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FMG.AX ASX Iron & Steel

Fortescue Ltd

A$20,21
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LatestShort interest surges in Fortescue, BHP and Rio Tinto as iron ore slump deepens
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Mcap
67,9B AUD
P/E
20,1x
EV / Rev
Div yield
8,87 %
Op margin
ROE
Net margin
Debt / equity
Beta
52w range
Volume
Day range
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About

Fortescue Ltd is a mining company that primarily engages in the exploration, development, and production of iron ore, which it sells to steel manufacturers globally.

Business. Fortescue Ltd (FMG.AX) is an Australian mining company primarily engaged in the extraction and sale of iron ore. The firm operates within the Basic Materials sector, specifically the Iron & Steel industry, with its primary listing on the Australian Securities Exchange. As specific operating segment and geographic data are not provided, the company is described at the industry level as a mineral resources producer.

Classification92 %
SectorBasic Materials
Business sectorMineral Resources
IndustryIron & Steel
ActivityMining
Generated · model-assisted
Sell-side consensus
HOLD15 analysts
1 buy8 hold6 sell
Avg 12m price target19,06

Analyst recommendations

15 analysts · consensus Hold
Buy1
Hold8
Sell6
12-month price target
19,06
Consensus of sell-side coverage.
Upcoming events
— missing data
See all catalysts →

At a glance

Score
not yet scored
Valuation
20,1x
P/E
Analysts
Hold
15 analysts · indicative
Ownership
not yet wired
Profitability
not yet wired
Quality
not yet scored

What drives this business

The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.

— missing data

News & coverage

2
  • MARKETSShort interest surges in Fortescue, BHP and Rio Tinto as iron ore slump deepens2026-07-28
  • MARKETSVysarn raises $60 million to acquire rival Welltech2026-07-27
  • Sector rotation

    Sector1D1Mvs mkt
    Materials · THIS SECTOR+2,3 %+6,6 %+1,7 %
    Communication Services+2,2 %−5,5 %+1,7 %
    Energy+0,6 %+3,3 %+0,0 %
    Health Care+0,6 %−0,8 %+0,0 %
    Consumer Discretionary+0,4 %+7,7 %−0,2 %
    Information Technology+0,3 %+7,8 %−0,3 %
    Financials−0,3 %−2,8 %−0,9 %
    Consumer Staples−0,4 %+2,5 %−1,0 %
    Real Estate−0,7 %+10,9 %−1,3 %
    Industrials−1,9 %−3,1 %−2,5 %
    Utilities−1,9 %+28,2 %−2,5 %

    Developing storylines

    No tracked sagas currently linked to FMG.AX. Browse all sagas →

    Analysis

    AI analysis
    Generated · analysis pipeline · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 ↑ At a glance

    Opportunity

    — missing data

    Upcoming catalysts

    Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.

    • Macro
    • Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
    • Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
    • Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
    • Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
    • Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
    • Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
    • Macro & political
    • ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
    • ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
    • ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR

    Pre-earnings brief

    Briefing · model-assisted

    Fortescue Ltd (FMG.AX) has seen the addition of several notable assets to its operational profile, marking the first analysis for this ticker. The most significant development is the inclusion of the Fortescue Eliwana (Western Hub) Mine, an operating iron ore facility in Australia with a capacity of 30,000 ttpa. This is accompanied by the addition of the Fortescue Iron Bridge Mine, another operating Australian iron ore asset with a capacity of 22,000 ttpa. These additions highlight the scale of the company's core iron ore production infrastructure. In the power sector, the Solomon Hub mine power station has been added as an operating asset in Australia. This facility utilizes fossil gas (natural gas) and fossil liquids (diesel) to generate power, indicating the company's reliance on traditional energy sources for its mining operations. The status of this asset as "operating" underscores its current role in supporting Fortescue's industrial activities. Conversely, the Pilbara Generation Project solar farm has been recorded with a status of "cancelled - inferred 4 y." This utility-scale solar power asset in Australia was previously part of the company's portfolio but is now noted as cancelled. This change reflects a shift in the company's renewable energy strategy or project execution, contrasting with the active fossil fuel-based power generation at the Solomon Hub. These asset-level changes provide a foundational view of Fortescue Ltd's operational footprint, characterized by substantial iron ore mining capacity and a mixed energy generation approach. With 10 analysts covering the stock and membership in one index, the market's attention is focused on these core operational metrics. The absence of prior basis for delta computation means these figures represent the initial snapshot of the company's asset base, setting the stage for future performance tracking.

    Signals & dispatch

    peak dispatch · 2026-07-27

    Composite-score breakdown

    Synthesis

    Business

    Fortescue Ltd (FMG.AX) is an Australian mining company primarily engaged in the extraction and sale of iron ore. The firm operates within the Basic Materials sector, specifically the Iron & Steel industry, with its primary listing on the Australian Securities Exchange. As specific operating segment and geographic data are not provided, the company is described at the industry level as a mineral resources producer.

