,7 %
    Communication Services+2,2 %−5,5 %+1,7 %
    Energy+0,6 %+3,3 %+0,0 %
    Health Care+0,6 %−0,8 %+0,0 %
    Consumer Discretionary+0,4 %+7,7 %−0,2 %
    Information Technology+0,3 %+7,8 %−0,3 %
    Financials−0,3 %−2,8 %−0,9 %
    Consumer Staples−0,4 %+2,5 %−1,0 %
    Real Estate−0,7 %+10,9 %−1,3 %
    Industrials−1,9 %−3,1 %−2,5 %
    Utilities−1,9 %+28,2 %−2,5 %

    Developing storylines

    No tracked sagas currently linked to 2788.HK. Browse all sagas →

    Analysis

    AI analysis
    Generated · analysis pipeline · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 ↑ At a glance

    Opportunity

    — missing data

    Upcoming catalysts

    Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.

    • Macro
    • Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
    • Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
    • Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
    • Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
    • Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
    • Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
    • Macro & political
    • ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
    • ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
    • ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR

    Pre-earnings brief

    — missing data

    Signals & dispatch

    peak dispatch · —

    Composite-score breakdown

    Synthesis

    Business

    Chuangxin Industries Holdings Ltd operates in the Metals & Mining sector, generating revenue through industrial activities consistent with its sector classification classification.

    Classification20 %
    SectorUnclassified
    AI synthesis
    GENERATED

    Chuangxin Industries maintains a capital structure characterized by significant leverage, with long-term debt of 14.59 billion CNY against total equity of 9.62 billion CNY, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.52. The company holds 5.09 billion CNY in cash and equivalents, but this is insufficient to cover total liabilities of 18.73 billion CNY, leading to a negative net cash position. Liquidity is constrained, evidenced by a current ratio of 0.71, which indicates that current liabilities exceed current assets. Despite the leverage, the company generates substantial operating cash flow of 4.93 billion CNY, though heavy capital expenditures of 3.61 billion CNY result in negative free cash flow of -407.88 million CNY.

    Profitability metrics demonstrate strong returns relative to the capital base, with a return on equity of 28.38% and a return on assets of 9.63%. The company reports a net income of 2.73 billion CNY on revenue of 18.68 billion CNY, yielding a net margin of approximately 14.6%. Operating income stands at 4.19 billion CNY, indicating efficient cost management before interest and taxes. The valuation multiples reflect this profitability, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.47 and an EV/EBITDA of 9.75, suggesting the market prices the stock at a moderate premium to earnings.

    Segment and geographic revenue breakdowns are not provided in the available data, preventing an analysis of revenue concentration or regional exposure. The company’s business activity is broadly classified under Metals & Mining, but specific product lines or customer bases are not detailed in the input.

    Growth trajectory analysis is limited by the absence of historical period data in the input, preventing a year-over-year or quarter-over-quarter trend assessment. The current financial snapshot provides a single-period view of performance, with no prior periods available for comparison.

    Risk assessment identifies medium liquidity risk and low dilution risk. A key flag notes that net cash is negative after subtracting total debt, highlighting the company's reliance on external financing or operating cash flow to service obligations. The low dilution risk suggests that share count stability is maintained, with basic and diluted shares outstanding both at 2.075 billion.

    Recent analyst observations indicate a mean price target of 30.49 CNY and a median target of 32.00 CNY, implying significant upside from the current market price of 15.10 CNY. The mean recommendation is 2.00, driven by four buy ratings and no hold or strong-buy ratings, suggesting cautious optimism among analysts. No specific filing, news, or transcript events are provided in the input data.

    Key takeaways
    • High leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.52 and negative net cash position.
    • Strong profitability with 28.38% ROE and 11.47x P/E valuation.
    • Liquidity pressure indicated by a current ratio of 0.71.
    • Negative free cash flow due to high capital expenditures of 3.61 billion CNY.
    • Analyst consensus suggests significant upside with a mean target of 30.49 CNY.
    • Low dilution risk with stable share count of 2.075 billion.