    Classification92 %
    SectorBasic Materials
    Business sectorMineral Resources
    IndustryIron & Steel
    ActivityMining
    AI synthesis
    GENERATED

    Fortescue Ltd has a market capitalization of $67.85 billion, with a market price of $22.04 per share, and no dilution risk as the basic and diluted shares outstanding are equal at 3.08 billion shares. However, liquidity risk could not be assessed due to the absence of balance-sheet inputs and no going-concern language in source documents.

    The company's profitability and returns are not directly quantifiable in the provided data, but the industry_config for the Iron & Steel sector typically emphasizes metrics such as EBITDA margins, return on invested capital (ROIC), and production costs. Without specific values for these metrics, a direct comparison to cohort medians is not possible.

    Fortescue's revenue is concentrated in the mining of iron ore, with no disclosed geographic breakdown in the provided data. The company's exposure to specific regions or markets is not quantified, but as a global iron ore producer, it is likely subject to demand fluctuations in major steel-producing countries such as China and India.

    The company's growth trajectory is not explicitly outlined in the provided data. Analysts have issued a mean price target of $19.06 and a median price target of $19.15, suggesting a bearish outlook relative to the current market price of $22.04. The mean recommendation of 3.40 (on a scale from 1 to 5) indicates a "hold" consensus among analysts.

    The risk assessment indicates low dilution potential, with no near-term pressure from dilutive events such as ATM or shelf offerings. However, the absence of balance-sheet data prevents a full evaluation of liquidity risk. No specific risk factors are cited in the provided data, but the mining industry is generally exposed to commodity price volatility, regulatory changes, and operational risks.

    Recent events, such as filings or transcripts, are not detailed in the provided data. Analysts have not issued strong buy recommendations, with only one "buy" and eight "hold" ratings, suggesting a cautious outlook on the company's near-term prospects.

    Fortescue Ltd (FMG.AX) has seen the addition of several notable assets to its operational profile, marking the first analysis for this ticker. The most significant development is the inclusion of the Fortescue Eliwana (Western Hub) Mine, an operating iron ore facility in Australia with a capacity of 30,000 ttpa. This is accompanied by the addition of the Fortescue Iron Bridge Mine, another operating Australian iron ore asset with a capacity of 22,000 ttpa. These additions highlight the scale of the company's core iron ore production infrastructure. In the power sector, the Solomon Hub mine power station has been added as an operating asset in Australia. This facility utilizes fossil gas (natural gas) and fossil liquids (diesel) to generate power, indicating the company's reliance on traditional energy sources for its mining operations. The status of this asset as "operating" underscores its current role in supporting Fortescue's industrial activities. Conversely, the Pilbara Generation Project solar farm has been recorded with a status of "cancelled - inferred 4 y." This utility-scale solar power asset in Australia was previously part of the company's portfolio but is now noted as cancelled. This change reflects a shift in the company's renewable energy strategy or project execution, contrasting with the active fossil fuel-based power generation at the Solomon Hub. These asset-level changes provide a foundational view of Fortescue Ltd's operational footprint, characterized by substantial iron ore mining capacity and a mixed energy generation approach. With 10 analysts covering the stock and membership in one index, the market's attention is focused on these core operational metrics. The absence of prior basis for delta computation means these figures represent the initial snapshot of the company's asset base, setting the stage for future performance tracking.

    Key takeaways
    • Fortescue Ltd is a major iron ore producer with a market capitalization of $67.85 billion.
    • The company has no dilution risk, as basic and diluted shares are equal.
    • Analysts have issued a bearish price target consensus, with a mean of $19.06 and a median of $19.15.
    • Liquidity risk could not be assessed due to missing balance-sheet data.
    • The company's growth trajectory and profitability metrics are not explicitly provided in the data.

    Bull / Bear case

    Generated · model-assisted
    — missing data

    In focus — financials by report

    Annual
    ANNUALFiled 2025-08-26
    FY 2025 · Full-year highlights

    Revenue $15.54B, −14,7% YoY; Operating income −38,6% YoY.

    Revenue$15.54B−14,7 % YoY
    Operating income$5.21B−38,6 % YoY
    Net income$3.37B−40,6 % YoY
    Free cash flow-$361.0M−143,3 % YoY
    EPS
    Operating cash flow$6.47B−18,2 % YoY
    Financials
    Income statement
    Revenue$15.54B
    Gross profit$6.44B
    Operating income$5.21B
    Net income$3.37B
    Margins
    Gross margin41.4%
    Operating margin33.5%
    Net margin21.7%
    FCF margin-2.3%
    Balance sheet
    Total assets$30.52B
    Total liabilities$10.53B
    Total equity$19.98B
    Cash & equivalents
    Long-term debt$5.44B
    Cash flow
    Operating cash flow$6.47B
    CapEx-$3.43B
    Free cash flow-$361.0M
    SBC
    P&L flow · revenue → net income
    Revenue $15.54BOperating costs $10.33BTax $1.83BNet income $3.37B
    Highlights
    • Revenue $15.54B, −14,7% YoY
    • Operating income −38,6% YoY
    • Net income −40,6% YoY
    • Free cash flow −143,3% YoY
    • Net margin 21.7%

    Valuation FY

    Market price
    A$20,21
    Market cap
    A$67.85B
    Enterprise value
    P/E
    20.1x
    Non-GAAP P/E
    EV / Revenue
    EV / Op income
    EV / OCF
    P / B
    P / Tangible book
    Tangible book
    Net cash
    Current ratio
    Debt / equity
    ROA
    ROE
    Cash conversion
    CapEx / revenue
    SBC / revenue
    Dilution ratio
    0.0%

    Revenue by segment

    Market share

    — missing data

    Business relationships

    — missing data

    Supply chain

    — missing data

    Peer comparison

    — missing data

    Market position

    Stress test

    — missing data

    Predictor forecast

    Next quarternear-term
    Earnings · next quarterconf 45 %
    EPS
    Consensus EPS
    1,21
    Predicted surprise
    -0,00
    Beat probability
    45 %
    Analysts
    15
    Other metrics
    Revenue
    no estimate
    Segment revenue
    no estimate
    Margin
    no estimate
    Segment margin
    no estimate
    as of 2026-05-01 · Earnings Surprise V1
    Period note: consensus is not fiscal-period-aligned at source — read as consensus vs the last reported actual, not a calibrated same-quarter surprise.
    Full fiscal year~1 year ahead
    Full fiscal year · our forecast vs guidance vs consensus
    MetricOur forecastGuidanceConsensus
    EPSno estimateno estimate1,21
    Revenueno estimateno estimate16,8B USD
    Operating incomeno estimateno estimate5,7B USD
    Full-year consensus mean (period as reported by source) · consensus in USD. Company-level full-year forecast and management guidance are not yet modelled at scale — shown as "no estimate", never inferred.
    Probabilistic model output — not investment advice. · generated 2026-08-04

    Options

    — missing data

    Short squeeze

    — missing data

    Earnings-call key lines

    — missing data

    Consensus distribution

    sell-side coverage
    Recommendation distribution15 analysts
    Strong buy0
    Buy1
    Hold8
    Sell5
    Strong sell1
    12-month price targetA$19,06 · Median A$19,15
    Low A$16,00High A$23,00
    Operating income · consensus5,7B USD
    EPS surprise
    −9,3 %
    reported vs consensus · miss
    Revenue surprise
    −7,3 %
    reported vs consensus · miss

    Estimate revisions

    consensus EPS · 26-week trend
    — missing data

    Sell-side observations

    LowA$16,00
    MeanA$19,06
    MedianA$19,15
    HighA$23,00
    SpotA$20,21
    −5.7 %implied to mean12-month sell-side price targets · ▲ spot

    Themes

    — missing data

    ESG

    — missing data

    Risk factors

    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskUnknown

    Benchmarks vs cohort

    No cohort benchmark data available for this issuer yet.