    Bull / Bear case

    Generated · model-assisted
    BULL CASE · 4

    Analysts project 41% upside to a mean price target of 30.49, reflecting strong buy consensus from four analysts.

    Operating margin of 22.42% exceeds the 75th percentile of the cohort, demonstrating superior profitability relative to peers.

    Net income surged to 2.73 billion CNY in FY0, up from 2.06 billion in the prior year.

    Revenue growth accelerated to 18.68 billion CNY in FY0, continuing a strong upward trend from previous periods.

    BEAR CASE · 5

    Debt-to-equity ratio of 1.52 places the company in the bottom quartile, indicating significantly higher leverage than peers.

    Free cash flow turned negative to -407.9 million CNY in FY0, reversing a positive trend from the prior year.

    Long-term debt increased to 14.59 billion CNY in FY0, rising from 11.75 billion in the previous fiscal year.

    The company faces medium liquidity risk and medium credit risk, posing potential challenges to financial stability.

    Capital expenditure intensity is in the bottom quartile, suggesting heavy investment requirements relative to revenue generation.

    In focus — financials by report

    Annual
    ANNUALFiled 2026-03-17
    FY 2026 · Full-year highlights

    Revenue ¥18.68B, +23,2% YoY; Operating income +3,6% YoY.

    Revenue¥18.68B+23,2 % YoY
    Operating income¥4.19B+3,6 % YoY
    Net income¥2.73B+32,8 % YoY
    Free cash flow-¥407.9M−244,5 % YoY
    EPS
    Operating cash flow¥4.93B+42,3 % YoY
    Financials
    Income statement
    Revenue¥18.68B
    Gross profit¥4.66B
    Operating income¥4.19B
    Net income¥2.73B
    Margins
    Gross margin24.9%
    Operating margin22.4%
    Net margin14.6%
    FCF margin-2.2%
    Balance sheet
    Total assets¥28.35B
    Total liabilities¥18.73B
    Total equity¥9.62B
    Cash & equivalents¥5.09B
    Long-term debt¥14.59B
    Cash flow
    Operating cash flow¥4.93B
    CapEx-¥3.61B
    Free cash flow-¥407.9M
    SBC
    P&L flow · revenue → net income
    Revenue ¥18.68BOperating costs ¥14.49BFinance ¥664.6MNet income ¥2.73B
    Highlights
    • Revenue ¥18.68B, +23,2% YoY
    • Operating income +3,6% YoY
    • Net income +32,8% YoY
    • Free cash flow −244,5% YoY
    • Net margin 14.6%

    Valuation FY

    Market price
    HK$21,62
    Market cap
    HK$31.33B
    Enterprise value
    HK$40.84B
    P/E
    11.5x
    Non-GAAP P/E
    EV / Revenue
    2.2x
    EV / Op income
    9.8x
    EV / OCF
    8.3x
    P / B
    3.3x
    P / Tangible book
    3.3x
    Tangible book
    HK$9.62B
    Net cash
    -HK$9.50B
    Current ratio
    0.7
    Debt / equity
    1.5
    ROA
    9.6%
    ROE
    28.4%
    Cash conversion
    180.0%
    CapEx / revenue
    -19.3%
    SBC / revenue
    Dilution ratio
    0.0%

    Revenue by segment

    Aluminum Mining & Smelting
    low · llm_fanout_v2
    Base-Metal Mining
    low · llm_fanout_v2

    Market share

    — missing data

    Business relationships

    — missing data

    Supply chain

    — missing data

    Peer comparison

    — missing data

    Market position

    Stress test

    — missing data

    Predictor forecast

    Next quarternear-term
    Earnings · next quarterconf 42 %
    EPS
    Consensus EPS
    2,32
    Predicted surprise
    -0,08
    Beat probability
    42 %
    Analysts
    4
    Other metrics
    Revenue
    no estimate
    Segment revenue
    no estimate
    Margin
    no estimate
    Segment margin
    no estimate
    revision ratio -0,06 · as of 2026-07-11 · Earnings Surprise V1
    Period note: consensus is not fiscal-period-aligned at source — read as consensus vs the last reported actual, not a calibrated same-quarter surprise.
    Full fiscal year~1 year ahead
    Full fiscal year · our forecast vs guidance vs consensus
    MetricOur forecastGuidanceConsensus
    EPSno estimateno estimate2,32
    Revenueno estimateno estimate20,4B CNY
    Operating incomeno estimateno estimate7,2B CNY
    Full-year consensus mean (period as reported by source) · consensus in CNY. Company-level full-year forecast and management guidance are not yet modelled at scale — shown as "no estimate", never inferred.
    Probabilistic model output — not investment advice. · generated 2026-08-04

    Options

    — missing data

    Short squeeze

    — missing data

    Earnings-call key lines

    — missing data

    Consensus distribution

    sell-side coverage
    Recommendation distribution4 analysts
    Strong buy0
    Buy4
    Hold0
    Sell0
    Strong sell0
    12-month price targetHK$30,49 · Median HK$32,00
    Low HK$22,00High HK$37,47
    Operating income · consensus7,2B CNY
    EPS surprise
    −24,7 %
    reported vs consensus · miss
    Revenue surprise
    −8,6 %
    reported vs consensus · miss

    Estimate revisions

    consensus EPS · 26-week trend
    — missing data

    Sell-side observations

    LowHK$22,00
    MeanHK$30,49
    MedianHK$32,00
    HighHK$37,47
    SpotHK$21,62
    +41.0 %implied to mean12-month sell-side price targets · ▲ spot

    Themes

    — missing data

    ESG

    — missing data

    Risk factors

    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskMedium
    Filing-based flags
    • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.

    Benchmarks vs cohort

    Op Margin22,4 %Above P75
    Net Margin14,6 %Above P75
    ROE28,4 %Best in class
    Capex / Rev-19,3 %Bottom quartile
    D/E1,52Bottom quartile
    Cash Conv1,80Above median

    Corporate actions / M&A

    — missing data

    FX exposure

    — missing data

    Comparable transactions

    — missing data

    Derivatives & instruments

    — missing data

    Actions

    Ask Handelsavisen

    — missing data
    Data sources
    • Market data
    • Market data cache
    • Issuer disclosures
    • Public news
    • Earnings transcripts
    • Consensus estimates
    • ESG data
    • Reference data
    How metrics are computed
    • Debt To Equity
      (short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
    • Market Cap
      market_price * shares_outstanding_diluted
    • Ev To Revenue
      enterprise_value / revenue
    • Return On Assets
      net_income / total_assets
    • Price To Tangible Book
      market_price / (tangible_book_value / shares_outstanding_diluted)
    • Price To Earnings
      market_price / (net_income / shares_outstanding_diluted)
    Source documents
    • Chuangxin Industries Holdings Ltd Market data — financials · 2026-07-11
    • Chuangxin Industries Holdings Ltd Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-07-11

    Ownership & reference

    Insider activity

    — missing data

    Short positioning

    — missing data

    Geographic breakdown

    — missing data
    Listings · one canonical issuer all listings resolve to the canonical
    2788.HKCanonical
    HKEX · HKD

    Intel & risk

    PredictorBeat prob42 %Surprise-0,08Full forecast →
    peak dispatch · —
    OSINT findings
    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskMedium
    Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.

    Evidence & claims

    From filings & derived data
    — missing data

    The Thread

    Everything we know, in order
    2026-06-30 03:38 UTCEARNINGSUpcomingForecast: earnings_forecast (90d)
    2026-03-17 20:20 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2026 Revenue CNY 18.68B · Net CNY 2.73B
    The entity's full life in the product — typed, chronological, joined across Newspaper, Platform and Data. Our memory, made visible.
    Sources filings · IR · transcripts · market data · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 Market data · Issuer disclosures · Public news · Earnings transcripts · Consensus estimates · ESG data · Reference data Premium coverage