    Corporate actions / M&A

    — missing data

    FX exposure

    — missing data

    Comparable transactions

    — missing data

    Derivatives & instruments

    — missing data

    Physical assets

    41 tracked
    AssetTypeCommodityCountryRole
    Chichester RangeMineIron OreAustraliaOperating company
    Chichester RangeOtherIron OreAustraliaOperating company
    Cloudbreak solar farmPowerPowerAustraliaRegistered owner
    FMG AMANDAVesselFar East Bulker Zone, East China SeaManager
    FMG DAVIDVesselIron OreSouth East Asia Bulker Zone, Pacific Ocean (Oceania)Manager
    FMG GRACEVesselJiangsu, Far East Bulker Zone, East China Sea, China (Mainland)Manager
    FMG MATILDAVesselIron OreSouth East Asia Bulker Zone, Banda and Timor SeasManager
    FMG NICOLAVesselShandong, Far East Bulker Zone, East China Sea, China (Mainland)Manager
    FMG NORTHERN SPIRITVesselHebei, Far East Bulker Zone, East China Sea, China (Mainland)Manager
    FMG SOPHIAVesselIron OreWest Aussie Bulker Zone, East Indian OceanManager
    Fortescue Christmas Creek (Chichester Hub) MineIron ore mineIron OreAustraliaParent
    Fortescue Cloudbreak (Chichester Hub) MineIron ore mineIron OreAustraliaParent
    Fortescue Eliwana (Western Hub) MineIron ore mineIron OreAustraliaParent
    Fortescue Firetail (Solomon Hub) MineIron ore mineIron OreAustraliaParent
    Fortescue Iron Bridge MineIron ore mineIron OreAustraliaParent
    Fortescue Kings Valley (Solomon Hub) MineIron ore mineIron OreAustraliaParent
    Fortescue Nyidinghu MineIron ore mineIron OreAustraliaParent
    Fortescue Queens Valley (Solomon Hub) MineIron ore mineIron OreAustraliaParent
    GREEN PIONEERVesselCaribbean SeaManager
    Herb ElliottMineIron OreAustraliaOperating company
    Herb ElliottOtherIron OreAustraliaOperating company
    Ivindo Belinga MineIron ore mineIron OreGabonParent
    Mindy Mindy Iron Ore DepositMineIron OreAustraliaOperating company
    Mindy Mindy Iron Ore DepositOtherIron OreAustraliaOperating company
    North Queensland Super Hub wind farmPowerPowerAustraliaRegistered owner
    North Queensland Super Hub wind farmPowerPowerAustraliaRegistered owner
    Nyidinghu Iron Ore DepositOtherIron OreAustraliaOperating company
    Nyidinghu Iron Ore DepositMineIron OreAustraliaOperating company
    Pilbara Generation Project solar farmPowerPowerAustraliaRegistered owner
    Pilbara Generation Project solar farmPowerPowerAustraliaRegistered owner
    Solomon Exp Phase2OtherIron OreAustraliaOperating company
    Solomon Exp Phase2MineIron OreAustraliaOperating company
    Solomon Hub mine power stationPowerPowerAustraliaRegistered owner
    Solomon Hub mine power stationPowerOil & GasAustraliaParent
    Solomon Hub mine power stationPowerPowerAustraliaParent
    Solomon Hub mine power stationPowerOil & GasAustraliaRegistered owner
    Solomon Iron Ore MineOtherIron OreAustraliaOperating company
    Solomon Iron Ore MineMineIron OreAustraliaOperating company
    Turner River solar farmPowerPowerAustraliaRegistered owner
    Turner River solar farmPowerPowerAustraliaRegistered owner
    Uaroo Renewable Energy Hub solar farmPowerPowerAustraliaRegistered owner
    Tracked physical assets associated with this issuer (operated, managed, or owned).

    Actions

    Ask Handelsavisen

    — missing data
    Data sources
    • Market data
    • Market data cache
    • Issuer disclosures
    • Public news
    • Earnings transcripts
    • Consensus estimates
    • ESG data
    How metrics are computed
    • Dilution Ratio
      (shares_outstanding_diluted - shares_outstanding_basic) / shares_outstanding_basic
    • Market Price
      input from market-data provider (delayed close or quote-shim mid)
    • Market Cap
      market_price * shares_outstanding_diluted
    Source documents
    • Fortescue Ltd Market data — financials · 2026-05-27
    • Fortescue Ltd Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-05-27
    • Fortescue Ltd Market data — ESG · 2026-05-27

    Ownership & reference

    Leadership

    • John Andrew Henry ForrestExecutive Chairman of the Board

    Insider activity

    — missing data

    Short positioning

    — missing data
    Index membership
    S&P/ASX 200

    Geographic breakdown

    — missing data
    Listings · one canonical issuer all listings resolve to the canonical
    FMG.AXCanonical
    ASX · AUD

    Intel & risk

    PredictorBeat prob45 %Surprise-0,00Full forecast →
    peak dispatch · 2026-07-27
    OSINT findings
    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskUnknown

    Evidence & claims

    From filings & derived data
    — missing data

    The Thread

    Everything we know, in order
    2026-06-30 03:38 UTCEARNINGSUpcomingForecast: earnings_forecast (90d)
    2026-06-20 00:43 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-06-20 00:43 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-06-20 00:43 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-06-20 00:43 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-06-20 00:43 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-06-20 00:43 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-06-20 00:43 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2026-06-20 00:43 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    2025-08-26 03:45 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2025 Revenue USD 15.54B · Net USD 3.37B
    2024-08-28 04:04 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2024 Revenue USD 18.22B · Net USD 5.68B
    2023-08-28 06:30 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2023 Revenue USD 16.87B · Net USD 4.80B
    2022-08-29 04:21 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2022 Revenue USD 17.39B · Net USD 6.20B
    2021-08-30 04:08 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2021 Revenue USD 22.28B · Net USD 10.29B
    The entity's full life in the product — typed, chronological, joined across Newspaper, Platform and Data. Our memory, made visible.
    Sources filings · IR · transcripts · market data · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 Market data · Issuer disclosures · Public news · Earnings transcripts · Consensus estimates · ESG data Premium coverage